5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms

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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
© Hadden Telecoms Limited
Wireless Russia & CIS: LTE, 5G and Internet of Things
Moscow, May 30-31, 2019

                                      5G Market Reality
                             - Market status update worldwide

                                               Alan Hadden
                                      Director, Hadden Telecoms Ltd
                                       www.haddentelecoms.com

                                                               Follow me on Twitter @alanhadden

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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
2019 - the year of 5G
                        © Hadden Telecoms Limited

    5G buzz at
     MWC19

        +

     Several
commercial service
launches achieved

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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
5G market status
May 24, 2019                                                                      © Hadden Telecoms Limited

238 operator investments in 5G in 96 countries
Comprises 5G network deployments/ build commitments/ trials/ test labs/ studies

22 commercially launched 5G networks in 15 countries
An additional 4 operators have announced 5G-ready networks

61 5G-devices announced by 33 manufacturers
CPEs/ smartphones/ modules/ mifi-hotspots / snap-on accessories

Initial use case: enhanced mobile broadband (eMBB)
u Fixed wireless access broadband (FWA) services offered from 2018
u Mobile services:
         u hotspots offered from December 2018
         u Smartphones from 1H 2019

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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
5G Network Deployments
Status at May 24, 2019                                                                          © Hadden Telecoms Limited

                                                                                   Bands stated as in use for 5G are
Twenty-two 5G commercial service launches                                          based on provisional information

Country     Operator     Launch    Band              Country           Operator       Launch Band
Australia   Telstra      2018      3.6 GHz           S. Korea          KT             04.2019      3.5 GHz

Australia   Optus        01.2019   3.6 GHz           S. Korea          LG U+          04.2019      3.5 GHz

Bahrain     Viva         02.2019   3.5 GHz           S. Korea          SK Telecom     04.2019      3.5 GHz

Estonia     Elisa        01.2019   3.4–3.8 GHz       Switzerland       Sunrise        04.2019      700MHz, 3.5GHz

Finland     Elisa        01.2019   3.4–3.8 GHz       Switzerland       Swisscom       04.2019      3.5 GHz

Kuwait      Ooredoo      06.2018   To be confirmed   UAE               Etisalat       09.2018      3.5 GHz

Lesotho     Vodacom      08.2018   3.5 GHz           UK                BT-EE          05.2019      3.5 GHz

Poland      T Mobile     12.2018   3.5 GHz           USA               AT&T           12.2018      28 GHz

Qatar       Ooredoo      05.2018   3.5 GHz           USA               Sprint         05.2019      2.5 GHz

Qatar       Vodafone     08.2018   3.5 GHz           USA               Verizon        10.2018      28 GHz

Romania     Vodafone     05.2019   To be confirmed
                                                                   Data source: Hadden Telecoms Ltd
S. Africa   RAIN         02.2019   3.6 GHz             More data and charts available at www.haddentelecoms.com

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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
Operator Investments in 5G Worldwide
(5G network deployments/build commitments/trials /test labs/studies)                                                                              © Hadden Telecoms Limited
Excluding commercial service launches - Status at May 24, 2019                                                                    Data source: Hadden Telecoms Ltd

Aland Islands – Alcom          Denmark - 3                    Italy - Linkem                   Netherlands - KPN                    South Africa - MTN
Algeria – Mobilis              Denmark - Telia                Italy - Vodafone                 Netherlands – New T Mobile           South Africa - Vodacom
Argentina – Movistar           Denmark – TDC                  Italy – FastWeb                  Netherlands – Vodafone/Ziggo         South Africa – Comsol
Argentina - Personal           Denmark – Telenor              Italy – TIM                      New Zealand - 2degrees               Spain - Telefonica
Australia - NBN                Egypt – Telecom Egypt          Italy – Wind Tre                 New Zealand - Spark                  Spain – Masmovil
Australia – Vodafone           Estonia – Tele2                Japan – KDDI                     New Zealand – Vodafone               Spain – Orange
Austria - A1 Telekom           Estonia – Telia Eesti          Japan – NTT DoCoMo               NMI – IT&E                           Spain – Vodafone
Austria – 3 / Drei             Faroe Islands - Føroya Tele    Japan – Rakuten Mobile           Norway – Telenor                     Sri Lanka - Mobitel
Austria – T Mobile             Faroe Islands – Hey-Vodafone   Japan – Softbank                 Norway – Telia                       Sri Lanka – Dialog Axiata
Azerbaijan - Azercell          Finland – DNA                  Jersey – JT                      Oman - Ooredoo                       Sweden - Telia
Bahrain – Batelco              Finland – Telia                Kazakhstan – Kazakhtelecom       Oman – Omantel                       Sweden – Net4Mobility (Telenor/Tele2)
Bahrain – Zain                 France – Bouygues Telecom      Kenya - Safaricom                Pakistan - Telenor                   Switzerland – Salt
Bangladesh - Robi              France – Orange                Kuwait - Viva                    Peru - Entel                         Taiwan - FarEasTone
Belarus - beCloud              France – SFR                   Kuwait – Zain                    Poland – Orange Polska               Taiwan – APT
Belarus - Velcom               Germany - Vodafone             Latvia - Bite                    Poland – Play P4                     Taiwan – Chunghwa Telecom
Belgium - Proximus             Germany – DT                   Latvia - LMT                     Portugal - Nos                       Taiwan – Taiwan Mobile
Belgium – Orange               Germany – Telefonica O2        Latvia – Tele2                   Portugal – Vodafone                  Tanzania – Tigo
Brazil - Oi                    Greece – Cosmote               Lebanon – Alfa                   Portugal –Meo                        Tatarstan - Tattelecom
Brazil - TIM                   Greece – Wind Hellas           Lebanon - Touch/Zain             Puerto Rico – Claro                  Thailand - CAT Telecom
Brazil - Vivo                  Guadeloupe – SFR Caraibe       Lithuania – Bite                 Romania - Digi                       Thailand - DTAC
Bulgaria – A1 Bulgaria         Guam – IT&E                    Lithuania – Tele2                Romania – Orange                     Thailand – AIS
Canada – Bell Mobility         Hong Kong – 3 HK               Lithuania – Telia Lietuva        Romania - Telekom                    Thailand – TOT
Canada – Rogers Wireless       Hong Kong – CMHK               Luxembourg – Orange              Russia - MTS                         Thailand – TrueMove
Canada – Shaw Communications   Hong Kong – HKT                Luxembourg – POST                Russia – Megafon                     The Philippines - Globe
Canada – Telus                 Hong Kong – Smartone           Luxembourg – Proximus (Tango)    Russia - MOTIV                       The Philippines – PLDT/Smart
Canada -Videotron              Hungary - Telenor              Macau - CTM                      Russia – Rostelecom (Tele2)          Turkey – Turk Telecom
Canada – Xplornet              Hungary – Magyar Telekom       Macedonia - Makedonski Telekom   Russia – Vimpelcom                   Turkey – Turkcell
Chile - Claro                  Hungary – Vodafone             Malaysia - DiGi                  Saint-Martin – Dauphin Telecom       Turkey – Vodafone Turkey
Chile - Entel                  Iceland - Nova                 Malaysia - TM                    Saint-Martin – Orange Caraibe        UAE – Du
China - China Mobile           Iceland – Siminn               Malaysia – Celcom                San Marino - TIM                     UK – 3 UK
China - China Telecom          India - BSNL                   Malaysia – Maxis                 Saudi Arabia - Mobily                UK – O2
China – China Unicom           India – Airtel                 Malaysia – U Mobile              Saudi Arabia – STC                   UK – Vodafone
Colombia - Claro               India – Reliance Jio           Maldives - Dhiraagu              Saudi Arabia – Zain                  Ukraine - Lifecell
Colombia – Movistar            Indonesia – Indosat Ooredoo    Malta – Melita                   Serbia -Telekom Srbija               Ukraine - Vodafone
Colombia - TigoUne             Indonesia - Smartfren          Malta - Vodafone                 Singapore - Singtel                  Uruguay - Antel
Croatia - A1 Croatia           Indonesia – Telkomsel          Mexico – AT&T                    Singapore - Starhub                  USA – C Spire
Croatia - Hrvatski Telekom     Indonesia – XL Axiata          Mexico – Telecel                 Singapore – M1                       USA – Charter Communications
Cyprus - CYTA                  Ireland - Eir                  Moldova - Orange                 Slovak Republic – Orange             USA – Ligado Networks
Cyprus - Primetel              Ireland - Imagine              Monaco – Monaco Telecom          Slovak Republic – Slovak Telecom     USA – T-Mobile
Cyprus – MTN                   Ireland – 3                    Morocco - INWI (Wana)            Slovenia - Elektro Gorenjska         USA – US Cellular
Czech Republic – O2            Ireland – Airspan              Morocco - Maroc Telecom (IAM)    Slovenia - Telemach                  Uzbekistan – Beeline (Unitel)
Czech Republic – T-Mobile      Ireland – Vodafone             Myanmar - Ooredoo                Slovenia – A1                        Vietnam - MobiFone
Czech Republic – Vodafone      Italy - Iliad                  Nepal - CG Telecom               Slovenia – Telekom Slovenije         Vietnam - Viettel

Data source: Hadden Telecoms Ltd
                                                                                                                                    Vietnam - VNPT
                                                                                                                                                                            5
5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
61 5G-devices announced by 33 manufacturers
CPEs/ smartphones/ modules/ mifi-hotspots / snap-on accessories                      © Hadden Telecoms Limited

                                                                        eMBB use case

                                                                    5G smartphones now
                                                                    entering the market in
                                                                      volume in several
                                                                           markets

                                                                    More models coming in
                                                                          2H 2019

                                                                     “Foldables” is a new
                                                                     device category with
                                                                    some models launched

                  Initial 5G user device prices are high compared to 4G/LTE and 3G

Data source: Hadden Telecoms Ltd
More data and charts available at www.haddentelecoms.com
                                                                                                          6
5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
5G service launches
Some examples (1)                                                                     © Hadden Telecoms Limited

                           •   Sunrise launched 5G FWA service in March 2019
                           •   First smartphone sales started May 2 – Huawei Mate 20X 5G, then
                               Samsung Galaxy S10 5G
700MHz & 3.5GHz spectrum
                           •   No data price increase at launch, now USD10/month premium for
                               mobile and business users
                           •   173 cities/villages with 5G coverage by early May 2019
                           •   Uses 700 MHz and 3.5 GHz spectrum

                           •   Swisscom launched 5G on April 17, 2019
                           •   Launched initially with Oppo Reno 5G, followed by LG (from May),
                               Samsung (from July) and Huawei (Q3)
3.5GHz spectrum            •   Uses 3.5 GHz spectrum
                           •   Nationwide coverage planned by end 2019

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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
5G service launches
Some examples (2)                                                                     © Hadden Telecoms Limited

                    •   5G Ultra Wideband service launched on April 11 in Chicago and Minneapolis
                        with the Motorola Z and 5G moto mod accessory, followed by Samsung
28GHz spectrum          Galaxy S10 5G. Inseego 5G jetpack coming in 1H 2019
                    •   Coverage expansion to at least 20 more cities planned in 2019
                    •   Price promotion (initially free) then USD10/month premium

                    •   Sprint to launch 5G on May 31 starting in Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas , and
                        Kansas City
                    •   Initial devices offered are HTC’s 5G Hub and the LG V50 ThinQ smartphone -
                        which must be activated on the USD80/month Unlimited Premium plan
2.5GHz spectrum

                    •   Launched December 2018. 5G network currently in 19 cities
                    •   Users needed AT&T’s Netgear Nighthawk 5G “puck” (mifi hotspot) at launch
28GHz spectrum      •   Samsung Galaxy S10 5G planned, followed by at least 2 more phones in 2019
                        operating in 28 GHz and sub-6 GHz bands
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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
5G service launches
Some examples (3)                                                                        © Hadden Telecoms Limited

                    •   EE to launch 5G on May 30 in the UK’s four capital cities – London,
                        Edinburgh, Cardiff and Belfast – as well as Birmingham and Manchester. Ten
                        more cities will also get 5G later this year
                    •   First smartphones are OnePlus 7 Pro 5G and LG V50 ThinQ 5G
3.5GHz spectrum     •   Other devices coming include Samsung Galaxy S10 5G, Oppo Reno, hotspots
                        from LG and HTC
                    •   No extra charge for 5G
                    •   From August, EE will launch a new Gamer’s Data Pass

                    •   Vodafone to launch 5G in 7 cities on July 3 , with 12 more cities by end 2019
                    •   Xiaomi Mi MIX 3 5G smartphone on sale from May 23, Samsung S10 5G can
                        be pre-ordered, 5G Gigacube (Huawei) planned for launch in the summer
                    •   In a worldwide first, Vodafone will also offer 5G roaming in the UK,
3.5GHz spectrum         Germany, Italy and Spain over the summer
                    •   5G data is priced the same as 4G for both consumers & business customers
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5G Market Reality - Market status update worldwide - Alan Hadden - Hadden Telecoms
5G Market Share
                                © Hadden Telecoms Limited

                  Ericsson Mobility Report
                        January 2019

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5G activity in Russia
                                                                                     © Hadden Telecoms Limited

                     Several operators are understood to be engaged in various 5G-related
                     network deployments, declared build commitments, undertaking or
                     planning trials, investing in test labs, various studies, etc.

                     Rostelecom (Bashinformsvyaz) and MegaFon have established a joint
MTS                  venture company to develop 5G network infrastructure

MegaFon              Several trials are underway in sub-6 GHz and mmWave spectrum bands

MOTIV                3.4 – 3.8 GHz will be a critical band for 5G development in Russia (as in
                     Europe)
Rostelecom (Tele2)
                     Ericsson opened an Innovation Hub in Moscow in May 2019 to test
                     innovations on live 5G and IoT networks
Vimpelcom
                     Nokia, Huawei also highly engaged with 5G support efforts including pilot
                     trials etc. in the country

                     Intensive policy and regulatory discussions are continuing

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5G Use Cases Across Industries
                                 © Hadden Telecoms Limited

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5G for Industry
Example – Ports                                                                © Hadden Telecoms Limited

Network Slicing Trial at Hamburg Seaport, Germany
5G Network Slicing – as an enabler for B2B applications (T Mobile + Nokia testbed)
Use cases:
• Traffic light control for better traffic flow
• Mobile sensors on barges for emissions measurement
• Mobile broadband for AR and VR headsets

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5G for Automotive
Example – Connected Car and Automated Driving                                   © Hadden Telecoms Limited

       • Autonomous cars are a question of “when”, not “if”
       • Over 100 billion USD has been invested into development of autonomous cars
       • Statistica forecasts by 2025 all new cars sold will be connected to the Internet
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5G operators leveraging 4G/LTE investments
4G has moved firmly into the Gigabit-LTE era and is key for 5G                                © Hadden Telecoms Limited

“Operators are continuing to invest in gigabit-class LTE while deploying early non-standalone 5G networks
leveraging those 4G investments and paving the way for more advanced 5G services as standards progress
and networks become more ubiquitous” Mohamad Madkour, Huawei Technologies

4G to remain important for long time still
“DNA will continue to improve and expand its 4G network parallel to its investments in 5G. In DNA’s view,
regardless of the introduction of 5G, 4G will remain the primary mobile communication network technology
as well as the network most used by customers and terminal devices.” DNA Press Release, December 2018

“Deutsche Telekom will raise the number of mobile base stations in Germany from 27,000 in 2017 to 36,000
in 2021. The LTE expansion will help Deutsche Telekom fill coverage gaps in mobile communications and
increase bandwidths. Population coverage is set to increase to 98 percent by 2019. This expansion is an
important component for the future 5G network.” DT Press Release – October 2018

729 commercially launched LTE and LTE-A
        networks worldwide
                  January 2019
             Source: Hadden Telecoms

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                                                                       © Hadden Telecoms Limited

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