FRANCE FOOD RETAIL COUNTRY REPORT - Kantar Retail IQ

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FRANCE FOOD RETAIL COUNTRY REPORT - Kantar Retail IQ
FRANCE
FOOD RETAIL COUNTRY REPORT
FRANCE FOOD RETAIL COUNTRY REPORT - Kantar Retail IQ
KantarRetail.com
                                                                                                                                                                KantarRetailIQ.eu

Table of Contents
FRANCE’S FOOD RETAIL LANDSCAPE: 2014–2018 OUTLOOK ................................................................2
KEY THEMES ......................................................................................................................................2
  CONSOLIDATION............................................................................................................................................ 2
  PRICE COMPETITIVENESS ................................................................................................................................ 2
  MULTI-CHANNEL DEVELOPMENT...................................................................................................................... 3
  CHANNEL BLURRING ...................................................................................................................................... 3
THE ECONOMY & ITS IMPACT ON SHOPPERS ......................................................................................4
  THE ECONOMY.............................................................................................................................................. 4
  HAVES & HAVE NOTS..................................................................................................................................... 4
    Implications for Retailers in a Have & Have-Not Society ...................................................................... 5
CHANNEL TRENDS ..............................................................................................................................6
  HYPERMARKETS ............................................................................................................................................ 6
  SUPERMARKETS............................................................................................................................................. 7
  CONVENIENCE & FOOD PROXIMITY .................................................................................................................. 8
  DISCOUNTERS ............................................................................................................................................... 9
    Discounter Reinvention in France........................................................................................................ 10
           Lidl .................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
           Aldi Nord .......................................................................................................................................................................... 11
           Dia/ED .............................................................................................................................................................................. 11
     The Future of French Discounters ....................................................................................................... 11
   CASH & CARRY............................................................................................................................................ 11
   ONLINE GROCERY (INCL. DRIVE)..................................................................................................................... 12
KEY RETAILERS ................................................................................................................................. 13
  CARREFOUR ................................................................................................................................................ 13
  LECLERC ..................................................................................................................................................... 15
  INTERMARCHÉ............................................................................................................................................. 16
  AUCHAN .................................................................................................................................................... 16
  SYSTÈME U................................................................................................................................................. 17
  CASINO ...................................................................................................................................................... 18
OUTLOOK/CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................................................. 19

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France’s Food Retail Landscape: 2014–2018 Outlook
France’s food retail market is one of the strongest in the world—supporting best practice development
among a wide range of retailers and allowing for the most successful retailers to expand and lead retail
in other markets around the globe.

France’s leading retailers are influenced by domestic consumers but often times inspired by global
shopping trends making food retail in France an interesting mélange of global and local.

Key Themes
Consolidation
France’s retail landscape is characterized by high concentration in all channels. The channels
spearheading additional market concentration are convenience and drives, while hypermarkets,
supermarkets, and discounters are going through an ongoing reinvention phase in their attempts to
regain relevancy in front of a more convenient French shopper.

The top 5 grocery retailers account for approximately 70% of the market* and are gradually expected to
grow to up to 75% by 2018 (Figure 1). The key levers employed for this feat consist of gradually taking
over smaller retailers (usually cooperatives) and attracting more of the already small traditional retail
base.

Figure 1. Top 10 Grocery Retailers in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                  Sales (EUR million)*                    Grocery Market Share**                  CAGR
      Retailer              2008          2013          2018             2008       2013      2018           08-13    13-18
1     Carrefour***           37,882         34,879        37,676        22.8%       19.7%     18.5%          -1.6%    1.6%
2     Leclerc                23,499         30,975        38,474        14.1%       17.5%     18.9%          5.7%     4.4%
3     Intermarché            25,180         23,898        29,892        15.2%       13.5%     14.7%          -1.0%    4.6%
4     Auchan                 21,012         22,168        24,954        12.6%       12.5%     12.2%          1.1%     2.4%
5     Système U              13,224         18,223        22,684         8.0%       10.3%     11.1%          6.6%     4.5%
6     Casino                 19,169         17,914        19,641        11.5%       10.1%     9.6%           -1.3%    1.9%
7     Schwarz G.              6,323          7,534         8,384         3.8%       4.3%      4.1%           3.6%     2.2%
8     Louis Delhaize          7,103          6,706         7,164         4.3%       3.8%      3.5%           -1.1%    1.3%
9     Metro Group             3,947          4,112         4,842         2.4%       2.3%      2.4%           0.8%     3.3%
10 Aldi Nord                  2,861          3,240         3,598         1.7%       1.8%      1.8%           2.5%     2.1%
      Other                   5,921          7,080         6,465         3.6%       4.0%      3.2%           3.6%     -1.8%
      TOTAL                 166,121       176,730        203,773       100.0% 100.0% 100.0%                  1.2%     2.9%
* Sales exclude sales generated by Retailers through non-food formats (home, consumer electronics, etc.).
** Grocery Market Share = Share of Kantar Retail Formal Grocery Retail Sales.
*** Carrefour Sales and Market Share do not reflect the recent Dia acquisition as the network’s channel outlook under
Carrefour is not yet confirmed.

Price Competitiveness
During 2013, price ranking experienced significant changes in all channels. The hypermarket price
leader, Leclerc, continued to be referenced and challenged by its main competitors (Casino, Carrefour)

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through price comparison campaigns aimed at undermining its position. Casino even managed to catch
up on Leclerc in early 2014, but at the cost of overall sales falling. In early 2014, Auchan renewed its
commitment to improve its hypermarket price perception after incurring disappointing results in 2013.
In the discount channel, the leading retailers have both improved the quality and price of their ranges
(Lidl) contributing to the phenomenon of channel blurring, as well as further decreasing their prices
while adjusting their product mix in an attempt to regain fleeing shoppers.

Multi-channel Development
What started as a race for space in both physical stores as well as online has increasingly turned into a
key and complex strategic direction for most of the grocery retailers in France (Figure 2). The market is
the global leader in developing the drive format, which was perfected during 2013 as retailers further
adjusted their assortment, decreased order fulfillment times, and further diversified the model by
introducing it to smaller formats.

Multi-channel strategies are accompanied by the subsequent reshaping of organizational structures,
which become increasingly flatter and place more emphasis on adding new staff (Intermarché,
Carrefour, Auchan).

Figure 2. Grocery Channel Trends in France
Source: KRiQ.eu
                                 Sales (EUR million)                    Grocery Market Share                      CAGR
      Channel                2008        2013       2018              2008       2013       2018            08-13         13-18
1      Hypermarket          82,323      78,860       87,505           49.6%      44.6%      42.9%            -0.9%      2.1%
2      Supermarket          54,332      61,203       68,263           32.7%      34.6%      33.5%             2.4%      2.2%
3      Discounter           16,324      17,156       17,501           9.8%        9.7%       8.6%             1.0%      0.4%
4      Convenience           7,659       9,408       12,143           4.6%        5.3%       6.0%             4.2%      5.2%
5      Non Store Retail        445       5,247       13,199           0.3%        3.0%       6.5%            63.8%     20.3%
6      Cash and Carry        5,037       4,857        5,162           3.0%        2.7%       2.5%            -0.7%      1.2%
       Grand Total*        166,121    176,730 203,773                100.0%      100.0% 100.0%               1.2%       2.9%
* Channel Sales and Market Share do not reflect the recent Dia acquisition as the network’s channel outlook under Carrefour is
not yet confirmed.

Channel Blurring
As a result of increased competition, we are witnessing increased channel blurring in France, as retailers
mix strategies across channels: discounters increase the share of their high-quality private label ranges
(Lidl – Deluxe), hypermarkets realign their low price private label propositions (Carrefour – Petit Prix),
while all channels increase their focus on fresh and ready-to-eat ranges. The assortment adjustments
also include an increased share of regionally sourced products and brands aimed at catering to the
shopper’s increased demand for local taste and sustainable sourcing (Carrefour – Quality and Origin;
Casino – The best of here).

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The Economy & Its Impact on Shoppers
The Economy
France’s economic woes have made life difficult for its biggest retailers. The three economic drivers of
consumer growth—job growth, labor productivity, and competitive advantage (measured in export
demand)—have all underperformed when compared to both the European and global averages over the
past 15 years.

France’s policymakers all see this and understand it; yet, political deadlock within France and the EU
threatens more stagnation and potentially a return to recession. Keep in mind that France has a 57%
public spending to GDP ratio—the highest in the EU—and that its labor policy is one of the most
complicated in the EU.

Despite this, the country is growing and its consumers are growing more diverse. Kantar Retail’s outlook
for retail in France is for moderate growth with an acceleration of positive conditions after 2016 (Figure
3). France is a very large, multi-cultural, multi-industry country that can and should see economic
improvement in the near future.

Figure 3. France's Private Consumption Growth Has Stagnated 2010–2015
Source: OECD, INSEE

Haves & Have Nots
Economic stagnation and higher joblessness have created a wider divide between Haves and Have Nots,
not unlike other developed economies around the world (Figure 4). The key difference in France is the
level of geographic concentration as compared to other economies. In France, the Have Nots are
generally concentrated in very large public housing conglomerations in the suburbs of major cities.

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Increasingly, the aging population in France’s rural areas could also be classified as shopping with a
“Have-Not” attitude, as they rely largely on public pension payments that are fixed and limited, creating
a “watch my total food budget” shopping mentality.

Figure 4. France's Growing Divide Between Haves and Have Nots
Source: OECD

Implications for Retailers in a Have & Have-Not Society
Stagnating economic growth produces well-documented behavior among consumers best described as
“save now, spend later.” Purchase patterns become more frequent but on very small, essential
baskets—often times on highly discounted items. Likewise, big celebration periods such as religious
feasts/festivals, birthdays, and other lifetime events become “big spending occasions.” In short, retail
becomes more seasonal in nature, consumers move from one purchasing extreme to another, and
retailers must develop fewer mainstream positions and more focused/differentiated solutions. Retail
formats move to extremes—deep discount on one side and high premium on another.

In summary, five main trends emerge:

        Price Messaging. Retailers become very good at price messaging both in marketing and in-store
         (Figure 5). Retailers that promote an unclear price/value message generally suffer.
        Format Differentiation. Retailers must localize stores. Decentralization of decision making is
         essential, and store managers must play a stronger role in listing items and finding the right
         prices for products.

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        Focus on Efficiency. Retailers must become lean in their operations—reducing inventory levels,
         rationalizing categories, and keeping staff levels at lower levels than normal.
        Promotional Excellence. Retailers, especially those that depend on Have Nots, must develop
         strong communication platforms.
        Private Label Sophistication. Retailers will develop a new generation of private label focused on
         higher quality and differentiated product as compared to their closest competitors. It is notable
         in France that brands have responded positively and now have clawed back share from retailer
         brands, yet investment in stronger private brand lines continue. (Note: According to Kantar
         Worldpanel (KWP), private label share in France was approximately 38% in 2013, down from
         39% in 2012—still among the highest in the world and growing sharply over the 10-year period.)

Figure 5. Typical In-Store Communication on "Lowest Prices"
Source: Kantar Retail store visit, April 2014

Channel Trends
Hypermarkets
Although hypermarkets are by far and away the largest grocery channel in France, they have been under
structural and economic pressure over the last five years. Issues facing the channel have included:

        Weak demand for non-food items due to weak consumer sentiment;
        Competition in non-food categories from online retailers and non-food specialist chains;
        Competition and cannibalisation arising from the rapid growth of online and drive grocery
         services;

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        The expansion of, and shopper enthusiasm for, proximity retailing; and
        Socioeconomic trends, such as growth in the number of smaller households, which have
         impacted the number of hypermarket trips.

Carrefour used to be the clear leader in the hypermarket channel, although limited physical expansion
from Carrefour and new space and market share growth from Leclerc have seen the two retailers
converge, and the race for channel leadership is now extremely close (Figure 6). Auchan has grown
consistently over the last few years and is now a strong number three in the hypermarket channel.

Smaller players such as Intermarché, Casino, Louis Delhaize, and Système U also have a credible
presence in the hypermarket channel, although hypermarket expansion has not been a huge priority for
some of these operators. Système U is a slight exception, as the retailer is looking to acquire more
partners and expand its hypermarket network.

Figure 6. Top 10 Hypermarket Operators in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                    Sales (EUR million)                      ChannelShare*                   CAGR
     Retailer           2008          2013          2018              2008       2013      2018          08-13   13-18
1   Leclerc               20,640        25,580       30,962           25.1%     32.4%    35.4%            4.4%        3.9%
2   Carrefour             22,277        18,820       18,782           27.1%     23.9%    21.5%           -3.3%        0.0%
3   Auchan                16,193        16,887       18,166           19.7%     21.4%    20.8%            0.8%        1.5%
4   L. Delhaize            5,649         4,899         4,501           6.9%      6.2%     5.1%           -2.8%        -1.7%
5   Casino                 6,185         4,843         4,724           7.5%      6.1%     5.4%           -4.8%        -0.5%
6   Intermarché            8,216         4,223         6,254          10.0%      5.4%     7.1%          -12.5%        8.2%
7   Système U              2,256         3,419         4,085           2.7%      4.3%     4.7%            8.7%        3.6%
8   C. Normandie             145           153             -           0.2%      0.2%     0.0%            1.1%           -
9   Migros                    80            36            32           0.1%      0.0%     0.0%          -14.9%        -2.0%
10  Coop Alsace              458             -             -           0.6%      0.0%     0.0%              -            -
    Other                    223             -             -           0.3%      0.0%     0.0%              -
    TOTAL                 82,323        78,860       87,505           100.0%    100.0%   100.0%          -0.9%        2.1%
*Channel Share = Share of Kantar Retail Formal Channel Grocery Retail Sales

Faced with the previously mentioned challenges, many retailers are seeking to enhance their
hypermarket networks through improving ranges and merchandising in categories such as fresh, health
& beauty, baby, books & music, and consumer electronics. With the long-term structural shifts
underway in non-food categories, players in the channel are unlikely to open more of the giant stores of
yesteryear; instead, the focus will shift toward compact hypermarkets, expansion in convenience, and
ongoing growth of multi-channel retailing.

Supermarkets
Despite losing market share in recent years, supermarkets remain the second-largest channel in the
French grocery market. Factors that have impacted the channel include:

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         The success of retailers like Intermarché and Système U in recruiting and retaining independent
          retailers within their supermarket networks;
         The growing importance of supermarkets within the drive networks being developed by major
          players in the sector; and
         An increasing emphasis on fresh, food-to-go, and foodservice as supermarkets—particularly in
          urban areas—seeking to tap into evolving shopper missions.

The major player in the channel is Intermarché, which has long dominated the supermarket scene
through its network of independent members (Figure 7). Carrefour has seen its performance in the
channel slightly held back through a protracted period of integration and store conversions (following
the acquisition of the Champion network) although progress is set to be stronger as the Carrefour
Market and C Market concepts gather pace. Système U is set to continue its credible track record in the
supermarket space—it has successfully expanded store numbers and has unveiled some interesting new
concepts in urban store formats recently.

Figure 7. Top 10 Supermarket Operators in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                        Sales (EUR million)                        Channel Share                         CAGR
     Retailer             2008           2013           2018                2008       2013        2018            08-13        13-18
1     Intermarché             14,284        16,177          18,016           26.3%    26.4%      26.4%                2.5%      2.2%
2     Système U               10,351        12,658          14,470           19.1%    20.7%      21.2%                4.1%      2.7%
3     Carrefour*               9,432        11,669          12,617           17.4%    19.1%      18.5%                4.3%      1.6%
4     Casino                   8,756         8,457           8,789           16.1%    13.8%      12.9%               -0.7%      0.8%
5     Auchan                   4,652         4,304           4,830           8.6%     7.0%        7.1%               -1.5%      2.3%
6     Leclerc                  2,855         3,925           5,041           5.3%     6.4%        7.4%                6.6%      5.1%
7     L. Delhaize              1,375         1,337           1,402           2.5%     2.2%        2.1%               -0.6%      1.0%
8     Picard                   1,040         1,325           1,646           1.9%     2.2%        2.4%                5.0%      4.4%
9     Biocoop                    391           573             772           0.7%     0.9%        1.1%                8.0%      6.2%
10    Colruyt                    199           266             298           0.4%     0.4%        0.4%                6.0%      2.2%
      Other                      998           510             382           1.8%     0.8%        0.6%              -12.6%      -5.6%
      TOTAL*                  54,332        61,203          68,263          100.0% 100.0% 100.0%                     2.4%       2.2%
* Although it is likely that Carrefour’s acquisition of Dia will impact the supermarket channel, it is not yet reflected in our data
as the network’s outlook is not yet confirmed.

Convenience & Food Proximity
Convenience retailing in France is gaining momentum, and there is an increased focus from all retailers
to develop the format in high-density urban areas (Figure 8). The convenience channel’s evolution has
materialized as a result of several key enablers:

         Growing through Franchises. In a race for space, the market witnessed additional concentration
          with small chains and traditional trade being absorbed in various franchise schemes (Carrefour
          integrated Coop Alsace, Casino integrated Le Mutant). All major retailers made franchising a key
          strategic initiative in France. Similarly, retailers that have yet to develop a convenience
          proposition have rolled out new franchise concepts (Auchan – A 2 Pas).

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        Increasing Assortment Relevancy. While the format’s original expansion was fueled by a race
         for space, the recent rise of convenience has been a result of changing shopper habits. During
         this period, convenience stores have become increasingly focused on addressing the needs of
         the local time-constrained shopper. French retailers have made continuous efforts to improve
         their fresh and food-to-go assortments in an attempt to cater to more shopper missions.
        Redefining the Urban Supply Chain. As the format continues to penetrate high-density urban
         areas, challenges have arisen in the supply chain system. The limited in-store storage space and
         high-frequency shopping times (lunch) mean retailers have to optimize their operations. This
         includes creating dedicated fresh warehouses and intensifying their logistics partnerships to
         help speed up deliveries.

Figure 8. Top 10 Convenience Operators in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                   Sales (EUR million)            Channel Share                      CAGR
     Retailer           2008         2013          2018       2008     2013     2018           08-13        13-18
1    Carrefour            2,830        3,333         4,555   36.9%    35.4%    37.5%           3.3%         6.4%
2    Système U              602        1,722         2,030    7.9%    18.3%    16.7%           23.4%        3.3%
3    Casino               1,671        1,704         1,943   21.8%    18.1%    16.0%           0.4%         2.7%
4    Intermarché          1,538        1,614         2,445   20.1%    17.2%    20.1%           1.0%         8.7%
5    TotalFina Elf          509          476           522    6.6%     5.1%     4.3%           -1.3%        1.9%
6    Schiever               316          322           339    4.1%     3.4%     2.8%           0.4%         1.0%
7    Colruyt                 48           98           148    0.6%     1.0%     1.2%           15.4%        8.6%
8    C. Normandie            75           60            55    1.0%     0.6%     0.5%           -4.3%        -1.8%
9    ExxonMobil              70           44            37    0.9%     0.5%     0.3%           -8.8%        -3.3%
10   Auchan                   -           30            61    0.0%     0.3%     0.5%              -         15.2%
     Other                    -            5             8    0.0%     0.1%     0.1%              -         9.4%
     TOTAL                7,659        9,408        12,143   100.0%   100.0%   100.0%          4.2%         5.2%

Discounters
While discounters continue to build on their momentum with strong sales growth across Europe,
discounters have struggled in France (Figure 9). According to KWP, the market share of discounters has
steadily declined to 12.6% over the past year. This decline is a result of its two competitive advantages
being relentlessly attacked—price and convenience.

        Lowest Item Price Message. Discounters leverage price as their key competitor advantage
         through extensive private label and an OPP positioning (Opening Price Point merchandising).
         This proposition has continuously been attacked by out-of-channel competition in most
         European markets. However, discounters are now facing unprecedented price competition from
         hypermarkets and supermarkets in France. Auchan, alone, plans to invest EUR200 million in
         pricing by 2016. This is contributing to an already intense price war in France, with discounters
         reacting by lowering prices. Intermarché-operated Netto has responded most strongly, with a
         new pricing strategy, reducing prices on more than 1,000 SKUs. This has been accompanied by
         increased promotional activity declaring, “Over 1,000 products at the lowest price in the hard

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         discount.” Lastly, the discounter will also refund the difference if a product is cheaper in another
         discounter store within five kilometers.
        Opening Price Point Convenience. Convenience is inherent in the overall discounter channel
         concept. Discounters are often conveniently located, but more importantly, they are convenient
         to shop, with a limited/edited assortment being the overriding factor in creating an easy,
         convenient trip for the shopper. This convenience has been attacked by the soaring popularity
         of the drive format, with shoppers and retailers alike embracing the format. The drive
         proposition primarily focuses on a quick and convenient shopping trip. As big-box retailers
         continue to develop the popular drive format as well as invest heavily in price, discounters are
         being forced to reinvent themselves.

Figure 9. Top 5 Discount Operators in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                      Sales (EUR million)                      Channel Share                        CAGR
     Retailer             2008         2013          2018               2008       2013        2018           08-13        13-18
1    Schwarz Group           6,323           7,534         8,384         38.7%       43.9%      47.9%            3.6%     2.2%
2    Aldi Nord               2,861           3,240         3,598         17.5%       18.9%      20.5%            2.5%     2.1%
3    Casino                  2,556           2,613         2,981         15.6%       15.2%      17.0%               -     2.7%
4    Dia*                          -         2,177         1,262           0.0%      12.7%       7.2%               -    -10.3%
5    Intermarché             1,142           1,162         1,143           7.0%      6.8%        6.5%            0.4%     -0.3%
     Other                   3,455             444           143         21.1%       2.6%        0.8%           -33.7%   -20.3%
     TOTAL                  16,337         17,171         17,511         100.0%     100.0%      100.0%           1.0%     0.4%
* Carrefour’s acquisition of Dia is not reflected as the network’s channel outlook under Carrefour is not yet confirmed.

Discounter Reinvention in France
While discounter market share has declined on the whole, German discounters Lidl and Aldi Nord have
managed to maintain their own share. This has been a result of investment in adapting their
proposition.

Lidl
Lidl has considerably softened its hard discounter image in France and is looking to position itself as a
middle-market proximity retailer, with Managing Director Friedrich Fuchs declaring, “Our concept is to
leave hard discount without becoming a traditional supermarket.” This transition involves three main
shifts:

        Brands. Not only is Lidl adding more national brands to the assortment, it is actively marketing
         them in-store with new and bolder POS messaging. The number of products on offer as a whole
         will also be extended, including both private labels and brands.
        Store layout. Lidl continues to redesign store layouts and experiment with the new arrangement
         of categories, such as breakfast items instead of beverages located at the store entrance.
        Fresh. Lidl will continue to put a renewed focus on its fresh offer, adding new categories such as
         fresh fish, improving its fruit & vegetable offer, and rolling out in-store bakeries.

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Aldi Nord
The most noticeable shift for Aldi Nord is advertising listed brands in its promotional leaflets and online.
In recent leaflets, the discounter features logos of “preferred brands.” This is a significant move away
from its strict private label proposition and helps grow shopper acceptance, especially among the
younger generations.

Store modernization has also helped Aldi Nord reinforce a convenient weekly shopping trip. It has
pressed ahead with the modernisation of all its stores in France. The retailer’s focus is on rearranging its
product categories, improving lighting, and enhancing the overall shopper experience. While these
refurbishments have seen double-digit growth in many stores in its home market of Germany, stores in
France are only reporting slight increases.

Dia/ED
While Lidl and Aldi Nord have had a certain degree of success sustaining market share, Dia has
continued to lose share, culminating in reports of the discounter divesting its operations in France.

While Dia has the best price image in four of its markets (Spain, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil), it has
struggled in France primarily due to the ongoing price war. However, unlike Lidl and Aldi Nord, which
have added more brands and grown assortments to include fresh, Dia has failed to adapt.

Dia’s recent trial of the popular click & collect service in Paris is not and cannot be part of any long-term
recovery strategy for the discounter. Ultimately, Dia’s priorities have shifted to its emerging market
operations and Iberia. Indeed its CAPEX outlay highlights this shift: In 2011, CAPEX in France amounted
to EUR139 million. In 2014, that number will be as low as EUR20 million. A turnaround in French
fortunes is unlikely with little investment and with high returns coming from the business in Argentina
and Brazil; the divestment of its 865 stores in France is a real possibility.

The Future of French Discounters
The future of discounters in France is dependent on how well they adapt. Lidl will continue to
experiment with its overall proposition and has the financial backing and acumen to adapt in the
market. Aldi Nord’s heavy investment in refurbishing its stores, highlight its commitment to battling
stagnating sales. Netto’s investment in price may only be a short-term solution and investment in top
management and its overall proposition to drive and grow the sales and profitability of the business will
be just as important. Without any significant investment, Dia cannot succeed in the market.

Cash & Carry
The French cash & carry (C&C) market continues to be dominated by Metro Group with nearly 70%
market share through its Metro C&C banner (Figure 10). Carrefour and its Promocash banner have 20%
of the French C&C market and have aligned themselves to Metro’s strategy. The only key difference
between the two is that Promocash is a franchised operation and is no longer directly owned by
Carrefour.

The French retail market has seen the C&C market also embrace the drive phenomenon. Customers of
both Metro and Promocash have adopted similar shopping habits, and over 10% of Metro sales are

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made through drive-only stores. Online orders and delivery have also become prevalent across nearly all
of Metro’s and Promocash’s stores, which is not the case in practically any European C&C market.

Metro’s large non-business customer base has also adopted its online approach, which is the most
advanced in its online portfolio. Flash sales, where electronic goods like TVs are offered at a large
discount for a limited period and with limited stock, have also become prevalent across Metro France.

Figure 10. Top Cash and Carry Operators in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                 Sales (EUR million)                       Channel Share                         CAGR
     Retailer            2008           2013           2018        2008        2013        2018           08-13        13-18
1    Metro Group            3,947          3,708         3,814     78.4%      76.3%        73.9%          -1.2%         0.6%
2    Carrefour                520           556           533      10.3%      11.4%        10.3%          1.3%         -0.8%
3    Rewe Group               509           535           562      10.1%      11.0%        10.9%          1.0%          1.0%
4    Colruyt                    61             58             69    1.2%       1.2%        1.3%           -0.9%         3.4%
5    Costco                     -              -           183      0.0%       0.0%     3.6%                 -            -
     TOTAL                  5,037          4,857         5,162     100.0%     100.0%   100.0%             -0.7%         1.2%

Ultimately, Metro and Promocash have built on their excellent infrastructure by offering a more
personalised shopping experience to their customers through providing them the opportunity to speak
directly to depot managers to align their ranges to meet their requirements. Additional services like
printing bespoke takeaway packaging and menus are also becoming popular. The C&C market in France
is the most advanced in Europe, if not the world.

It will continue to become one to watch as the world of C&Cs evolve, and it has the potential to grow if
the successful hybrid C&C model like Supeco and its peers in Brazil, Spain, and Morocco help to take up
some of the excess space in France’s hypermarket portfolio.

Online Grocery (incl. Drive)
Even though Auchan launched the Auchan Drive format in 2000, more than 2,500 drive locations (a total
of 2,900 locations to date) have been built in France during the last three to four years. In 2013, the
format recorded sales of EUR4.28 billion and is forecast to continue to grow by an CAGR of20% until
2018. According to KWP, 92% of online grocery sales in France are made through drives, and the
concept reaches 25% of French households (approximately 3 million consumers).

By 2015, KWP expects 6-8% of France’s total grocery market sales to be made through the drive format.
Auchan started with its Chronodrive stand-alone drive format, which like all standalones, have a more
limited range of 10,000 SKUs in order to gain sales from competitors’ large format hypermarkets
without the land and investment required. The economics of the situation have, however, changed in
recent years, with same store sales of a hypermarket and a drive increasing by 1.3%, versus -1.7%
without a drive bringing in extra footfall.

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Leclerc has stamped its authority on the format with the highest average sales per store, and we
anticipate it will continue to be ahead of the rest of the French online grocery market for the next few
years due to its ability to utilize new ideas like bespoke drive-only packaging (Figure 11). Drives are
thoroughly embedded within the loyalty card landscape, as shoppers continue to shop stores and drives
depending on their needs, thus making their proposition acceptable to the public.

Ultimately, cost has been at the forefront of the drive phenomenon, which has become the largest in
Europe. Consumers have been educated by retailers to collect their own shopping for a nominal fee of
EUR3 rather than paying nearly double for a home delivery proposition. However, the race to build the
most drives has been a way for grocery retailers to gain the most market share with minimal
investment.

Figure 11. Top Online Grocery Operators in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                 Sales (EUR million)*                         Channel Share                       CAGR
     Retailer             2008          2013            2018         2008        2013         2018          08-13        13-18
 1    Leclerc                    4        1,470         2,471         1.0%      28.0%     18.7%            221.7%        10.9%
 2    Auchan                   163          939         1,889        36.6%      17.9%     14.3%             42.0%        15.0%
 3    Intermarché                 -         721         2,033         0.0%      13.8%     15.4%               -          23.0%
 4    Carrefour                108          500         1,188        24.4%       9.5%      9.0%             35.7%        18.9%
 5    Louis Delhaize            80          466         1,254        18.0%       8.9%      9.5%             42.2%        21.9%
 6    Système U                 15          425         2,099         3.3%       8.1%     15.9%             95.8%        37.7%
 7    Metro Group                 -         404         1,028         0.0%       7.7%      7.8%               -          20.5%
 8    Casino                      -         297         1,204         0.0%       5.7%      9.1%               -          32.4%
      Other                     75            26           33        16.8%       0.5%      0.3%            -19.4%         5.4%
      TOTAL                    445        5,247        13,199        100.0%     100.0%    100.0%           63.8%         20.3%
* Sales comprise all online grocery formats: drive, home delivery.

We anticipate that the drive format will continue to be popular with French consumers. Some retailers
like Intermarché that have been unable to join the drive bandwagon have focused on click & collect
instead. Intermarché alone now has over 1,000 click & collect locations, with Auchan opening click &
collect points in Metro stations. As with other markets, home delivery may become more common as
retailers make them more economical as well as offering an even more convenient proposition to
consumers. However, retailers will have to redesign their websites and phone applications to be more
customer friendly and more suited to helping brands build more complex promotional and education
activities to stay ahead.

Key Retailers
Carrefour
Carrefour is the largest grocery retailer in France with sales of EUR35 billion from over 4,500 locations.
Its main format remains hypermarkets, which account for 54.0% of sales (Figure 12). However, as

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hypermarket sales decline, Carrefour is putting further emphasis on its two growth drivers: convenience
(9.6% of total sales) and online (1.4% of total sales).

Under the guidance of CEO George Plassat, the retailer has refocused its efforts on reviving sales in its
home market as its market share continues to be attacked by Leclerc. To do this, Carrefour has
identified four key initiatives:

        Implementing successful aspects of it’s up-market banner, Carrefour Planet, into its standard
         hypermarkets;
        Focusing on building an extensive store network of “attached” drive locations;
        Enhancing its price perception by improving clarity, consistency, and trust among shoppers; and
        Developing its franchise network.

After developing an unsuccessful up-market banner called Carrefour Planet in 2010, Carrefour has
begun implementing successful aspects of the format into its standard hypermarkets, namely a new
layout to improve navigation and high-quality fixtures and fittings to drive shopper engagement.

Carrefour has invested in an extensive store network of the popular drive format, focusing on an
“attached” drive model. Recently, the retailer has shifted its drive strategy toward the more profitable,
but more expensive, stand-alone drive model. As shoppers continue to embrace the format in France,
Carrefour’s drive format will continue to be the key growth driver of sales.

Figure 12. Carrefour’s Channel Trends in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                    Sales (EUR million)                          Share*                           CAGR
     Channel                    2008       2013       2018             2008       2013      2018            08-13        13-18
1     Hypermarket                 22,277     18,820     18,782         58.8%     54.0%        49.9%          -3.3%       0.0%
2     Supermarket                  9,432     11,669     12,617         24.9%     33.5%        33.5%           4.3%       1.6%
3     Convenience                  2,830      3,333      4,555          7.5%      9.6%        12.1%           3.3%       6.4%
4     Cash and Carry                 520        556        533          1.4%      1.6%        1.4%            1.3%      -0.8%
5     Online Grocery                 108        500      1,188          0.3%      1.4%        3.2%           35.7%      18.9%
6     Discount                     2,714           -         -          7.2%      0.0%        0.0%
      Grand Total**               37,882     34,879     37,676         100.0% 100.0% 100.0%                  -1.6%      1.6%
* Share = Share of Kantar Retail Retailer Grocery Sales
** Carrefour Sales and Market Share do not include the recently acquired Dia acquisition as the network’s channel outlook
under Carrefour is not yet confirmed.

As price wars grip France, Carrefour is striving to improve its price perception by improving clarity,
consistency, and trust among local shoppers. This is being done through maintaining an everyday low
price (EDLP) proposition, rolling out new initiatives such price guarantees, and offering local
comparative pricing to stores in specific catchment areas.

Finally, Carrefour is also developing its franchise network to attract local shop owners under the
umbrella of its small-format banners—Express, City, Contact, Proxi, 8 a Huit, and Shopi—targeting 300

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new stores annually. The channel’s growth was fueled during 2013 by Carrefour’s takeover of 120 Coop
Alsace stores in Northern France. This emphasis on franchises allows a more hands-on management of
the business and means its store base can better cater to the needs of local shoppers.

Leclerc
Leclerc is the second-largest grocery retailer in France with grocery sales of EUR31 billion in 2013 (Figure
13). In total, it operates approximately 700 affiliated stores, of which 520 are hypermarkets and 175 are
supermarkets. Additionally, the retailer has developed an extensive drive network in recent years,
operating 450 units at the end of 2013, with 100 more to be opened over the next three years.

Figure 13. Leclerc’s Channel Trends in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                 Sales (EUR million)                     Share                          CAGR
                             2008        2013      2018         2008     2013     2018            08-13        13-18
1     Hypermarket            20,640      25,580        30,962   87.8%    82.6%    80.5%           4.4%         3.9%
2     Supermarket             2,855       3,925         5,041   12.1%    12.7%    13.1%           6.6%         5.1%
3     Online Grocery              4       1,470         2,471    0.0%     4.7%     6.4%          221.7%        10.9%
      Grand Total            23,499      30,975        38,474   100.0%   100.0%   100.0%          5.7%         4.4%

Leclerc has been the big winner in France over the last five years. Its success has been a result of its low
price proposition (in-store and online) and a high percentage of quality private label products. By
continuing to be aggressive on price and making significant investments in drive expansion, Leclerc has
gained considerable ground on market leader Carrefour.

Leclerc’s price leadership continues to be attacked and is often a site of comparison for other retailers.
Therefore, the retailer has significantly boosted its marketing on price, putting more pressure on its
already thin operating margins.

Similar to Carrefour, Leclerc has identified the drive format as a key growth driver of the business.
However, Leclerc has looked to grow the more expensive stand-alone drive locations. Among other
drive initiatives, Leclerc is employing what is known as a “star” system, where a hub location delivers
grocery orders to remote locations, thereby extending its reach.

The retailer’s national strategies are implemented at local level by the store owners; this translates into
a highly customized offer catering to the needs of local shoppers, ultimately leading to a high level of
loyalty. Leclerc’s momentum in France will be sustained by steady store refurbishments, the
development of new format launches (urban hypermarkets), and by an increased emphasis on
improving the non-food ranges (books, drug, and opticians) to maximize the appeal of its store
locations.

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Intermarché
Intermarché is the third-largest grocery retailer in France with sales of EUR24 billion in 2013 and 14.2%
market share, an increase of 0.3 % y-o-y (Figure 14). The retailer operates a network of 1,800 stores in
France, which includes hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, drives, and discounters.

The retailer has laid down ambitious expansion plans to grow the business in France. These plans
include growing its convenience format, Intermarché Express, by quadrupling the number of stores by
2018, thereby operating 200 stores in total. The retailer also announced plans to expand its latest
compact hypermarkets concept, Mag3.E, to 200 stores (currently 83). These stores have a smaller selling
area of 3,500 square meters and look to offer a more compelling shopper experience that is closer to
the shopper in terms of location and offer. This format is expected to drive like-for-like sales growth and
increase hypermarket share in total sales.

Figure 14. Intermarché’s Channel Trends in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                      Sales (EUR million)                     Share                           CAGR
     Channel                   2008         2013            2018     2008     2013     2018             08-13       13-18
1     Supermarket              14,284       16,177          18,016   56.7%    67.7%    60.3%            2.5%         2.2%
2     Hypermarket               8,216        4,223           6,254   32.6%    17.7%    20.9%           -12.5%        8.2%
3     Convenience               1,538        1,614           2,445    6.1%     6.8%     8.2%            1.0%         8.7%
4     Discount                  1,142        1,162           1,143    4.5%     4.9%     3.8%            0.4%        -0.3%
5     Online Grocery                -          721           2,033    0.0%     3.0%     6.8%                        23.0%
      Grand Total              25,180       23,898          29,892   100.0%   100.0%   100.0%           -1.0%       4.6%

The retailer is also investing heavily in the refurbishment of its supermarkets, with a focus on rolling out
an extended range of services for customers, including self-scanning, ticket machines, electronic labels,
and attached drives.

Auchan
Auchan achieved sales of EUR22 billion in 2013 and operates 550 stores in total (Figure 15). The
retailer’s multi-channel strategy consists of 140 hypermarkets, with the remainder split between
supermarkets (Simply Market, Atac) and a relatively new convenience format (A 2 Pas, aka, 2 steps
away). Like its competitors, Auchan continues to develop an extensive network of drive locations (200;
Chronodrive – standalone, AuchanDrive – attached), which generated approximately EUR1 billion in net
sales alone during 2013.

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Figure 15. Auchan’s Channel Trends in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                   Sales (EUR million)                 Share                          CAGR
     Channel                   2008       2013       2018     2008     2013     2018            08-13        13-18
1     Hypermarket              16,193     16,887     18,166   77.1%    76.2%    72.8%           0.8%         1.5%
2     Supermarket               4,652      4,304      4,830   22.1%    19.4%    19.4%           -1.5%        2.3%
3     Online Grocery              163        939      1,889    0.8%     4.2%     7.6%           42.0%        15.0%
4     Convenience                   -         30         61    0.0%     0.1%     0.2%                        15.2%
5     Discount                      3          8          8    0.0%     0.0%     0.0%           19.0%        0.9%
      Grand Total              21,012     22,168     24,954   100.0%   100.0%   100.0%          1.1%         2.4%

Coming out of a positive 2012, when sales in France grew 2.2%, and despite the progress of its drives,
Auchan’s 2013 sales dipped 1.1% in 2013, mostly due to the disappointing performance of its
hypermarkets. The results have attracted radical measures at the beginning of 2014, with its top and
middle management structure being reshuffled completely and the retailer engaging in additional price
campaigns on thousands of products to compete with the increased market price pressure. Auchan will
invest EUR200 million in improving price perception between 2014 and 2016.

Auchan’s s strategy has also historically hinged on developing large retail parks outside urban clusters,
where it deploys retail businesses to create and build shopper traffic. The hypermarkets that
accompanied these retail parks have traditionally been large (more than 9,000 square meters of selling
area) and accommodated a wide variety of goods in a low-cost setting.

The retailer has maintained its traditional and relatively unchanged strategy throughout the years but
has also managed to stay at the forefront of retail innovation—one of the most eloquent examples
being the creation of the drive format back in 2000. Only in recent years, along with the gradual decline
of hypermarkets, has Auchan opened up smaller proximity-focused formats, as a means of fueling
growth.

Système U
Système U reported 2013 sales up 3.5% y-o-y to EUR18.2 billion (Figure 16). After breaching the 10%
market share at the end of 2012, it now aims to reach 12% in 2018 by maintaining the steady market
share gain it has displayed since 2003.

While the 2012 sales were boosted by the affiliation of Coop Atlantique, in 2013 Système U continued to
grow its footprint by attracting additional partners and by joining forces with O’marche frais to enter
Paris.

The retailer is focusing on drive development (mainly standalone, linked to a star distribution model)
and expansion of the click & collect service to the entire network.

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Figure 16. Système U’s Channel Trends in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                  Sales (EUR million)                Share                          CAGR
     Channel                  2008       2013      2018      2008     2013     2018           08-13        13-18
1    Supermarket              10,351     12,658    14,470   78.3%    69.5%    63.8%           4.1%         2.7%
2    Hypermarket               2,256      3,419     4,085   17.1%    18.8%    18.0%           8.7%         3.6%
3    Convenience                 602      1,722     2,030    4.6%     9.4%     8.9%           23.4%        3.3%
4    Online Grocery               15        425     2,099    0.1%     2.3%     9.3%           95.8%        37.7%
     Grand Total              13,224     18,223    22,684   100.0%   100.0%   100.0%          6.6%         4.5%

Système U increased its emphasis on sourcing its products from small and medium producers to both
offer smaller prices as well as an assortment with an increased regional characteristic (U De Loire
Atlantique).

Casino
Casino achieved sales of EUR18 billion with a total store network of more than 10,000 stores in 2013
(Figure 17). Casino’s multi-channel strategy aims to cater to all shoppers in France. This consists of
hypermarkets (Geant), supermarkets (Casino, Monoprix), discounters (Leader Price, Franprix),
convenience (Petit Casino, Vival, Monop’), and online grocery (Casinodrive.fr).

Recently, Casino has consolidated its position in France by initiating several major takeovers. Following
the majority stake takeover of Monoprix, it has further developed the network catering to high-density
urban areas. The retailer has also seized the opportunity of boosting its Leader Price discount chain by
taking over competitor chains Norma (South-East France) and Le Mutant (North-West France). Although
Casino operates on multiple fronts, it employs several common strategies throughout its entire store
base.

Casino lowered prices during 2013 in its Geant hypermarkets and managed to achieve leader Leclerc’s
price index in early 2014. The move was accompanied by a low price guarantee on 3,000 products. The
same strategy was deployed in the Leader Price discount chain and was accompanied by an adjustment
of the assortment to counteract a general decrease of the format’s appeal to French consumers. Price
adjustments were complemented by an increased offer of regional products in response to shopper
demand for sustainable sourcing and local taste. Casino’s Monoprix format has undergone a thorough
makeover, focusing on improved store navigation. Similarly, Leader Price’s expansion has gone hand-in-
hand with adjustments to the format’s assortment and layout.

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Figure 17. Casino’s Channel Trends in France
Source: KRiQ.eu

                                   Sales (EUR million)                Share                          CAGR
     Channel                  2008       2013       2018      2008     2013     2018           08-13        13-18
1    Supermarket               8,756      8,457      8,789   45.7%    47.2%    44.7%           -0.7%         0.8%
2    Hypermarket               6,185      4,843      4,724   32.3%    27.0%    24.1%           -4.8%        -0.5%
3    Discount                  2,556      2,613      2,981   13.3%    14.6%    15.2%            0.4%         2.7%
4    Convenience               1,671      1,704      1,943    8.7%     9.5%     9.9%            0.4%         2.7%
5    Online Grocery                -        297      1,204    0.0%     1.7%     6.1%                        32.4%
     Grand Total              19,169     17,914     19,641   100.0%   100.0%   100.0%          -1.3%        1.9%

Casino has increased its emphasis on developing online capabilities to complement its physical stores.
The retailer has further expanded its online proposition for Monoprix while continuing to develop and
improve Geant’s drive offer.

Although Casino’s formats lie across the whole spectrum of prices, the retailer added consistency to its
promotional proposition during 2013 by deploying the same multi-buy campaign across all formats.

Outlook/Conclusions
The French food retail industry is home to some of the world’s best retailers who ply their trade both at
home and abroad. For this reason, the industry is fast changing and quickly adopts best practices.

Kantar Retail sees the French retail market as becoming a best practice environment for several new
trends in retail, including:

        Managing Haves & Have Nots. French retailers, using more sophisticated shopper data and POS
         analysis, will cater their stores to a more differentiated consumer that lives in a digital age.

        Advanced Fulfilment. Drive has become the format of choice for many consumers—helping
         them fulfil their shopping in a speedier manner—yet this space will evolve, and France’s
         retailers will propel innovation in the ways that shoppers are able to receive the goods they
         purchase.

        Advanced Merchandising. French retailers will manage channel blurring by creating better
         point-of-purchase materials—both digital and traditional—and will create better connections
         across the path to purchase, whether it originates online or in-store.

        New Forms of Urban Proximity. French retailers are investing heavily in urban proximity—with
         new stores and more sophisticated pickup points including lockers, depots, and by post. Drones
         may be next. The city of Paris may become a very interesting test arena for the latest and
         greatest in retail fulfilment.

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Despite all these advancements, French retailers will still struggle in an environment where consumers
are feeling defensive and competition among retailers is aggressive. Kantar Retail expects the retailers
that win to have both a “save money” and a “save time” message that they consistently fulfil. Retailers
looking to improve on these two promises will perform strongest. Mergers, acquisitions, and portfolio
expansion will continue among France’s most sophisticated chains.

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ABOUT KANTAR RETAIL
Kantar Retail (www.kantarretail.com) is the world’s leading shopper and retail insights and consulting business and
is part of the Kantar Group of WPP. The company works with leading branded manufacturers and retailers to help
them transform the purchase behavior of consumers, shoppers and retailers through the use of retail insights,
consulting, analytics and organisational development services. Kantar Retail tracks and forecasts over 1000
retailers globally, has purchase data on over 200m shoppers and among its market-leading reports are the annual
PoweRanking survey (USA and China), and Industry Shopper Study Across Retailers. Kantar Retail works with over
400 clients and has 20 offices in 15 markets around the globe.

INFORMATION AND INSIGHTS
Kantar Retail provides robust, data-driven insight that looks across markets, shopper and customer trends,
presenting the most accurate view of the top Global retailers and markets. By transforming this intelligence into
insights, Kantar Retail helps clients to understand the trends of today and prepare for the realities of tomorrow.

Kantar Retail Market Insights studies over 1200 of the world’s leading retailers providing invaluable data and
insights for the industry and for our clients. Clients access Kantar Retail’s Market Insights through its online
platform KRIQ, attending workshops or conferences, through webinars or by having the retail subject matter
experts visit client offices.
KantarRetailIQ.com
KantarRetailIQ.eu
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FOR MORE INFORMATION
Contact           Ray Gaul
                  Vice President - Research
                  +44 (0) 207 450 2609
                  Ray.Gaul@kantarretail.com

                  Tudor Popa
                  Analyst
                  +44 (0) 207 450 2609
                  Tudor.Popa@kantarretail.com

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