OUTLOOK Green Industry 2021

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OUTLOOK Green Industry 2021
2021                                                                                                                  By Kyle Brown

                         Green Industry
                         OUTLOOK
                                                                    Our annual survey tracks a challenging
                                                                           year for industry professionals.

                                                                                                                                                                 ®

Sponsored by

2021 Green Industry Outlook                    sponsored by
Copyright 2021. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be produced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or
mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher.
OUTLOOK Green Industry 2021
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OUTLOOK Green Industry 2021
2021 Green Industry Outlook
                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS
                                             Demographics...................................... 4
                                             Growth................................................... 6
                                             Labor..................................................... 8
                                             Forecast.............................................. 10

            W
                                elcome to Irrigation & Green                  and those varied viewpoints make all the difference
                                Industry’s 2021 Green Industry                in building confidence in these results.
                                Outlook. This year’s survey ex-                   Once again, we had so much information from
                                pands on trends from the last two             this year’s survey that we could not fit it all in the
                                years of our reports on the wider             print edition.
             industry, building a more complete picture of the                    Several parts of our analysis here are expand-
             market and providing insights to benchmark your                  ed online. In the digital edition, the labor section
             business against.                                                includes more information on how much employ-
                 Whether you ended up expanding or struggling,                ees are being paid, how many employees respon-
             2020 supplied plenty of challenges for irrigation and            dents keep on staff, and crew diversity. For the
             landscape professionals. Between COVID-19, labor                 look ahead, it covers which products respondents
             issues and a presidential election, there was enough             are purchasing for customers in the upcoming year
             uncertainty in the past year, even on top of the usual           and which trends they expect to grow the most.
             struggles for green industry businesses.                         We also dig deeper into the impact made to the
                 Our survey tracked how readers made it through               industry by COVID-19, including how it affected
             2020 and uncovered the larger trends shaping the                 overall business growth, how it changed employ-
             industry. It showed how the demographics have                    ee headcounts and how respondents expect it to
             continued to change through the past few years. We               influence the future. Check out the full report on
             added several questions to this year’s survey to gauge           www.igin.com for all of the details and additional
             how contractors dealt with some important issues,                statistics.
             such as the pandemic and diversity, and refined a few                We’d also like to thank our sponsor, Heritage
             of the questions from last year to get the best and              Landscape Supply Group, which assisted by pro-
             most relevant results.                                           viding the two drawing prizes for this year’s survey,
                 This year’s survey brought back an even larg-                a mini quadcopter drone and a $250 gift card to
             er response than last year with a total of 1,063                 Bass Pro Shops/Cabela’s.
             respondents. We’re so grateful for your help in                      If you’re preparing for the new year with an eye
             building an accurate snapshot of the landscape and               toward growth or just finding a way to get back
             irrigation industry, as well as showing how you’re               on your feet after last year, our report is a guide to
             taking on those important day-to-day obstacles.                  how the wider industry is moving forward. Use our
             Our respondents came from across the industry                    data to build a plan to take on whatever 2021 has
             with a wide range of job titles and company sizes,               in store.

2021 Green Industry Outlook   sponsored by                                                                            Irrigation & Green Industry | page 3
OUTLOOK Green Industry 2021
Seeing the BIG PICTURE
T
         his year’s survey respondents had a       received more than 10%, though govern-           our 2019 survey. Younger voices, including
         similar distribution across the U.S. to   ment and municipality personnel come             those between 20 and 39, saw increases
         the last two years, with the majority     close at 8%.                                     as well. Almost a third of all respondents
         (33%) coming from the West. Rep-              The vast majority of respondents are ex-     (27%) continue to land in the 60+ bracket,
resentation shifted slightly in the Upper and      ecutives (53%) and managers (29%), a wider       however.
Lower Midwest from last year’s survey, with        spread than last year’s survey, which had ex-        About half (55%) of these companies
a few more voices in the southern states and       ecutives at 66% and managers at 21%. An          are family-owned, which is trending down
a few less in the north. The response in the       increased number of respondents consider         from last year (57%) and 2019 (63%). Pri-
Southeast has remained almost exactly the          themselves primarily specialists at 7%, up       vately held companies are about the same at
same through all three surveys. With even          from 4% two years ago.                           32%, but government representatives are up
more responses than last year’s record-setting         Survey respondents tend to have plen-        slightly at 11%, from 8% last year.
survey, this year’s demographic breakdown is       ty of experience, with a total of 37% hav-           The total number of companies that have
a reliable representation.                         ing been around the green industry for           been in business for more than 31 years is
    The number of respondents who run              more than 31 years. That’s down from last        exactly the same as last year at 43%. Across
their businesses year-round has held steady        year’s 42% for the same group, and 49% for       the younger spread, companies between 11
across each survey at 83%, compared to sea-        2019’s survey. Newer contractors are gaining     and 20 years gained some ground at 19%
sonal (17%).                                       ground, as those with up to 10 years of expe-    after reducing to last year’s 15%, but that
    Our respondents are primarily contrac-         rience rise to a total of 17% compared to last   segment still has a distance to go before
tors, taking up 66% of the total with the top      year’s 14%. The largest cohort decade is be-     reaching its high of 21% in 2019. The indus-
three spots. Landscape contractors take the        tween 21 and 30 years of experience at 27%.      try continues to tend to be driven by older
lead with almost a third of all respondents            Age range saw a shift from last year’s       experts who have been at the lead of their
(31%), with irrigation (21%) and lawn care         results, with the 40 to 49 range jumping         companies long enough to work past some
(14%) not far behind. No other response            to 24% from 18%. That’s more in line with        obstacles.

                INDUSTRY RESPONDENT REPRESENTATION
                                                                                                                 n   Northeast
                                                                                                                 n   Southeast
                                                                                                                 n   Upper Midwest
                                                                                                                 n   Lower Midwest
                                                                                                                 n   West

                                                                                              18%
                    33%                                                16%                                        Is your business
                                                                                                                  seasonal or
                                                                                                                  year-round?
                                                      15%                                                         17%
                                                                                                                  SEASONAL
                                                                              18%

                                                                                                                  83%
                                                                                                                  YEAR-ROUND

What types of properties do you service?

            85%                              85%                              50%                                                        17%
            Residential                      Commercial                       Municipal/parks/sports field                               Other

2021 Green Industry Outlook        sponsored by                                                                    Irrigation & Green Industry | page 4
OUTLOOK Green Industry 2021
What is your company/organization’s primary business?                                                                             WHICH OF THE
                                                                                                                                  FOLLOWING SERVICES
                        Contractor (landscape)                                                                         31%        DOES YOUR COMPANY
                         Contractor (irrigation)                                               21%                                PROVIDE?
                        Contractor (lawn care)                                    14%
                                                                                                                                  70%
                      Government/municipality                          8%                                                         Irrigation maintenance
 Landscape architect/designer/consultant                       5%
                                    Consultant                 5%                                                                 63%
                                                                                                                                  Irrigation design and
               Golf course/sports turf manager                4%
                                                                                                                                  installation
 In-house lawn and grounds maintenance                        4%
                    Contractor (other services)           2%                                                                      57%
                                                          2%                                                                      Lawn maintenance
                                     University
               Contractor (chemical applicator)           2%
                                                                                                                                  57%
                   Water/energy agency/utility           1%                                                                       Landscape design and
                         Contractor (tree care)          1%                                                                       installation

      How long has your company                                     How many locations does
                                                                                                                                  52%
                                                                                                                                  Drainage
           been in business?                                          your company have?
                                                                                                                                  50%
                             22%

                                                                            2%                             8%
                                   20%

                                                                                                                                  Turf and landscape
                       19%

                                                                                                                                  renovation
                                                                    15%
                                                   14%

                                                                                                                                  47%
                                                                                                                                  Disease, insect and
                                         9%

                                                                                                                                  weed control
                 7%

                                                                                                                 75%
                                                                                                                                  46%
          5%
 4%

                                                                                                                                  Hardscaping

                                                                            n1           n 6-10                                   45%
      n   2 years or less     n 21-30 years                                 n 2-5        n 10 or more                             Chemical application
      n   3-5 years           n 31-40 years
      n
      n
          6-10 years
          11-20 years
                              n 41-50 years
                              n 51 years or more
                                                                                                                                  42%
                                                                                                                                  Tree and ornamental care
                                                                   How long have you
                                                                   been working in the                                            40%
                                                                                                           27%

 Which of the following                                            landscape industry?                                            Landscape lighting
                                                                                                                 22%

 best describes your title?                                        n 5 years or less
                                                                                                     19%

 Executive                                                         n 6-10 years                                                   33%
 Owner, partner, CEO, president,               53%                 n 11-20 years                                                  Snow/ice management
                                                                                                                       13%

 general manager                                                   n 21-30 years
                                                                                               10%
                                                                                          7%

 Manager/supervisor
                                                                   n 31-40 years                                                  29%
                                                                                                                             2%

                                                                   n 41-50 years
 Architect, director, superintendent,                                                                                             Water features
                                               29%                 n 51 years or more
 foreman, landscape grounds
 manager, consultant                                                                                                              27%
 Specialist                                                        How old are you?                                               Environmentally friendly
                                                                                                     28%

                                                                                                                                  services
                                                                                                            27%

 Arborist, agronomist, forester,                                   n   Under 20
                                                   7%
                                                                                               24%

 horticulturist, instructor, water                                 n   20-29
 manager, researcher, engineer                                     n   30-39                                                      21%
                                                                       40-49                                                      Hydroseeding/erosion
                                                                                         16%

 Sales/marketing/PR/advertising                    3%              n
                                                                                                                                  control
                                                                   n   50-59
 Service crew member                               2%
                                                                                    5%

                                                                   n   60+
 Other                                             6%
                                                                                                                                  16%
                                                                             0%

                                                                                                                                  Holiday lighting

2021 Green Industry Outlook         sponsored by                                                                                  Irrigation & Green Industry | page 5
OUTLOOK Green Industry 2021
Looking FORWARD
T
         he industry definitely saw some shake-ups in the past year,                  lion (25%). Those expecting less than $100,000 increased to 19% for
         especially as what was expected to be a strong season opened                 2021 from 14% in 2020. Business development might be stifled, but
         under the threat of COVID-19. Many contractors found                         respondents are still finding ways to maintain revenue goals.
         ways to push through, but the struggle seems to be a reason                      Looking back at the year, most contractors didn’t seem to think
for one of the largest swings in this year’s survey. Respondents who                  COVID-19 heavily impacted overall growth, with 64% saying it
expected their business to have remained flat or decrease rose to a                   didn’t have an effect or encouraged growth. That still leaves 36%
total of 43%, compared to 20% in the previous year and 25% in 2019.                   who struggled. Roughly the same group (41%) applied for addi-
That outpaced the next two highest groups combined. Those who                         tional loans in the past year to help weather the pandemic.
expected a decrease jumped by almost 10% over the past two years.                         Labor continues to be the largest expense and biggest obstacle
    Despite the roughest growth year so far in our survey, respondents                for the industry for the second year running. The top three expenses
aren’t expecting a heavy change in gross revenue overall for 2020.                    and obstacles stayed the same from 2020’s survey, though more re-
The results for this year line up fairly neatly with both of the previ-               spondents are concerned about overall economic conditions (16%)
ous surveys, with the highest peaks still for those projecting between                than the previous year (10%). That’s no surprise in a year with both
$100,001 and $500,000 (27%) and between $1,000,001 and $5 mil-                        a pandemic and an election.

   Compared to 2019,                          What is your company’s                                  What barriers most impact
    how much do you                              projected gross                                       your business growth?
  expect your business                          revenue for 2020?
   has grown in 2020?
                                                                                                                Labor shortage                              33%
                         27%

                                                         27%

                                                                     25%

                                                                                                          Economic conditions                  16%
                   21%
             20%

                                                                                                         Insurance/labor costs              12%
                                                19%
                               16%

                                                                                                                   Regulations          7%
                                                               13%

                                                                                                            Low profit margins        5%
                                                                                11%
        8%
  8%

                                                                                                              Equipment costs         5%
                                                                           5%

  n 16% or more                                     n Less than $100,000                                   Weather conditions         5%
  n 11%-15%                                         n $100,001-$500,000                                                               4%
                                                                                                        Too much competition
  n 6%-10%                                          n $500,001-$1 million
  n 1%-5%                                           n $1,000,001-$5 million                                   Aging client base      3%
  n Flat                                            n $5,000,001-$10 million
                                                                                                                                     3%
  n Decrease                                        n Over $10 million                        Negative perceptions of industry

                   WHAT ARE YOUR COMPANY’S LARGEST EXPENSES?

                   64%                  43%                     27%                    25%                20%                 18%

               Benefits and              Supplies               Insurance              Equipment           Fuel and          Equipment
              compensation                                                             acquisition          energy          maintenance

2021 Green Industry Outlook          sponsored by                                                                             Irrigation & Green Industry | page 6
What associations does your business belong to?

                                             Irrigation Association                                                                  49%

                             State/local business association(s)                                                               46%
                State/local turf and landscape association(s)                                                     39%

          National Association of Landscape Professionals                                   19%
                  American Society of Landscape Architects                            12%

                                 Tree Care Industry Association                      10%
                  American Society of Irrigation Consultants                    6%

             Association of Outdoor Lighting Professionals                 2%

Latino Landscape Network (Formerly National Hispanic Landscape Alliance)   1%

    Which of the following                                 How has COVID-19 affected your business’s growth this year?
     regulations has the
    most negative impact
      on your business?
                                                          22%
    38%

                                                                                                  36%
          19%
                13%

                                      5%

                                                       42%
                      10%
                            8%
                                 7%

                                                                                              n It hurt my business’s growth.
n Labor/H-2B                n Other                                                           n It didn’t have an effect overall.
n Water                     n Fuel                                                            n It encouraged my business’s growth.
n Chemical                  n Noise
n Safety/OSHA

     Did your business apply                                         Have you attended a virtual
       for additional loans                                         business conference this year?
     because of COVID-19?

                                                                                No – 74%

                                                                           Yes – 26%
   Yes – 41%                  No – 59%

2021 Green Industry Outlook             sponsored by                                                          Irrigation & Green Industry | page 7
Putting in THE WORK
B
          uilding and maintaining a strong crew continues to be dif-            More respondents have no Spanish-speaking employees (36%)
          ficult for the industry, and that was made no easier by other    than last year (33%), but there’s a slight uptick in the 26% to 75%
          obstacles this year. Almost the same exact number of re-         range, comparing 23% of respondents this year to last year’s 21%.
          spondents (64%) say there aren’t enough qualified workers             Some of the new questions on this year’s survey dealt with
this year as in the last two years (65% and 66%, respectively). Out        overall diversity among employees. Almost three-quarters (71%)
of that group, 24% strongly believe that their region doesn’t have         of respondents say they have a business that is racially diverse, and
enough labor available.                                                    almost the same number (70%) say that the business has gender
     The trend continues with the number of employees at peak sea-         diversity as well. About two-thirds (59%) of respondents have a
son, which again has similar numbers to previous years. Slightly           policy or program related to employee diversity.
fewer maintained 1 to 5 employees in 2020 (37%) compared to the                 More crews are using job management software than not, but
previous year (40%), though both of those are down from 48% in             it’s close, with 56% incorporating it consistently into the routine.
2019. There was an uptick of those employing between 6 and 25              That’s still a jump up from last year, when 43% of respondents used
employees (35%) in 2020 compared to the previous year (30%), so            job management software regularly. It’s possible that the increase
it’s possible some contractors are still finding enough potential em-      was due to contractors rapidly shifting to socially distant business
ployees to see some expansion.                                             practices. It’ll be interesting to see if that trend continues into the
     Employers tend to pay their crew members more than $9 over            new year as companies see efficiencies from the software beyond
minimum wage (30%), with the next highest group paying $5 to $6            just getting through the pandemic.
more than minimum wage (24%).                                                   A wide majority of employers encourage employees to pursue
     The H-2B nonimmigrant visa program saw an additional obsta-           education and development, with 91% supporting crew devel-
cle last year with executive orders limiting its effectiveness. Slightly   opment. That’s even an increase from last year’s 89% in the affir-
fewer respondents used the program for 2020 (7%) as compared to            mative, which shows the continued dedication of contractors to
the previous year (9%). The number of respondents who have never           empowering their teams to grow. Especially as labor is still such
participated at all (83%) continues to trend downward (84% and             a challenge, it’s important for crews to be able to take on more
88%, respectively). The program remains a challenge, but it is useful      responsibility.
to some contractors.                                                            One-fifth (20%) of respondents perform daily crew safe-
     One additional challenge respondents faced this year was main-        ty checks or training, and a little more than half (52%) do them
taining a labor force in the face of a pandemic. Almost a third            weekly or monthly. A little more unnerving is that 13% don’t do
(29%) of respondents saw a decrease in total employees because of          any regular safety checks or training. Getting into a routine of pro-
COVID-19, but 9% gained a few new workers to handle the extra              viding safety information and training regularly is one of the best
available work.                                                            ways to keep crews safe and healthy and maintain workflow.

What percentage of your employees                                                                      Does your region offer
speak Spanish?                                                                                           enough qualified
                                                                                                       workers to meet your
        None                                                        36%
                                                                                                        company’s needs?
     1%-25%                                                  31%
   26%-50%                        12%
                                                                           Hello
                                                                                                                    No – 64%
    51%-75%                     11%
                                                                           Hola
76% or more                    10%
                                                 64%
                                                 Total percentage of                                       Yes – 36%
                                                 respondents who employ
                                                 workers who speak Spanish

2021 Green Industry Outlook       sponsored by                                                                       Irrigation & Green Industry | page 8
On average, do you pay your                                                                 Does your business have
crew members minimum wage                                                                     a policy or program
or a higher amount?                                                                          related to employee
                                                                                                   diversity?

    2%            7%                18%               24%          19%           30%
Minimum wage    $1-$2 more         $3-$4 more     $5-$6 more      $7-$8 more     $9+ more

                                                                                            Yes – 59%           No – 41%

      How many full-time employees does your company
                  employ at peak season?

                                                11%
           6%                                                                                Do your crews use job
                                                                  n 1-5
                                                                                              management apps/
                                                      37%         n 6-10
       11%                                                                                   software consistently?
                                                                  n 11-25
                                                                  n 26-50
                                                                  n 51-100                    Yes – 56%
         19%                                                      n 101+
                                                 16%
                                                                                                      No – 44%

   How often do you perform crew safety checks/training?

                                                                                              Does your business
                                                                                            encourage employees
                                                                                            to pursue professional
                                                                                                development?
       20%                            30%                              22%
        Daily                          Weekly                          Monthly

                                                                                            Yes – 91%            No – 9%
                      15%                               13%
                      Seasonally                   We don’t do regular
                                                  safety checks/training

2021 Green Industry Outlook   sponsored by                                                        Irrigation & Green Industry | page 9
A BETTER YEAR ahead
D
          espite a rough year for many contractors, respondents          Next year is about “the positive that evolved from COVID-19
          are optimistic about what 2021 will bring. A total of          that is driving people outdoors, investing and working from
          88% expect either moderate or significant growth in            home,” writes one respondent.
          the upcoming year. That’s even more confident than last           Others have taken the time in the past year to really look at
year, when 79% of respondents expected growth. It’s possible that        what the business needs to develop. The best opportunity is “gen-
among contractors, the feeling is that the market can’t contract         eral growth of the company, fruits of internal growth and devel-
much more.                                                               opment through 2020,” writes another respondent.
   The majority of respondents believe that COVID-19 won’t                  “We’re still in business,” writes one respondent. “Some compa-
make a heavy impact on business growth in 2021, with 16% ex-             nies haven’t, or won’t, make it through next year.”
pecting a moderate or significant decline. News of potential vac-           Many are hopeful about finding better crews in the upcoming
cines are probably buoying those hopes, though relief is likely still    year and having a more stabilized economy in the green industry,
some distance off.                                                       as well as in the building and construction industries. Others are
   Contractors are looking for the continued benefits of clients         looking at just the company’s survival through 2020 as the real
who have spent much of 2020 at home and improving their yards.           accomplishment.

 Which of the following services                  Which of the following services                    How do you expect
 are you considering expanding                    are you considering reducing                     COVID-19 to impact your
 or adding in 2021?                               or eliminating in 2021?                         business’s growth in 2021?
 Irrigation maintenance               28%         Chemical application                 23%

                                                                                                                  44%
 Irrigation design and installation   23%         Snow/ice management                  19%                 36%
 Landscape lighting                   22%         Holiday lighting                     18%
 Landscape design and                 20%         Water features                       16%                               14%
                                                                                                      4%

 installation
                                                  Lawn maintenance                     15%                                     2%
 Environmentally friendly             19%
 services                                         Hydroseeding/erosion control         12%           n Significant growth
                                                                                                     n Moderate growth
 Chemical application                 17%         Disease, insect and weed             11%
                                                  control                                            n No change in growth
 Hardscaping                          17%                                                            n Moderate decline in growth
                                                  Drainage                             9%            n Significant decline in growth
 Lawn maintenance                     17%         Hardscaping                          9%
 Disease, insect and weed             16%                                                            How do you rate the
 control                                          Irrigation maintenance               8%
                                                                                                      expected growth in
 Tree and ornamental care             16%         Landscape lighting                   7%          demand for your business’s
 Turf and landscape renovation        15%         Irrigation design and installation   6%              services in 2021?
 Drainage                             15%         Landscape design and                 5%                                   12%
                                                  installation                                    Significant growth
 Water features                       13%         Tree and ornamental care             5%          Moderate growth                             76%
 Holiday lighting                     12%         Turf and landscape renovation        5%         Moderate decline          10%
 Snow/ice management                  10%         Environmentally friendly             4%        Significant decline 2%
 Hydroseeding/erosion control          6%         services

2021 Green Industry Outlook      sponsored by                                                                    Irrigation & Green Industry | page 10
Which products/services will you invest in for 2021?
                                                           Trucks                                             44%
Construction equipment (attachments, skid steers, loaders, tractors)                                  34%
                             Battery-powered equipment                                            31%
                                                         Mowers                                   30%
                      Business hardware (computers, tablets, etc.)                              27%
                            Hand-held power equipment                                         26%
                        Business management software                                        23%
                                                        Uniforms                            22%
                                     Marketing/PR/website                                   22%          Which products will you
                                              Design software                             21%            purchase for clients in 2021?
                        Job management apps/services                                  16%                 Irrigation equipment/controllers                               70%
                                                          Drones                    15%                                          Nursery/flowers                       58%
                        Mechanical/technical education                             13%                                    Hardscape products                          57%
                                              Tree equipment                     11%                                       Soil/organics/mulch                        56%
                                        Chippers/shredders                      10%                                                     Grass seed                   53%
                             Hiring a business consultant                    7%                                                                    Sod               53%
          Remote-operated/autonomous equipment                               7%                          Chemicals (insecticides, herbicides, fungicides)            52%
                                           Financial services              4%                                               Landscape lighting                     44%
                                        Non-pneumatic tires                4%                                      Water feature accessories                   25%

 Which trends do you expect to grow the most in 2021?
 Smart irrigation technologies                          40%            Native/low water landscaping            24%           Landscape lighting                       14%
 Outdoor living spaces                                  35%            Battery-powered equipment               24%           Artificial turf installation             10%
 Remote irrigation system management                    28%            Organic fertilizer and weed control     15%           Water features                            6%

                                                                                             A special thanks
Methodology                                                                                  Thanks to everyone who participated in this
                                                                                             year’s survey. These insights into the wider
The 2021 Green Industry Outlook
                                                                                             industry would not be possible without you.
Survey was developed in Survey-
                                                                                             It was so helpful to have you take the time to respond to our
Monkey with three mail invitations including individual, anony-
                                                                                             survey and make your voice heard.
mous links sent to respondents between Oct. 20 and Nov. 3. An
open link was also shared via Irrigation & Green Industry social me-                             To show our appreciation, sponsor Heritage Landscape
dia and by sponsor Heritage Landscape Supply Group via email.                                Supply Group provided prizes for
Responses gathered by the open link were additionally checked for                            two drawings. That drawing was completed at the end of
duplicates and relevance to the survey. Each invitation included in-                         November.
formation on the drawings for a DJI Mavic mini quadcopter drone                                  Thanks again for your help in putting together our indus-
or a $250 gift card to Bass Pro Shops/Cabela’s. Survey results were                          try outlook and for making it the
closed Nov. 3 with 1,063 responses. Irrigation & Green Industry                              largest so far!
staff analyzed the survey results.

2021 Green Industry Outlook              sponsored by                                                                                       Irrigation & Green Industry | page 11
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