Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN

Page created by Gladys Chavez
 
CONTINUE READING
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation
August 3, 2021

 NYSE: DVN
 devonenergy.com
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Key Takeaways From Our Presentation

      FIXED + VARIABLE DIVIDEND INCREASES 44%                                  LEADING THE INDUSTRY WITH
#1                                                                             DISCIPLINE & DIVIDENDS
      Total dividend of $0.49 per share announced with Q2 results

      FREE CASH FLOW GENERATION ACCELERATES
#2
      Free cash flow increases >6x vs. prior quarter

      BALANCE SHEET CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN
#3
      Reduced outstanding debt by $1.2 billion year-to-date

      DELAWARE BASIN DRIVES Q2 OUTPERFORMANCE
#4
      Operating results favorable to guidance on production, capital & costs

      OUTLOOK STRENGTHENS IN SECOND HALF OF 2021
#5
      Dividend payout expected to be highest yield in the S&P 500 index

        | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                    2
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Our Cash-Return Business Model

“Our CASH-RETURN business model is            DISCIPLINED           MODERATING OIL GROWTH targets: up to 5% annually
designed to moderate growth, emphasize        GROWTH STRATEGY       Growing margins through operational & corporate cost reductions
capital efficiencies, maximize returns and
prioritize the return of increasing amounts   REDUCED               Returns-driven strategy prioritizes FREE CASH FLOW generation
of cash to shareholders. These principles     REINVESTMENT RATES    Committed to maintenance capital program in 2021
have positioned Devon to be a PROMINENT
and CONSISTENT builder of economic value
                                              MAINTAIN              Target net debt-to-EBITDAX ratio: 1.0x or less
through the cycle.”                           LOW LEVERAGE          Strong liquidity & disciplined hedging enhance FINANCIAL STRENGTH
       − Rick Muncrief, President & CEO

                                              PRIORITIZE            Deploying free cash flow to dividends & debt reduction
                                              CASH RETURNS          Innovative FIXED-PLUS-VARIABLE dividend strategy (pgs. 6 & 7)

   COMMITMENT
   RUNS DEEP                                  PURSUE                Established new environmental performance targets (pg. 16)
                                              ESG EXCELLENCE        ESG initiatives incorporated into COMPENSATION structure

         | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                             3
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Q2 2021 – Executing on Our Disciplined Strategy
  Outstanding Q2 execution                                                Expanding free cash flow                                                       Returning value to shareholders
  Key quarterly highlights                                                Free cash flow ($ in millions)                                                 Q2 2021 cash allocation ($ in billions)
                                                                                                                                        (2)
                                                                                                                                $589
                                                                                                                                                                     $1.4 B

                                                                                                                                                                                           ~ 65%
                                                          9%
                                                                                   > 6x
             CAPITAL
             SPEND ($MM)                          BELOW GUIDANCE
                                                                                IMPROVEMENT                                                                                              ALLOCATED TO
                                                                                  VS. Q1 2021                                                                                             DIVIDENDS &
             PRODUCTION                                   3%                                                                                                                            DEBT REDUCTION
             VOLUMES (MBOED)                      ABOVE GUIDANCE
                                                                                         $93
                                                                                                                                                                                              DIVIDENDS & DEBT

             CORPORATE                                    27%                                                                                                                                 CAPITAL INVESTMENT

             COSTS ($MM)(1)                        VERSUS Q2 2020
                                                                                       Q1 2021                                Q2 2021                           Q2 Uses of Cash

(1) Represents G&A & interest expense compared on a pro forma basis.   (2) Free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow ($1,093 million) less cash
                                                                       capital expenditures ($504 million).

                                                                                                                                                                                       TOTAL DIVIDEND PAYOUT
                                                                                                                                                                                       EXPANDS BY 44% IN Q2
                                                                                                                                                                                          (SEE PAGE 6 FOR DETAILS)

              | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                                                                                    4
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Outlook Strengthens in Second Half of 2021
       FREE CASH FLOW
       SET TO EXPAND                                                                                                                                                                                          FUTURE UPSIDE (2)
                                               (1)
       (2H 2021 outlook vs. 1H 2021 results)
                                                                                                                                                                                  34%                  Unhedged commodity view
   OIL PRODUCTION:              +4%                                                                                                                                                                   100% upfront cost synergies
   TOTAL CAPITAL: ↆ>10%
   CORPORATE COSTS: ↆ7%                                                                                     28%

                                                                                                                                                                             24%
                                                                                                                                                                            FREE CASH FLOW

                                                                                                       20%
                                                                                                                                                                                 YIELD
                                      21%                                                                                                                                                                               SECOND-HALF 2021
                                                                                                      FREE CASH FLOW
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        OUTLOOK

                                 16%
                                                                                                           YIELD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Based on mid-point guidance
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2H 2021 ANNUALIZED free cash flow
                                FREE CASH FLOW
                                     YIELD

                                   $60 WTI                                                               $70 WTI                                                               $80 WTI
      Note: Free cash flow yield represents operating cash flow, excluding changes in working capital, less total capital divided by market capitalization. Assumes $3.50 Henry Hub & NGL realizations at 40% of WTI.
      (1) Changes represent 1H 2021 actual results vs. midpoint guidance for the 2H 2021. (2) Excludes commodity hedges and includes upfront benefit of cost synergies.

    | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                                                                                                                               5
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Accelerating Cash Returns to Shareholders
A history of returning cash to shareholders
(Dividends per share)

                        28
                                                                                            FIXED + VARIABLE DIVIDEND
                       CONSECUTIVE
                                                                                               (BASED ON Q2 FINANCIAL RESULTS)
                       YEARS
            OF DIVIDEND PAYMENTS                                                        FIXED DIVIDEND           $0.11 PER SHARE
            (>10% CAGR SINCE 1993)
                                                                        VARIABLE
                                                                                        VARIABLE DIVIDEND        $0.38 PER SHARE

                                                                                        TOTAL PAYOUT            $0.49 PER SHARE
                                                        $0.68

                                                        SPECIAL
                                                        ($0.26/share)
                                                                                              RAISING
                                                                                        DIVIDEND PAYOUT      44%          (VS. Q1 2021)

                                                $0.35
                          $0.30
      $0.24                                                               FIXED
                                                          FIXED
                                                                        ($0.44/share)
                                                        ($0.42/share)

                                                                                                                   FOR Q2 VARIABLE DIVIDEND
       2017                2018                 2019      2020           2021e
                                                                                                                   CALCULATION (SEE PG. 18 FOR DETAILS)

              | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                              6
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Highest Dividend Yield Opportunity in S&P 500 Index
Fixed-plus-variable dividend strategy results in market-leading payout
Annualized dividend yield based on 2H 2021e midpoint guidance

            >10%
                      (1)

                                                                                                                                         HIGHEST DIVIDEND YIELD
                                                                                                                                            IN S&P 500 INDEX

                                                                                                       #1 ranked yield in the S&P 500 by a wide margin

           VARIABLE                                                                                    >7 times higher than the average yield of the S&P 500
                                                                                                       Dividend payout comfortably funded within free cash flow
                                                  (2)
                                           3.6%                                                        Strong financial position:
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Our Investment-Grade Financial Strength
Substantial debt reduction completed year to date
Outstanding debt maturities through 2030 ($MM)

     $4,500

                                                                                                                     Reduced outstanding debt by $1.2 billion year to date
                                                                 EXECUTING ON OUR
                                                                                                                     Net debt-to-EBITDAX on track to reach
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Devon’s Unique Value Proposition
                                               Beginning stages of a new energy upcycle
                                               Energy market capitalization as % of S&P 500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3       Devon offers a unique
                                               18%                                                                                                                              Great Recession                                                                 Value Proposition…
                                                                                                                                                                                      16%
                                                       Gulf War
                                                         15%                                                                                                                                                                                                       (1)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                VERSUS         S&P 500
                                                                                                      1 Roughly every decade
Energy Market Capitalization as % of S&P 500

                                                                                                             brings with it a new                                                                                                                           4x            2021e EV/EBITDA           15x
                                                                                                             Energy Cycle…                                                                                                                                 20%             2021e FCF Yield          4%
                                               12%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         >10% 2021e Dividend Yield                 1.4%

                                                6%

                                                                                                            Dot-Com Bubble
                                                                                                                  5%                                                                                          2 This energy upcycle is in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     its Infancy Stage…
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      COVID-19 Crisis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2%
                                                0%

                                                     Note: Sourced from Wolfe Research, Raymond James & FactSet. (1) Represents 2H 2021e annualized based on midpoint guidance at $70 WTI. See slides 5 & 7 for more details and assumptions on estimated free cash flow & dividend yields.

                                                              | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                                                                                                                             9
Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation - August 3, 2021 NYSE: DVN
Preliminary Thoughts on 2022 Outlook

#1   POSITIONED FOR STRONG CASH FLOW GROWTH
      IMPROVED hedge book accelerates revenue growth
                                                                       A TRUSTED NAME
      Captured merger SYNERGIES to substantially EXPAND MARGINS       IN THE ENERGY INDUSTRY
      Integration COMPLETED, no cash outflows from restructuring
      Cumulative impact: >$1 BILLION of incremental cash flow

#2   CASH-RETURN MODEL TO BUILD MOMENTUM
      Committed to leading the industry with DISCIPLINE & DIVIDENDS
      NO CHANGE to capital allocation framework (see pg. 3)
      Free cash flow generation continues to be TOP PRIORITY
      MARKET FUNDAMENTALS to dictate capital allocation, NOT PRICE

         | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                           10
AssetOperations
      Overview Update

NYSE: DVN
devonenergy.com
On Track to Achieve 2021 Capital Objectives
No change to disciplined capital plan in 2021                                                                                                               WILLISTON
Oil production (MBOD)
                                                                                                                                                            BASIN
                    291                                      290-300                               280 – 290    FY 2020
                                                                                                               284 MBOD                    POWDER RIVER
                                                                                                                                                  BASIN

                                                                                                                          2021e UPSTREAM BUDGET

                                                                                                                          $1.6-$1.8 Billion
                 Q2 2021                                     Q3 2021e                              FY 2021e               (80% ALLOCATED TO DELAWARE)
                                                                                                                                                                   ANADARKO
Note: 2020 production is pro forma and represents the combined results for legacy Devon and WPX.
                                                                                                                                                                   BASIN

                  Q2 2021 KEY OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS                                                                                              DELAWARE
                                                                                                                                                    BASIN
    Capital spending 9% below midpoint guidance
                                                                                                                                                                 EAGLE
    Q2 oil beat driven by well productivity in the Delaware Basin                                                                                                FORD
    Operating expenses improved 6% compared to last quarter

                   | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                                      12
Delaware Basin – Our Capital-Efficient Growth Engine
                                                                                                                                                                                        KEY ASSET ATTRIBUTES
HIGH-MARGIN OIL GROWTH                                                                                                                                   Eddy          Lea

+22%
                                                                                                        191
                                                                                                                                                                                    NET ACRES: 400,000
                                  VS. Q2 2020
                                  MBOD                                                                                                                                              DIVERSIFED: 65% non-federal land
                                                                                                                 3   POTATO BASIN APPRAISAL
                                                                        172                                                                                                         PERMIT INVENTORY: 4 years
                                                                                                                  2nd Bone Spring test (3 wells)
                                          166                                                                     Avg. lateral length: 11,800’                                     CAPITAL ACTIVITY: 13 rigs/4 crews
                                                                                                                  Avg. IP30: 3,200 BOED/well
           156

                                                                                                                        New Mexico                                            2   COTTON DRAW DEVELOPMENT

                                                                                                                                                                              15 Wolfcamp wells online
                                                                                                                                                                              Avg. lateral length: 9,400’
                                                                                                                            Texas
                                                                                                                                                                              Avg. IP30: 3,100 BOED/well
         Q2 2020                       2H 2020                       Q1 2021                           Q2 2021
                                                                                                                                                                  Loving
              EXECUTING ON OUR DISCIPLINED PLAN                                                                                                                                                               Winkler
                                                                                                                                                                  1   STATELINE DEVELOPMENT
     1      Successful Stateline co-development activity                                                                                                         18 Bone Spring & Wolfcamp wells
                                                                                                                                                                 Avg. lateral length: 10,000’
     2      Wolfcamp development program building momentum                                                                                                       Avg. IP30: 3,700 BOED/well

     3      Bone Spring appraisal unlocks resource potential                                                                                        Reeves
                                                                                                                                                                                          Ward
Note: 2020 oil production is pro forma and represents the combined results for legacy Devon and WPX.

                       | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                                                                   13
Delaware Basin – Operating Efficiencies Advance
    Achieving capital efficiencies…                               Reducing field level costs…           Delivering margin expansion
    Development D&C costs per foot (excludes facilities)          LOE & GP&T per Boe                    Field-level operating margin ($/BOE)

                                                                                         ↆ7%
                                                                                                                                                    $33.79
        $940                                                                $6.44

                         $846                                                          YEAR OVER YEAR

                                                                                            $5.97

               42%
                                         $614                                                              $16.52

           IMPROVEMENT                                     $543
                                                                                                                                    2X
                                                                                                                              IMPROVEMENT

        2018            2019            2020          Q2 2021              Q2 2020         Q2 2021         Q3 2020        Q4 2020         Q1 2021   Q2 2021

DEVELOPMENT FOCUS
ACCELERATES EFFICIENCIES

               | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                          14
Free Cash Flow Generating Assets

                                 Liquids-rich resource play with exposure to rising gas & NGL prices
    ANADARKO                                                                                                                               CASH FLOW UPSIDE
                                 Dow JV drilling program underway with plans to spud up to 30 wells in 2021
    BASIN
                                 6 legacy Meramec DUCs brought online in Q2 (avg. IP30: 1,800 BOED)
                                                                                                                                    Divestiture contingency
                                                                                                                                   payments of up to
                                 High-margin oil resource opportunity in economic core of the play                                 $70 million annually(1)
    WILLISTON
                                 Commenced 1st production on 13 wells in Q2 (avg. IP30: 2,900 BOED; 82% oil)
    BASIN                                                                                                                           Strategic Delaware midstream
                                 Projected to generate nearly $700 mm of free cash flow in 2021 (@$70 WTI)                        partnership distributions:
                                                                                                                                    >$25 million annually
                                 Reestablished operational momentum with 21 new wells online YTD
    EAGLE
                                 New well activity drives Q2 volumes 20% higher vs. Q1 (avg. IP30: 2,300 BOED)
    FORD
                                 Expect to maintain production profile with 2 rig lines in 2H 2021

                                 Top-tier emerging oil resource play with stacked-pay potential
    POWDER RIVER
                                 Technical teams focused on advancing Niobrara delineation efforts
    BASIN
                                 Minimal leasehold obligations provide capital flexibility
                                                                                                                  (1) Payments associated with legacy Barnett Shale and Rockies divestiture packages.

  | For
    Q2 2021   Earnings
        additional      Presentation
                   results and guidance see our Q2 earnings release tables                                                                                                              15
Committed to Aggressive Emissions Reductions
                                             ENVIRONMENTAL PERFORMANCE TARGETS

                                                                                 0.5
GHG EMISSIONS                    GHG EMISSIONS INTENSITY    METHANE EMISSIONS    FLARING INTENSITY       ROUTINE FLARING

                                50                          65                                  %        ENTIRELY
SCOPE 1 & 2                      SCOPE 1 & 2                INTENSITY

NET ZERO
GHG EMISSIONS FOR
                                   %                           %                                 OR
                                                                                                 LOWER   ELIMINATE
                                                                                 OF GROSS NATURAL GAS    AS DEFINED BY THE
SCOPE 1 & 2 BY 2050              REDUCTION BY 2030          REDUCTION BY 2030
                                                                                 PRODUCED BY 2025        WORLD BANK BY 2030

                                                                            HIGHLY-REGARDED ESG RATINGS & RECOGNITION
                                         For more information
                                         on these initiatives,
                                         please refer to the
                                         Sustainability portion
                                         of Devon’s website

       | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                     16
AssetAppendix
       Overview

NYSE: DVN
devonenergy.com
Free Cash Flow Priorities

                      FIXED DIVIDEND                                                                                                                                              Q2 VARIABLE DIVIDEND CALCULATION
      #1                     Paid quarterly at $0.11 per share
                             Target payout: up to 10% of operating cash flow                                                                                                     $1,099 MM – Adjusted Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)
                                                                                                                                                                          −       $509 MM – Capital Expenditures (Accrued)

                      VARIABLE DIVIDEND                                                                                                                                           $590 MM – Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)
                      
                      
                              Calculated on a quarterly basis
                              Up to 50% of excess free cash flow
                                                                                                                                                                          − $75 MM – Fixed Quarterly Dividend                                          ($0.11/share)

                                                                                                                                                                                  $515 MM – Excess Free Cash Flow
      #2
                      BALANCE SHEET IMPROVEMENT                                                                                                                           × 50% Payout (Board Discretion: Up to 50%)
                             Reduced outstanding debt by >$1.2 billion year to date                                                                                              $257 MM – Variable Dividend ($0.38/share)
                             Net debt-to-EBITDAX target: 1.0x or less

                                                                                                                                                                                  SHAREHOLDERS of record on September 13, 2021
                      SHARE REPURCHASES
      #3                                                                                                                                                                          PAYABLE on September 30, 2021
                             Potential for opportunistic buybacks

Note: Adjusted cash flow represents operating cash flow ($1,093 mm) before balance sheet changes (+$17 mm) excluding cash restructuring charges (-$23 mm). See Devon’s second-quarter 2021 earnings materials for more details regarding the variable dividend calculation.

                      | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18
Investor Contacts & Notices

  Investor Relations Contacts                                                  restrictions, compliance costs and other risks relating to governmental regulation, including with respect to environmental matters; risks
                                                                               related to regulatory, social and market efforts to address climate change; risks related to our hedging activities; counterparty credit risks;
                                                                               risks relating to our indebtedness; cyberattack risks; our limited control over third parties who operate some of our oil and gas properties;
  Scott Coody                             Chris Carr                           midstream capacity constraints and potential interruptions in production; the extent to which insurance covers any losses we may experience;
  VP, Investor Relations                  Manager, Investor Relations          competition for assets, materials, people and capital; risks related to investors attempting to effect change; our ability to successfully
                                                                               complete mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; risks related to the recent merger with WPX, including the risk that we may not realize the
  405-552-4735                            405-228-2496
                                                                               anticipated benefits of the merger or successfully integrate the two legacy businesses; and any of the other risks and uncertainties discussed
                                                                               in Devon’s 2020 Annual Report on Form 10-K (the “2020 Form 10-K”) or other SEC filings.
  Email: investor.relations@dvn.com
                                                                               The forward-looking statements included in this communication speak only as of the date of this communication, represent current
                                                                               reasonable management’s expectations as of the date of this communication and are subject to the risks and uncertainties identified above as
Investor Notices                                                               well as those described in the 2020 Form 10-K and in other documents we file from time to time with the SEC. We cannot guarantee the
                                                                               accuracy of our forward-looking statements, and readers are urged to carefully review and consider the various disclosures made in the 2020
Forward-Looking Statements                                                     Form 10-K and in other documents we file from time to time with the SEC. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements
This communication includes “forward-looking statements” within the            attributable to Devon, or persons acting on its behalf, are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements above. We do not
meaning of the federal securities laws. Such statements include those          undertake, and expressly disclaim, any duty to update or revise our forward-looking statements based on new information, future events or
concerning strategic plans, our expectations and objectives for future         otherwise.
operations, as well as other future events or conditions, and are often
identified by use of the words and phrases “expects,” “believes,” “will,”      Use of Non-GAAP Information
“would,” “could,” “continue,” “may,” “aims,” “likely to be,” “intends,”        This presentation may include non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) financial measures. Such non-GAAP measures are not
“forecasts,” “projections,” “estimates,” “plans,” “expectations,” “targets,”   alternatives to GAAP measures, and you should not consider these non-GAAP measures in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our
“opportunities,” “potential,” “anticipates,” “outlook” and other similar       results as reported under GAAP. For additional disclosure regarding such non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations to their most directly
terminology. All statements, other than statements of historical facts,        comparable GAAP measure, please refer to Devon’s second-quarter 2021 earnings materials and related Form 10-Q filed with the SEC.
included in this communication that address activities, events or
developments that Devon expects, believes or anticipates will or may
occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Such statements are
subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of
which are beyond our control. Consequently, actual future results could
differ materially and adversely from our expectations due to a number of
factors, including, but not limited to: the volatility of oil, gas and NGL
prices; risks relating to the COVID-19 pandemic or other future
pandemics; uncertainties inherent in estimating oil, gas and NGL reserves;
the extent to which we are successful in acquiring and discovering
additional reserves; the uncertainties, costs and risks involved in our
operations, including as a result of employee misconduct; regulatory

             | Q2 2021 Earnings Presentation                                                                                                                                                                               19
You can also read