ANNEXURE 20 PROPOSED AMENDMENTS TO THE 2017-2022 INTEGRATED DEVELOPMENT PLAN (IDP) - 2021/22 AMENDMENTS - City of Cape Town

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ANNEXURE 20 PROPOSED AMENDMENTS TO THE 2017-2022 INTEGRATED DEVELOPMENT PLAN (IDP) - 2021/22 AMENDMENTS - City of Cape Town
ANNEXURE 20

PROPOSED AMENDMENTS TO THE 2017-2022
 INTEGRATED DEVELOPMENT PLAN (IDP) –
         2021/22 AMENDMENTS

                           2021/22 Budget (May 2021)
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021)
                                                Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP

Bold: New narrative or figures proposed
Strikethrough: Changed or deleted narrative proposed

Motivation for proposed amendments to the Contextual analysis

 Contextual analysis

 The main methodology that was used in the IDP review was to undertake a contextual scan
 and a performance assessment to identify any new significant events or trends that may
 have a notable influence on the strategic narrative, implementation plan, Corporate
 Scorecard or any of the annexures of the IDP.

 The overall purpose of reviewing the contextual analysis was to establish if the strategic
 narrative remains relevant, effective and sufficient within the specific contextual
 circumstances of the City.

 The main changes in the contextual analysis includes:

        General annual statistical updates;
        The current impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on a global, national and local level
         that has influence the financial, social, economic and health of the City’s citizens
         significantly;
        Climate change mitigation work that includes general updates as well as preparation
         for carbon neutrality, exploring and piloting the transition of City’s fleet to move
         towards electrical vehicles whilst developing an enabling framework to prepare for
         the uptake and regulation of a city-wide transition to electric vehicles;
        Updates on reducing climate change impacts;
        Updates on the Climate Change Policy that was reviewed and converted into a
         Climate Change Strategy.

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Based on the above motivations, the following amendments to the IDP are proposed:

 CURRENT NARRATIVE                     PROPOSED NARRATIVE                                      IDP
                                                                                               page

 Contextual analysis                   Contextual analysis                                     16 - 29

 N/a                                   Global context:                                         16

                                       Add new paragraph above Global
                                       context:

                                       At the time of review, across the globe,
                                       COVID-19 is threatening cities and
                                       communities, endangering not only public
                                       health, but also the economy and the
                                       fabric of society. The recent global
                                       pandemic has further highlighted
                                       inefficiencies that need to be addressed
                                       towards building a more resilient city
                                       development environment.

                                       Add two new paragraphs after the
                                       heading, Global context:

                                       With the World Health Organization’s
                                       declaration of the global COVID-19
                                       pandemic in January 2020 and
                                       subsequent lockdown measures
                                       implemented in countries across the world,
                                       global growth forecasts have deteriorated.
                                       The Coronavirus outbreak has brought the
                                       world and South Africa to a halt in many
                                       ways as best defence against the spread
                                       of COVID-19.

                                       It is important that the City’s strategic
                                       priorities in relation to its resource base
                                       reflect the new realities brought about by
                                       recent shock events. The City’s recovery
                                       programme takes a phased approach

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                                  with initiatives linked to stabilisation,
                                  adaptation and rebuilding.

Prominence of urbanisation        Prominence of urbanisation                              17

N/a                               Add three new paragraphs below last
                                  paragraph ending with “city governance”.

                                  Cape Town is currently responding to a
                                  pandemic which is likely to persist over the
                                  next year at least, with the social and
                                  economic consequences reverberating for
                                  many years to come. The recovery will be
                                  underpinned by how rapidly government
                                  and other actors can mobilise the
                                  resources necessary to expedite socio-
                                  economic recovery.

                                  The COVID-19 crisis will have long-term
                                  impacts on the City’s operations and
                                  programmes, its’ income sources for
                                  service delivery and on the general socio-
                                  economic welfare of its residents and
                                  ratepayers.

                                  New demands on City resources are
                                  emerging. The City’s functions and
                                  resource allocation need to shift in
                                  response to COVID-19. Response to the
                                  socio-economic fall out of COVID- 19 may
                                  intensify existing shocks and stresses
                                  facing the city, or give rise to new ones.

From sustainable development to   From sustainable development to                         17

resilience:                       resilience:

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This of course assumes that a shock of    Delete wording and replace with one
any great magnitude will be a once-       word.
off event or one that will come at
                                          This of course assumes that a shock of any
some kind of a spaced-out interval,
                                          great magnitude will be a once-off event
allowing for the City’s finances and
                                          or one that will come intermittently
that of its citizens to absorb the
                                          allowing for the City’s finances and that of
massive costs of repairs and
                                          its citizens to absorb the massive costs of
rehabilitation after the shock event.
                                          repairs and rehabilitation after the shock
One such big change to which              event.
everyone in the city will have to adapt
is a progressive cap on carbon and
other greenhouse gas emissions,
allowing the city to reach carbon         One of the changes to which in the city as
neutrality much sooner than the target    a whole need to prepare for is the required
date of 2050, in order to contribute to   transition to carbon neutrality to the allow
the global effort to avoid the worst      the local economy to trade competitively
ravages of climate change.                in a world that is rapidly rejecting carbon             17

                                          intensive goods and services, and to
From sustainable development to
                                          contribute fully to the mitigation effort
resilience:
                                          required to avoid catastrophic climate

More recently, phenomena such as          change.

back-to-back and concurrent
                                          From sustainable development to
extreme weather events are
                                          resilience:
occurring, often on a scale never
before experienced by humanity, and       Add two new paragraphs before: “One
extreme poverty in our townships          such big change to …”
continues unrelieved because of our
economy remaining stubbornly              The resilience of the city and its residents

stagnant. The City’s challenges will      continues to be tested, as two major city-

continue to be steeper than before.       wide disaster events (drought and COVID-

Resilience, therefore, has emerged as     19 pandemic) have been experienced

an important urban concept.               alongside a multitude of chronic stresses
                                          which weaken the social and economic

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                                             fabric of the city including the impacts on
                                             the health system.

                                             As climate change intensifies, the city is
                                             becoming increasingly vulnerable to
                                             weather-related shock events, in particular
                                             increased heat and decreased rainfall. A
                                             city-wide greening strategy has the
                                             potential to contribute to the achievement
                                             of several longer term climate change
                                             mitigation outcomes through carbon
                                             sequestration and improved liveability of
                                             the city. The City has made major strides in
                                             advancing a renewable energy strategy
                                             as part of its climate change mitigation
                                             actions, including among others the
                                             promotion of solar and wind generated
                                             energy in the City and region.

Furthermore, given the urgency to act        Furthermore, given the urgency to act in                18
in combating climate change, every           combating climate change, every city,
city, ours included, will have to play its   ours included, will have to play its part in
part in containing global                    containing average global temperatures
temperatures within the 1,5-degree           increase within the 1,5-degree margin that
margin that the Paris Agreement              the Paris Agreement demands
demands.

This is vital on account of budgetary
constraints that the City already faces
and which will be seriously
exacerbated if additional budget has
to be found to provide for adaptation
measures and infrastructure to
address climate change. Considering
measures such as departmental caps
on carbon emissions and increasing

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opportunities for each to contribute to
meaningful carbon sequestration
could be important to achieving
resilience without undermining the
ability to provide services in the future
or plunging the city into massive debt.

The South African urban context:            The South African urban context:                        19

n/a
                                            Add new paragraph after the heading:

                                            A National State of Disaster was declared
                                            in South Africa on 15 March 2020, in
                                            preparation for its health sector to manage
                                            the expected increase in local COVID-19
                                            transmissions, and the country has been
                                            under various levels of lockdown since 27
                                            March 2020. These lockdown measures
                                            have placed varying degrees of limitation
                                            on economic and social activity but have
                                            also been accompanied by a suite of
                                            fiscal and stimulus packages introduced to
                                            buffer the economic shock.

The Cape Town context:                      The Cape Town context:                                  20

n/a
                                            Add new sentence before “The World
                                            Bank’s ranking…”

                                            The City is continually striving to address
                                            the cost of doing business and implements
                                            a range of measures to support this.

Economic opportunities and                  Economic opportunities and challenges:                  20
challenges:
                                            Add new sentence after: “...with
N/a
                                            implications for job creation and service
                                            delivery”.

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                                         Over the past 5 years Cape Town recorded
                                         an average annual economic growth rate
                                         of 1,2% (constant 2010 prices) whilst the
                                         national economy recorded 0,8% over the
                                         same period.

                                         Add a new paragraph after: “…support
                                         and facilitate access to programmes for
                                         reskilling workers at risk of unemployment”.

                                         The coronavirus pandemic in 2020 has
                                         presented an opportunity to use electronic
                                         communication more optimally and
                                         effectively. The increased incidence of
                                         people working from home is made more
                                         possible and efficient with advancements
                                         in technology and increased internet
                                         connectivity and accessibility. One of the
                                         takeaways from Coronavirus is that the
                                         role of internet connectivity and data
                                         analytics – especially for public health
                                         data and tracking disease has increased
                                         significantly, and greater efforts at digital
                                         enhancements in cities, including Cape
                                         Town, are expected.

Cape Town’s strict unemployment          Cape Town’s strict unemployment rate in                 22
rate was at 21,2% for Q1: 2019 (ending   2019 was 21,9% [ 447 327 unemployed
March 2019), reflecting weak             individuals] while its broad unemployment
conditions on the demand side, but       rate was only slightly higher at 24,1%.
also a strong degree of structural       Cape Town still averages a relatively high
unemployment characterised by an         strict youth unemployment rate of 45,2%
oversupply of low-skilled or unskilled   for 2019 - a decrease from averaging
labour.                                  53,6% in 2014. This reflects weak conditions
                                         on the demand side but also a strong
                                         degree of structural unemployment

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CURRENT NARRATIVE   PROPOSED NARRATIVE                                      IDP
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                    characterised by an oversupply of low-
                    skilled or unskilled labour.

                    Add two new paragraphs after: “...major                 22-24
                    challenges still exist such as the low wages
                    of these jobs, limited job security and weak
                    career prospects”.

                    All of the economic impact scenarios show
                    that Cape Town’s economy will
                    experience a large contraction in 2020.
                    The scale of this contraction and the
                    consequent job losses will be the largest
                    seen since the advent of democracy.
                    Jobs at risk will raise the strict
                    unemployment rate to between 26,7% and
                    29,1%. The decline in business turnover
                    and household income, will reduce the tax
                    revenue collected from businesses and
                    households in Cape Town. Household
                    incomes will decline by between 8,0% and
                    11.8% and are likely to impact lower
                    income households relatively harder. This
                    will inevitably lead to an increase in the
                    incidence of poverty within the city.

                    The current pandemic is likely to persist
                    over the next year at least, with the social
                    and economic consequences
                    reverberating for many years to come. The
                    City needs to plan for a drawn out
                    economic recovery, with the expectation
                    that resident and business demands (for
                    more free basic services, for payment
                    relief and business support) will be higher
                    than pre-COVID, while revenue will remain

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                                            under pressure in the short term – for the
                                            next two years at the least.

Social opportunities and challenges:        Social opportunities and challenges                     23

With an estimated population of 4 322       With an estimated population of 4 488 546
031 in 2018,15 and a population             in 2019, and a population growth trend
growth trend that is expected to            that is expected to continue for the
continue for the foreseeable future,        foreseeable future, the total population of
the total population of the city is         the City is anticipated to reach
anticipated to reach approximately          approximately 5,1 million by 2030.
5,1 million by 2030.

Health levels in general have               Health levels in general have increased in              23
increased in Cape Town, with the            Cape Town, with the city’s infant mortality
city’s infant mortality rate (IMR) having   rate (IMR) having dropped significantly.
dropped significantly. The Western          The Western Cape, of which Cape Town
Cape, of which Cape Town has the            has the largest population, had the
largest population, had the country’s       country’s highest average life expectancy
highest average life expectancy at          at birth (estimated at 68 years for the
birth (68 years). People are living         period 2016 to 2021). People are living
longer and healthier lives, thus            longer and healthier lives, thus increasing
increasing the proportion of ageing         the proportion of ageing residents in the
residents in the city. Conversely, the      city.
percentage of economically active
working-age people (aged 15-64)
decreased slightly from 69,2% in 2017
to 68,5% in 2018.19

An increased number of Cape Town            An increased number of Cape Town                        23
residents with HIV/Aids are registered      residents with HIV/Aids are registered for
for antiretroviral treatment (ART) at the   antiretroviral treatment (ART)at the City’s
City’s clinics, which means that they       clinics, which means that they live longer
live longer lives. Although the HIV         lives. The number of people living with HIV
prevalence rate in the Western Cape         in Cape Town in 2019 was estimated at
increased between 2011 and 2014, it         206 935, at 7.5% - compared to the
stabilised in Cape Town during the          national HIV prevalence rate of 13,5% and

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same period. The City’s Health            a 17,1% HIV prevalence rate for the
Department is preparing to implement      Western Cape. The number of Cape Town
the UNAIDS strategy of “90-90-90”         residents with HIV/Aids who are registered
together with its national and            for ART at the City’s clinics continue to
provincial counterparts, as well as the   increase steadily. A total number of 206
United States President’s Emergency       935 patients on ART currently remaining on
Plan For Aids Relief (PEPFAR).            ART is recorded for Cape Town in 2019,
                                          compared to 139 419 in 2015. This equals a
                                          total of 32.6% increase over five years.
                                          Although the HIV prevalence rate in the
                                          Western Cape increased between 2011
                                          and 2014, it stabilised in Cape Town during
                                          the same period. The City’s Health
                                          Department is preparing to implement the
                                          UNAIDS strategy of “90-90-90” together
                                          with its national and provincial
                                          counterparts, as well as the United States
                                          President’s Emergency Plan For Aids Relief
                                          (PEPFAR).

A downward trend in the incidence         A downward trend in the incidence and                   24
and number of cases of tuberculosis       number of cases of tuberculosis (TB) in
(TB) began to emerge between 2009         Cape Town began to emerge between
and 2014. This may be linked to           2009 and 2014, and continued to
increased access to ART for HIV-          2018/2019, with the number of cases
positive people vulnerable to TB          dropping from 631cases in 2014/15 to 559
(especially if not on ART). TB in Cape    cases in 2018/19. This may be linked to
Town is exacerbated by poverty and        increased access to ART for HIV-positive
urbanisation, which results in            people vulnerable to TB (especially if not
overcrowding, challenges with             on ART). TB in Cape Town is exacerbated
treatment adherence and substance         by poverty and urbanisation, which results
abuse. Drug-resistant strains of TB       in overcrowding, challenges with
(multidrug-resistant [MDR] and            treatment adherence and substance
extensively drug-resistant [XDR]) also    abuse. Drug-resistant strains of TB
present an ongoing challenge.             (multidrug-resistant [MDR] and extensively
                                          drug-resistant [XDR]) present an ongoing

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                                          challenge. However, the treatment and
                                          management of patients with drug-
                                          resistant (DR) TB has seen a decline in
                                          Cape Town from a high of 1 224 in 2014/15
                                          down to 1 037 cases in 2018/19.

                                          Food insecurity amongst the urban poor is
                                          a public health challenge driven by
                                          resource inefficiency (e.g. food shortages
                                          as a result of drought) and insecurity – and
                                          has been linked to detrimental health
                                          outcomes. The COVID-19 pandemic also
                                          had implications for the food value chains
                                          in South Africa and Cape Town, and has
                                          worsened food security.

Increasingly, the state of food           Increasingly, the state of food insecurity –            24
insecurity – including in urban areas –   including in urban areas – is receiving
is receiving attention following the      attention following the realisation that
realisation that even when food is        even when food is available in markets, it
available in markets, it may not be       may not be accessible to poorer
accessible to poorer households.          households. Increased levels of lifestyle
Increased levels of lifestyle diseases,   diseases, including diabetes and obesity,
including diabetes and obesity, in        in Cape Town signals the need for an
Cape Town signals the need for an         urban food security systems analysis and
urban food security systems analysis      strategy for Cape Town. There is need to
and strategy for Cape Town.               transition from food aid as being the
                                          primary means of ensuring vulnerable
                                          households have sufficient food, to a focus
                                          on food security. The ongoing expansion of
                                          urban areas, especially informal
                                          settlements, poses severe challenges to
                                          food security for its inhabitants.

The benefit of improving health and       The benefit of improving health and                     24
education levels as well as social        education levels as well as social
development is that Cape Town             development is that Cape Town residents

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residents will develop an increased         will develop an increased capacity to
capacity to withstand personal and          withstand personal and community trials,
community trials, which can in turn         which can in turn support the City’s efforts
support the City’s efforts to build         to build resilience in the city. COVID-19 has
resilience in the city. Yet, key social     exacerbated existing health and well-
challenges that Cape Town is still          being vulnerabilities. The pandemic is
grappling with can be linked to the         damaging multiple aspects of wellbeing
country’s historical roots. These include   through job losses and job reductions,
crime, substance abuse and gang             disruptions to public health programmes,
activity,24 with the youth being most       reduced access to educational and other
at risk. Criminal or gang activity25 also   child support services, deepened food
appears to occur more often in areas        insecurity, and increased gender-based
of social deprivation and poverty, and      violence. The impact is expected to be
is linked to social problems such as        long-lasting.
substance abuse.
                                            In the emergent future, societies will
                                            struggle with issues that have both natural
                                            and social causes, causing complex
                                            feedback loops that feed into increased
                                            stress and related mental health problems.
                                            In Cape Town, ‘assets’ skills, experience
                                            and knowledge within communities may
                                            need to be mobilised to promote better
                                            (mental) health and wellbeing. A shift in
                                            focus towards more sustainable and
                                            transformative partnerships and integrated
                                            care systems can promote the role of
                                            communities in improving and sustaining
                                            good mental and physically healthy
                                            communities.

                                            Cape Town has experienced increased
                                            incidents of unlawful land occupation
                                            (ULO) attempts. The challenges around
                                            informality in Cape Town remain, and
                                            given the high demand for housing and

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                                         services – the City recognises the diverse
                                         modalities for housing opportunities that
                                         are required in the context of limited
                                         resources for delivering public/low-cost
                                         housing opportunities.

                                         Yet, key social challenges that Cape Town
                                         is still grappling with can be linked to the
                                         country’s historical roots. These include
                                         crime, substance abuse and gang
                                         activity,24 with the youth being most at
                                         risk. Criminal or gang activity25 also
                                         appears to occur more often in areas of
                                         social deprivation and poverty, and is
                                         linked to social problems such as
                                         substance abuse.

Environmental opportunities and          Environmental opportunities and                         25
challenges                               challenges

….. The City is making a concerted       ….. The City is making a concerted effort
effort to improve its resource           to improve its resource efficiency and
efficiency and security, and address     security, and address climate change. This
climate change. This includes climate    includes both climate change mitigation
change mitigation, as well as climate    and climate change adaptation initiatives.
change adaptation initiatives.           Mitigation initiatives include diversifying
Mitigation initiatives range from        Cape Town’s energy mix (which can also
diversifying Cape Town’s energy mix      help improve air quality if its
(which also helps improve air quality)   complemented by a switch to electric
to reducing waste to landfill and        vehicles and efficient urban transport) and
increasing recycling. Adaptation         reducing waste to landfill. Adaptation
measures, in turn, entail conserving     measures, in turn, entail conserving
biodiversity and ecological              biodiversity and ecological infrastructure,
infrastructure, reducing water           reducing water consumption and planning
consumption and planning for             for climate-sensitive infrastructure
                                         development.

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climate-sensitive infrastructure
development.

Adaptation measures, in turn, entail        Adaptation measures, in turn, entail                    25
conserving biodiversity and ecological      conserving biodiversity and ecological
infrastructure, reducing water              infrastructure, becoming water sensitive
consumption and planning for                and water resilient, and planning for and
climate-sensitive infrastructure            implementing climate-resilient and
development.                                climate-sensitive infrastructure.
The City has developed a Climate            The City adopted a Climate Change                       25
Change Policy, which sets out its vision    Policy, in 2017 which sets out its vision for
for becoming a “city that is climate-       becoming a “city that is climate-resilient,
resilient, resource-efficient and lower-    resource-efficient and lower-carbon, in
carbon, in order to enable sustainable      order to enable sustainable and inclusive
and inclusive economic and social           economic and social development, and
development, and environmental              environmental sustainability”. To give
sustainability”. To give effect to the      effect to the City’s climate change
policy’s climate change mitigation          mitigation goals, an Energy2040 Goal was
goals, an Energy2040 Goal was               developed in 2015 which included energy
developed, which included energy            and carbon emission reduction targets for
and carbon emission reduction               2020, 2030 and 2040 for the residential,
targets for 2020, 2030 and 2040 for the     commercial and transport sectors, as well
residential, commercial and transport       as cleaner energy generation. These
sectors, as well as cleaner energy          targets have been updated (pending
generation. These targets are currently     adoption) and a new Climate Change
being updated and an action plan            Action Plan is in developed to align with
developed to align with the required        the required heightened level of global
heightened level of global climate          climate action ambition – achieving
action ambition – achieving carbon          carbon neutrality and enhanced climate
neutrality by 2050. The cooperation of      resilience by 2050.
residents and businesses will be critical
for the achievement of these targets.

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The City has developed a Climate            The City has developed a Climate Change                 25
Change Policy, which sets out its vision    Policy, which sets out its vision for
for becoming a “city that is climate-       becoming a “city that is climate-resilient,
resilient, resource-efficient and lower-    resource-efficient and lower-carbon, in
carbon, in order to enable sustainable      order to enable sustainable and inclusive
and inclusive economic and social           economic and social development, and
development, and environmental              environmental sustainability”. This Policy is
sustainability”.                            currently being reviewed and converted to
                                            a Climate Change Strategy which will
                                            provide a higher level of strategic
                                            guidance in this regard.

These targets are currently being           These targets are currently being updated
updated and an action plan                  and incorporated into an integrated
developed to align with the required        Climate Change Action Plan, developed
heightened level of global climate          to align with the required heightened level
action ambition – achieving carbon          of global climate action ambition –
neutrality by 2050. The cooperation of      achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. The
residents and businesses will be critical   cooperation of residents and businesses
for the achievement of these targets.       will be critical for the achievement of
                                            these targets
Additionally, a Climate Change              Add a new paragraph:                                    25
Adaptation Action Plan is being
                                            Goals and actions related to climate
reviewed to meet the Climate
                                            change adaptation are also being revised
Change Policy’s adaptation goals
                                            and further developed as part of the
                                            integrated Climate Change Action Plan.
                                            These goals and actions will set out a
                                            pathway for the City to become more
                                            climate resilient and adaptive, and ensure
                                            that the potential impacts of climate
                                            change on the city’s people, economy,
                                            and environment are addressed.

The City has made major strides in          The City is making progress in realizing its            25
advancing a renewable energy                renewable energy ambitions, as part of its

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strategy as part of its climate change    climate change mitigation actions, by
mitigation actions, including amongst     continuing its efforts to obtain legal
others the promotion of solar and         authority to allow it to procure (cleaner)
wind-generated energy in the city         energy directly from IPPs, exploring
and region, and the switch from fossil    opportunities to develop City owned small
fuel-driven to electric cars within the   scale (
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avenue to incite their support in order
to meet the Energy2040 vision and
targets. A further emerging trend that
may have a significant impact on the
functionality of Cape Town in the
medium term is the move towards
electric vehicles. The City will have to
assess, plan for and address the
impact of such a reality over the next
few years.

Social and economic impact of an           Disaster events in Cape Town – Extreme                  25
                                           drought and COVID-19 social and
extreme drought in Cape Town
                                           economic impacts.

                                           Add new paragraph after the heading

                                           Over the last three to four years, Cape
                                           Town has been impacted by an extreme
                                           drought and most recently (and
                                           continuing), the COVID-19 global
                                           pandemic.

                                           Communities and households in Cape
Communities and households in Cape
                                           Town may experience the social impact of
Town may experience the social
                                           drought in different ways, with the most
impact of drought in different ways,
                                           vulnerable communities potentially
with the most vulnerable communities
                                           experiencing the most severe effects. In
potentially experiencing the most
                                           the context of water in shortage and
severe effect. With water in short
                                           associated increased costs on the rise,
supply and the associated increased
                                           low-income households do not have the
costs on the rise, low-income
                                           means to implement measures to gain
households do not have the means to
                                           access to alternative water sources or
implement measures to gain access
                                           water-saving tools and technologies. The
to alternative water sources or water-
                                           City is fully aware of this, and particularly
saving tools and technologies. The
                                           considers vulnerable communities in its
City is fully aware of this, and
particularly considers vulnerable

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CURRENT NARRATIVE                            PROPOSED NARRATIVE                                      IDP
                                                                                                     page
communities in its water and disaster-       water and disaster- related planning
related planning processes.                  processes.

                                             COVID-19 both exposed and reinforced                    26
                                             existing social inequalities in Cape Town
                                             through the on the pandemic’s
                                             differentiated impacts on communities and
                                             households.

Drought can also negatively affect           Drought impacts: Drought can negatively
human health, social interaction and         affect human health, social interaction
quality of life. Health is directly linked   and quality of life. Health is directly linked
to the availability of water. Clean          to the availability of water. Clean drinking
drinking water and suitable water for        water and suitable water for cleaning and
cleaning and sanitation is required to       sanitation is required to prevent and
prevent and manage disease. The              manage disease. The City’s Health
City’s Health Department is actively         Department is actively monitoring and
monitoring and managing health-              managing health-related matters.
related matters.

                                             Add four new paragraphs at the end of                   26
                                             Disaster events in Cape Town – Extreme
                                             drought and COVID-19 social and
                                             economic impacts.

                                             COVID-19 impacts: Cape Town had an
                                             already-vulnerable population pre-COVID,
                                             with the pandemic severely worsening
                                             these existing inequalities. Of the 1 402 671
                                             households in Cape Town, an estimated
                                             460 000 households currently live in
                                             vulnerable conditions. Pre-COVID, Cape
                                             Town’s household income distribution
                                             showed an already highly unequal society,
                                             with around 25% of households are

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CURRENT NARRATIVE   PROPOSED NARRATIVE                                      IDP
                                                                            page
                    estimated to have earned R5 000 or less
                    per month in 2018. Furthermore, an
                    estimated 15.3% of households earned
                    below the upper bound poverty line (i.e.
                    less than R1183 a month per household
                    member), the majority of which are
                    women-headed.

                    In the Cape Town COVID-19 recovery
                    context, the City will need to operate
                    under austerity conditions which will
                    require careful consideration. The lower
                    revenue base in the 2020/21 financial year
                    with further slow growth projections in
                    future years, the expected lower transfers
                    from National Government and reducing
                    investment interest and funds to invest are
                    the main drivers of the projection. The
                    City’s budget will need to be balanced in
                    line with the reduced financial resource
                    base.

                    As part of managing its resources, the City
                    is operating as efficiently as possible and
                    pursues cost-efficiencies. The current
                    vulnerability landscape of the city will be a
                    key informant in assessing how to go about
                    allocating public resources under severe
                    constraints. In addition, throughout the
                    recovery programme, the assumptions
                    and parameters underpinning City services
                    will be interrogated in terms of what extent
                    they reflect and respond to the different
                    needs and vulnerabilities across the city.

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                                          Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP

CURRENT NARRATIVE                     PROPOSED NARRATIVE                                      IDP
                                                                                              page
                                      Interventions linked to regulatory reform
                                      are a relatively low-cost investment from
                                      CCT which can yield major outcomes in
                                      terms of stimulating business opportunities
                                      and property development. Many
                                      components of such an environment are
                                      outside of City control, but there are still
                                      barriers to business and property creation
                                      and growth that can be reduced, such as
                                      through reviewing land use rights, building
                                      regulations, licensing, permitting,
                                      transactions and other red tape reduction
                                      measures. This presents an opportunity to
                                      partner across government, business,
                                      community organisations, academia and
                                      households to drive economic and social
                                      recovery.

This includes transforming transfer   This includes transforming transfer stations            28
stations into key integrated waste    into key integrated waste management
management nodes. Planned             nodes. Planned research into innovative
research into innovative ways of      ways of waste management for Cape
waste management for Cape Town        Town provides an opportunity in the
provides an opportunity in the        immediate too short term to develop a
immediate too short term to develop   comprehensive and integrated waste
a comprehensive and integrated        management strategy. This has many
waste management strategy.            positive implications for both household
                                      and urban resilience and sustainability,
                                      where a cleaner environment could lead
                                      to improved health.

                                      The option of conducting remote
                                      operations has become an essential
                                      alternative. It led to a shift towards business
                                      unusual as virtual operations require a
                                      departure from the normal way of doing

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                                           Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP

CURRENT NARRATIVE                      PROPOSED NARRATIVE                                      IDP
                                                                                               page
                                       things. The COVID-19 pandemic
                                       challenged the City’s resilience but the
                                       City demonstrated its ability to adapt and
                                       to embrace change and evolving new
                                       ways of doing business.

On the technology front, 5th           On the technology front, 5th generation                 28
generation connectivity provides the   connectivity provides the capacity to
capacity to improve work efficiency    improve work efficiency and elevate the
and elevate the city to a smart city   city to a smart city with access to a much
with access to a much denser digital   denser digital connectivity network, which
connectivity network, which would      would facilitate improved tracking,
facilitate improved tracking,          maintenance and management of City
maintenance and management of          assets and infrastructure. The City is
City assets and infrastructure.        committed to the transformation of Cape
                                       Town into the most enabled digital city, as
                                       well as to ensure that Cape Town becomes
                                       the preferred destination for technology
                                       start-ups in the country.

                                       Add two new paragraphs at the end of                    28
                                       Service delivery and infrastructure
                                       opportunities and challenges

                                       The City has made significant progress in a
                                       number of key areas of strategic
                                       alignment, the use of data, evidenced
                                       based decision-making, transversal
                                       integration and collaboration,
                                       organisational modernisation and
                                       improvement, asset utilisation, and
                                       management of the urban environment;
                                       etc. Data, data analytics and evidenced
                                       based decision-making made a significant
                                       contribution to both the City’s drought
                                       response and COVID-19 response and
                                       recovery planning. These significant

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CURRENT NARRATIVE                            PROPOSED NARRATIVE                                      IDP
                                                                                                     page
                                             achievements are informing and assisting
                                             the City to build on and leverage the data
                                             related improvements and gains, as well
                                             as ways of working.

                                             With COVID-19, all spheres of government
                                             are entering into an unprecedented period
                                             of austerity measures and the inevitable
                                             curtailment in programmes and services
                                             by National and Provincial governments
                                             which will inevitably impact on the City.

CONCLUSION                                   CONCLUSION                                              29

The City’s new guiding strategy and          The City’s new guiding strategy and
transformational objectives, informed        transformational objectives, informed by
by the contextual review, play a key         the contextual review, play a key role in
role in identifying the priorities for the   identifying the priorities for the IDP strategic
IDP strategic narrative detailed in the      narrative detailed in the following
following chapters.                          chapters.

                                             As part of managing its resources, the City
                                             is operating as efficiently as possible and
                                             pursues cost-efficiencies. The current
                                             vulnerability landscape of the city will be a
                                             key informant in assessing how to go about
                                             allocating public resources under severe
                                             constraints.

Motivation for proposed amendment: Transport Development Index

 The City has adopted a Transformational Priority and Objective of Dense and Transit Oriented
 Urban Growth and Development. The Transport Development Index was linked to the
 Transport for Cape Town strategy of measuring and decreasing the cost of User Access Priority.
 This concept of User Access Priority is NOT a Transformational Priority of the City. It is therefore
 recommended that this text be removed from the IDP. In addition, this TDI will therefore not be
 recalculated to show a trend as it is NOT a City transformational priority.

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The then Directorate, Transport and Urban Development Authority (TDA), expanded the
Transport Development Index into an Urban Development Index that is more suitable to
measure the impact of Dense and Transit Oriented Urban Growth and Development.

Subsequently, TDA was also disestablished. It is recommended that since the City now has
separate functional Directorates for Transport, Planning and Human Settlements, the current
Urban Development Index should be revisited and presented for inclusion, (possibly in an
amended version) in the new IDP related to the new upcoming term of office.

Further, the IDP does contain a Watchlist of Trends / Indicators related to National Key
Performance Indicators to align with Circular 88 (IDP page 57). The Transport NKPI’s are
highlighted below in red text. It is recommended that these indicators be used for monitoring
the key City interventions over time.

TREND WATCHLIST (IDP 2017 – 2022, Amended 2020/21, Page 54)

THIS LIST CONSISTS OF A NUMBER OF INDICATORS LINKED TO THE 11 PRIORITIES THE CITY WISHES
TO INFLUENCE OVER THE LONG TERM IN ORDER TO EVALUATE THE IMPACT OF ITS STRATEGY.

TR3.1 Average public transport commuting time

Average one-way weekday peak hour commuting time via the public transport system
citywide, to work or educational institution.

TR3.2 Average private transport commuting time

Average one-way weekday peak hour commuting time of private transport users, from home
to work or educational institution.

TR7.1 Road traffic fatalities per 100 000 population

Incidence of reported traffic fatalities per 100 000 populations per year.

TR7.2 Average number of fatalities per fatal crash

The number of road traffic deaths divided by the number of fatal crashes per year as reported
within the municipal boundaries

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City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021)
                                               Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP

 Based on the above motivation, the following amendments to the IDP are proposed:

 CURRENT NARRATIVE                            PROPOSED NARRATIVE                          IDP page
 The City’s Transport Development Index       Remove the Transport                        27
                                              Development Index.
 (TDI) has shown that 95% of the Cape
 Town public transport user group is in the
 low- to low-medium income groups. The
 average direct transport cost for the low-
 income public transport user group is 45%
 of monthly household income, against
 the internationally accepted norm of
 between 5 and 10%.29 That is, the low-
 income segment of the public transport
 user group spends on average more than
 four times the acceptable international
 average of their household income on
 access.

Motivation for proposed amendment: Trend Watchlist

 In terms of National Treasury (Municipal Finance Management Act) MFMA Circular 88, that
 relates to Municipal Circular on Rationalisation Planning and Reporting Requirements for the
 2018/19 MTREF:

    -   Outcome sector indicators should be included in the Integrated Development Plan (IDP)
        on a phased in implementation approach. All national indicators are included as
        National Treasury will provide the relevant reliable audit evidence for all metro
        municipalities.

 National Treasury issued an addendum in December 2020 and revised some of the outcome
 sector indicators. These updates are critical as it impacts the measurement and auditability of
 the indicators and requires the trend watch list to be updated with the amendments.

 Amendments relates to indicator name and/or definition amendments and some indicators
 were removed.

 CURRENT NARRATIVE                            PROPOSED NARRATIVE                          IDP page

 EE3.1 System Average Interruption            Update EE3.1                                57
 Duration Index                               Definition/assessment
                                              Key measure from system
                                              perspective to understand how

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CURRENT NARRATIVE                           PROPOSED NARRATIVE                          IDP page
Key measure from system perspective to      long the average customer went
understand how long the average             without electricity supply in the
customer went without electricity supply    given time period. This is
in the given time period.                   measured on the basis of the
                                            sum total of municipal customer
                                            electricity supply interruption
                                            durations per annum, normalised
                                            for the total number of customers
                                            serviced by the municipality
                                            electricity supply. This relies on
                                            an estimated sum of all the
                                            durations multiplied by the
                                            interrupted capacity in kVA
                                            hours.
EE3.2 Customer Average Interruption         Update EE3.2                                57
Duration Index                              Definition/assessment

A measure of the average time to restore    A measure of the average time
service for a customer who suffered a       to restore service for a customer
sustained interruption in their supply      who suffered a sustained
                                            interruption in their municipal
                                            electricity supply. The indicator
                                            measures the average time to
                                            restore service for a customer
                                            who suffered a sustained
                                            interruption in their municipal
                                            electricity supply. This is
                                            determined by the sum of
                                            customer interruption durations
                                            per annum over the total number
                                            of customer interruptions over
                                            the period.
EE3.3 System Average Interruption           Update EE3.3                                57
Frequency Index                             Definition/assessment

Key measure from systems perspective of     Key measure from systems
how often the average customer              perspective of how often the
experiences a sustained interruption over   average customer experiences a
a predefined period of time                 sustained interruption. This is the
                                            total   number     of    customer
                                            interruptions per annum over the
                                            total number of customers served
                                            by the municipality.

EE3.4 Customer Average Interruption         Update EE3.4                                62
Frequency Index                             Definition/assessment

[Metro] Average frequency of sustained      The indicator measures the
interruptions for those customers           average frequency of sustained
experiencing sustained interruptions.       municipal electricity supply
                                            interruptions for those customers
                                            experiencing interruptions.
ENV1.1 Metro Air Quality Index (MAQI)       Replace ENVI.1 with new                     57
                                            indicator and definition.

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CURRENT NARRATIVE                             PROPOSED NARRATIVE                          IDP page
Annual number of days with GOOD air           The indicator provides a
quality                                       measure of the number of days
The Metro Air Quality Index (MAQI)            in the municipality where air
provides a measure of the status of the       quality at representative
most problematic air pollution in relation    monitoring sites remained at
to accepted air quality standards. The        "good" levels or better in terms of
MAQI is defined as the maximum value of       air quality standards. “Good” air
the normalized ratios of the annual           quality – refers to when the
averages of PM10 and SO2 measured by          monitoring sites report ambient
the air quality monitoring station network    air levels of NO2, SO, O3, PM10,
in metro areas for each year. MAQI values     PM2.5 and CO monitoring within
of 1 and above, means that air quality        a given day that are in
does not meet ambient air quality             compliance with ambient
standards. MAQI values below 1 means          standards (complete 24-hour
that air quality complies with ambient air    period). This measures the
quality standards.                            number of days within the
                                              calendar year in which selected
                                              sites report 'good' air quality,
                                              recognising the different
                                              reporting intervals for the
                                              different measures and the fact
                                              that not all sites will sample for all
                                              pollutants.
ENV1.2 Number of days where PM2.5                                                         57
levels exceeded guideline levels              ENV.2:Remove indicator and
                                              definition
Number of days (per municipal financial
year) where the levels of PM2.5 exceed
the national standard, in excess of the
permitted maximum of 4 exceedances
per annual reporting period.
ENV3.2 Waste removal complaints due to        ENV3.2: Remove indicator and                62
non-collection as a percentage of total       definition and replace with new
consumer units/billed accounts                indicator and definition

The    number     of    waste    collection   Percentage of scheduled waste
complaints received over a year, as a         collection service users reporting
percentage of the number of consumer          non-collection
units at the end of the reporting period.
                                              This is a measure of the number
                                              of scheduled waste collection
                                              service users who report an
                                              instance of non-collection of
                                              scheduled waste collection out
                                              of the total population of
                                              scheduled waste service users
                                              based on the number of
                                              municipal scheduled waste
                                              removal collection points. A
                                              scheduled waste collection
                                              service user is someone residing
                                              at a site for which the
                                              municipality provides a
                                              scheduled collection service on

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CURRENT NARRATIVE                             PROPOSED NARRATIVE                          IDP page
                                              a weekly basis. The indicator
                                              measures the number of
                                              reported instances of non-
                                              collection of scheduled waste
                                              collection in relation to the total
                                              number of service points.
FE1.1 Number of fire related deaths per       FE1 changed to FD1.1and                     57
1000 population                               indicator statistical change and
                                              updated definition.

                                              Number of fire related deaths
                                              per 100 000 population.

                                              This is a measure of the
                                              incidence of reported deaths by
                                              the municipality attributed to fire
                                              or fire-related causes (e.g.
                                              smoke inhalation) normalised per
                                              population. This refers to
                                              municipal reporting of all known
                                              deaths related to fire within the
                                              municipal area.
FE1.2                                         FE1.2 changed to FD1.2 and                  61
Number of natural disaster related            indicator statistical change and
deaths per 1000 population                    updated definition

Incidence of reported deaths attributed       This indicator measures the
to natural disasters, normalised per          incidence of reported deaths
population. Natural disasters are             that a municipality considers to
understood as inclusive of calamities         be the direct or indirect result of
arising from natural events beyond the        disaster incidents and extreme
control or (immediate) influence of the       weather events, normalised per
municipal administration. This is inclusive   population. Disaster is defined in
of fires that are not considered specific     terms of the Disaster
structural incidents.                         Management Act as "a
                                              progressive or sudden,
                                              widespread or localised natural
                                              or human-caused occurence
                                              which- a) causes or threatens to
                                              cause- i) death, injury or
                                              disease; ii) damage to property,
                                              infrastructure or the environment;
                                              or iii) disruption of life of a
                                              community; and b) is of a
                                              magnitude that exceeds the
                                              ability of those affected by the
                                              disaster to cope with its effects
                                              using only their own resources".
                                              Extreme weather refers to
                                              unexpected, unusual, severe or
                                              unseasonal weather events;
                                              weather at the extremes of the
                                              historical distribution of the range
                                              seen in the past. This could be

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CURRENT NARRATIVE                    PROPOSED NARRATIVE                          IDP page
                                     inclusive of heat waves, flooding,
                                     drought, storm surges, etc.
                                     Where fires are the result of
                                     extreme weather events or
                                     disasters, they would also be
                                     considered within this indicator,
                                     but would otherwise find
                                     expression in the other indicator.

WS3.1 Frequency of sewer blockages   WS31 Update to indicator                    63

                                     WS3.1 Frequency of sewer
                                     blockages per 100 KMs of
                                     pipeline
WS3.2 Frequency of mains failures    WS32: Update to indicator                   57

                                     Frequency of water mains
                                     failures per 100 KMs of pipeline

n/a                                  WS4.1 Percentage of Drinking                n/a
                                     Water Compliance to SANS 241

                                     The percentage of water
                                     samples measured that comply
                                     with the SANS 241 requirements
                                     over a 12-month period for the
                                     defined parameters. See the
                                     SANS 241 requirements for a
                                     detailed breakdown of the
                                     various tests involved and the
                                     associated standard limits for
                                     application.
n/a                                  WS4.2 Percentage of                         n/a
                                     wastewater samples compliant
                                     to water use license conditions

                                     Percentage of Wastewater
                                     Quality Compliance to specified
                                     licence/permit/authorisation
                                     requirements tested during the
                                     municipal financial year. The
                                     percentage is calculated on the
                                     basis of aggregated results per
                                     Water Use License determinant.
n/a                                  WS5.4 Percentage of water                   n/a
                                     reused.

                                     The total volume of water
                                     recycled and reused as a
                                     percentage of the system input
                                     volume System input should
                                     include water abstracted and all
                                     imported water (raw and
                                     treated). Water that has been

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CURRENT NARRATIVE                          PROPOSED NARRATIVE                           IDP page
                                           'recycled and reused' refers to
                                           water reclaimed from discharge
                                           sources that is then treated and
                                           reused for beneficial purposes
                                           including but not limited to:
                                           agriculture and irrigation,
                                           potable water supplies,
                                           groundwater replenishment,
                                           industrial processes and
                                           environmental restoration. For
                                           the purpose of this indicator, it
                                           measures only municipal
                                           wastewater treated for direct
                                           use, inclusive of irrigation
                                           purposes.
n/a                                        GG3.1 Audit Outcome                          n/a

                                           The Audit Opinion is defined by
                                           the Auditor-General. It is given
                                           across a qualitative, ordinal
                                           scale including: Unqualified with
                                           no findings; Unqualified with
                                           findings; Qualified with findings;
                                           Adverse with findings;and
                                           Disclaimed with findings. For
                                           those who have not completed
                                           the process 'Outstanding audits'
                                           are recorded.

Motivation for proposed amendment: Events Project

Cape Town has earned a reputation as Africa’s premier events destination by successfully
hosting events of various sizes and types, including community events and signature global
events, throughout the year.

 This has resulted in Cape Town being named Africa's Leading Festival and Event Destination
 for 2017, 2018 and 2019 as well as the World’s Leading Festival and Event Destination in 2018
 at the World Travel Awards. This recognition has resulted in more international event
 organisers choosing Cape Town as a host destination thus contributing more to the economy
 and job creation in the events industry and related sectors.

 The IDP therefore needs to expand on the importance of events and what it aims to achieve
 as well as how the City will work towards maintaining and improving on this achievement.

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City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021)
                                               Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP

Based on the above motivation, the following amendments to the IDP are proposed:

                                                                                               IDP page
CURRENT NARRATIVE                            PROPOSED NARRATIVE
                                             Move the “Events Project” from                    80
                                             Programme 1.1B “Cape Town Business
                                             Programme” to Programme 1.1E
                                             “Economic Development and Growth
                                             Programme”.

Events project                               Events project

Globally, events are at the centre of        The Events department through the
strategies for change, redevelopment,        Film Permit and Event Permit offices is
social inclusion and improved                responsible for regulating and
competitiveness. Events are                  enforcing by-laws related to the
acknowledged as potential contributors       sectors. Therefore, the department
to economic growth, and could help           should also be included in the Safety
achieve social, cultural and                 pillar within the IDP.
environmental outcomes within broader
urban development strategies. Events         Events are at the centre of strategies
affect various sectors in Cape Town          for change, redevelopment, social
and have a profound                          inclusion and improved
multiplier effect on tourism and the         competitiveness. They are the catalyst
visitor economy, which helps address         for growth of other sectors like
seasonality. Over the next five years, the   hospitality, retail and tourism because
City will work towards maintaining its       the people you attract to the events
position as the events capital in Africa,    hosted in your city spend money here.
promoting iconic and strategic events        Through the work done by the Events
by actively developing, inter alia, the      Department - in supporting events and
following events segments:                   permitting - and partnering with event
     Large events, such as the Cape         organisers, Cape Town has been
      Town Cycle Tour.                       recognised among global cities as an
     Sports events, such as the HSBC        events destination of choice. The City
      Cape Town Rugby Seven Series.          has during this term of council worked
     Business events, exhibitions and       on maintaining its diverse annual
     conventions, such as the SA             events calendar which includes:
     Innovation Summit.                             major events like the Cape
                                                     Town Cycle Tour

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City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021)
                                            Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP

                                                                                            IDP page
CURRENT NARRATIVE                         PROPOSED NARRATIVE
 Cultural events such as Design              Sporting events such as the
      Indaba.                                     HSBC Cape Town 7s
     Music events, such as the Cape             Community events such as the
      Town International Jazz Festival.           DSTV Mitchells Plain Festival
                                                 Cultural events such as the
                                                  Cape Town Carnival
                                                 Lifestyle events such as Design
                                                  Indaba
                                                 Business events, exhibitions and
                                                  conventions such as the SA
                                                  Innovation Summit
                                                 Music events such as the Cape
                                                  Town International Jazz Festival

                                          The intention for the next five years is
                                          to build on this portfolio but attracting
                                          and bidding for major events similar to
                                          the intergovernmental bid which
                                          brought Cape Town the rights to host
                                          the Africa’s first Netball World Cup in
                                          2023. Hosting new and exciting
                                          events will result in increased
                                          opportunities in the hospitality, events,
                                          tourism, facilities management and
                                          logistics industries, and will generate
                                          additional income for Cape Town's
                                          economy. In addition, the Events
                                          Department, through the Film Permit
                                          Office, has been providing support to
                                          the film industry in the form of film
                                          permitting and promoting Cape Town
                                          as a premier film destination through
                                          the Film Cape Town initiative. This is an
                                          industry which brings in around R3,5-
                                          billion in investment to the local
                                          economy and the department aims to

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