J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura

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J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
J. C. Penney Company
Restore America’s Favorite Store

                                   Team BioBizHoos
                                      Kazusa Edamura

                                        Margaret Fish

                                       Hsien-Ting Kuo

                                           Jianyi Lee

                                         Nhat Nguyen
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
Executive Summary

 JCP has faced declining revenue growth and eroding profits for the past 4 years
 A new long-term strategy aimed to attract a younger customer base but instead turned
  core customer segments away.

Recommendations

 Short-term: turnarounds the sharp decline in sales and profitability
      Integrate discounts, e-commerce, and new store-experience to drive sales
      Implement cost control and better inventory management
 Long-term
      Consolidate and reposition private brands
      Focus on growing e-commerce sales and integration of online, mobile and in-store
       shopping to improve customer experience

                                             -2-                     BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
Contents

      Diagnosis

      Strategic Overview

      Short-term Solutions

      Long-term Strategies

                             -3-   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
JCP has faced declining revenue growth and eroding profits
                                              Performance plummeted in 2012
                        4000                                                                              10%

                        3000
                                                                                                          0%
                        2000
             USD mil.

                        1000                                                                              -10%
                                                   389                  -152          -985
                                  251
                           0
                                    2009                2010              2011              2012
                                                                                                          -20%
                                                                                             -24.8%
                        -1000

                        -2000                                                                             -30%
                                           Net Income          Cash        Revenue growth
                        Source: Company

 o   Sales have been steadily declining over recent years
 o   Profit margins are on the downtrend
 o   CEO Ron Johnson was brought in during the later part of 2011 in an attempt to revive the ailing
     business

                                                                  -4-                              BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
Missteps in untested strategy seriously worsened JCP’s already
weak performance

      New Pricing                  National brands to                  New in-store Experience
                                   replace private brands
                                                                        Town Square, “Main Street of shops”,
                                                                        Home Department

 o   Abrupt pricing changes created confusion and drove traffic away to competitors’ stores

 o   Losing loyal customer base: customers couldn’t find preferred private brands

 o   Unclear impacts of Home department and other new in-store experiences failed to attract new
     customers

 Source: Company
                                                    -5-                       BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
This is not a short-term issue: JCP has underperformed peers for
a long period
                                    Revenue growth                                                           Operating Income Margin
50%                                                                                    20%

40%                                                                                    15%                                                            JCP
30%                                                                                    10%
20%                                                                     JCP
                                                                                        5%                                                            Kohl's
                                                                        Kohl's
10%
                                                                        Macy's          0%

                                                                                              2005

                                                                                                     2006

                                                                                                            2007

                                                                                                                   2008

                                                                                                                          2009

                                                                                                                                 2010

                                                                                                                                        2011

                                                                                                                                               2012
 0%                                                                     Nordstrom                                                                     Macy's
                                                                                       -5%
        2004

               2005

                      2006

                             2007

                                     2008

                                            2009

                                                   2010

                                                          2011

                                                                 2012
-10%
                                                                                       -10%
-20%                                                                                                                                                  Nordstrom
                                                                                       -15%
-30%
                                                                                       -20%
       Source: Hoover’s, Mergent

  JCP has trailed competitors for the past 10 years

  o    Revenue growth has been below peers’ growth for a long period and started declining in 2007

  o    JCP also trailed competitors in key metrics: sales/employee, cost control, and margins

                                                                                 -6-                                      BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
JCP customer base has been shrinking

               High
      Income
               Middle
               Lower

                        Millennials   Middle-aged   Baby boomers
                                        Age
SOURCE: BloombergBusinessweek
                                           -7-            BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
Attempt to reposition failed to consider retaining the still significant
 traditional customer base

      JCP under CEO Ron Johnson attempted to drastically and abruptly change their
     customer base, resulting in alienating existing customers, while failing to attract a
                                          new base.
                High
       Income
                Middle

                                  ?
                Lower

                         Millennials    Middle-aged          Baby boomers
SOURCE: BloombergBusinessweek              Age
                                              -8-                    BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
Diagnosis

Strategic Overview

Short-term Solutions

Long-term Strategies

                       -9-   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
J. C. Penney Company Restore America's Favorite Store - Team BioBizHoos Kazusa Edamura
Gradual repositioning could recapture old customers while
 attracting the new middle-aged customer base
                 Maintain limited
                millennial appeal,
                    but without
                alienating families
                High

                                                            Focus: Middle-aged
                                                             women and family
                                                                 shopping
       Income
                Middle

                                                            Why? Typical dept.
                                                              store customers
                                                             are women aged
                                                                   34-55.
                Lower

                         Millennials   Middle-aged   Baby boomers
SOURCE: BloombergBusinessweek             Age
                                           - 10 -         BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Align product portfolio with JCP’s core values and leverage
infrastructure for E-commerce to achieve sustained growth

                                    Customer Trust

   JCP’s                   Great Shopping Experience at JCP
  Mission

  JCP’s
Competitive        Best Value            Quality             Family-friendly
Advantages                              Casualwear

  JCP’s                         Vertically Integrated Value Chain
Capabilities                              Private Labels
                                           Product Portfolio Improvement
               Coupons/           Affordable
     Our                                          Size Variation       “Mom-centric”
               Discounts         High Quality
Recommended
  Strategies
                                Enhanced E-commerce Technology

                                         - 11 -                    BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Capabilities – Highly vertical integration and wide distribution
coverage

                                                                                                             Service
                       Private
                                               Distribution                       Retail                       and
                       Brands
                                                                                                             support

 JCP
                • 53% of sales       • 11 Distribution Centers           • 1,104 stores             • Mobile device, app and
                                     • 5 Regional Warehouses             • Online platform            IT system
                                     • 4 Fulfillment Centers

 TJ Maxx
                • No private brand   • No Fulfillment Centers            • 1036 stores
                                                                         • No online business

 Macy's
                • 20% of sales       • Outsourced Distribution Channel   • 841 Stores
                                                                         • Online platform

 Nordstrom
                • 25% of sales       • 1 Fulfillment Centers             • 242 U.S. stores          • Private label card and
                                                                         • Online platform            loyalty program

 Kohl’s
                • 52% of sales       • 9 Distribution Centers            • 1,146 stores
                                     • 3 Fulfillment Centers             • Online platform

           JCP has strong capabilities for implementing the recommended strategy

                                                          - 12 -                             BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Stablize the business with short-term turnarounds and identify
 strategic focus for long-term sustained growth
                                  1- 2 years
          6 months – 18 months
                                               STRENGTHEN BRAND
           REVIVE PROFITABILITY                IMAGE & CAPTURE NEW
                                               GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES

           1                                   4
KEY        Regain customer                     Align product portfolios with
OBJECTIVES trust                               key customer segments

           2                                   5
           Reverse revenues                    Strengthen the brand image of
           decline trend                       quality, and value store

           3                                   6
           Improve margins and                 Leverage existing capabilities
           liquidity position                  to capture e-commerce trend

                                      - 13 -                    BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Content

      Diagnosis

      Strategic Overview

      Short-term Solutions

      Long-term Strategies

                             - 14 -   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Turnarounds - regain customer trust and reverse revenue decline
trend
 •       Leverage social media and customer survey to gain trust and feedback

 •       Revise product portfolio based on customer research and past sales data analysis

     o    Bring back the assortment appealing to the traditional older customer base to drive more traffic

     o    Focus on volume-driving brands

                                                        - 15 -                      BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Turnarounds - regain customer trust and reverse revenue decline
trend
 •   Integrate direct sales (e-commerce), traditional coupons, and new store
     experiences to increase store traffic

                                 Coupons,
                                email offers
                                SEARCH IN STORE
                               Mobile app,
                              Store display

 •   Design marketing and promotion campaigns to capture major sales events

                                            - 16 -               BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Turnarounds - examine product portfolio and stores for profit
margin improvement
                      JCP has rising COGS/Sales
                                                                                                         Revenue/store under performed versus
 70%                                                                                                              competitors (2012)

                                                                JCP
                                                                                              60

 65%                                                                                          50
                                                                Kohl's

                                                                               USD millions
                                                                                              40

                                                                                              30
 60%                                                            Macy's
                                                                                              20

                                                                                              10
                                                                Nordstrom
 55%                                                                                           0
                                                                                                   JCP     Kohl's   Macy's Nordstrom   Target   Walmart
        2005

               2006

                      2007

                             2008

                                    2009

                                           2010

                                                  2011

                                                         2012

Source: Hoover’s, Mergent

  o    Rationalize product portfolios: eliminate non-performing product lines & brands

  o    Benchmark individual store performance (internally and vs. industry): close stores below
       benchmarks (ex: sales/store, sales growth), assign accountability

                                                                      - 17 -                                        BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Turnarounds - Improve cost control for better margins

                                  SG&A/Sales                                                                                      Sales/Employee
40%                                                                                                250,000
                                                               JCP
35%                                                                                                200,000

                                                                                    USD/employee
30%                                                            Kohl's                              150,000                                                                   JCP
                                                                                                                                                                             Kohl's
25%                                                                                                100,000
                                                                                                                                                                             Macy's
                                                               Macy's
                                                                                                                                                                             Nordstrom
20%                                                                                                 50,000

15%                                                            Nordstrom                                0

                                                                                                             2004
                                                                                                                    2005
                                                                                                                           2006
                                                                                                                                   2007
                                                                                                                                          2008
                                                                                                                                                 2009
                                                                                                                                                        2010
                                                                                                                                                               2011
                                                                                                                                                                      2012
      2005

             2006

                    2007

                           2008

                                   2009

                                          2010

                                                 2011

                                                        2012

  Source: Hoover’s, Mergent

 Review cost control
 o JCP’s SG&A is the highest among peers, partially due to sharp revenue drop

 o    Review marketing & advertisement budgets to focus only on efficient projects

 o    Perform cost analysis to identify areas of improvement

 Initiate efficiency improvement programs
 o Sales/employee is low, contributing to low revenues/store

 o    Consider initiatives to improve: employee training, KPI & incentive implementation
                                                                           - 18 -                                                           BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Turnarounds - work on inventory management system
improvement
                                                     Days in Inventory
                       135
                       125
                                                                                                JCP
                       115
                       105
                        95                                                                      Kohl's
                        85
                        75
                        65                                                                      Macy's

                        55
                        45
                                                                                                Nordstrom
                        35
                             2005

                                    2006

                                           2007

                                                  2008

                                                            2009

                                                                   2010

                                                                          2011

                                                                                     2012
                                                                                 Source: Hoover’s, Mergent
  Improve margin and liquidity
  o JCP days in inventory is in the high range. JCP should adopt a leaner inventory approach and better
     forecast system, benchmarked with competitors (Nordstrom).

  o   High inventory hurts margins via clearance sales, lower prices and inventory markdowns

  o   Better integration of POS system, data analytics, and inventory management

  Contribute to better customer experiences
  o Quick turnover for new designs will better meet customer demands

                                                         - 19 -                               BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Content

      Diagnosis

      Strategic Overview

      Short-term Solutions

      Long-term Strategies

                             - 20 -   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Overlapping Brands and Unclear Image

High
Income

Low
Income
         Age - Low                                       Age - High

                                - 21 -   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Consolidation and Flagship Brand Creation

          …..

                          10 votes   0.14%

 Consolidate private brands                    Reposition JCP brand to be the
 that are not popular                          flagship brand by incorporating
                                               crossover design with famous
                                               designers and using high quality
                                               material.

                                      - 22 -                  BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Overlapping Brands and Unclear Image

High
Income

Low
Income
         Age - Low                                       Age - High

                                - 23 -   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
E-commerce is an ongoing retail trend

                                                         Online retailers grow faster than traditional
                                                                     departmental stores
                                                 20

                       Annual Sales Growth (%)
                                                 15
                                                 10
                                                  5
                                                  0
                                                  -5
                                                 -10
                                                       2009   2010    2011     2012      2013   2014   2015

                                                              Dept Stores         Online Retailers

                                                        SOURCE: Census Bureau and IERF

 E-commerce is the future of the retail industry

 o   Department store growth is stagnant, but e-commerce continues to grow

 o   Improves customer convenience

 o   Attracts more young customers

                                                                              - 24 -                          BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
JCP needs to catch up with competitors on e-commerce growth
                                            Online Sales Growth

                            60
                            50
                            40
                            30
                            20
                            10
                             0
                           -10
                           -20
                           -30
                                     JCP          Kohl's                Macy's   Nordstrom's

                                                 2010            2011     2012

                   Competitors are increasing their sales growth, but JCP’s has declined.

Long Term Solutions:
o Integration of in-store, online and mobile functionality will improve customer experience, loyalty

o   Data Analytics creates a personalized shopping experience and increases sales

o   Online-only sales of categories with poor sales performance

o   JCP’s advantage in wide distribution and retail network can better serve customers

                                                        - 25 -                         BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
JCP: Value and Convenience for Families

Women’s and family apparel
 and accessories make up
    over 50% of sales

                  Integrated in-store, online
                     and mobile shopping

 Great Sales and Values
 attract price-sensitive
       customers

           JCP private brands deliver
             quality and variety at
               affordable prices

       More diverse
     plus-size options
     create inclusivity

                                           - 26 -   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Appendix

           - 27 -   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
JCP’s performance has declined over the past four years

                                         Serious Decline in JCP's Performance
                   20,000                                                                                             50%

                                                                                                                      40%
                   15,000
                                                                                                                      30%
    USD millions

                   10,000                                                                                             20%

                                                                                                                      10%
                    5,000
                                                                                                                      0%

                       0                                                                                              -10%
                            2009                  2010                          2011                       2012

                                   Revenue    Gross margin            EBITDA/Sales     Net Profit Margin

                                                             - 28 -                            BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Benchmarking with major competitors

                       JCP has rising COGS/Sales                                                                                         SG&A/Sales
80%                                                                                                   40%
                                                                                         JCP                                -4.7%                                           JCP
75%                                                                                                   35%
                                                                                         Kohl's                                              Everyday                       Kohl's
                                                                                                                                             value               -3.6%
70%                                                                                      Macy's       30%                                                                   Macy's
                                                                                                                                                                         New pricing
                                                                                         Sears                                               Clearance                   strategy
                                                                                                                                                                            Sears
65%                                                                                                   25%
                                                                                                                                             sales                         Promotion
                                                                                         Nordstrom                                                                         Nordstrom
                                                                                                                                                                         Vendor support
60%                                                                                                   20%                                                                  Delivery cost
                                                                                         Target                                                                             Target
                                                                                                                                             Low margin
55%                                                                                      Walmart      15%                                    services                       Walmart
       2005

               2006

                       2007

                                2008

                                         2009

                                                   2010

                                                             2011

                                                                           2012

                                                                                                            2005

                                                                                                                   2006

                                                                                                                           2007

                                                                                                                                  2008

                                                                                                                                          2009

                                                                                                                                                   2010

                                                                                                                                                          2011

                                                                                                                                                                 2012
                                                                                                                                          Inventory markdown
                                                                                                                                           Vendor cost
                                       Days in Inventory
                                                                                                                          2012 vs. 2011                     2011 vs. 2010
 135
 125                                                                                       JCP
 115
                                                                                           Kohl's
 105
 95                                                                                        Macy's
 85
                                                                                           Sears
 75
 65                                                                                        Nordstrom
 55
                                                                                           Target
 45
 35                                                                                        Walmart
        2005

                2006

                         2007

                                  2008

                                            2009

                                                      2010

                                                                    2011

                                                                                  2012

                                                                                                  - 29 -                                         BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Benchmarking with major competitors

                                                        Revenue growth                                                                             Operating Income Margin
  50%                                                                                                                        20%
                                                                                                                                                                                            JCP
  40%                                                                                                                        15%
  30%                                                                                                       JCP                                                                             Kohl's
                                                                                                                             10%
  20%                                                                                                       Kohl's                                                                          Macy's
                                                                                                                              5%
                                                                                                            Macy's
  10%                                                                                                                                                                                       Sears
                                                                                                            Nordstrom         0%

                                                                                                                                    2005

                                                                                                                                           2006

                                                                                                                                                  2007

                                                                                                                                                         2008

                                                                                                                                                                2009

                                                                                                                                                                       2010

                                                                                                                                                                              2011

                                                                                                                                                                                     2012
  0%                                                                                                        Target           -5%                                                            Nordstrom
                    2004

                               2005

                                         2006

                                                 2007

                                                           2008

                                                                     2009

                                                                                   2010

                                                                                            2011

                                                                                                    2012
 -10%                                                                                                       Walmart
                                                                                                                             -10%                                                           Target
 -20%
                                                                                                                             -15%                                                           Walmart
 -30%
                                                                                                                             -20%

                                                        Sales/Employee
                 250,000

                 200,000
  USD/employee

                                                                                                           JCP
                 150,000                                                                                   Kohl's
                                                                                                           Macy's
                 100,000
                                                                                                           Nordstrom
                                                                                                           Target
                  50,000
                                                                                                           Walmart
                           0
                                  2004
                                          2005
                                                 2006
                                                         2007
                                                                  2008
                                                                            2009
                                                                                     2010
                                                                                            2011
                                                                                                   2012

                                                                                                                    - 30 -                                      BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Factors affecting gross margin

                        Breakdown of gross margin changes

                  4%
                            -4.7%
                  2%                   Everyday
                              2.40%    value         -3.6%
                  0%                                           New pricing
                                                      -1.20%   strategy
                                       Clearance
                  -2%                  sales           -1%       Promotion
                              -4.60%                           Vendor support
                                                      -0.80%
                                                      -0.20%     Delivery cost
                  -4%
                                       Low margin
                              -1.30%   services
                  -6%         -0.70% Inventory markdown
                              -0.50%  Vendor cost
                  -8%
                          2012 vs. 2011            2011 vs. 2010

                                            - 31 -                               BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
JC Penney’s changes in product mix

            Product Type (% sales)                     2009      2010        2011         2012
  Women's apparel                                          24     24          25           23
  Men's apparel and accessories                            19     20          20           21
  Home                                                     19     18          15           12
  Women's accessories, including Sephora                   11     12          12           13
  Children's apparel                                       11     11          12           12
  Family footwear                                          7       7           7            7
  Fine jewelry                                             4       4           4            7
  Services and other                                       5       4           5            5
  Total                                                    100    100         100         100

  Home category is shrinking
  o Home category traditionally occupies more store space
  o Some sub-categories such as electronic appliances face fear competition, especially from e-
    commerce (Amazon)

                                                  - 32 -                    BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
Highest-ranked Online Coupon Sites

                                     shopathome.com
                                         US rank 68
               Based on internet averages, shopathome.com is visited more
                     frequently by females who are over 65 years old,
            received some college education and browse this site from school.
        *but also more women over 45 than the general internet population as well
                            #1 for traffic among coupon sites

                                                 slickdeals.net
                                                  US rank 170
                Based on internet averages, slickdeals.net is visited more frequently by females
                       who are in the age range 25-34, received some college education
                                       and browse this site from school.

                                      coupons.com
                                       US rank 196
           Based on internet averages, coupons.com is visited more frequently
             by females who have children, received some college education
                             and browse this site from school.

SOURCE: Alexa

                                                 - 33 -                   BioBizHoos – GSCB Case Competition
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