LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC STATES AND FINLAND

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LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC STATES AND FINLAND
LATVIAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICS
                                                                AND TECHNICAL SCIENCES
                                                                               2021, N 2

                                                                DOI: 10.2478/lpts-2021-0011

LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND
PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC
            STATES AND FINLAND
             J. Savickis1, L. Zemite2, L. Jansons2, N. Zeltins2, I. Bode2,
                  A. Ansone2, A. Selickis2, A. Broks2, A. Koposovs2

                                    ITERA Latvija
                                        1

                     50 Skanstes Str., Riga, LV-1013, LATVIA
                            2
                             Riga Technical University,
              Faculty of Electrical and Environmental Engineering,
                         Institute of Power Engineering
                     12-1 Azenes Str., Riga, LV-1048, LATVIA
                           *e-mail: laila.zemite@rtu.lv

     In the early 2010s, only 23 countries had access to the liquefied natural gas (hereinafter –
LNG). Import terminals, despite attractive short-term economics, took long time to build, and
rigid supply contracts made truly global use of LNG rather complicated. Concerns about geo-
political risks also stunted demand growth from existing supply sources, even when new LNG
export routes and sources became available.
     Current natural gas market is very different, both in terms of market participants and accessi-
bility and diversity of services. In 2019, the number of LNG importing countries reached 43. Ris-
ing competition among suppliers and increasing liquidity of markets themselves created favour-
able conditions to diversify contract duration, size, and flexibility. In addition, development of
floating storage and regasification unit (hereinafter – FSRU) technology provided LNG suppliers
with a quick response option to sudden demand fluctuations in regional and local natural gas
markets [1].
     Moreover, LNG is one of the major options not only for bringing the natural gas to regions
where its pipeline supply infrastructure is historically absent, limited or underdeveloped, but also
for diversification of the natural gas supply routes and sources in regions with sufficient state of
pipeline delivery possibilities. And it concerns smaller natural gas markets, like the Baltic States
and Finland as well. Accordingly, prospects for use of LNG there in both mid and long-term
perspective must be carefully evaluated, especially in regards to emerging bunkering business
in the Baltic Sea aquatory and energy transition in Finland, replacing coal base-load generation
with other, more sustainable and environmentally friendly alternatives.
     Keywords: Bunkering, Finland, LNG, LNG infrastructure, natural gas, the Baltic States.

                                                45
LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC STATES AND FINLAND
1. INTRODUCTION

    LNG is the natural gas that has been              four – in the third countries (Turkey and
cooled to a liquid state, at about -260°              the Russian Federation). Twenty-three are
Fahrenheit, for shipment, distribution and            land-based LNG import terminals, five –
storage. The volume of the natural gas in             FSRUs, and one, located in Malta, is an
liquid state is about 600 times less than its         import facility comprised of a floating stor-
volume in the gaseous state [2], [3]. Thus,           age unit and onshore regasification facility.
process of liquefaction makes possible to             Six terminals – South Hook, Dragon, Isle of
transport the natural gas to significant dis-         Grain in the UK, Gate in the Netherlands,
tances – different continents and parts of            Rovigo in Italy and Dunkerque in France –
the globe, or simply places, which pipeline           have been granted exemptions from the EU
infrastructure does not reach. Markets that           rules on regulated third party access [6].
are too far away from producing regions to                Europe’s increasing prominence in the
be connected directly to them via pipeline            global LNG market continued throughout
infrastructure have access to the natural gas         2018, 2019 and 2020. In 2018, its 15 LNG
exclusively because of LNG.                           importing countries collectively held a
    For large-volume transportation, LNG              15.6 % share of the total global LNG import
is loaded onto double-hulled carrier ships,           market, demonstrating a 6.4 % rise in com-
which are used for both safety and insulat-           parison with results of 2017.
ing purposes. Once the carrier arrives at the             In 2019, the European LNG import-
receiving port, LNG is off-loaded into stor-          ers increased their global market share to
age tanks or regasified for injection into a          24.2 %, and the volume of LNG imported
pipeline distribution network [4]. LNG can            by 75.6 %. As a whole, the total amount of
also be shipped in smaller quantities, usually        LNG imported by the EU Member States
over shorter distances and used as a bunker-          was more than 108 billion cubic meters
ing fuel. There is also a growing segment             (hereinafter – BCM). In comparison with
of very small-scale LNG shipments, which              2018, the rise was rather significant – by
are usually performed by using the same               48BCM. The biggest LNG importers in the
containers as used on trucks in international         EU were: Spain with 22.4, France with 22.1,
trade, specially outfitted with cryogenic             the UK with 18, Italy with 13.5, the Neth-
tanks [5]. Other small-scale LNG activities           erlands and Belgium with 8.6 – 8.8 BCM.
include peak demand response liquefaction             As a result of increasing import volumes
and storage facilities, which can hold the            and decreasing average annual prices, the
natural gas compactly for periods of high             monetary value of the EU LNG imports in
demand. In some regions, particularly, in             2019 reached 16.2 billion euros (hereinafter
the US and Canada, LNG is also brought by             – EUR), slightly up from EUR 15.4 billion
truck to and from these facilities.                   in 2018 [6]. Qatar was the largest exporter
    In 2020, there were 29 large-scale LNG            of LNG to Europe, followed by the Russian
import terminals in operation in Europe.              Federation and the US.
Twenty-one of them are located in the cur-                Between 2017 and 2023, the global
rent Member States of the European Union              liquefied natural gas trade is expected to
(hereinafter – EU) – and therefore subject            grow by more than 100 BCM, from 391 to
to the EU regulation, three – in the UK and           505 BCM, and large share of this growth

                                                 46
LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC STATES AND FINLAND
is expected to be contributed by the US              by almost 20 % [7], because blend of the
natural gas exporters. Moreover, shrinking           natural gas and renewables gases (hereinaf-
percentage of the natural gas use in the EU          ter – RG) is widely recognised as valid tran-
Member States has not been an obstacle for           sitional fuel in a way to decarbonization of
the International Energy Agency to esti-             the EU’s power generation and transporta-
mate that LNG imports to Europe in 2040,             tion sectors over the next three decades [8].
if compared to 2016 levels, should increase

                       Fig. 1. The EU LNG import (by Member State, in BCM).

           Source: EC calculations based on tanker movements reported by Thomson Reuters.

    The major pathway to decarboniza-                (hereinafter – RES), the natural gas can
tion of the EU’s energy and transport – the          bridge a gap by providing a reliable, non-
European Green Deal – provides a frame-              intermittent source of energy. Therefore,
work for the EU’s energy transition with the         LNG serves to diversify sources and routes
aim of achieving net-zero greenhouse gas             of the natural gas import to Europe.
(hereinafter – GHG) emissions by 2050 [9],               While pipeline natural gas deliveries
[10]. The natural gas, including regasified          from Russia and Algeria, amongst others,
LNG, is being regarded as suitable fuel for          will continue to supply a large proportion of
the energy transition – in light of its lower        the natural gas for the EU, with phasing out
carbon intensity compared to heavier fossil          of coal and lignite-fired power generation
fuels. The natural gas might prove not to be         and the continued decline of the domestic
carbon neutral enough in a long term, but it         natural gas production, a growing share of
is surely clean enough to play an important          LNG in the European primary energy mix is
role in the European energy supply mix in            highly likely [6], especially, in such sectors
the short and mid-term perspective. As for           as maritime and heavy-duty road transport,
Europe’s transition from fossil fuels such           and power generation.
as coal and oil to renewable energy sources

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LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC STATES AND FINLAND
Table 1. The Natural Gas Consumption in the Baltic States and Finland (TWh (BCM), 2017–2019)

                                                          TWh (BCM)

                                    2017                      2018                        2019

Estonia                           5.2 (0.53)                5.2 (0.53)                  4.8 (0.49)

Latvia                           13.1 (1.34)               15.1 (1.55)                 14.3 (1.46)

Lithuania                        24.2 (2.48)               22.3 (2.28)                 23.6 (2.42)

Finland                          17. 6 (1.8)                21.5 (2.2)                   19.5 (2)

Total                            60.1 (6.15)               64.1 (6.56)                 62.2 (6.37)

     Despite the fact that overall natural
gas consumption in the Baltic and Finland
is decreasing or standing still at best [11],
the demand for the Baltic small-scale LNG
market is projected to reach 1.908 million
tonnes of LNG per annum (between 1.38 and
1.41 BCM of the natural gas per annum) by
2030, actuating at an estimated compound
annual growth rate of 14.01 % from 2020
to 2030. Some estimates show that increas-
ing investment in LNG infrastructure and
strong support from the local governments
for adoption of LNG as a marine and road
transport fuel are expected to give a signifi-
cant push to an actual market growth in the
Baltics in the nearest future [12].
     As for infrastructure, the expected
investment growth includes, but is not
limited to, building of new LNG import
terminals, bunkering points, truck fuelling
stations, and, possibly, small-scale autono-              Fig. 2. LNG terminals in the Baltic States and
mous natural gas supply networks. Cur-                                      Finland.
rently, the Baltic States and Finland have
three operational LNG terminals, only one                  Klaipėda LNG terminal currently serves
of which – Klaipėda LNG in Lithuania – is              as a hub for LNG import in the north-east-
connected to the natural gas transport net-            ern Baltics; however, with recent develop-
work. The second terminal of this kind –               ments in Estonia and possible LNG projects
Hamina LNG in the South-eastern part of                in Latvia, at least partial relocation of LNG
Finland – is expected to be in full commer-            import traffic might take place by or shortly
cial operation in 2021.                                after 2030 [12].

                                                  48
LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC STATES AND FINLAND
2. LNG INFRASTRUCTURE AND DELIVERIES TO THE BALTIC STATES

2.1. Lithuania

     As it has been mentioned before, the             out at Klaipėda LNG terminal reached 200.
only Baltic State currently possessing LNG            Since 2014, more than 80 TWh (terawatt-
terminal is Lithuania. The geographically             hours (hereinafter – TWh); 8.19 BCM) of
closest large-scale LNG terminal outside              the natural gas has been regasified and sup-
the Baltic States is Świnoujście LNG in               plied to the Lithuania national natural gas
Poland, but currently it cannot be part of the        grid from the terminal. Last year alone,
Baltic regional natural gas market because            20 TWh (2.05 BCM) of natural gas was
it is not yet connected to the Baltic–Finnish         regasified there, and, as a result, approxi-
natural gas network.                                  mately 70 % of the year’s natural gas deliv-
     Klaipėda LNG started its operation on            ery in Lithuania was carried out through
3 December 2014, and therefore Lithuania              Klaipėda LNG terminal.
became the fifth country in the world to use               The year 2020 was particularly favour-
FSRU technology for LNG imports. The                  able for the American LNG imports to
central element of the Klaipėda LNG ter-              Europe, including the Baltics. Between
minal – FSRU “Independence”, the LNG                  2016 and October 2020, 10 cargoes from
carrier built by “Hyundai Heavy Indus-                the US were delivered to Lithuania, total-
tries”, was leased from “Höegh LNG” for               ling 9.37 TWh (0.96 BCM) of LNG. Last
ten years with a possibility of buyout. It            year, LNG cargos from the US made up
has a maximum import capacity of almost               37 % of total LNG import of Klaipėda LNG
4 billion cubic metres (hereinafter – m3)             terminal. About 49 % of LNG was imported
of the natural gas per annum (2.2 million             from Norway, but the rest – by small quanti-
tonnes of LNG), while it has four storage             ties only – from other sources.
tanks with total capacity of 170.000 m3. The               However, in comparison, the US LNG
Lithuanian Parliament voted to operate its            deliveries to Lithuania between 2016 and
LNG import facility at least until 2044 and           2020 corresponded to 0.5 % of all its LNG
advised JSC Klaipedos Nafta to negotiate a            export operations [7].
purchase of the LNG regasification vessel                  As for 2021, more than 14 TWh
in the late 2024 [13].                                (1.43 BCM) of regasification capacity has
     By the end of 2020, the total amount of          already been ordered at Klaipėda LNG ter-
loading and re-loading operations carried             minal.
2.2. Latvia

     Currently, Latvia lacks any elements             to information of the Freeport of Riga, LNG
of the LNG import infrastructure, although            terminal with an area of ​​34 hectares was
several propositions to build a terminal in           planned to be built on the island of Kun-
different locations were presented over the           dzinsala – the largest island in the Daugava
course of the last decade. The first propo-           River in Riga, which is mainly used as
sition is related to Kundzinsala Southern             a maritime trade related industrial area.
Project, or more commonly known as Kun-               Instead of planning connection to the natu-
dzinsala LNG terminal project. According              ral gas transmission network, developers of

                                                 49
LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS INFRASTRUCTURE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE BALTIC STATES AND FINLAND
Kundzinsala LNG terminal made a decision              any other LNG import terminal proposal of
in favour of connection to the natural gas            comparable capacity. A fact that LNG cold
distribution grid. The geographical location          storage facility, which usually takes up to
of the terminal was a reason why its con-             70–80 % of LNG import terminal building
nection to the natural gas transmission net-          expenses, is not needed was presented as
work was not regarded as economically and             its obvious strong point. Instead, the devel-
technically feasible. Project team requested          opers made an assumption that Incukalns
and received technical regulations from               UGS will serve as a permanent storage
the Latvian natural gas distribution system           for all delivered natural gas resources, and
operator to make a connection to the natu-            direct high-pressure pipeline connection
ral gas distribution system in Riga. In order         between the storage and the LNG terminal
to make a connection, the LNG terminal                will be built. Therefore, unparalleled flex-
operator was obligated to build the follow-           ibility would be provided to all the proj-
ing elements of infrastructure and technical          ect, as LNG can be acquired extensively
equipment: supply pipeline from the termi-            in favourable market conditions on a spot
nal to the distribution system, a gas connec-         market basis, and stored in the UGS for
tion point and a metering station with a gas          winter consumption, while the terminal can
chromatograph [14].                                   reduce operation in high price periods.
    The expected business areas of the ter-                Despite the fact, that preliminary
minal were outlined as follows: bunker-               costs of the project are not yet known, the
ing, trade of LNG, including deliveries to            developers announced, that total estimated
road transport filling stations and alterna-          investments would be at least 3 times less
tive distribution networks, and injection of          than for any other LNG terminal type of
regasified natural gas into the Latvian natu-         comparable capacity with LNG cold stor-
ral gas distribution network.                         age option [16].
    So far there are no indications that                   It is estimated that, being in full opera-
would signal a possible beginning of con-             tion, the regasification capacity of Skulte
struction of the LNG terminal complex in              LNG terminal would reach 3 million tons
Kundzinsala in foreseeable future. As an              of LNG per annum, and it would be able to
alternative, a proposal to construct LNG              receive LNG carriers of significantly vari-
terminal in Skulte, the Northwestern part of          ous sizes: between 40.000 and 170.000 m3,
Riga Gulf, emerged. Skulte project was pre-           and unload them in the period of time from
sented as a floating regasification unit with-        3 to 6 days.
out LNG storage tanks, but with a direct                   The project is reapplying for the EU
pipeline connection to the Incukalns under-           Projects of Common Interest (hereinafter –
ground gas storage (hereinafter – Incukalns           PCI) status under the 5th round of the
UGS) facility. Unfortunately, this type of            PCI projects to be decided by the Euro-
LNG terminal is not designed to supply                pean Commission by the end of 2021 and,
unregasified LNG, which could be trans-               according to several sources, this may
ported further by trucks, for example, to liq-        require repurposing of the project to handle
uefied or compressed – liquefied natural gas          not only traditional LNG, but also biometh-
(hereinafter – L-CNG) filling stations [15].          ane and hydrogen as well [17]. The envi-
    The Skulte project developers state that          ronmental impact of the project is ongoing
the project has unique geographic, eco-               since December 2018 [16].
nomic and technological advantages over

                                                 50
Fig. 3. Proposed location of Skulte LNG terminal with possible pipeline connection
                                   routes between it and Incukalns UGS.

                                          Source: skultelng.lv.

    Significantly enough, that in 2017, as a            the BEMIP region. In this plan, the follow-
part of the Baltic Energy Market Intercon-              ing LNG terminal projects are said to be
nection Plan (hereinafter – BEMIP), the                 implemented in the Eastern Baltics: con-
regional natural gas transmission system                struction of the Paldiski and Tallinn LNG
operators jointly completed the develop-                terminals in Estonia, and acquisition of
ment of the third Gas Regional Investment               Klaipėda LNG terminal [18], [19]. At the
Plan (hereinafter – GRIP), providing uni-               same time, GRIP includes none of potential
fied information on the planned projects in             LNG import terminal projects from Latvia.
2.3. Estonia

    Estonia, like Latvia, does not have its             would be designed as truck loading, secu-
own LNG import facility, but Port of Tal-               rity of supply and bunkering terminal at
linn authority is considering the possibility           Muuga harbour with an initial LNG storage
of building the LNG receiving terminal at a             capacity of 4000 m³, truck loading rack and
location in either Muuga Harbour or Pald-               up to 0.5 BCM per annum connection to the
iski South Harbour [18]. The purpose of                 natural gas grid through a connection point
the LNG terminal would be to receive LNG                located about 1 km from the terminal. The
from carrier ships, store it in storage tanks,          terminal would be connected to an existing
vaporise, and then deliver the natural gas to           berth.
a high-pressure distribution pipeline or to                 There is also a possibility to expand the
the local major natural gas consumers.                  terminal into an on-land break bulk facility
    Tallinn LNG terminal in particular                  that can service any ship on the market by

                                                   51
constructing up to four vertical LNG storage         tion up to 4 BCM per annum through con-
tanks with a storage capacity from 50 000 to         nection into the high-pressure grid located
250 000 m3, connecting to a second berth             about 13 km from the terminal [20].
and expanding the natural gas grid connec-
2.4. Bunkering Activities

     According to consulting company                      On 14 January 2021, the fourth load of
“DNV GL”, there were 177 LNG-powered                 approximately 3000 m3 of LNG arrived at
vessels in operation worldwide in 2020. By           the “Klaipėdos Nafta” reloading station, but
2027, another 208 vessels using this type            the previous three loads were delivered in
of fuel are expected to be built. The high-          June, August and November 2020, respec-
est concentration of such ships is currently         tively [23]. Since April 2020, the reloading
recorded in the North and Baltic Seas. Thus,         station is almost exclusively used for opera-
bunkering is a fast growing and attractive           tions of the Polish energy company PGNiG.
business opportunity, which is also wel-             In total, since beginning of its bunkering
comed by the Baltic ports, and particularly          operations, more than 4000 tons or 250 tank
Port of Klaipėda. The port conducted its             trucks of LNG were loaded in Klaipėda.
first LNG bunkering operation on 8 March                  Bunkering activities are also carried out
2020, with supply of LNG to a cement car-            in other Baltic countries. For instance, the
rier from the Malkos Bay Terminal [21]. In           Estonian natural gas company “Eesti Gaas”
addition, on 7 January 2019, the world’s             – one of the major LNG suppliers and the
largest LNG transportation and bunker-               biggest truck-to-ship bunkering service
ing vessel “Kairos” was launched. Its main           providers in the Northern Europe – in one
activity in the port of Klaipėda is moving           month period delivers around 1300 tons of
LNG from the terminal to the LNG reload-             LNG and conducts an average of 65 truck-
ing station situated next to the gates of the        to-ship bunkering operations [24].
port [22].

3. LNG INFRASTRUCTURE IN FINLAND

     The construction of Finland’s first LNG         arrived there in July 2016. The Ministry of
import terminal, located in the city of Pori,        Economic Affairs and Employment of Fin-
was completed in 2016. Currently, it is in           land provided EUR 23 million funding for
full operation. In addition, the Manga LNG           the terminal project. The EC approved the
import terminal in the city of Tornio was            funding under the EU state aid rules in Sep-
inaugurated in June 2019. There is also the          tember 2015 [25].
LNG import terminal under construction                   The terminal consists of an LNG tank
in Hamina, which is expected to be ready             (height 35 m, outer diameter 42 m), load-
for commercial operation in the first half of        ing docks, process units – compressor and
2021 [25].                                           vaporizers –, flare torch (height less than
     Construction of the Pori LNG termi-             50 m), three loading docks for road tankers,
nal, amounting to EUR 81 million, began              transformer building, and heat production
in August 2014, and was completed in                 unit. The terminal has LNG storage capac-
September 2016, but the first load of LNG            ity of approximately 30.000 m³. The LNG

                                                52
deliveries to industrial customers are made          and LNG to local industries, mines, and
through the local natural gas distribution           other consumers in the region. LNG from
network, by sea in bunkering vessel or by            the terminal will also be supplied to the
trucks. Ship-to-ship bunkering operations            LNG storage facility at the SSAB Raahe
are available at Pori LNG terminal. There is         steel mill [28], [29]. From the second half
also a 12 km long natural gas pipeline that          of 2020, Gasum begun delivery of LNG to
connects the terminal to the local Industrial        Eastman Chemical Company in Oulu, as
Park. Construction of the pipeline, which            well. The LNG deliveries are carried out by
passes through roads, railways and the sea-          tanker trucks, and the company’s switch to
bed, began in early August 2015. A 3.2 km            usage of LNG is part of the regional com-
section of the pipeline was laid under the           mitment to environmental sustainability
sea, and trenching and pipe-laying works             [30].
presented multiple challenges due to com-                Finland’s third LNG terminal – Hamina
plicating environmental conditions [26].             LNG – is currently under construction at
     Tornio Manga LNG terminal at Röyttä             the Hamina Harbour, Kotka. Unlike Pori
port, Tornio, is the second LNG import               and Tornio terminals, it will be connected to
facility built in Finland. It is a result of         the natural gas transmission system of Fin-
cooperation of several large-scale indus-            land and to the local natural gas distribution
trial and energy companies, such as Outo-            networks. Therefore, Hamina LNG will
kumpu, Ruukki Metals, EPV Energy and                 provide the Baltic–Finnish natural gas mar-
Gasum. The companies agreed on the LNG               ket with a new natural gas physical delivery
import project to deliver the natural gas to         point. It is estimated that the terminal will
industrial consumers, energy producers and           be in commercial operation by mid-2021.
shipping businesses in the North of Finland,             The storage capacity of the Hamina
where pipeline naturas gas is not available.         LNG terminal will initially be 30.000 m3,
At the period of construction, it was the            with a possibility of upgrade by additional
largest such facility in the Nordic region           20.000 m3. Its entry capacity into the trans-
with a logistics chain developed around the          mission system as well as into the local dis-
terminal to create a diversified fuel market         tribution system will be 0.5 million m3 per
benefiting both northern Finland and Swe-            day [25]. It is estimated that approximately
den [27].                                            20 ships per year will deliver LNG to Ham-
     With construction cost of about EUR             ina, with a single ship carrying from 5.000
100 million, the terminal has complete               to 25.000 m3 of LNG.
unloading, storage, pipeline distribution,               The Ministry of Economic Affairs and
regasification, truck loading, and ship bun-         Employment of Finland provided EUR 27.7
kering facilities. The terminal supplies nat-        million co-funding for the construction of
ural gas to Outokumpu’s Tornio steel mill            Hamina LNG terminal [31].

4. PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF LNG IN THE EASTERN BALTICS

    For the Baltic States and Finland alike,         utilisation of LNG infrastructure for trans-
prospects for the use of LNG can be linked           portation of liquefied biomethane (herein-
to the following activities: usage of LNG            after – LBG) and, possibly, other RG, and
as maritime and road transport fuel, future          usage of LNG in energy generation (as an

                                                53
alternative to fossil fuels with more signifi-           tanks, mobile containers, bunker vessels
cant GHG emission intensity).                            and barges.
    Directive 2014/94/ EU of the European                    Though in the aquatory of the North Sea
Parliament and of the Council of 22 Octo-                LNG import terminals are widely spread,
ber 2014 on the deployment of alternative                the Baltic ports are still struggling to catch
fuels infrastructure (hereinafter – Directive            up. The LNG terminal development seems
2014/94/EU) defines a common framework                   favourable for the Eastern Baltics – the Bal-
of measures for the deployment of alterna-               tic States and Finland, as they will provide
tive fuels infrastructure in the EU in order             decreasing energy dependency by increas-
to minimise dependence on oil and to miti-               ing gas supply diversification. Moreover,
gate the environmental impact of transport.              LNG terminals provide regional shipping
It sets out minimum requirements for the                 with an alternative type of low-emission
building-up of alternative fuels infrastruc-             marine fuel and, in general, with increas-
ture, including LNG stations with non-dis-               ingly diverse natural gas supply routes and
criminatory access for LNG fuelled vessels               sources. Among others, Directive 2014/94/
and road vehicles. According to the Direc-               EU obligates the EU Member States to
tive, a core network of refuelling points for            make available bunkering infrastructure for
LNG at maritime and inland ports should                  LNG in their territory and allows for their
be available at least by the end of 2025 and             funding through the Connecting Europe
2030, respectively. Refuelling points for                Facility instruments [32].
LNG include, inter alia, LNG terminals,

Table 2. Types of Alternative Fuels and their Use
                                                                     Air   Rail
Fuel           Type        Passenger cars      Heavy-duty vehicles trans- trans-        Shipping
                                                                    port port
                         Less   Less   More    Less Less More
              Distance                                                                    Short Long
                         than   than   than    than   than   than                Inland
               (km)                                                                       route route
                         150    300    300     150    300    300
Natural        LNG        X      X      X       X      X      X             X      X        X     X
gas            CNG        X      X      X       X      X
Bio-           LBM        X      X      X       X      X      X             X      X        X     X
methane       bioCNG      X      X      X       X      X
Electricity               X      X              X      X                    X
Hydrogen                  X      X              X      X                    X      X        X

    In comparison with traditional fossil                future, LNG infrastructure can be utilised
fuels such as heavy fuel oil, the use of LNG             for import and distribution of LBG, which
releases less CO2, no sulphur oxide (here-               is a completely renewable energy source
inafter – SOx), particulate matter and nitro-            that reduces CO2 emissions by as much as
gen oxide, and helps improve air quality. In             85 % compared to traditional fuels.
4.1. LNG in Maritime and Road Transport

    The EU has strived for an active role in             Maritime Organization (hereinafter – IMO)
tackling maritime emissions, both at home                agreed to reduce GHG emissions from ship-
and globally. In 2018, the International                 ping by at least 50 % in 2050. The EU and

                                                    54
its Member States play an instrumental role             two major factors: firstly, the location of
in brokering and securing the deal for the              potential clients and, secondly, the suitable
sector, which currently represents 2–3%                 areas for building a terminal. LNG is con-
of global CO2 emissions. Discussions are                sidered an alternative fuel mainly for ships
already ongoing at the IMO to translate this            operating in liner service. Hence, LNG ter-
deal into concrete measures [33].                       minals for bunkering purposes should be
    In Europe, the choice of location for               constructed in locations where there are the
the LNG bunkering terminals depends on                  most density of liner services.

                      Fig. 4. CO2 emissions for different types of fuel in shipping.

    However, at the same time, choice must              of fuels used in trucks or passenger cars
be guided by a coastal environmental situa-             must not exceed 0.001 %.
tion, too, as maritime transport has a direct                The 2012 Sulphur Directive, which was
impact on air quality in many European sea-             revised in 2016 [34], reduced SOx emis-
side cities. Exhaust gases from ships are a             sions by setting maximum sulfur content
significant source of air pollution, including          levels for marine fuels and incorporated
SOx emissions, which are extremely harm-                new standards set by IMO into the EU leg-
ful to the human respiratory system. Ships              islation both inside and outside protected
traditionally use fuel oils for propulsion,             areas. In 2016, the IMO maintained 2020
which can have a sulfur content of up to                as entry-into-force date of the global 0.5 %
3.50 %. For comparison, the sulfur content              SOx cap [33].

                                 Fig. 5. IMO Sulphur Limits (2000–2025, in %).

                                                   55
However, in some very fragile ecosys-                 tory in this decade. It is estimated that till
tems such as the Baltic Sea and the North                  2040, LNG will play an important role in
Sea – designated as “Sulphur Oxides Emis-                  diversification of the maritime fuel portfo-
sions Control Areas” (hereinafter – SECA) –                lio in all regions of the EU. However, to
the maximum SOx content has been reduced                   achieve such a diversification in the East-
to 0.10 % already in 2015. Such stricter SOx               ern Baltics, more active actions should be
limits have more than halved SOx concen-                   taken by the state, local authorities, and
trations around SECAs, bringing health                     businesses.
benefits to people in coastal regions and                      Current energy consumption in the EU
ports, while the overall economic impacts                  transport sector depends on oil fuels by
on the sector remained minimal [35], [36].                 94 %. This dependency, among other prob-
A study on the human health impacts of                     lems, results in high levels of GHG emis-
SOx emissions from shipping, submitted                     sions, which, consequently, triggers the nec-
to IMO’s Marine Environment Protection                     essary to increase the use of less polluting
Committee in 2016 by Finland, estimated                    and more cost-effective alternative sources
that by not reducing the SOx limit for ships               as natural gas. For instance, in compari-
from 2020, the related air pollution would                 son with diesel heavy-duty vehicles, LNG
contribute to more than 570.000 additional                 fuelled heavy-duty vehicles reduce GHG
premature deaths worldwide in next five                    emissions up to 20 % per kilometre. They
years [37].                                                also eliminate 100 % of SOx and particulate
     The Baltic Sea as one of the Europe’s                 matter emissions, and help reach significant
SECA areas also has good prospects to                      noise level reduction in densely populated
LNG use as a viable alternative maritime                   areas [38].
fuel. Moreover, the Baltic maritime trade                      Despite an increase in registrations in
and passenger ferry routes are quite com-                  recent years, alternatively powered pas-
pact, so different types of ships can be used              senger cars in the EU make up only about
with rather small fuel capacities, as refuel-              4 % of the total car fleet [39], [40]. In addi-
ing can be done both en route to next des-                 tion, the European consumption of natural
tination and in port of departure or arrival.              gas in the transport sector is also quite low,
Along with electric or hydrogen-powered                    amounting to less than 1 % of its total natu-
ships, LNG ferries and transport vessels                   ral gas demand and to a bit more than 2 %
would contribute significantly to reduction                of all vehicles on the road today [41], [39],
of GHG emissions in the Baltic Sea aqua-                   [42].

Table 3. Road Vehicles by Fuel Types in the EU* (2018; %)
                                                            Hybrid                    CNG,
Type of Vehicle               Gasoline       Diesel                    Electric**                Other
                                                            Electric                LNG, LPG
Passenger cars                   54          41.9             0.7         0.2          2.8        0.3
Light commercial vehicles        7.1         91.2              0          0.3          1.3        0.1
Medium and heavy-duty
                                  1          98.3              0           0          0.4         0.2
commercial vehicles
Buses                            0.8         95.4             0.3         0.3         2.7         0.4

*- including the United Kingdom
* - battery electric + plug-in hybrid
Source: ACEA Report Vehicles in use, Europe 2019

                                                      56
At the same time, natural gas and other           of natural gas. The type of CNG and LNG
gases, both in the compressed and liqui-                combined station is very advantageous in
fied states, are considered one of the most             case if there is no natural gas grid access
important elements of the European road                 nearby [44].
transport decarbonisation path. By law,
                                                           L-CNG filling stations are advanta-
they are regarded as part of “alternative
                                                        geous for several reasons, as they:
fuel” scope. According to Article 2 (1) of
                                                        • allow expanding the network of alterna-
Directive 2014/94/EU, “alternative fuels”
                                                           tive fuel filling stations throughout the
are sources of fuel or energy, which at least
                                                           Baltic region and Finland;
partially replace fossil fuel oil sources in
                                                        • allow setting up natural gas based mul-
vehicle power supply and which have the
                                                           tifuel type filling stations in places,
potential to contribute to decarbonisation
                                                           where pipeline natural gas is not avail-
of transport and the environmental perfor-
                                                           able, or construction of corresponding
mance of the transport sector. It defines,
                                                           infrastructure is not financially feasible;
inter alia, the following alternative fuels:
                                                        • expand potential availability of RG,
electricity, hydrogen, liquid biofuels (bio-
                                                           firstly and foremostly, LBM [44].
diesel, bioethanol and hydrogenated veg-
etable oil), biomethane, compressed natural                  As for the beginning of 2021, there were
gas (hereinafter – CNG) and LNG. It should              four public CNG filling stations, one closed
also be pointed out that CNG and LNG can                filling station and three natural gas filling
originate from various sources – both con-              points available in Latvia. A study by the
ventional natural gas and biogas – upgraded             Ministry of Transport on the Development
till the biomethane level. From the chemical            of Alternative Fuels concludes that the nat-
standpoint, natural gas and biomethane are              ural gas, including CNG and LNG, will be
practically identical.                                  a transition fuel in a way to transport sector
      In the Baltic States and Finland, the per-        decarbonisation. Thus, in next fifteen years,
centage of alternatively fuelled road vehi-             according to the most ambitious scenario of
cles remain rather low, with the natural gas-           the gas filling station expansion along the
powered road vehicle fleet in Latvia being              Latvian natural gas distribution network,
equal to about a few hundred. Currently                 172 CNG (69 of them along Core TEN-T
there are only two LNG filling stations in              network roads in 9 municipalities) and 6
the Baltic States, both located in Estonia,             LNG stations could be installed [45]. It is
and 9 filling stations located in Finland. It is        highly likely that at least some of these sta-
important to mention that most of these fill-           tions would be suitable to serve CNG and
ing stations can serve both CNG and LNG                 LNG simultaneously.
fuelled vehicles. L-CNG filling stations                     According to the most optimistic esti-
allow filling CNG for light and LNG for                 mates of the alternative fuel development
heavy-duty vehicles. Such filling stations              in Latvia as a whole, by 2050 CNG and
have lower capital and operating costs than             LNG will account for more than any other
separate LNG and CNG filling stations of                transport fuel in fleet, including diesel and
similar capacity [43]. LNG is used as a raw             gasoline, but for fulfilment of such a high
material in L-CNG filling stations, and it is           ambition much stronger and politically
stored at a very low temperature: about -163            coordinated support of RE industry, firstly
°C, at a pressure of 1 bar. 1 litre of LNG at           and foremostly domestic biomethane pro-
a pressure of 1 bar contains about 600 litres           duction and use, is necessary [46].

                                                   57
4.2. LBM and LNG in Energy Generation

     The statistics show that the dynamics           infrastructure with no further technologi-
of the biomethane production with its sub-           cal adaptations or additional costs. For this
sequent conversion into LBM has demon-               reason, the support of LNG infrastructure
strated a significant upward pattern between         is fundamental to ensure the deployment of
2018 and 2020. In this period, a number of           LBM in the coming years. Today, the EU
biomethane plants in the EU have increased           has 53 ports where LNG bunkering is avail-
by 51 %, from 483 in 2018 to 729 in 2020.            able and over 330 LNG filling stations, and
There are currently eighteen countries pro-          the number of filling stations is meant to
ducing biomethane in Europe, with Ger-               increase sixfold, reaching 2000 by 2030.
many having the highest share of biometh-                 The use of the current LNG infrastruc-
ane production plants (232), followed by             ture will also boost cross-border trade of
France (131) and the UK (80) [47].                   LBM in Europe [48].
     In the Baltic States, upgrading of the               In addition to its conventional role in
biogas to biomethane level with subsequent           the natural gas market, LNG may also be an
injection into the natural gas transportation        energy source for power generation. Power
or distribution grids is not developed yet.          generation from LNG is partially used to
However, at least Latvia with 59 existing            maintain the regasification at the LNG
biogas plants and 17 of them being located           receiving terminals, as these processes are
10 or less km away from the natural gas dis-         rather energy demanding. The basic ther-
tribution grids could benefit both from bio-         modynamic processes used in power gener-
methane production and local sales (where            ation from LNG are: the direct expansion of
CNG filling stations and/or small-scale bio-         the regasified and pressurized natural gas,
methane liquifying facilities are installed          the Rankine cycle and Brayton cycle with
onsite) and injection of the biomethane into         use of an auxiliary fluid which expands and
the natural gas networks [40].                       propels the turbine. For the pressures up
     Moreover, in this decade the EU pro-            to 3 Megapascals, the suitable option for
duction of LBM is set to increase by factor          power generation is simple Rankine cycle
of ten. The EU LNG heavy-duty transport is           and Brayton cycle, for higher pressures –
expected to reach 280.000 units in the same          the direct expansion of regasified LNG or
period. Using a 40 % LBM mix with LNG                other complex processes based on modified
will help reduce the CO2 emissions from              Rankine or Brayton cycles should be con-
those trucks by 55 %. In the shipping sector,        sidered [49].
50 % of large container vessel orders today               In the Baltic region, use of LNG in
are LNG fuelled or ready for conversion to           power generation is a viable energy transi-
LNG. 20 % of LBM mix in maritime trans-              tion option, which might prove itself suitable
port would reduce CO2 emissions by up to             while supporting Finland’s gradual elimina-
34 %.                                                tion of coal, lignite and, possibly, peat in its
     But, as it was stated before, a tandem          power generation sector. If CO2 intensity
of the natural gas and biomethane could be           of the natural gas and coal (hard coal), lig-
named as one of the most promising mid-              nite and peat is compared, it is obvious that
term transport decarbonisation solutions in          natural gas contributes to almost 50 % CO2
the Baltic States and Finland as well. LBM           emission cut. Namely, CO2 intensity of hard
can be transported using the existing LNG            coal is about 0.34 kg of CO2 per kilowatt-

                                                58
hours (hereinafter – kWh), the intensity of             CO2/kWh, but the intensity of natural gas –
lignite and peat: 0.36–0.41 and 0.38 kg of              0.20 kg of CO2 /kWh of energy generated.

                     Fig. 6. Electricity production in Finland (2020, by source in %).

                                            Source: energia.fi.

     LNG is suitable for large- and small-              in future comes from natural gas – includ-
scale power generation: both in cogenera-               ing LNG-based generation, it will mean that
tion and condensation cycles. For example,              an increase in “the natural gas electricity”
from 66TWh of electricity produced in Fin-              will be able to reach 1.9 TWh, with asso-
land last year, coal contributed to 4.4 %,              ciated CO2 emission dropping by almost a
peat – to 3.3 %, but natural gas – to 5.8 %. If         half.
at least a half of energy generated from coal

5. CONCLUSION

    The Baltic States and Finland currently                  The situation, however, is about to
have three operational LNG terminals, and               change at least from the formal standpoint,
one more terminal is about to come online               as Hamina LNG terminal will soon become
later this year. Two out of three terminals             the second LNG terminal in the Eastern
are located in the Northern part of Finland             Baltics to possess an ability to participate
and lack connection to the Finnish national             in the natural gas market in a capacity of a
natural gas grids and, therefore, common                brand-new natural gas supply route.
Baltic–Finnish natural gas market. It makes                  Currently the Baltic–Finnish natural
Klaipėda LNG terminal the only facility in              gas market shows signs of relative stabil-
the region, which has such a connection,                ity, and the gradual switch from the pipeline
and can play its role in the market.                    natural gas to LNG might be expected in

                                                   59
the mid-time perspective. The role of LNG             aquatory. More terminals and more suppli-
is expected to grow both in maritime and              ers will mean a more dense market and bet-
road transport of the Eastern Baltics, and its        ter offers, both in ship-to-ship and track-to-
power generation sector – especially, with            ship bunkering segments.
Finland’s transition from usage of coal in                In the road transport, wider cover-
electricity and heat generation to another,           age of L-CNG fuelling stations will bring
more environmentally friendly sources.                extra profit to fuel retailers, and ensure an
The deadline for coal generation phase-out            ever-expanding network of alternative fuel
is May 2029; however, Finnish energy pro-             access points across the Baltic States and
ducers can voluntarily make a transition by           Finland. It would help cover the areas of
2025 [50].                                            four countries, where natural gas grids are
    It will open door for another generation          not available, but CNG and LNG vehicles
technologies and fuel sources, such as LNG            need to be fuelled anyway. But in regions,
and eventually – LNG and LBM mix, to step             where biomethane production will develop,
in. As LNG–LBM mix can be used both in                bioCNG and small-scale LBM fuelling sta-
transport and power generation, it is one             tions and facilities can emerge as part of an
of the most promising options for energy              alternative gas infrastructure for road trans-
transition in the Eastern Baltics at a large          port fuelling.
scale – it will not be limited only to certain            The development of LNG import ter-
areas, where natural gas pipelines are avail-         minals of any kinds is the hardest thing to
able, and will bring benefits of gas technol-         predict in the Eastern Baltics. Despite the
ogy usage to industrial regions with large            fact that several projects in Latvia and Esto-
energy consumption and urge to develop                nia are at different stages of planning, soon
local energy logistic chains [25]. LNG will           completion of at least one of them is rather
soon become indispensable in the growing              questionable, and subject to further clarifi-
bunkering business niche of the Baltic Sea            cation.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

   The research has been supported by the             Latvian Gas Infrastructure Development”
National Research Programme, project                  (LAGAS) (No. VPP-EM-INFRA-2018/1-
“Trends, Challenges and Solutions of                  0003).

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