Paris / Île-de-France Market Comment - Spring 2023 - +33(0)553608488 www.leggettfrance.com
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Paris / Île-de-France Market Comment Spring 2023 info@leggett.fr • +33 (0)5 53 60 84 88 • www.leggettfrance.com
About Us Contents Leggett International Real Estate has one of the largest and most successful teams in Paris/Île-de- 03. About Us France. With an office on historic Île St-Louis, we have a unique 04. Executive summary mixture of local knowledge and 06. Paris Centre global expertise. As a company we spend over 2m euros per year 08. Paris Right Bank marketing to both international 10. Paris Left Bank and domestic clients, and 12. Île-de-France welcome buyers from all over the world. 14. New-build market 15. A new service At any one time, our websites show over 250 listings in Paris, 16. Leggett International Real but we also have many more Estate in Paris that are not marketed publicly - contact us today to get the full picture. Photo credits : C. Moingeon, FredP, Skycolors, Christopher George, Eric Bery, Kiev.Victor, Petr Kovalenkov, S Didier Foto, Zijin, JeanLucIchard, Shutterstock.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Paris becomes the most attractive European city for residential investors, as global markets cool. Those of us who live and work in Europe, to determine which were criteria and rising interest rates – Paris are acutely aware that space the most attractive and liquid, however Paris is well positioned to in the centre comes at a premium. helping investors develop a retain its popularity. Next summer As Mark Twain said, “buy land, diversified residential portfolio. it will host the Olympic Games, they’re not making it anymore” and Paris came out top overall (followed the biggest event ever organised this is certainly true in the City of by London and Berlin) with the best in France. Four billion television Light. Indeed, local government has market fundamentals, location, and viewers worldwide will see the city championed the idea of a 15-minute connectivity – it was particularly in all its glory, and local hotels and city within their urban design; where commended for its innovation. businesses will reap the rewards everything can be reached within of the 9.7 million spectators. Iconic 15 minutes, either by foot, bike or Property markets around the landmarks are being transformed public transport. world have been cooling since the into sporting arenas and will provide conflict in Ukraine and subsequent an outstanding backdrop. The recently published European steep rise in energy costs. Most Living Cities Index analysed 142 countries (France included) are capitals and larger cities within seeing a tightening in lending 04 Leggett International Real Estate
Grand Paris Express In the longer term, the Grand sold in the capital, a level well above At the end of last year, we saw a lull Paris Express is the largest (+23%) the average of 33,200 units in the demand from buyers in Paris transport project in Europe and sold over the past 10 years”. and the Île-de-France, with the is revolutionising the capital. The exception of the micro-markets in project will run until 2030 and will In short, over the last 12 months the capital. These are extra resilient better connect with the three Paris 188,500 homes were sold in the to economic and political upheaval - airports with the business districts capital, barely 3% less than the year they cover the very centre of Paris, as well as making the daily lives earlier and still close to historical including both islands, the 3rd, 4th of two million commuters much records. It is clear that, in common and along the Boulevard St Germain. easier. The implications are huge with other leading cities, the The 5th, 6th and upmarket streets in for the residential property market property market is becoming less the 8th, 16th and 17th always have within Paris and the Île-de-France, buoyant, and banks are tightening strong demand from investors and stimulating demand from both home their belts. Across France, the overseas buyers too. and abroad. With London more number of mortgages approved in isolated since Brexit, and American October 2022 was down 40% on the The most active buyers are at the and Asian buyers enamoured with previous month. However, property top end, we have seen an influx of the Parisian fashion/luxury sector, in Paris is seen as a safe-haven and Americans particularly, and those the real estate sector here will a means of securing assets against who have an income related to the continue to thrive. inflation. dollar. These HNWI’s are seeking architecturally attractive buildings, The Notaires in Paris are in Sonya Severac runs our Paris office, in prime areas. The quintessential agreement that, while the market is in the heart of the prestigious Île style of 19th century Haussmann less fluid, it remains robust. They are Saint-Louis. She is excited that we buildings, with their stone façades quick to point out that “In the 3rd will be opening a second office this and wrought iron details, set Paris quarter of 2022, sales volumes fell year, on the adjacent Île de la Cité, apart from other global capitals. by 10% compared to the previous home to Notre-Dame Cathedral: It was Napoleon III who tasked year, which remains, it should be Georges-Eugene Haussmann, in remembered, the highest level ever “I believe that we will be the only 1853, with changing Paris from a reached for a 3rd quarter. Despite national agency to have an office on ramshackle mediaeval city into a this slowdown, activity has remained both islands, giving us windows to cohesive city of light, what a forward at a historically high level. Year on the world. thinker he was!” year, nearly 41,000 apartments were www.leggettfrance.com 05
PARIS CENTRE 1, 2, 3, 4 Current sales trends 1st arrondissement 13 360 euros per m² 2nd arrondissement 12 360 euros per m² 3rd arrondissement 12 800 euros per m² Christophe Chastel is used to 4th arrondissement 13 560 euros per m² welcoming these clients, and has an unrivalled local knowledge: *source Notaires de France, median price of all apartment sales between July - September 2022 “Demand here remains constant – buyers typically look for studio or one-bed apartments, with a view Much has been written recently daily admissions. Directly in front, at over the Seine. They look in an about locals fleeing the capital the Quai du Louvre, La Samaritaine extremely tight zone, on both islands after the pandemic, in search of reopened its doors in Summer 2021, and the South Quay. In the last year more living space. after a seven-year renovation. It is the two biggest buyers have been home to all of the prestigious LVMH from France and the USA, but we The truth is that, for the last decade, brands including Louis Vuitton, receive enquiries from all around around 12,000 people a year have Christian Dior, Tiffany’s and Stella the world. The old adage of location, been leaving the capital due to the McCartney. It is a destination for location, location holds good, and shortage of housing. They haven’t HNWI’s from around the world – it it does not get more “prime” than been moving far though, with most is little wonder that property here is these areas – buyers are safe in the jumping across the périphérique and in such constant demand. knowledge that their investment is commuting in to work. secure.” One arrondissement to buck the trend has been the 4th, which has seen its population grow by 8.5% in this period. The mayor of central Paris, Ariel Weir, is determined to offer better accommodation for families, and retain the healthy mixture of locals and tourists. High-end tourists are still attracted to the city centre. The Louvre holds its place as the most visited museum worldwide – last year it welcomed 7.8m visitors and has had to cap 06 Leggett International Real Estate
PARIS RIGHT BANK 8, 9, 10, 11 ,12, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20 As mentioned previously, buyers World Cup, followed immediately the lower and middle markets, but are particularly attracted to the by the Olympic Games, will have. the top end is showing a remarkable Haussmann architecture within Studio and one bedroom apartments resilience. Paris remains the most Paris. are top of most shopping lists. beautiful city, and the Grand Paris project should help ease traffic in The two arrondissements best Many of our buyers do not need to the centre.” known for these wonderful buildings finance their purchase which helps are the 16th and 17th, where enormously, as banks are tightening demand and pricing has held up their belts. This is cooling demand for well. Long favoured by artists and writers, you will now find former Prime Ministers rubbing shoulders Current sales trends with modern icons like David Guetta and Martin Solveig. Bruno Taxy is one of the most experienced estate agents in Paris: 8th arrondissement 12 510 euros per m² 9th arrondissement 11 710 euros per m² “There are still more buyers than 10th arrondissement 10 440 euros per m² sellers here – fashionable areas 11th arrondissement 11 880 euros per m² like those mentioned above, plus 12th arrondissement 10 000 euros per m² the prime streets in the 9th, 10th, 16th arrondissement 11 930 euros per m² 11th, 12th, and 18th in particular 17th arrondissement 11 270 euros per m² are in high demand. I really like the 16th, and so do my overseas clients. 18th arrondissement 9 950 euros per m² However, it is the French themselves 19th arrondissement 9 090 euros per m² who have been buying – domestic 20th arrondissement 9 350 euros per m² demand has been through the roof. I *source Notaires de France, median price of all apartment sales between July - think that we understand the positive September 2022 impact that the forthcoming rugby www.leggettfrance.com 09
PARIS LEFT BANK 5, 6, 7, 13, 14, 15 The beautiful neighbourhoods of If the confinements made some and a very pleasant neighbourhood the left bank remain in demand, Parisians leave the capital, Paris will life. 2024, the year of the Olympic although secondary areas are now always be Paris. Its historical heart Games, will undoubtedly see the seeing some price falls. (notably the Île Saint Louis, the Île de return to grace of the Île de la Cité la Cité, the surrounding quays, the with its restored Notre Dame and Apartments with a good address, 5th arrondissement near the Seine its apartments with a view of the outdoor space and a pretty view quays, and the Marais) continue to building, giving the feeling that you are still being snapped up by French make people dream. These areas are touching the roof of the world. buyers, particularly in the popular attract French and international 7th arrondissement. clients sensitive to the wonderful It is true that we are currently stories told by the old stones of the faced with quite drastically The time between a property hitting historical buildings, classified or not. tightening financing conditions, the market and being sold has never that are reducing the number of been quicker than in the last three If living on the Île Saint-Louis remains potential buyers, but for exceptional years, although this is now beginning a real privilege, there are addresses properties cash buyers are always to widen. This could well open the on the other side of the Seine, in looking for their new Parisian door to overseas buyers who have the 5th arrondissement, offering address.” been finding it difficult to compete breath-taking views of the island with local buyers who are in-situ and able to view properties before they hit the open market. Current sales trends Claudie Mezieres is an expert on the market in the 5th and along the quays, she explains why real estate 5th arrondissement 12 980 euros per m² there remains attractive: 6th arrondissement 15 290 euros per m² 7th arrondissement 14 670 euros per m² “After a break due to the health 13th arrondissement 9 730 euros per m² crisis, clients looking for a property 14th arrondissement 10 400 euros per m² in Paris have come back once again, just as quickly as they left. 15th arrondissement 10 500 euros per m² *source Notaires de France, median price of all apartment sales between July - September 2022 10 Leggett International Real Estate
ÎLE-DE-FRANCE 77, 78, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95 As we said in the introduction, Meanwhile, Seine-Port and Saint- a slight drop in demand recently as around 12,000 Parisians a year are Fargeau-Ponthierry are on opposite well as fewer new mandates coming jumping across the Périphérique sides of the Seine and are also on to the market. I would love to take in search of larger properties. popular. Demand is stable and, on more houses of 180/200m², with again, it is French buyers that make a garden, as these are what clients With outside space and modern up most sales. Houses with a garden are looking for. In terms of location amenities – VEFA (new builds) are and swimming pool are in demand. then the centre of Fontainebleau particularly popular, as they tend to Nearby Cesson is a popular choice itself is seen as “prime” and the have excellent energy ratings and too and the RER station gives easy surrounding towns, with a station, low running costs. Suburbs with access to the city centre.” are popular with commuters. They easy Metro access are, of course, offer a superb quality of life, yet easy most popular. Clichy is on line 13 A little further south, Magali access to the unique amenities in the and home to L’Oreal and other blue- Lecomte covers the area around centre of Paris.” chip companies, similarly Issy-les- Fontainebleau, famous for the Moulineaux is home to Microsoft large and scenic forest, and a Further north, on the other side and Canal+ and easily accessible favourite weekend getaway for of Paris, Edward Hoyle covers the on line 12. Families tend to prefer Parisians seeking the countryside. area around Saint-Leu-la-Foret. His Montrouge, with its swimming It has an excellent reputation as it buyers too have been mainly French pool and ice rink easily accessible is home to INSEAD, one of the most and he has seen a slight decline in on line 4, while the wealthy look in prestigious business schools in the enquiries: Saint-Germain-en-Laye, with its world. Magali tells us: historic château, boutiques and “Demand is slightly lower, due to the glorious forest – it is 28 min by RER “We always see a healthy demand increased cost and complication of to Châtelet-les-Halles in the city from Parisians, either looking to borrowing. This is particularly true centre. move out of the city centre, or to buy at the higher end of the market, a second home here. We have seen where the cost of maintaining Beatrice Saba covers two areas with different market characteristics: Current sales trends “In dept 94 (Saint Mandé, Vincennes and Fontenay-sous-Bois) demand Seine-et-Marne (77) 3 300 euros per m² is stable with plenty of enquiries, particularly from the domestic Yvelines (78) 4 130 euros per m² market. Buyers tend to be looking Essonne (91) 3 260 euros per m² for big, older apartments with plenty Hauts-de-Seine (92) 7 230 euros per m² of space. Properties within walking Seine-St-Denis (93) 3 930 euros per m² distance of the beautiful Bois de Vincennes, with its famous château, Val-de-Marne (94) 5 230 euros per m² zoo, and splendid wooded trails, are Val-d’Oise (95) 3 300 euros per m² particularly popular. *source Notaires de France, median price of all apartment sales between July - September 2022 12 Leggett International Real Estate
(and particularly heating) larger properties has soared. A house that might have cost 5,000 euros to heat last year might cost 15-20,000 next year, and that’s a huge overhead to finance. We can access Gare du Nord in 28 minutes, or take the A115 into the city centre, so this area is popular with commuters, meaning most buyers are French. The “hottest” properties are family homes (3-5 bedrooms), with a garden and within walking distance of the railway station. With the increase in heating costs, those energy efficient houses, with better DPE ratings, are more popular. Private parking is often demanded, this is a popular area for families, with a high quality of life and a price between 4-5,000 euros per m², which is great value compared to the 75. The confinement changed peoples working practices, with more people now working from home, which has had a lasting demand on client demand – the ability to take some fresh air in the garden has taken on extra significance. We are close to the Foret de Montmorency, which is 2,200 hecatres of open space, ideal for walking or cycling. There is a new pool complex being built for the upcoming Olympics, and a number of new-builds under construction, which will be energy efficient.”
SPOTLIGHT - THE NEW-BUILD MARKET The demand for VEFA in Paris and the Île-de-France is changing. French investors are becoming scarcer, with the reduction in the benefits of the Pinel Law from 2023 and the increase in the number of alternative investment products. However, the supply from developers remains dynamic, driven by the progress of the Grand Paris project. There is an emerging demand from international buyers/investors, who like the superior energy performance of new properties. This is because they are not at risk of being sanctioned by the new climate laws and banned from rental (which, from January 1st is already the upgrades), plenty of outdoor space case for the most energy-intensive and larger rooms/superior space to properties). older apartments. Matthew Carr explains more: The difference in price per square metre between Paris and the “Non-resident buyers are becoming nearby suburbs remains significant more interested in VEFA for several (between 30% and 40%). Attracted reasons, the first of which is the by the quality of the newbuilds, more dollar/euro exchange rate which, foreign buyers are willing to look on despite a recent adjustment, has the other side of the périphérique increased the purchasing power of than in the past, when the focus was Americans and those whose income more on the city centre although is related to the dollar by 15% in this is still an active sector. From 12 months. Since Covid, Americans Clichy to Issy-les-Moulineaux, with and residents of countries with a international buyers the suburbs currency pegged to the USD, are near the west of Paris remain more well represented in the Paris market. popular than the eastern suburbs, although there are some high-end The advantages of VEFA are developments in the Val-de-Marne clear: ease of maintenance from that are starting to attract overseas a distance (multiple guarantees, investors”. no maintenance work or energy 14 Leggett International Real Estate
A NEW SERVICE IS ON ITS WAY Often our international clients (and to serve non-resident investors nationally). Our service includes the ask if they can rent out via AirBnB looking for a rental investment purchasing process in English, as or other platforms, to gain an in Paris and Île-de-France) that well as rental and concierge services. income from their second home Leggett is developing a turnkey offer Our tax/accountancy partner will when they are away. combining the bilingual expertise of: create an LMNP (location meublée non professionnelle) for clients, and The answer for Paris and its suburbs ● Our sales agents provide a full accountancy service, is «no», due to policies by city ● The rental management team at all offering a stress-free solution. councils seeking to protect the local Leggett Property Management market and maintain a sufficiently ● The tax expertise of our partner You can see full details of the robust (non-hotel) rental stock for accountant services offered by Leggett Property residents. Management on our website The combined team will www.leggettpm.com. However, there are ways to monetise provide a full range of property your second home, by renting with a management, to assist in all aspects mobility lease. It is for this reason of homeownership in Paris (and Market comparison of annual occupancy growth in Paris, Lyon, Nice and Bordeaux Rental Market Data supplied by AirDNA - Paris www.leggettfrance.com 15
Our office in Paris Leggett International Real Estate opened its office in Paris in 2018. Situated in the heart of the Île St-Louis we welcome buyers from all over the world. The office is run by Sonya Severac who has 25 years experience in the real estate industry. The Leggett team of agents across Paris and the Île-de-France has around 250 listings, with many more that are marketed discreetly and are not available “ on the open market. This means that you should always speak with one of our team about your property search. For those looking to sell, we will offer your property to both domestic and international buyers - no other estate Leggett agency in Paris reaches such a wide audience. This means that we will help you achieve the best price in the fastest International time possible. Our in-house contracts team ensures that each sale progresses smoothly and our industry leading Real Estate has use of virtual tours and electronic signatures mean that buyers are able to make decisions and act quickly. 18 agencies and The Financial Times said that Leggett International 700+ sales agents Real Estate was one of the ten fastest growing property consultancies in Europe, and last year we sold nearly across France. 2,500 properties across France. Our award winning team looks forward to working with you in 2023. Leggett International Real Estate 17 rue Saint-Louis en l‘Île, 75004 Paris 01 76 24 62 52 paris@leggett.fr Carte professionnelle CPI 2401 2018 000 027 208 délivrée par la CCI de Périgueux. Activité transaction, assuré par GALIAN n°adhérent 23420. Ne pas jeter sur la voie publique
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