"The only safe ship in a storm is leadership." -Faye Wattleton - www.gmsinc.net - Capital Link Shipping

 
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"The only safe ship in a storm is leadership." -Faye Wattleton - www.gmsinc.net - Capital Link Shipping
"The only safe ship in a storm
                                                             is leadership."
                                                         —Faye Wattleton

www.gmsinc.net   GMS_Leadership   GMS Inc.      GMS,Inc.          gms.inc
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        -+Ali / +N

March 5th, 2021                                            “The elevator to success is out of order.
Volume 223, Issue 970                                 You’ll have to use the stairs . . . one step at a time.”
Week 10                                                                                                    – Kathy Collins

Highlights:                                      MARKET COMMENTARY
                                                    PAKISTAN POWER PLAY!
• Shooting back.        This week, steel prices in Asian recycling markets (save for India) have shot back up again, as
                        this rollercoaster year continues. This time (and largely following a period on the sidelines at
                        the start of this year) it is Pakistan, surging to the forefront of the pricing charts once again and
                        regaining control of recycling industry’s attention.

•Rivalry.               Bangladeshi Buyers are trying their best to keep up and have managed to secure at least one
                        VLOC that was already in Cash Buyer hands this week. However, the show stopping sales for
                        the week certainly took place into Pakistan.

• Pak demand.           Demand has been steadily firming in Gadani since the 2020 mid-year-binge that saw them
                        secure a majority of the market tonnage and following the boon on import duties and taxes
                        mentioned last week, the ship recycling sector in Pakistan has really taken off this week.

                        It will be interesting to see if this most recent surge in Pakistan can be sustained for much of
• Short lived?          the year, or as with Bangladesh in mid-January, prices could come rolling down as steadily as
                        they gained ground.

                        At least Gadani buyers have some fierce competition from their Bangladeshi counterparts, who
                        have seen steel prices claw much of the ground lost back and are hot on the heels of any market
• India behind.         tonnage, particularly those geographically positioned in the Far East.

                        India remains the lowest placed of all the subcontinent recycling markets yet again and it seems
                        doubtful they will be able to secure much tonnage if the current trend persists, especially if
                        there is a shortage of HKC green vessels and specialist (rich in non-ferrous) units for them at
• Turkey steady.        present.

                        On the far end, the Turkish market finally evened out this week with local steel prices and steel
                        imports reporting no major change for the week, resulting in vessel prices being unchanged.
                        Even the Lira has weakened again, approaching the TRY 7.5 mark against the U.S. Dollar,
                        leaving this market in a cautious state for the time being.

                        For week 10 of 2021, GMS demo rankings / pricing for the week are as below.

                          Demo                                         Dry Bulk            Tankers          Containers
                                     Location        Sentiment
                          Rank                                        USD / LDT          USD / LDT          USD / LDT
                            1       Pakistan         Improving         450 / LDT          460 / LDT          470 / LDT
                            2       Bangladesh       Improving         440 / LDT          450 / LDT          460 / LDT
                            3       India            Improving         430 / LDT          440 / LDT          450 / LDT
                            4       Turkey             Steady          240/ LDT           245/ LDT           250/ LDT
                                                                          67(
GMS Weekly                                                             Page 2 of 8

                                                        BANGLADESH

                             DISTINCTLY SECOND
                                            BANGLADESH
                                               PLACED!

                                                        BANGLADESH
                             There have been some frustrations in Bangladesh this week, as End Buyers have
Frustrations.                missed out on some choice units, with Pakistan roaring back into the picture.

                                                        BANGLADESH
                             For now however, Bangladesh appears to distinctly be in second place to their
                             Pakistani neighbors and Chattogram Buyers may have to settle for smaller LDT units
                             and those geographically-positioned in the area.

                                                        BANGLADESH
                             One sale was confirmed from earlier in the week as Soechi of Indonesia finalized their
                             tanker FORTUNE GLORY XLI (10,659 LDT) for USD 475/LT LDT (with inward
Tanker sold.                 clearance costs for Buyers)

                                                        BANGLADESH

                                                        BANGLADESH

                                                        BANGLADESH

                                       MARKET SALES REPORTED

           VESSEL NAME                  TYPE                 LDT                  REPORTED PRICE
         FORTUNE GLORY XLI              Tanker              10,659                 USD 475/LT LDT
Page 3 of 8                                                GMS Weekly

                                   INDIA

                                   INDIA
 WATCHING BRIEF!

                                   INDIA
 As the lowest placed sub-continent market for another week, Alang Recyclers can only
 watch on as both Pakistan and Bangladesh surge ahead and secure some impressively         Lowest placed.
 priced sales in the high USD 400s/LDT.
                                   INDIA
 The good news for the year has concerned the government’s budget announcement to
 support the ship recycling industry by signaling intentions to double India’s domestic
 recycling capacity by 2024.
                                   INDIA
 However, there remains a rather frustrating lack of activity in India at present, with
                                                                                           Not competitive.
 prices marooned too far behind their Bangladeshi and Pakistani competitors at present
 to be competitive.
                                   INDIA
 A curiously high-priced sale did take place into India as the USA built and owned Bulk
 Carrier TEXAS ENTERPRISE (7,646 LDT) was committed for recycling last week at a
                                   INDIA
 whopping USD 415/LT LDT basis an “as is” Djibouti delivery OR USD 435/LT LDT basis
 an “as is” Mumbai delivery (in Seller’s choice) for HKC green recycling and extra
 payment for bunkers. These curiously firm levels were probably the result of a Cash
 Buyer speculating a firming India in the very near future (similar to competing sub-
 continent markets at present).    INDIA

                                       MARKET SALES REPORTED

      VESSEL NAME                        TYPE               LDT                REPORTED PRICE
                                                                         USD 415/LT LDT ‘as is’ Djibouti OR
   TEXAS ENTERPRISE                     Bulker              7,646        USD 435/LT LDT ‘as is’ Mumbai for
                                                                               HKC green recycling.
GMS Weekly                                                                   Page 4 of 8

                                                               PAKISTAN

                            BACK ON TOP!                           INDIA

                                                                   INDIA
                            As prices in Pakistan propel to the top of the market rankings once again, two government
Propelled.                  rulings have aided local steel prices over the course of the week.

                                                                   INDIA
                            Firstly, the decision not to increase the electricity tariff (which affects cutting costs) and
                            secondly, taxes on imported scrap will be charged at the custom tariff rate (not actual
                            imported rate), thereby assisting ship recyclers on their end product.

                                                                   INDIA
                            This has seen prices spike sharply up by at least USD 25 – USD 30/LDT in just one week
                            and place the Pakistani market back on top of the rankings for the first time in months.
Two big sales.
                            Two show stopping deals were concluded to hungry End Buyers this week as firstly, the
                                                                   INDIA
                            Panamax Bulker THE MERCIFUL (9,796 LDT) was committed for a massive USD 480/LDT.

                            Subsequently, a keen Gadani End Buyer got back in on the act for the larger LDT units by
                            securing the second Sinokor VLOC sold for recycling this week, as the SINOCARRIER
                                                                   INDIA
                            (39,125 LDT) fetched an impressive USD 478.5/LT LDT.
Buyers ready to acquire

                                                                   INDIA

                                        MARKET SALES REPORTED

             VESSEL NAME                  TYPE                  LDT                  REPORTED PRICE
             SINOCARRIER                  VLOC                 39,125                USD 478.5/LT LDT
             THE MERCIFUL                 Bulker               9,796                  USD 480/LT LDT
Page 5 of 8                                                 GMS Weekly

                                   TURKEY

STEADY!

After weeks of volatility, Turkish market fundamentals finally leveled out this week, with
both import steel and local steel plate prices reporting no change. On the contrary, the     Steel steady.
Turkish Lira even declined by nearly 10%, by approaching the TRY 7.50 mark against the
U.S. Dollar.

No market sales have been reported and we are noticing pricing disparities from those
brokers whose yards are full vs. those recyclers who are slowly opening up negotiations.

Prices are certainly higher than those listed in the market section above and depending on
the type of unit and the End Buyer, Ship Owners and Cash Buyers could easily get more.       Better Q2?

Overall, we can expect the market to firm up once Q2 comes along.

                                      NO MARKET SALES REPORTED
Miscellaneous                                                                            Page 6 of 8
                                           i

                                                     AMAZING FACTS
 Redheads aren't actually going extinct. Periodically, a rumor starts on the internet that says natural redheads
   will become extinct by the year 2060. Lucky for gingers everywhere, this is a myth. It's true that the gene that
   causes red hair is recessive, meaning that both parents must have it for their child to have red hair. However, even
   non-redheads can carry the red hair gene, and it can pop up unexpectedly in generations down the line.
 Pro baseball once had women players. While there are currently no female players in Major League Baseball,
   there have been plenty of women in professional men's leagues. The first was Lizzy Arlington, who pitched during
   the ninth inning for the Reading Coal Heavers in 1898 and won her team the game. A little over 30 years later, an
   African-American woman, Jackie Mitchell, pitched against the Yankees during an exhibition game, striking out
   both Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig. What's more impressive: Mitchell was 17 years old at the time.
 Koalas have fingerprints. Chimpanzees and gorillas have human-like fingerprints and so do koalas. In fact,
   koala prints are very similar to human fingerprints, even to expert crime scene investigators. As of yet, no koalas
   have framed humans for their crimes, but now we know it's not impossible…
 Humans are just one of the estimated 8.7 million species on Earth. Human beings may dominate the planet
  with our sprawling cities and far-reaching technology, but we are, in fact, just one species among some 8.7 million
  that live together on planet Earth. One 2011 study published in the journal PLoS Biology estimated that "the
  various forms of life on the planet included 7.8 million species of animals, 298,000 species of plants, 611,000 species
  of mushrooms, mold and other fungi, 36,400 species of protozoa, and 27,500 species of algae or chromists."

                                                         IMPORTANT DATES
                                                                        INDIA
                            BANK HOLIDAYS                                                              BEACHING TIDES

                        March 11 – Mahashivratri                                                      March 11 – March 17
                            March 29 – Holi                                                           March 27 – April 03

                                                                 BANGLADESH
                            BANK HOLIDAYS                                                              BEACHING TIDES

                     March 26 – Independence Day                                                      March 14 – March 17
                       March 29 – Shab e-Barat                                                        March 30 – April 01

                                                   IMPORTANT BANK HOLIDAYS
                       CHINA                                            PAKISTAN                                           TURKEY

              No holidays in March                               No holidays in March                              No holidays in March

 Prices indicated above are as reported in the market and are not necessarily accurate. This information is provided without prejudice and is given in
 good faith and without any guarantees whatsoever. While every care has been taken in the preparation of this report, no liabi lity can be accepted for
 any loss incurred in any way whatsoever by any person relying on the information contained herein. Opinions expressed herein may be deemed
 subjective and arbitrary. This WEEKLY is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and may contain conf idential and/or
 privileged material. Any review, retransmission, dissemination or other use of this information by persons or entities other than the intended recipient
 is prohibited.
Page 7 of 8                                           GMS Port Report

                       ALANG - Port Position as of Arrived March 05, 2021
 No.       VESSEL NAME                           LDT                   TYPE                                STATUS
  1    Ace                                      9,359                 Tanker                         Beached March 02
  2    Baby Leen                                2,557              General Cargo                      Arrived March 02
  3    Celia                                    3,578                   LPG                          Arrived February 27
  4    Grand Solaris                           21,093               Bulk Carrier                    Beached February 25
  5    Linda - 1                                1,833              Supply Vessel                    Arrived November 13
  6    Sea Princess                             3,027                Oil Tanker                      Arrived February 28
 Total Tonnage                                41,447

                       CHATTOGRAM - Port Position as of March 05, 2021
 No.       VESSEL NAME                           LDT                   TYPE                                STATUS
 1     Anda Raya                                7,925               Bulk Carrier                     Beached March 02
 2     Excel                                    2,406             General Cargo                     Beached February 28
 3     Helgis                                   3,339         General Cargo / Container              Beached March 03
 4     Pravik                                   7,352               Bulk Carrier                     Beached March 01
 5     Refinded                                 7,352               Bulk Carrier                     Beached March 01
 6     Rigel                                   10,156               Bulk Carrier                     Beached March 03
 7     Salam Mewah                              5,309                 Container                      Beached March 02
 8     Sinotrader                              38,493                Ore Carrier                    Beached February 28
 9     Sunny Bright                             2,392                 Container                      Beached March 04
 10    Winfred                                  6,310                Bulk Carrier                    Beached March 02
 Total Tonnage                                91,034

                             GADANI - Port Position as of March 05, 2021
 No.       VESSEL NAME                           LDT                   TYPE                                STATUS
  1    Al Masilah                               4,400                 Tanker                         Beached March 05
  2    Best Success                             6,500               Bulk Carrier                      Arrived March 03
  3    Princess Dina                            2,105              General Cargo                     Beached March 01
  4    Sea Queen                                1,915              General Cargo                    Beached February 28
 Total Tonnage                                  4,400
  WHILE EXTREME CARE HAS BEEN TAKEN IN THE PREPARATION OF THIS REPORT, NO LIABILITY CAN BE ACCEPTED FOR ANY LOSS INCURRED IN ANY
                          WAY WHATSOEVER BY ANY PERSON RELYING ON THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.
Steel Plate Prices                                                              Page 8 of 8

                  INDIA STEEL   INDIA STEEL   PAKISTAN STEEL PAKISTAN BANGLADESH STEEL BANGLADESH     CHINA STEEL
     DATE
                 PRICES USD/T     PRICES       PRICES USD/T STEEL PRICES PRICES USD/T  STEEL PRICES   PRICES USD/T
   2/27/2021       479.17       35,200.00        592.69      94,000.00       543.86      46,500.00      439.63
   2/28/2021       479.17       35,200.00        592.69      94,000.00       543.86      46,500.00      439.63
   3/1/2021        481.37       35,400.00        611.60      97,000.00       543.86      46,500.00      439.36
   3/2/2021        481.19       35,300.00        611.60      97,000.00       564.91      48,300.00      454.16
   3/3/2021        484.11       35,200.00        611.60      97,000.00       564.91      48,300.00      454.58
   3/4/2021        472.33       34,400.00        605.30      96,000.00       564.91      48,300.00      457.86
   3/5/2021        470.07       34,400.00        605.30      96,000.00       564.91      48,300.00      456.83

www.gmsinc.net                     GMS_Leadership                        GMS, Inc.            snp@gmsinc.net

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