Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC

Page created by Brett Banks
 
CONTINUE READING
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition
Knowledge-exchange between US and German power system operators

                                                                                                  Philipp Härtel, Dr. Malte Siefert, Denis Mende
                                 Energy Economy and Grid Operation, Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy System Technology (IWES)

Delegation Trip to Germany
Berlin, September 28, 2017

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                  1
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Agenda

    I       What is Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft and Fraunhofer IWES?

    II      Developing Long-Term Scenarios with High Levels of Decarbonisation                            (Philipp Härtel)

   III Current Challenges of the Integration of Large Amounts of Wind and Solar Power                  (Dr. Malte Siefert)

  IV Technical Challenges and Prospects in Power Systems with High Penetration of Renewable Energies      (Denis Mende)

   V Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017     2
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Agenda

    I       What is Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft and Fraunhofer IWES?

    II      Developing Long-Term Scenarios with High Levels of Decarbonisation

   III Current Challenges of the Integration of Large Amounts of Wind and Solar Power

  IV Technical Challenges and Prospects in Power Systems with High Penetration of Renewable Energies

   V Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017     3
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft conducts applied research and comprises 66 institutes across Germany

                                       Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft
                                                                                                    Itzehoe            Rostock
                                                                                                              Lübeck
   Europe‘s largest applied research organisation
                                                                                     Bremerhaven
                                                                                          Bremen
   Undertakes research for direct use
                                                                                              Hannover                           Berlin
    by private and public enterprises,                                                                             Potsdam
                                                                                                                                 Teltow
                                                                                                   Braunschweig
                                                                                                                  Magdeburg
    providing a wide range of                                                                                              Cottbus
                                                                        Oberhausen                         Halle
    benefits to society                                                 Duisburg
                                                                                 Dortmund      Kassel Schkopau
                                                                                                                   Leipzig
                                                                                     Schmallenberg                         Dresden
                                                                                St. Augustin                  Jena
   80 research units, including 66 Fraunhofer Institutes            Aachen
                                                                              Euskirchen                           Chemnitz
                                                                              Wachtberg               Ilmenau

   Staff of around 24,500                                                            Darmstadt
                                                                                               Würzburg
                                                                                                          Erlangen
                                                                       St. Ingbert
                                                                                       Kaiserslautern Fürth Nürnberg
   Annual research budget of around 2.1 bnEUR                         SaarbrückenKarlsruhe
                                                                                          Pfinztal
                                                                              Ettlingen
                                                                                          Stuttgart
                                                                                                           Freising
                                                                                   Freiburg                    München

                                                                                    Holzen                         Holzkirchen
                                                                                Efringen-
                                                                                Kirchen

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   4
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Fraunhofer has several locations and contact possibilities worldwide

                                                                                                  Gothenburg
                                                                                                                       Stockholm
                                                                                      Glasgow
                                                                                      Dublin                   Nijmegen
                                                                                                Brussels        Enschede
                                                                                                            Vienna
                                                                   Hamilton                                                  Budapest
                                                                                                           Bolzano    Graz
                                                                      London
                                                    East Lansing
                                                     Plymouth          Boston                     Porto                                              Beijing       Seoul
                                                                                                                                                                              Sendai
                                San José                             Storrs
                                                                                                                                                                             Tokyo
                                                                    Newark                                                           Lavon                       Ulsan
                                                                                                                                                                           Osaka
                                                                                                                     Cairo        Jerusalem

                                                                                                                                              Bangalore

                                                                                                                                                                Kuala Lumpur
                                                                                                                                                               Singapore

                                                                                                                                                                Jakarta
                                                                                       Salvador

                                                                    Campinas       São Paulo                                   Pretoria
         Subsidiary                                                                                                         Stellenbosch
                                                                       Santiago de Chile
         Center
         Project Center                                                                                                                                                        Auckland
         ICON / Strategic cooperation
         Representative / Marketing Office
         Senior Advisor

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                              5
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
The Energy System Technology branch of Fraunhofer IWES is located in Kassel

                                                                 Our service portfolio deals with current and future challenges faced by the
                                                                 energy industry and energy system technology issues.
                                                                 We explore and develop solutions for sustainably transforming
                                                                 renewable based energy systems.

                                                                  Personal: approx. 310
                                                                  Annual budget: approx. 22 Mio EUR
                                                                  Director: Prof. Dr. Clemens Hoffmann
                                                                 www.energiesystemtechnik.iwes.fraunhofer.de

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                          6
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
We research and develop solutions in different fields of expertise

                                                                               Device and System Technology
                                   Energy
                                   Informatics                                                Electrical Grids

                                                                                  Energy Process Engineering

                                                                         Energy Economics and System Design

                                                                 Energy Meteorology and Renewable Resources

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017             7
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Energy Economics and Energy System Technology are our two business areas

                                                                     Energy System Technology
                                                                      Power electronics and devices
                                                                      Grid planning and operation
            Energy Economics
                                                                      Measurement and test services
             Energy meteorological information systems
                                                                      Decentralised energy management
             Consulting and analyses in energy economics
                                                                      Hardware-in-the-loop systems
             Virtual power plants
                                                                      Systems engineering
             LiDAR Wind measurements
             Training and knowledge transfer

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   8
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Agenda

    I       What is Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft and Fraunhofer IWES?

    II      Developing Long-Term Scenarios with High Levels of Decarbonisation                         (Philipp Härtel)

   III Current Challenges of the Integration of Large Amounts of Wind and Solar Power

  IV Technical Challenges and Prospects in Power Systems with High Penetration of Renewable Energies

   V Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017     9
© Fraunhofer IWES
Analysis and tools to support energy system transition - RENAC
Energy Economy and System Analysis Group at Fraunhofer IWES mainly answers its research questions
with the SCOPE model family
                                                   Research focus                                              SCOPE model family

   Dynamic simulation of power markets in Germany and Europe
   Scenario development for energy system transformation towards
    decarbonisation
   Technology evaluations in future energy markets (particularly. at sector
    coupling interfaces power – heat und power - mobility)
   Grid and storage expansion analyses

                                                                                     Sector-wide dispatch and expansion planning model for analyses of future
                                                                                      energy supply systems
                                                  Current projects
                                                                                     Modular and customisable techno-economic fundamental market model
                                                                                      with various configurations
   North Seas Offshore Network (NSON-DE), BMWi, 2014 – 2017                          e.g. block-specific unit commitment (day-ahead, balancing reserve),
   Treibhausgasneutrales Deutschland, UBA, 2016 – 2018                               Expansion planning of grids and units (TEP/ GEP)
   Klimawirksamkeit Elektromobilität, BMUB, 2016 – 2018                             Implemented in MATLAB, solved by IBM ILOG CPLEX on IWES-owned
      http://publica.fraunhofer.de/documents/N-439079.html                            High-Performance Computing Cluster
   Wärmewende 2030, AGORA, 2016
      http://bit.ly/2kDMHst

   Interaktion EE-Strom-Wärme-Verkehr, BMWi, 2012-2015
      http://publica.fraunhofer.de/documents/N-356297.html

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                 10
© Fraunhofer IWES
Long-term climate targets are very ambitious and decarbonisation challenges the energy sectors –
promising solution via sector coupling technologies based on wind and solar power
                                                                Germany
                                  1200
                                                                                                                         International transport
                                                 Historical                     Target

                                  1000                                                                                   LULUCF1)
Emissions in Mio. tonnes CO2eq.

                                   800                                                                                   Energy sector
                                                                                                                                                               Complying with COP21 Paris agreement requires emission

                                                                           -80% vs. 1990 levels

                                                                                                  -95% vs. 1990 levels

                                                                                                                                                   Challenge
                                                                                                                                                                 reductions in the range of 80-95% vs. 1990 levels,
                                   600                                                                                   Domestic transport                         implying consequences for the energy sector:

                                                                                                                                                                    Power               Heat             Transport
                                                                                                                         Industry heat
                                   400

                                                                                                                         Building heat
                                   200

                                                                                                                                                   Solution
                                                                                                                                                                   Coupling of energy sectors with key technologies
                                                                                                                                                               to use renewable power generation (i.e. wind and solar)
                                                                                                                         Power sector
                                                                                                                                                                    as the main primary energy source in the future
                                     0

                                                                                                                         Non-energy emissions
                                  -200
                                         2010 2011 2012 2013 2014         2050 2050

1)            Land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF)

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                                 11
© Fraunhofer IWES
Heat pumps and electric vehicles are key technologies for coupling of energy sectors – they increase
the energy efficiency and substitute fossil fuels
                                             Power                                Heat                         Transport

                                 Fossil fuel power plant                     Gas fired boiler         Internal combustion engine
                                    Efficiency 40%                           Efficiency 85%                Efficiency 25-40%
                                                                                          Losses

                                                          Losses
  Today

                                                                                                                           Losses
                            Fuel                                      Fuel                           Fuel
                                                                                           Heat

                                                          Power
                                                                                                                       Driving power

                                Wind and solar energy                           Heat pump                   Electric powertrain
                                  Efficiency 100%                            Efficiency 340%                  Efficiency 80%
                                                                                          Losses
  Tomorrow

                                                                                                                           Losses
                                                                     External
                       Renewable                                   environment                     Renewable
                                                          Power
                         power                                         heat                          Power             Driving power
                                                                                           Heat

                                                                   Renewable
                                                                     Power

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                   12
© Fraunhofer IWES
One SCOPE configuration serves the development of cost-optimised target scenarios of future energy
systems with energy and emission targets
                                     Input data                                                Linear Optimization Model (LP)1)                               Output data

      Fuel cost                                                                                 Europe and/ or Germany                    Optimised power generation mix
      Technology cost                                                                                Objective is to                      Optimised heat generation mix
                                                                                                 minimise investment and
      Potentials and restrictions                                                                system operation cost                    Optimised transport mix
      Energy demand time series (power, heat, industry,                                        subject to compliance with                 Energy framework and installed capacities
       transport)                                                                                climate protection targets                CO2 emission price(s)
      Technology-specific time series (wind, solar, natural                                          full consecutive year,              …
       inflow, COP, solar thermal, …)                                                               hourly resolution (8760h)
                                                                                                historical climate reference years

             Markets
                                                                      Heat markets                                                                                      CO2 markets
                                                                                                         Gas markets
                    Power market                                 (various building types and                                         Mobility demand                (national/ international,
                                                                                                    (national/ international)
                                                                        temperatures)                                                                                    sector-specific)

                 Technology options

                        Wind, Solar                                   Energy storage                     Power-to-Gas                      BEV                           PHEV/ REEV

                       Hydro power                                     Cogeneration                     Cooling process                   Boiler                    Electric truck (OHL)

                    Condensing Plant                                   Power-to-Heat                       Heat pump                   Solar thermal                      Geothermal

1)   Static and deterministic Generation Expansion Planning (GEP) model.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                 13
© Fraunhofer IWES
Power sector sees higher volumes as it is expected to supply the heat and transport sector in order to
fulfil climate targets in the overall energy sector (-87.5% carbon emissions vs. 1990 level)
    900                                                                                                                           Curtailment
                                                                                     Other                                                      Net import                                           Germany
                      Power demand
    800                                                                      Electric trucks                                                                                                      NSON 2050
                     increases due to                                                                                                           CHP (Cogeneration CCGT)

                                                                                                   Additional power demand
                                                                                                                                                                                               Target scenario
                    new consumption                                       BEV/ PHEV/ REEV
                      from heat and                                                                                                             Waste and sewage
    700              transport sector                                      Air conditioning                                                     Hydro (ROTR, CHS, PHS)

    600                                                          Heat pumps (decentralised)
                                                                                                                                                Onshore wind
                                                                                                                                                (strong + low wind turbines)
    500                                                                   Power-to-Heat
                                                       Centralised/ industry heat pumps

    400
                                                                                                                                                                            Renewable energy generation is
                                                                                                                                                                               the main source of energy
    300                                                                                                                                         Offshore wind               with only limited generation from
                                                                                                                                                                               conventional power plants
                                                                              Conventional
    200

    100                                                                                                                                         Solar PV
                                                                                                                                                (rooftop + utility-scale)

        0
                                                                                               Consumption                        Generation

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                               14
© Fraunhofer IWES
EXEMPLARY
Exemplary week shows integration of renewable energy production through sector coupling –
heat and transport sector introduce flexibility and directly use electricity

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   15
© Fraunhofer IWES
A similar pattern becomes visible for the other market areas in Europe – conventional generation is
reduced to natural gas (mainly CHP) and existing nuclear plants by 2050
      1000
                                                                                                                    Generation/ Import/ Curtailment
       800

       600
                                                                                                                                                      Curtailment
                                                                                                                                                      Net import
                                                                                                                                                      CHP
       400                                                                                                                                            CCGT
                                                                                                                                                      OCGT
                                                                                                                                                      Waste/ Geothermal
       200                                                                                                                                            Hydro
                                                                                                                                                      Onshore wind
                                                                                                                                                      Offshore wind
                                                                                                                                                      Solar PV
           0                                                                                                                                          Conventional
                                                                                                                                                      Power-to-Gas
                                                                                                                                                      Power-to-Heat/ Industry-HP
      -200                                                                                                                                            Heat pumps
                                                                                                                                                      Air conditioning
                                                                                                                                                      BEV, PHEV, REEV
      -400                                                                                                                                            Electric trucks
                                                                                                                                                      Storage losses
                                                                                                                                                      Net export
                                                                                                                                                      Grid losses
      -600

      -800
                                                                                                                       Consumption/ Export/ Losses
    -1000
                    AUT       BEL     CHE CZE           DEU DNK   ESP   FIN   FRA   GBR HUN   IRL   ITA   LUX NLD NOR POL   PRT   SVK SVN SWE

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                      16
© Fraunhofer IWES
EXEMPLARY
Long-term scenarios with high levels of decarbonisation bring along challenges for planning tools
which are designed to investigate more specific subjects
                                                           0                                                                                                           Multi Market Area Dispatch and Offshore Grid Expansion Model
                                                                                                                                                                        Onshore market area

            Schematic                                                                                                                                                    Load coverage of residual load
          60 N
                                                                                                                                                                         Technical restrictions of the hydro-thermal plants
                                                                                                                                                                         Technical restrictions of other flexibility options (e.g. as battery storage,

                                                                                                                     1.40 1[-]
                                                                                                                                                                          flexible CHP, electric mobility)

                                                                                                                             .40 [- ]
                                                                                                                     ]
                                                                                                                0 [-
                                                                                                             1.4

                                                                                                                                                                        Offshore grid region (area)

                                                                                                              ]
                                                                                                          [17
                                                                             [-]

                                                                                                       86
                                                                          40
                                                                                                                                                                         Load coverage/ node balance of offshore hubs with wind generation/

                                                                                                    11.
                                                                        1.

                                                                                                                                                                          curtailment/ storage

                                                                                                                                             1.40
                                                                                                                                                  [-]
                                                                                                                                                                         Investment decision variables in offshore grid infrastructure

                                                                                                                                1.40 [-]
                                                                                        [5]

                                                                                                         8.40
                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                                           9.10 [13]
                                                                                   3.5

                                                                                                              [12]
                                                                                                      [9]
                                                                                                 6.15
                                                                                              4.11 [6
                                                                                                                                                                        Power exchange between areas
                                                                                                     ]

                                                                                                                                                                         Im-/ export between onshore market areas
                                                                                                                                   18.
                                                                        5]
                                                1.40

                                                                                                                                       06
                                                                      [5                                                                       [26
                                                                  0                                                                                ]
                                                                .5                                                                                           [-]
                                                     [-]

                                                              38                                                                                        1.40
                                                                                   3.50 [5

                            [5]
                                                                                                                                                                         Im-/ export between onshore market areas and offshore grid region
                                  3.5
                       2.99          3 [6
                                         ]
                                                                                          ]

                                                                                                               [-]
                                                                                                     40
                                                                                       18.
                                                                                          70       1.
                                                                                             [27
                                                                                                 ]

                                                                      1.
                                                                [-]

                                                                        52        ]
                                                                           [30 [-
                                                                         1.0
                                                           1.00

                                                                             ]2
                                                                               .62
                                                                                    [4]

                                                                                                                                                                                 Omitting sector coupling and its interaction in planning tools
                                                                                                                                                                                 focussing on e.g. offshore grid investments is not an option
                                                                                                                                                                                 Modelling (and solution) challenges are amplified even more

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                                                                     17
© Fraunhofer IWES
Key messages regarding long-term energy scenario development in Germany and Europe

   Focus used to be on reaching renewable shares in the traditional power sector                     Challenges for power system planning and operation models
                         and making use of surplus energy                                                   to adequately address future system flexibility
     Coupling the traditional power sector with heat / industry / transport sectors                               from a methodological perspective
               is crucial to decarbonise the energy supply system and
                              comply with climate targets
                                                                                           Limitations and assumptions:

           Generation from wind and solar will be the main source of energy                           Installed capacities are optimised to the absolute minimum
         as simulations show its feasibility and LCOE are continuing to go down                       by the deterministic generation expansion planning model
                                                                                                             (particularly conventional generation capacities)
                  Current alternatives expected to play a complementary role
                              Biomass, solar thermal, geothermal                                           Presented scenario is to be seen as a lower bound
                                                                                                         since e.g. balancing reserve markets are not included

                      Technology efficiency is still an important issue                                  Flexibility of the new consumers is assumed as a given
             although there are good wind and solar potentials across Europe,                             implying that they see some kind of flexibility signal
                           but social acceptance imposes limits

            High efficiency sector coupling technologies already relevant today                    European balancing via the electricity market is a vital assumption
                           such as heat pumps & electric vehicles                                        as it facilitates significant balancing between regions
    Low efficiency sector coupling technologies become relevant in the long-term
                       such as Power-to-Heat & Power-to-Gas

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                        18
© Fraunhofer IWES
Agenda

    I       What is Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft and Fraunhofer IWES?

    II      Developing Long-Term Scenarios with High Levels of Decarbonisation

   III Current Challenges of the Integration of Large Amounts of Wind and Solar Power                  (Dr. Malte Siefert)

  IV Technical Challenges and Prospects in Power Systems with High Penetration of Renewable Energies

   V Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017     19
© Fraunhofer IWES
CURRENT CHALLENGES OF THE INTEGRATION OF LARGE
AMOUNTS OF WIND AND SOLAR POWER

                                     Virtual Power Plant              RES Forecast
                              Malte Siefert

                                                                       power
                                                                                     time

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   20
© Fraunhofer IWES
Introduction - German power system

                                                                                              2050
                                                                                       2035   >80%
                                                                                       ~55%
                                                                                2025
                                                                                ~40%

                                                    Top-down     Optimization    Bottom-up

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017        21
© Fraunhofer IWES
Introduction - The Challenges

 Renewables replaces conventional power production

 Intermittent character of wind and PV
  Grid operation more sophisticated
  Resource planning more sophisticated
 Security of supply
  Balancing of supply and demand
  Grid security
 Ancillary services from RES
  reactive power (voltage stability)
  control reserve (frequency stabilization)
 Holistic view on energy system
  Activation of flexibility
  sector coupling

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   22
© Fraunhofer IWES
VIRTUAL POWER PLANT– RENEWABLE ENERGY PRODUCTION
OF THE FUTURE

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   23
© Fraunhofer IWES
Introduction – New role portfolio manager (Energy trade)
                                                                                                     Feed‐in tariff
                                                        380/220 kV
                    TSO

                                                                                                       VPP operator
                                                                      110 kV
                                 DSO A                                                                  manages portfolio
                                                                                                        Use cases
                                                                                                           energy trading (CVPP)

                                                                 110 kV                  Portfolio         grid support (TVPP)
                                 DSO B
                                                                                                       Benefits
                                                                                                        Data ownership
                                                                   Feed‐in tariff
                                                                                                        Portfolio optimization
Roles: TSO, DSO, customer, plant operator, RE plant operator, energy trader

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                      24
© Fraunhofer IWES
Virtual Power Plant (VPP) - Definition

   “A virtual power plant is a cluster of dispersed generator units,
   controllable loads and storages systems, aggregated in order to operate
   as a unique power plant. The generators can use both fossil and
   renewable energy source. The heart of a VPP is an energy
   management system (EMS) which coordinates the power flows coming
   from the generators, controllable loads and storages. The
   communication is bidirectional, so that the VPP can not only receive
   information about the current status of each unit, but it can also send the
   signals to control the objects.”

 Source: Virtual Power Plant (VPP), Definition, Concept, Components and Types, Saboori, 2011, IEEE

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                              25
© Fraunhofer IWES
Virtual Power Plant (VPP) - Architecture

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   26
© Fraunhofer IWES
Virtual Power Plant (VPP) – Aggregation level
                                                                                         wind farms
                                                                                        OPC DA Server
Communication interface
 Standardization useful and needed
Communication protocols
 TCP/IP based
Communication technologies                                                         photovoltaic plants
 DSL, LTE, GSM, satellite communication                                            OPC DA Server

Communication security
 VPN
 Web security
 closed user groups
 point to point connections
                                                                   Biogas plants
Typical requested data                                           IEC 60870-5-104
                                                                                      CHP
       P, Q, storage, weather information,                                         VHP Ready
        possible power feed-in
Bidirectional connection, push/pull

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017          27
© Fraunhofer IWES
Virtual Power Plant (VPP) – Business logic level

Metering interface to portfolio
Database

                                                                                                          External systems
                                                                      Database
Business logic-kernel
 Optimization of business cases                                                  Business logic-kernel
Unit commitment
 Calculation of schedules                                                          Unit commitment
 Calculating of operating points
Interfaces to external IT-infrastructure,
                                                                           Interface to portfolio

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   28
© Fraunhofer IWES
Virtual Power Plant (VPP) – Integration level

Graphical user interfaces
                                                                                       Graphical user interface
Monitoring systems
External IT systems
 Customer dependent (In case of utility SAP for
   accounting, etc.)
                                                                                          External IT
Forecast systems                                                                                        Redundant
 Power feed-in from fluctuating sources,
                                                                                                        vpp

                                                                      Grid operation
 load forecasts
 price forecasts for different markets
 External trading systems
Grid operation                                                                             Forecast systems
 State information
 requests for control reserve power

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   29
© Fraunhofer IWES
Virtual Power Plant (VPP) – Relevant research and cooperation projects (examples)

                                           VPP as a substitution of
                                        conventional power plants
                                    (European research – FENIX,)

                                                                            Control reserve power with wind and PV,
                                                                                              Optimization of revenues
                                                                                   (National funded research – ReWP)

                                                                 Aggregation of 700 MW renewable energies
                                                                 Portfolio in Germany
                                                                 (Cooperation – ARGE-Netz GmbH)

                                                                          Conceptualization of a Virtual Power Plant
                                                                                                       (VPP) in India
                                                                       (International research/cooperation with ICF)

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                           30
© Fraunhofer IWES
FORECAST SYSTEMS FOR THE INTEGRATION OF LARGE
AMOUNTS OF WIND AND SOLAR POWER

     Projects:
     EWeLiNE (2013-2017)
     Gridcast (2017-2021)

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   31
© Fraunhofer IWES
Cooperation between weather service and network operators

                                       weather forecast          power forecast    application of
                                                                                  power forecast

                                                                                             Francis McLloyd

  Seite 32
Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017
© Fraunhofer IWES
                                                                       32
Improvements along the whole forecast chain

                                                                 DWD                                              Francis McLloyd
                                  DWD

                                                   Weather          Post            Power        Post
  assimilation                                                                                             application
                                                   forecast      processing        forecast   processing

  Seite 33
Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017
© Fraunhofer IWES
                                                                              33
Problem description

    RES forecast for congestion forecast becomes one of the
     most important forecast for TSO in Germany
                    Operational planning: forecasting the future system
                     state + actions                                           →
                    System state parameters: node voltage and branch
                     current
                                                                           →       →
    Risks can be captured with uncertainty information (risk
     for (n-1)-violation)                                                              PV

    Further Need: operational planning process which is
     capable of integrating uncertainties

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   34
© Fraunhofer IWES
Most of the RES plants are connected to DSO-level

                                                                     TSO                  TSO

                                                                 ~

                                                                           DSO            DSO

                                                                            ~         ~
                                PV                                                              PV

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                   35
© Fraunhofer IWES
The challenge

   1.        Estimating the actual RES feed-in
             into transformer stations
   2.        Forecasting the RES feed-in
             into transformer stations
   3.        Estimating the reduced production of RES plants
   4.        Improved allocation of RES plants to transformer stations
             and integration of the grid sate
   5.        Quantification of the forecast uncertainties
   6.        Testing the results by functional models

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   36
© Fraunhofer IWES
Uncertainty Forecast for Congestion Management

    Thermal overload?                                                                                             Overloaded
                                                                                                                     Overload with
                                                                                                                               not 30%
                                                                                                                   probability
                                                                                                                     recognized
    Deterministic forecast: „No“.
    Reality: „Yes“.
    Ensemble recognize possible overload.

                                                                                      calibrated ensemble
                        50

                        45

                        40

                        35
           Power

                        30
             Leistung

                        25

                        20

                        15

                        10

                         5

                         0
                             1345              1350              1355   1360   1365      1370               1375   1380    1385   1390   1395
                                                                                           Zeit
                                                                                            Zeit

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                             37
© Fraunhofer IWES
One congestion forecast for each scenario
    estimation of critical system states

                 N=1                                                 N=2                                                N=3                    N=3

                                                                     Critial state

                                                                                                   Critical state
                            →                                                        →                                        →                      →

           →                                   →                 →                       →                          →             →        →

                                                            PV                                PV                                      PV

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                           38
© Fraunhofer IWES
Fraunhofer is Europe’s largest application-oriented research organization.

 Our research results are proven in practice

      Forecast Systems                                                Virtual Power Plant

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   39
© Fraunhofer IWES
Agenda

 I    What is Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft and Fraunhofer IWES?

 II   Developing Long-Term Scenarios with High Levels of Decarbonisation

III Current Challenges of the Integration of Large Amounts of Wind and Solar Power

IV Technical Challenges and Prospects in Power Systems with High Penetration of Renewable Energies   (Denis Mende)

 V Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES

www.energiesystemtechnik.iwes.fraunhofer.de

© Fraunhofer IWES
Renewables in the German power system

                                              Installed capacity                            Power supply (August 2017)

 Installed capacity of renewables sharply increased in recent years
 Installed capacity constant respectively slightly decreasing (changing to cold reserve)
 Varying share of renewables in power supply due to intermittend primary resources

Source: https://www.energy-charts.de. Accessed September 25, 2017.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017            41
© Fraunhofer IWES
System ancillary services – classical provision and new challenges

 System services classically provided by conventional power plants, but oftentimes not yet required by RES
 RES need to participate in system services to keep system qualities up

Source: dena Ancillary Services Study 2030. https://www.dena.de/en/topics-projects/projects/energy-systems/dena-ancillary-services-study-2030. Accessed September 25, 2017.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                               42
© Fraunhofer IWES
Frequency control in power systems with high penetration of renewables (I/III)

 Frequency control ensured by conventional generators
       Rotating masses lead to instantaneous frequency support
       Primary control ensures new stable operating point due to
        increased power output
       Further control leads to constant frequency at nominal value
 RES decoupled from grid frequency due to inverter-based grid
  connection
       No direct coupling to frequency
       Only over-frequency support (reduction of power)
       Under-frequency support would mean active power reserves
 Investigations on frequency control and frequency supporting
  functionalities become more and more essential
 Examples
       Demonstration of control reserve with renewables: Project
        Combined Power Plants: http://www.kombikraftwerk.de
       Challenges in grid modeling (next slide)
       Frequency supporting functionalities (inertia & primary control) in
        wind turbines (2 slides ahead)

Source: According to https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Schema_Einsatz_von_Regelleistung.png. Accessed September 25, 2017. Own drawings.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                         43
© Fraunhofer IWES
Frequency control in power systems with high penetration of renewables (II/III)

 Challenges in power system modeling                                                                                                  Above               Balancing model (one rotating mass, no tie lines)
 Example                                                                                                                              Middle              -12
                                                                                                                                                              12„balancing“
                                                                                                                                                                 „balancing“models
                                                                                                                                                                              modelswith
                                                                                                                                                                                     withtie
                                                                                                                                                                                          tielines
                                                                                                                                                                                               linesand
                                                                                                                                                                                                     andenhanced
                                                                                                                                                                                                         enhanced
       Reduced inertia leads to increased requirements to power                                                                                             modeling (rotor angle, …)
        system models                                                                                                                                      50 % inertial generation
       Balancing model vs. enhanced modelling of large power                                                                          Below               -12
                                                                                                                                                              12„balancing“
                                                                                                                                                                 „balancing“models
                                                                                                                                                                              modelswith
                                                                                                                                                                                      withtie
                                                                                                                                                                                           tielines
                                                                                                                                                                                                linesand
                                                                                                                                                                                                      andenhanced
                                                                                                                                                                                                          enhanced
        systems                                                                                                                                              modeling
                                                                                                                                                              modeling(rotor angle, …)
                                                                                                                                                           -10
                                                                                                                                                              10%%inertial
                                                                                                                                                                   inertialgeneration
                                                                                                                                                                            generation
 Reduced system inertia calls for enhanced models and new
  modeling concepts

Pictures from: Schittek: Augmented block diagram model for investigating primary-control performance at low inertia, Master's thesis, Fraunhofer IWES, 2017. In Progress.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                                44
© Fraunhofer IWES
Frequency control in power systems with high penetration of renewables (III/III)
                                                                                                                                                                         pmax                                     pref                      max            max
 Frequency supporting functionalities of RES                                                                                                      f grid                                                                                                                 
       Modelling of wind turbines with frequency supporting functionalities (FSF)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         pmeas
                                                                                                                                                             pmin                                                                      min         min
       Study cases in power system models
                                                                                                                                                                                                1
 Example: IEEE 39 bus system, Generator outage, RES w/o FSF (StatGen, DFIGres)                                                                                                             1  s T1 

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ref                     pmax            pmax

                                                                                                                                                                  k df  s T    pdf                      df                                                              RSC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           pref
                                                                                                                                                                 1  s T 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     pmin         p min

                                                                                                                                                          1,00

                                                                                                                                                f (pu)
                                                                                                                                                          0,98
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Gen
                                                                                                                                                          0,96                                                                                                       StatGen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     DFIGres
                                                                                                                                                          0,94
                                                                                                                                                                  0                    20                 40                     60             80                  100        120
                                                                                                                                                          750

                                                                                                                                                          700

                                                                                                                                                 P (MW)
                                                                                                                                                          650                                                                                                        Gen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     StatGen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     DFIGres
                                                                                                                                                          600
                                                                                                                                                                 0                 20                     40                     60             80                  100        120

See also: Mende, Hennig, Akbulut, Becker, Hofmann: Dynamic Frequency Support with DFIG Wind Turbines – A System Study‘, IEEE EPEC, Ottawa, 2016. DOI: 10.1109/EPEC.2016.7771694.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                        45
© Fraunhofer IWES
Optimized grid operation in power systems with high penetration of renewables (I/III)

 New challenges in grid operation due to increased flexibility of
  generation and demand
       Volatile RES generation profiles                                   IWES.GridMod
                                                                           (PowerFactory)
       Changing power flow patterns                                                                           Network Modeling
                                                                                                         • Modeling of network
       Increased ramping requirements (e.g. as known in the US as                                       • Power flow calculation &
        „Duck curve“)                                                                                      further analysis methods
                                                                                                         • Visualization
       Increased demands on coordination between TSO & DSO due to
        changed generation location
             wind on HV-level                                                                                     enhanced
                                                                                            Validation             Matpower /
                                                                                                                                          Topology data
             solar pv on MV- and especially LV-level                                                                 MPC-
                                                                                                                     format

                                                                                       Optimization                                   Scenario & sensitivity
 Optimization approaches allow facing different challenges                   • Solving of the optimization                                generator
                                                                                problem                                          • Feed-in and load situation
 Example:
                                                                              • Reactive power control.,                         • Neigbouring grid parameter
  Implementation of optimization algorithms in flexible modules to with         voltage profile, losses, …                       • Power flow sensitivities
  possibility of result validation                                            • Active power distribution                        • Optimization goals
       Network modeling (PowerFactory)
       Scenario / Sensitivity generator (MatLab / Matpower)               IWES.WCMS /                                                              IWES.Scenario /
                                                                                                                  Optimizationdata
                                                                           IWES.Redispatch                                                                IWES.Sens
       Optimization environment (GAMS)
                                                                           (GAMS)                                                                          (MatLab)

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017        46
© Fraunhofer IWES
Optimized grid operation in power systems with high penetration of renewables (II/III)

 Example:
  Increased demands on optimization and coordination
  between TSO & DSO due to changed generation location

 Implementation of optimization tool to coordinate and
  enhance TSO-DSO-interface
       Optimization on DSO-level to provide flexibility potential
        at interface to TSO
       Optimization on TSO-level using own and TSO-flexibilities
        and giving setpoints to DSO
       DSO uses RES flexibilities to provide setpoints and new
        flexibility potentials

 Study case
       Larger DSO area in northern Germany with high share of
        RES
       (Part of) Northern Germany Transmission Grid
       Reactive power provision in given limits using different
        approaches

Pictures from: Sala: Optimal Reactive Power Management of Wind Farms for Coordinated TSO-DSO Voltage Control, Master’s thesis, Fraunhofer IWES, 2017. In Progress.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                            47
© Fraunhofer IWES
Optimized grid operation in power systems with high penetration of renewables (III/III)

 European liberalized energy market                                                                                  Conventional
       Energy trading doesn‘t take grid restrictions into account
         „Trading on a copper plate“
       Possibility of large power transmission needs
 RES often far away from load centers
       RES installation in rural areas with low load
       Example: Offshore wind energy                                                                                 Incl. assumed
                                                                                                                       wind generators
 Modular optimization tool to find optimal solution for „re-
  dispatching“ power plants
       Optimization of costs, powers or multiobbjective goals
        including several optimization criteria
       Possibility to freely include flexibilities of generation and
        load units
 Example:
       Redispatch according to overloading of lines                                                                  Comparison
       Scenario w/o incorporating wind power plants
       Redispatched powers (tech), costs (eco) and combined
        optimization using normalization approach (norm)

See also: Akbulut, Mende: Congestion Management Strategy in Combined Future AC/DC System, Fraunhofer IWES, 2017. In: IRP-Wind: Deliverable 81.5 – Congestion Management in combined future AC/DC System.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                        48
© Fraunhofer IWES
Restoration in power systems with high penetration of renewables

 Integration of renewable generators in system restoration concepts:
  Project Netz:Kraft
                                                                                                                                   Concepts for system restoration
                                                                                                                                    (conventional) black start
 Classical restoration                                                                                                              units
       Opening and enhancing grid island                                                                                           Large (conventional
                                                                                                                                     thermal) blocks
       Start of large conventional power plants
                                                                                                                                    Loads
       Provision of loads
       RES not considered in restoration concepts or are strictly
        limited/shut down

 Enhanced concepts including RES                                                                                                  Concepts for system restoration with RES
       Integration of renewable generators in system restoration                                                                   (conventional) black start
        concepts                                                                                                                     units
       Improved planning using forecasts (renewables and load)                                                                     Large (conventional
                                                                                                                                     thermal) blocks
       Increased flexibility and possibilities through frequency
        supporting functionalities and reactive power capabilities of                                                               Loads
        modern renewable generators                                                                                                 Renewable
       Increasing of robustness of restoration paths                                                                                generators

See also: https://www.energiesystemtechnik.iwes.fraunhofer.de/de/projekte/suche/laufende/Netzkraft.html. Accessed on September 25, 2017.

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                                                            49
© Fraunhofer IWES
Demonstration of solutions - OpSim

 Test- and simulation-environment for grid control and aggregation strategies
 Applications ranging from developing prototype controllers to testing operative
  control software in the smart grid domain
 Features
       APIs to connect various simulation tools such as Opal-RT, pandapower,
        PYPOWER, MATPOWER or custom scripts in Matlab, Java and Python.
       Standard interfaces: VHPready, CIM and IEC 61850.
       Scalable environment - runs on desktop PCs and clusters.
       Interfaces for hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) tests.

 Example
       Implementation
        of DSO / TSO
        operation center

 Further Information
       www.OpSim.net

See also: www.OpSim.net

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017          50
© Fraunhofer IWES
Summary

  Transition in electrical energy systems lead to various challenges
             Sharp increase in installations as well as in power provision
             Varying penetration of renewables & conventional generation

  Renewables need to participate in system services such as
             frequency control                                   voltage control
             system operation                                    system restoration

  Frequency control as challenge due to reduced rotating masses
             Challenges for modelling
             Frequency supporting functionalities and power reserves by RES

  Optimization and coordination at the interface of DSO / TSO
             Flexible optimization implementations and algorithms
             Improved solutions in grid operation and congestion management

  Integration of renewable generators in system restoration concepts
             Increasing of flexibility and robustness of restoration paths
             Using frequency supporting functionalities and reactive power capabilities of RES

  Demonstration of system operation strategies and optimization
   algorithms
             OpSim environment

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                            51
© Fraunhofer IWES
Agenda

    I       What is Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft and Fraunhofer IWES?

    II      Developing Long-Term Scenarios with High Levels of Decarbonisation

   III Current Challenges of the Integration of Large Amounts of Wind and Solar Power

  IV Technical Challenges and Prospects in Power Systems with High Penetration of Renewable Energies

   V Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017     52
© Fraunhofer IWES
Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES (I/II)

                                                                       We offer our "know-how pool" in different
                                                                        arrangements.
                                                                       Our target groups include decision-makers, specialists
                                                                        and executives from business and administration as well
                                                                        as students.
                                                                       With our IWES experts and with our broad network of
                                                                        experts from industry, consulting and universities, we
                                                                        provide basic and detailed knowledge on the use of
                                                                        renewable energies.

  Characteristics
   National as well as international trainings / workshops
   Day or week seminars regarding various aspects of renewable energy sources
   Online master program and certificate programs Wind Energy Systems
   Customer-oriented specific trainings on demand

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017   53
© Fraunhofer IWES
Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES (II/II)

  Example: Online-training for engineers of TSOs
   Wind and Solar Energy Sources Integration in Power Systems
         6 Modules
         50 lessons

          Introduction: Basic                                                                Planning considering   Long-Term
                                                                 Market Models and
         Concepts of Wind and                                                                 Wind and Solar PV
                                                                  System Balancing                                   Planning
            Solar PV Energy                                                                    Power Integration

                       4 lessons                                      6 lessons                   12 lessons        10 lessons

                                                                                                 Homework
                 Wind and
                                                                 Operational Analysis                               Certificate
            Solar PV Forecasting
                                                                                                    Exam

                      10 lessons                                      8 lessons

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                          54
© Fraunhofer IWES
Thank you very much for your attention!

    I       What is Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft and Fraunhofer IWES?

    II      Developing Long-Term Scenarios with High Levels of Decarbonisation                            (Philipp Härtel)

   III Current Challenges of the Integration of Large Amounts of Wind and Solar Power                  (Dr. Malte Siefert)

  IV Technical Challenges and Prospects in Power Systems with High Penetration of Renewable Energies      (Denis Mende)

   V Training and Knowledge Transfer at Fraunhofer IWES

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017     55
© Fraunhofer IWES
Thank you very much for your attention!

         M.Sc. Philipp Härtel                                    Dr. Malte Siefert                                 Dipl.-Ing. Denis Mende
         Energy Economy and Grid Operation                       Energy Economy and Grid Operation                 Energy Economy and Grid Operation
         Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy         Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy   Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy
         System Technology IWES                                  System Technology IWES                            System Technology IWES

         Königstor 59 | 34119 Kassel                             Königstor 59 | 34119 Kassel                       Königstor 59 | 34119 Kassel
         Phone +49 561 7294-471 | Fax +49 561 7294-260           Telefon +49 561 7294-457 | Fax +49 561 7294-260   Telefon +49 561 7294-425 | Fax +49 561 7294-260
         philipp.haertel@iwes.fraunhofer.de                      malte.siefert@iwes.fraunhofer.de                  denis.mende@iwes.fraunhofer.de

Härtel, P., Siefert, M., Mende, D., Berlin, September 28, 2017                         56
© Fraunhofer IWES
You can also read