ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista

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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
ARTIFICIAL
               INTELLIGENCE
                    (AI)

October 2018
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Agenda
01   Economic Impact of AI           05   AI Technologies & Enablers
     ▪ GVA, GDP & jobs                    ▪ AI types & categories

     ▪ Market size                        ▪ AI frameworks/computing & semiconductors

02   Leading Countries               06   Applications & Industry Impact
     ▪ Experts, papers, patents           ▪ Major use cases

     ▪ Funding & companies                ▪ Industry & sector impact

03   AI Investment Today             07   Summary & Outlook
     ▪ Venture capital and funding

     ▪ Major deals

04   Leading Companies
     ▪ Investments

     ▪ Patents & papers

2
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Executive summary

Digital transformation, transhumanism, Internet of Things, connected world, smart everything, Industry 4.0, nanotechnology,
biotechnology, quantum computing, big data, 5G, automation, smart robots…. Is your head spinning yet? Don’t worry, we got one more
for you: artificial intelligence (AI). Welcome to the cognitive era.
Today the world is in an age of fundamental change that by some is considered the Fourth Industrial Revolution and also referred to as
the cognitive era. Artificial intelligence is at the center of this development as fully fledged AI has the potential to disrupt every industry in
the economy and basically all aspects of human life within the next 20 to 50 years.
Currently, artificial intelligence is in an era of exploration where new technologies and ideas are emerging constantly. It is transitioning
from the development of underlying theoretical concepts (e.g. machine and deep learning, neural networks) to having a real-life impact
across a multitude of industries, verticals and products. This includes fields such as health care, retail & e-commerce, transportation,
finance, national security, energy smart cities and much more.
Virtual digital assistants such as the Google Assistant and Apple’s Siri are already part of the consumer market’s mainstream.
Autonomous driving is expected to fundamentally transform transportation; and applications such as robot-assisted surgery, virtual
nursing assistants, and medical imaging will have a strong impact on the healthcare market
This dossier provides insights into the potential economic impact of AI and current investment trends, including which countries are in
the lead, major companies, and the enabling technologies. Major use cases and applications of AI across several industries and
verticals are also covered.

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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Artificial intelligence timeline
1943        Warren McCulloch / Walter Pitts conceive the first neural network
1950        Turing test: test of a machine‘s capability to exhibit intelligent behavior equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, that of a human
1956        John McCarthy coins the term Artificial Intelligence (Dartmouth Summer Research Project on Artificial Intelligence (DSRPA)​
1959        First definition of machine learning by Arthur Samuel („Field of study that gives computers the ability to learn without being explicitly programmed“)
1974-1980   First „AI winter“ – lack of progress leads to substantial cuts in funding
1975        Kunihiko Fukushima develops the first true multilayered neural network
1987-1993   Second „AI winter“ period – market for specialized AI hardware collapses; funding is cut once again as ambitious goals are not met
1997        IBM‘s Deep Blue defeats Gary Kasparov, the world‘s chess champion at the time​
2006        Geoffrey Hinton shows how neural networks can be improved by adding more layers to the network (deep learning). ​
2009        Andrew Ng describes how GPUs can be used to accelerate the mathematical calculations required by convolutional neural networks (CNNS)
Mid-2010s   Beginning of the cognitive era​
2011        IBM‘s Watson Q&A machine wins Jeopardy!​
2011        Apple introduces first virtual digital assistant Siri to the market​
2014        Amazon launches Alexa
2016        AlphaGo (Google DeepMind) beats Lee Sedol​
2017        China‘s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) publishes its Next Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan
2018        „Edmondde Belamy“ is the first work of art created by AI sold at an auction (price $432.5k)​
            Major car manufacturers (like Daimler, BMW, Ford, Honda, Toyota, Volvo, Hyundai, Renault-Nissan) aim to have highly-automated cars ready for the
2020/21
            market
2025        Quantum computing​

 4
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
01   Economic Impact of AI
     ▪ GVA, GDP & jobs

     ▪ Market size
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Artificial intelligence will have major economic impact

Creating a reliable forecast that estimates the economic impact of artificial intelligence using            “The new spring in AI is the most
numbers alone is impossible. Evaluation and comparison of industry forecasts show that the                  significant development in
overall market for artificial intelligence is projected to generate tens of billions in revenue by the      computing in my lifetime. Every
mid 2020s.                                                                                                  month, there are stunning new
Forecasts on the impact of artificial intelligence (in dollar value) may differ, but one thing everyone     applications and transformative
agrees on is that artificial intelligence will be a disruptive force – not only across every industry and   new techniques. But such
sector, but for society as a whole. Projections show that by 2030 artificial intelligence has the           powerful tools also bring with
potential to enhance the gross domestic product by ten percent or more. This is mainly through              them new questions and
product enhancements and productivity gains.                                                                responsibilities.”

China and the United States are set to benefit the most from the continuous advancement of                   – Sergey Brin, Google co-
artificial intelligence and its neighboring technologies. For example, increased productivity from          founder and President of
labor substitution in the United States is projected to increase the country’s GDP by 15 percent by         Alphabet
2030.
The effect of artificial intelligence will be felt strongly in the job market, impacting employment
across many industries. For instance, around 70 percent of jobs in the transportation and logistics
industry in North America are at high risk of automation by 2030. Additionally, the share of
machine working hours is forecast to increase by ten or more percent across most work tasks and
activities.

6
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Market size and revenue comparison for artificial intelligence worldwide from 2016 to 2025 (in
billion U.S. dollars)
Artificial intelligence (AI) market size/revenue comparisons for 2016 to 2025

                                                                         IDC (September 2018)                                Tractica (June 2018)               MarketsandMarkets (February 2018)
                                                                         Grand View Research (July 2017)                     Frost & Sullivan (November 2017)   Rethink (July 2018)
                                                                         Allied Market Research (September 2018)             UBS (January 2018)
                                       250

                                       200
 Market size in billion U.S. dollars

                                       150

                                       100

                                        50

                                         0
                                                    2016                 2017                 2018                 2019                 2020             2021    2022                 2023          2024   2025

                                         Note: Worldwide; 2018
                                         Source(s): Grand View Research; MarketsandMarkets; IDC; Tractica; Frost & Sullivan; Statista; UBS
7
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Potential aggregate economic impact of artificial intelligence worldwide in the future (in trillion
U.S. dollars)
Global potential aggregate economic impact of artificial intelligence in the future

                                                                                                                                            Low estimate       High estimate

                                           0.9
                                                       0.8
                                           0.8
 Ecnomic impact in trillion U.S. dollars

                                           0.7

                                           0.6
                                                                   0.5         0.5         0.5
                                           0.5
                                                 0.4         0.4                                       0.4         0.4
                                           0.4
                                                                         0.3                     0.3         0.3               0.3         0.3         0.3         0.3         0.3                   0.3
                                           0.3
                                                                                     0.2                                 0.2         0.2         0.2         0.2         0.2         0.2 0.2                     0.2         0.2         0.2         0.2
                                           0.2
                                                                                                                                                                                               0.1         0.1         0.1         0.1         0.1         0.1 0.1   0.1
                                           0.1

                                            0

                                             Note: Worldwide; 2018
                                             Source(s): McKinsey
8
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Projected increase of GDP due to artificial intelligence by industry sector in 2030
Impact of artificial intelligence on GDP worldwide as share of GDP 2030

                                                                    GDP gains associated with product enhancements          GDP gains associated with productivity

                25%

                20%              8.5%

                15%
 GDP increase

                                                               6%

                                                                                        5.5%
                                 12%                                                                               5.5%                       5.5%
                10%                                                                                                                                                       4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      4%
                                                               9%

                                                                                         7%
                                                                                                                   6.5%                       6.5%                       6.5%
                5%                                                                                                                                                                                    6%

                0%
                      Other public and personal         Consumer goods,         Technology, media and   Energy, utilities and mining   Manufacturing and         Transport and logistics   Financial and professional
                              services                accomodation and food      telecommunications                                      construction                                               services
                                                            services

                 Note: Worldwide; 2018
                 Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates
9
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
Impact of artificial intelligence on the gross domestic products (GDPs) worldwide in 2030, by
region (in percent/trillion U.S. dollars)
Increase of GDPs globally due to artificial intelligence 2030

                                                                                   GDP growth due to AI in %      GDP growth due to AI in trillion U.S. dollars                            The mature economies of the United States,
                                                       30                                                                                                                                  Europe, and Asia (Japan, South Korea,
                                                                                                                                                                                           Australia, Singapore etc.) are forecast to
                                                              26.1                                                                                                                         profit from the development and application
                                                                                                                                                                                           of artificial intelligence on somewhat the
     GDP growth in percent and trillion U.S. dollars

                                                       25
                                                                                                                                                                                           same level. China is projected to maximize
                                                                                                                                                                                           the potential of artificial intelligence due to
                                                       20                                                                                                                                  its more dynamic overall economic growth
                                                                                                                                                                                           and the Chinese’s government strong focus
                                                                                                                                                                                           on it as a national strategy (more details on
                                                       15
                                                                               14.5                                                                                                        China‘s AI policy in country chapter).
                                                                                                                   11.5
                                                                                                  9.9                                  10.4
                                                       10
                                                                         7
                                                                                                                                                             5.4            5.6
                                                       5                               3.7
                                                                                                         1.8
                                                                                                                           0.7                  0.9                                1.2
                                                                                                                                                                   0.5
                                                       0
                                                                 China         North America   Northern Europe   Southern Europe      Developed Asia       Latin America   Rest of world
                                                                                                                     Regions

                                                       Note: Worldwide; 2017
                                                       Source(s): PwC
10
Incremental GDP increase based on impact of artificial intelligence by economic driver in the
United States by 2030
Economic impact of AI on GDP in the United States by 2030, by driver

                                                                                          GDP increase
                                              -15%   -10%     -5%   0%        5%        10%         15%     20%         25%   30%   35%     40%

                               Augmentation                                   4%

Increased productivity from labor substitution                                                        15%

               Innovation / market extension                                               10%

                            Global data flows                            2%

              Wealth creation / reinvestment                                       6%

                                   Gross impact                                                                                           37%

                             Transition costs         -8%

                       Negative externalities           -7%

                                     Net impact                                                                   21%

       Note: United States; 2018
       Source(s): ITU; McKinsey
 11
Share of jobs at high risk of automation by 2030, by region and industry sector
Share of jobs at high risk of automation by region and industry by 2030

                                              Energy, utilities and mining                Manufacturing and construction                Consumer goods, accomodation and food services
                                              Transport and logistics                     Technology, media and telecommunications      Financial and professional services
                                              Other public and personal services
                         80%

                         70%

                         60%
 Share of jobs at risk

                         50%

                         40%

                         30%

                         20%

                         10%

                         0%
                                       North America                    Northern Europe       Southern Europe                   China                   Developed Asia               Latin America

                          Note: Worldwide; 2018
                          Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates
12
Ratio of machine working hours 2018 to 2022, by task
Ratio of machine working hours by task 2018-2022

                                                                                                                    2018   2022

                         70%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                62%
                         60%
                                                                                                                                                                                            55%

                         50%                                                                                                                                                                            47%
                                                                                                                                                   46%                 46%
                                                                                                            44%               44%
Share of working hours

                         40%
                                                                                                                                                                                    36%
                                                                                                                                                                34%
                                                                                      31%                              31%
                                          28%                   29%                                 28%                                    29%
                         30%
                                                                             23%
                                  19%                  19%
                         20%

                         10%

                         0%
                                Reasoning and          Coordinating,      Communicating and         Administering   Performing physical Identifying and     Performing complex   Looking for and     Information and data
                                decision making         developing,          interacting                             and manual work evaluating job-releant    and technical   receiving job-related      processing
                                                       managing and                                                      activities       information            activities        information
                                                         advising

                          Note: Worldwide; November 2017 to July 2018; 313 Respondents; companies
                          Source(s): World Economic Forum
13
Change of hours worked in 2030 compared to 2016 in the United States and Western Europe,
by skill level
Change in amount of hours worked by skill set in 2030 compared to 2016

                                                               Western Europe         United States

                                                                          Percentage change in working hours
                            -30%        -20%          -10%        0%          10%       20%         30%             40%          50%         60%        70%   Automation is considered to be the
                                                                                                                                                              main driving change factor for the job
                                        -16%                                                                                                                  market of the future, as the adoption of
Physical and manual skills                                                                                                                                    automation and artificial intelligence will
                                               -11%
                                                                                                                                                              transform the entire workplace.
                                                                                                                                                              There are strong growth opportunities
                                       -17%
       Basic cognitive skills
                                                                                                                                                              for technological skills such as basic
                                          -14%                                                                                                                digital skills and advanced IT skills and
                                                                                                                                                              programming. Basic cognitive and
                                                                                                                                                              physical skills (e.g. inspecting &
                                                                              7%
      Higher cognitive skills                                                                                                                                 monitoring skills; basic data input and
                                                                                 9%                                                                           processing skills) on the other hand are
                                                                                                                                                              projected to decline.
                                                                                                 22%                                                          The transportation and logistics industry
Social and emotional skills                                                                                                                                   is projected to be impacted the most in
                                                                                                      26%                                                     terms of workforce change.

                                                                                                                                       52%
        Technological skills
                                                                                                                                                 60%

        Note: Austria, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States; 2018
        Source(s): ILO; McKinsey
 14
02   Leading Countries
     ▪ Experts, papers, patents

     ▪ Funding & companies
United States and China leading the way in artificial
intelligence

Both China and the United States are ranked as the top countries for artificial intelligence in all    „By 2020 they will have
the major categories we looked at (number of companies and experts, funding, patent                    caught up. By 2025 they
applications and papers published on artificial intelligence). Historically, the majority of funding   will be better than us. And
has been invested in the United States. However, China is making a strong push for the global          by 2030 they will dominate
lead. In 2017, almost 28 billion U.S. dollars were poured into the Chinese artificial intelligence     the industries of AI. Just
market.                                                                                                stop for a sec. The Chinese
One main difference between the United States and China is the role of the government. China’s         government said that.“
government has outlined its artificial intelligence plans in a national strategy and is streamlining
the development more strongly than the United States. For example, four out of five artificial         Eric Schmidt – Former
intelligence startups with funding of more than one billion U.S. dollars are located in China.         Google CEO & Executive
However, the number of startups venturing into this field is around 3.5 times higher in the United     Chairman of Alphabet
States than China.
This shows that the United States are the more innovative country for artificial intelligence, while
China is more concentrated in larger artificial intelligence companies.
Other countries where investment and development of artificial intelligence is at a significant
level are Canada, Japan, Israel, India and the three biggest economies in Europe – Germany,
the UK and France. French president Emmanuel Macron, for example, announced government
investments of more than 1.5 billion U.S. dollars for his country in March 2018.

16
17
Artificial intelligence performance benchmark by country as of 2018
AI country performance benchmark 2018

                                                                      Personnel                 Monetary Impact        Competitiveness             Research & Education        Technology

                                                                                                                                      Benchmark score
                        0                                   50                                  100                         150                             200                      250         300        350

        United States                        36                                                 68                                59                                           76                      98

            Germany                     31                                       56                                    57                              52                                   70

      United Kingdom                                   48                                             69                                 56                  32           29

               China        11                     34                 26                                          66                                                      95

              France                         37                                      52                           46         22                             45

               Japan        10    12                                   53             18                                                      87

 Republic of Korea          10              23                                  51               22                                       71

             Canada                    28                        35                                    56     14                 28

         Netherlands         13                             40                                        63          20        19

            Australia        14         18                                 46             18                  37

              Poland        12                    30                  29    10             16

Russian Federation          10         18              19        16                   29

         Note: Worldwide, Australia, Canada, China, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Netherlands, Russia, United Kingdom, United States; 2018
         Source(s): Capgemini
 18
Number of artificial intelligence companies worldwide as of June 2018, by country
Number of AI companies worldwide 2018, by country

                                                       Number of companies
                     0                       500   1,000                 1,500   2,000           2,500   As of June 2018, there were 4,925
  United States                                                                          2,028
                                                                                                         artificial intelligence enterprises
                                                                                                         worldwide. The establishment of new
           China                                       1,011                                             artificial intelligence companies has
United Kingdom                              392                                                          slowed worldwide since 2015 when the
                                                                                                         number of newly established enterprises
         Canada                       285
                                                                                                         worldwide reached 847.
            India               152

            Israel             121

          France               120

        Germany                111

         Sweden           55

            Spain         53

      Netherlands        40

           Japan         40

      Switzerland        40

          Poland         33

         Australia       31

         Note: Worldwide; as of June 2018
         Source(s): CISTP
 19
Number of artificial intelligence startups worldwide in 2018, by country
Number of AI startups by country 2018

                                                                   Number of startups
                     0                    200         400    600         800            1,000   1,200   1,400      1,600   Total number of true artificial intelligence
  United States                                                                                            1,393
                                                                                                                           startups worldwide is 3,465.

           China                                       383
                                                                                                                           The number of startups exceed the
                                                                                                                           number of total AI enterprises for some
            Israel                                    362                                                                  countries – indicating that the AI
United Kingdom                                  245                                                                        ecosystem of some countries (e.g.
                                                                                                                           Israel) might have been growing more
          Canada                     131
                                                                                                                           dynamically than others over the past
           Japan                    113                                                                                    year.
          France                109

        Germany                 106

            India              82

         Sweden           55

          Finland         45

      South Korea        42

           Spain         39

       Singapore         35

      Switzerland        28

         Note: Worldwide; 2018
         Source(s): Roland Berger
 20
US leads world in artificial intelligence talent – both in quantity & quality
Number of artificial intelligence (AI) experts/talents worldwide by country 2018

                                                  AI talent    Top AI talent

                                                      Number of experts/talents
                                                                                                                Estimates on the number of global AI professionals/experts/talents
                   0            5,000            10,000       15,000          20,000          25,000   30,000   range from 200 thousand to 1.9 million worldwide.
  United States                                                                                                 The United States lead all countries with 14 percent of global AI
                                                                                                                talent and around 44 percent of AI professionals.
         China
                                                                                                                The AI talent pool of the United States, Europe, Japan and Australia
          India
                                                                                                                is more advanced in terms of expertise, skill level and experience
      Germany                                                                                                   compared to China and India.
United Kingdom                                                                                                  While 18 percent of US AI talent is considered top-level, this is true
        France
                                                                                                                for only around 5 to 6 percent of AI talent in China. In the US, the
                                                                                                                share of top-level talent is 25 percent, up from 14 percent share of
         Iran**                                                                                                 total talent, whereas China’s share of top-level talent is only 5
         Brazil                                                                                                 percent compared to a 9 percent share of overall global AI talent.
         Spain                                                                                                  Around 70 percent of AI professionals in the US have more than ten
                                                                                                                years of experience compared to almost 40 percent in China.
           Italy

       Canada

      Turkey**

      Australia

         Japan

       Note: Worldwide; 2018
       Source(s): Institute for Science and Technology Policy (China) (Tsinghua University)
21
Number of artificial intelligence professionals by country in 2017 (in 1,000s)
 AI professionals by country worldwide 2017

                                                            Number of AI professionals in thousands                        Linkedin estimated the number of AI
                          0              100         200   300        400           500          600   700   800     900   professionals at around 1.9 million in
         United States                                                                                             850
                                                                                                                           2017, based on entries in their database
                                                                                                                           and desk research.
                 India                          150
                                                                                                                           Compared to the more narrow definition
       United Kingdom                          140
                                                                                                                           used for „AI talents“, the lead of the
              Canada                     80                                                                                United States for AI workforce is even
               France               50                                                                                     more substantial at a 40 percent share
             Australia              50                                                                                     China ranks only in seventh place for
                China               50                                                                                     number of AI professionals. The data
                                                                                                                           might not show the full picture though, as
             Germany           30
                                                                                                                           Linkedin does not have the same
          Netherlands          30                                                                                          penetration in all of the markets shown in
                  Italy        30                                                                                          the graph.
                Spain         20

                Brazil        20

            Singapore         17

United Arab Emirates          16

          South Africa        15

         Note: Worldwide; 2017
         Source(s): LinkedIn
  22
Number of artificial intelligence patents granted by trademark/patent office worldwide from
2000 to 2016
Artificial intelligence patents granted by patent/trademark office 2000-2016

                                                         Biological     Knowledge   Mathematical    Other

                                                                              Number of patents granted
                            0            1,000   2,000                3,000            4,000                5,000   6,000   7,000   8,000

USPTO (United States)

           SIPO (China)

      PCT (International)

            JPO (Japan)

          EPO (Europe)

         Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2016
         Source(s): RIETI
 23
Number of artificial intelligence patents granted to universities by country from 2000 to 2016
Artificial intelligence patents granted to universities 2000-2016

                                                                                       Number of patents granted
                        0                    100                     200         300             400               500   600   700         800

 Chinese university                                                                                                                  725

      U.S. university                                                      241

Japanese university                            93

  ROW universities                                   118

        Note: Worldwide, China, Japan, United States; 2000 to 2016
        Source(s): RIETI
 24
Number of papers published in the field of artificial intelligence worldwide from 1997 to 2017,
by country
AI-related paper publications worldwide 1997-2017, by country

                                                                                             Number of publications
                       0                   50,000                     100,000      150,000        200,000             250,000   300,000       350,000             400,000

      United States                                                                                                                                     369,588

             China                                                                                                                        327,034

 United Kingdom                                                           96,536

             Japan                                                       94,112

          Germany                                                   85,587

              India                                             75,128

            France                                           72,261

           Canada                                      61,782

               Italy                                   61,466

              Spain                                 58,582

Republic of Korea                                 52,175

      Taiwan, China                           46,138

           Australia                          45,884

                Iran                     34,028

              Brazil               27,552

         Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017
         Source(s): CISTP
 25
Number of papers published in the field of artificial intelligence in China and worldwide from
1997 to 2017 (in 1,000s)
AI-related paper publications in China and worldwide 1997-2017

                                                                                                                                    Global     China

                                      160
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     146

                                      140                                                                                                                                                                                   135.5               134.5

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 120
                                      120
Number of publications in thousands

                                                                                                                                                                                                      106
                                                                                                                                                               102                           99.5
                                      100                                                                                                              93.5
                                                                                                                                   89.5      89.5
                                                                                                                                                                          83.5     86

                                       80
                                                                                                                           72

                                                                                                                  61
                                       60                                                                54.5
                                                                                              49.5

                                                                                   37.5                                                                                                                                                    39      36.5
                                       40                                 33                                                                                                                                                    35
                                                     29.5                                                                                                                                                              30
                                                               24.5                                                                                                  27                        26.5         26
                                            23.5                                                                                      22                  22                            21
                                                                                                                                                19                          17.5
                                       20
                                                                                                                            12.5
                                                                                                            7.5        9
                                                                                          4          6
                                                                               2
                                        0
                                             1997      1998      1999      2000     2001       2002       2003    2004     2005     2006      2007      2008   2009        2010    2011       2012    2013       2014        2015    2016        2017

                                        Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017
                                        Source(s): Statista estimates; CISTP
26
United States – Still in the artificial intelligence driver’s seat?
Projected increase of GDP due to artificial intelligence by industry sector in North America in 2030

                                                                  Productivity       Consumption

                                                                                                        GDP increase
                                                             0%                  5%                  10%            15%   20%     25%   AI policy/strategy
                                                                                                                                        Trump administration
Health, education and other public and personal services                                         10%                      11.5%         New Select Committee on AI to advise White
                                                                                                                                        House in 2018.
                                                                                                                                        Main government goals to maintain global
                                                                                                                                        leadership in AI:
      Consumer goods, accomodation and food services                                  7%                            9%
                                                                                                                                        • Support national AI R&D ecosystem (e.g.
                                                                                                                                           public-private partnerships)
                                                                                                                                        • Develop US workforce to benefit from AI
            Technology, media and telecommunications                                6.5%                    7%                          • Remove barriers to innovation (regulations)

                                                                                                                                        Obama administration
                                                                                                                                        Three separate reports released in 2016 outlining
                      Financial and professional services                 4.5%                  5.5%                                    a possible foundation for future US strategy:
                                                                                                                                        • Preparing for the Future of Artificial
                                                                                                                                           Intelligence: Recommendations regarding
                          Manufacturing and construction                  4%                    5%                                         regulations, public R&D, automation, fairness,
                                                                                                                                           ethics and security
                                                                                                                                        • National Artificial Intelligence Research and
                                                                                                                                           Development Strategic Plan: Outline for
                              Energy, utilities and mining                     5%               4%                                         publicly funded AI R&D strategy
                                                                                                                                        • Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and the
                                                                                                                                           Economy: Deals with impact of automation,
                                   Transport and logistics           3%                    5%                                              possible policies to increase benefit from AI
                                                                                                                                           and mitigate costs

       Note: North America; 2018
       Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates
 27
Artificial intelligence funding investment in the United States from 2012 to 2018 (in million U.S.
dollars)
Artificial Intelligence funding United States 2012-2018

                                   6,000
                                                                                                                                Funding and investment in artificial
                                                                                                                                intelligence in the United States has
                                                                                                                                consistently risen over the years.
                                                                                                         5,012
                                   5,000                                                                                        Data for the first two quarters of 2018 point
                                                                                                                                towards a new record high in AI funding for
                                                                                                                    4,218       the whole year in the United States, as AI
                                                                                                                                funding for Q1 and Q2 2018 alone already
                                                                                                 3,921
 Funding in million U.S. dollars

                                   4,000                                                                                        amounted to around 85 percent of overall
                                                                                                                                funding for the full year of 2017.
                                                                                         3,203                                  Funding across all industries in the United
                                   3,000                                                                                        States was 27.5 billion USD in Q3 2018,
                                                                                                                                an increase of about 15 percent from Q2
                                                                                 2,489
                                                                                                                                2018. AI funding is expected to grow at
                                                                                                                                least in line with overall funding as well.
                                   2,000                                                                                        For 2018, overall AI funding in the United
                                                                                                                                States is forecast to amount to between
                                                                                                                                nine and ten billion USD based on overall
                                                                         1,118
                                                                                                                                funding growth and growth rates of AI
                                   1,000                                                                                        funding over the past eight quarters.
                                                                  595
                                                282

                                      0
                                                2011              2012   2013    2014    2015    2016    2017    Q1 & Q2 2018

                                     Note: United States; 2012 to 2018
                                     Source(s): CB Insights; PwC
28
China on its way to global artificial intelligence dominance

In July 2017, the State Council of China released the Next Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan outlining the country’s
strategic approach and policy for AI up to 2030:
•    2020: Keeping pace with developments in artificial intelligence and narrow/close the gap to the United States; China as a global
     innovation leader. Focus on big data intelligence, autonomous intelligence systems (estimated core AI industry size 150 billion
     yuan / roughly 21.5 billion USD)
•    2025: Make major breakthroughs in basic AI technologies; initial AI laws and regulations; broader use of AI across all sectors –
     medicine, city infrastructure, manufacturing, agriculture (estimated core AI industry size 400 billion yuan / roughly 58 billion USD)
•    2030: World leader in AI; major breakthroughs in core technologies. Focus in social governance, national defense construction,
     industrial value chain (estimated core industry size 1,000 billion yuan / roughly 144 billion USD)
•    Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent and iFlytek appointed by Chinese government as “national champions” to lead development and
     innovation of AI
•    The state-owned electric utility monopoly State Grid Corporation of China holds by far the most AI patents in the country with
     4,246. Baidu has the most amongst enterprises with 542 and the Chinese Academy of Sciences System the most in the
     academic world with 897 patents
•    2.1 billion USD investment in a technology park dedicated to artificial intelligence to be built in Beijing
•    Government funding of around 430 million USD for AI-related research projects in a six month period in early 2018 alone

29
Government funding of artificial intelligence related projects in China in the six month period
ending April 2018, by focus (in million U.S. dollars)
Artificial intelligence related project funding in China six months ending April 2018

                                                                                               Funding in million U.S. dollars
                                            0                      20                     40     60                      80      100   120           140

                               Smart cars                                                                                                    128.7

                       Cloud and big data                                                                              74.6

                           Smart robotics                                                                         72

Quantum and high performance computing                                                           57.3

                   Strategic technologies                                                      55.2

             Leading electronic materials                                     27.2

                   Smart medical devices                      13.9

      Note: China; 2015 to 2018
      Source(s): SCMP; Various sources (National Science and Technology Information System)
 30
Size of the artificial intelligence market in China from 2015 to 2020 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Artificial intelligence market size in China 2015-2020

                                       16
                                                                                                                    Considering the goal of the Chinese
                                                                                                             14.3   government to make the country the
                                                                                                                    global leader in AI by 2030, the market is
                                       14
                                                                                                                    projected to grow strongly over the next
                                                                                                                    few years. The GDP in China is forecast
                                       12                                                                           to increase by at least ten percent
                                                                                                                    across all industries and sectors.
 Market size in billion U.S. dollars

                                                                                                      10.2
                                       10

                                       8

                                                                                               6.2
                                       6

                                       4                                                3.4

                                                                                2.1
                                       2                1.6

                                       0
                                                       2015                    2016     2017   2018   2019   2020

                                            Note: China; 2015 to 2018.
                                            Source(s): CMN; CISTP; Statista estimates
31
Projected increase of GDP due to artificial intelligence by industry sector in China in 2030
Impact of artificial intelligence on GDP in China as share of GDP 2030

                                                                                    Productivity    Consumption

                                                                                                                        GDP increase
                                                             0%   5%          10%             15%         20%              25%         30%   35%   40%      45%   50%

Health, education and other public and personal services                                                          23%                                    22.5%

      Consumer goods, accomodation and food services                                  14.5%                                      14%

            Technology, media and telecommunications                                13.5%                                12.5%

                      Financial and professional services                              14%                              11.5%

                          Manufacturing and construction                       12%                              11.5%

                              Energy, utilities and mining                    11%                        10.5%

                                   Transport and logistics             8.5%                    8.5%

       Note: China; 2018
       Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates
 32
Number of newly founded artificial intelligence companies in China from 2000 to 2017
Number of AI start-ups in China 2000-2017

                      250
                                                                                                                                                                 The average age of artificial intelligence
                                                                                                                                            228                  enterprises in China is 5.5 years.
                                                                                                                                                                 75 percent of AI companies in China are
                                                                                                                                                                 located in Beijing, Shanghai and
                      200                                                                                                                          192
                                                                                                                                                                 Guangdong.
Number of companies

                      150

                                                                                                                                     128

                                                                                                                                                          98
                      100

                                                                                                                       62
                                                                                                                              57
                       50
                                                                                                         30     30
                                                                                                  20
                             15                                       15            15     15
                                     10      10      10      10              10

                        0
                            2000    2001    2002    2003    2004      2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017

                        Note: China; 2000 to 2017
                        Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates; CISTP
33
Highest valued artificial intelligence companies in China in 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Artificial intelligence unicorn companies in China by value 2018

                                                                     Estimated worth in billion U.S. dollars
                   0                 2             4             6                     8                       10   12   14        16

             DJI                                                                                                              15

        UBTech                                               5

      SenseTime                                        4.5

       Cambrion                              2.5

      Cloudwalk                          2

           YITU                          2

         Face++                          2

Horizon Robotics               1.5

       iCarbonX            1

         Pony.ai           1

       Unisound            1

       Tongdun             1

         Mobvoi            1

         Orbbec            1

       Note: China; 2018
       Source(s): CMN
 34
03   Investment & Funding
     ▪ Venture capital & funding

     ▪ Major deals
Investment in AI is at an all-time high

Artificial intelligence has, once again, entered an exciting period - with hopes for breakthrough    “AI is the new electricity. I
developments and products. We are in what has been termed an “AI spring”, as investments             can hardly imagine an
and funding into artificial intelligence have grown strongly over the past few years. For example,   industry which is not going
the growth in global funding of AI startups amounted to more than 460 percent from 2012 to           to be transformed by AI. A
2017. Furthermore, the overall artificial intelligence market is forecast to grow annually by more   clear path to an AI-powered
than 100 percent each year up to 2025.                                                               society includes wide
In 2017, AI investment and financing reached almost 40 billion U.S. dollars globally - up from       adoption of AI to drive
around 31 billion U.S. dollars the year before. Almost 70 percent of investments went to China,      industrial and technological
as the country is making a strong push to reach its goal of becoming the world‘s leader in AI.       endeavors.”

Globally, the majority of investment and funding goes into all purpose AI companies that are not     Andrew Ng – Co-Chairman
focused on a specific industry or product. Startups are a huge part of the artificial intelligence   & Co-Founder of Coursera;
ecosystem, as funding of AI startups amounted to more than 15 billion U.S. dollars in 2017.          Former Chief Scientist at
Trends show that an increasing number of startups are moving to more mature funding phases.          Baidu
Only around a quarter of investment and funding projects in the first quarter of 2018 were in the
seed/angel phase compared to more than 40 percent in the previous year. Full year data for
2018 will highlight if this trend solidifies itself.

36
Growth of the artificial intelligence market worldwide from 2017 to 2025
Artificial intelligence market growth worldwide 2017-2025

                       160%                                    154%
                                    150%                152%                 151%
                                                                                    146%
                                                                      143%
                                                                                           140%
                       140%                                                                       133%
                                                                                                         127%

                       120%
 Year-on-year growth

                       100%

                       80%

                       60%

                       40%

                       20%

                        0%
                                     2017               2018   2019   2020   2021   2022   2023   2024   2025

                        Note: Worldwide; 2016 to 2017
                        Source(s): Tractica
37
Global artificial intelligence investment and financing from 2013 to Q1 2018 (in billion U.S.
dollars)
AI investment and financing worldwide 2013-2018

                                   45
                                                                                                                 Available data for the first quarter of
                                                                                                                 2018 points towards AI investments
                                   40                                                           39.2             leveling off at 2017 values. Global AI
                                                                                                                 investments in the first quarter of 2018
                                                                                                                 were at about a quarter of total 2017
                                   35
                                                                                                                 spending.
                                                                                         31.3
                                                                                                                 AI startup funding is also on pace to
                                   30
 Funding in billion U.S. dollars

                                                                                  28                             match, but not strongly exceed, 2017
                                                                                                                 levels.
                                   25

                                   20

                                   15                                      13.2

                                                                                                        10.1
                                   10

                                                4.5
                                   5

                                   0
                                               2013                        2014   2015   2016   2017   Q1 2018

                                    Note: Worldwide; 2013 to Q1 2018
                                    Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates
38
Artificial intelligence startup funding worldwide from 2011 to 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars)
AI funding worldwide 2011-2018, by quarter

                                                                                               Q1     Q2   Q3   Q4

                                  16

                                  14

                                  12
Funding in billion U.S. dollars

                                  10

                                  8

                                  6

                                  4

                                  2

                                  0
                                                   2011                      2012       2013   2014                  2015   2016   2017   2018

                                       Note: Worldwide; 2011 to Q3 2018.
                                       Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates
39
Share of global artificial intelligence investment and financing projects from 2013 to Q1 2018,
by stage of funding
Distribution of AI investment and financing projects 2013-2018, by stage of funding

                                                             Seed/Angel   Series A   Series B     Series C   Series D   Series E   Series F   Other series

                     100%

                     90%

                     80%

                     70%

                     60%
 Share of projects

                     50%

                     40%

                     30%

                     20%

                     10%

                      0%
                                          2013                    2014                          2015                      2016                         2017   Q1 2018

                      Note: Worldwide; 2013 to Q1 2018
                      Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates
40
Share of artificial intelligence startup funding count (deals) worldwide from 2012 to 2017, by
stage of funding
AI funding count share worldwide 2012-2017, by stage of funding

                                                                                  Seed   A   B   C   D   Late stage

                         100%

                         90%

                         80%

                         70%
Share of funding count

                         60%

                         50%

                         40%

                         30%

                         20%

                         10%

                          0%
                                              2012                         2013      2014                        2015   2016   2017

                          Note: Worldwide; 2012 to 2017
                          Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates
41
Share of artificial intelligence funding amounts worldwide from 2012 to 2017, by stage of
funding
AI funding amount share worldwide 2012-2017, by stage of funding

                                                                                      Seed     A     B   C   D   Late stage

                           100.0%                                                                                                          2.5%
                                                    4%                                       6.5%                         9.5%     13.5%
                                                                               7%
                                                  15.5%                                                                                    20.5%
                                                                              2.5%           29.5%
                           90.0%
                                                                              18%                                             8%
                                                                                                                                   21%
                           80.0%                                                                                         20.5%
                                                   26%
                                                                                                                                           25%
                           70.0%                                              31.5%
Share of funding amounts

                                                                                                                                   28.5%
                           60.0%                                                             31.5%
                                                                                                                         23.5%

                                                   40%
                           50.0%                                                                                                           29.5%

                           40.0%
                                                                              28.5%
                                                                                                                         27.5%
                                                                                                                                   29.5%
                           30.0%                                                             22%

                           20.0%                                                                                                           19%

                                                   15%
                           10.0%                                              12.5%
                                                                                             11%                         11.5%
                                                                                                                                    8%
                                                                                                                                           3.5%
                            0.0%
                                                   2012                       2013           2014                         2015     2016    2017

                             Note: Worldwide; 2012 to 2017
                             Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates
42
Number of newly founded artificial intelligence companies worldwide from 2000 to 2017
Number of AI start-ups worldwide 2000-2017

                      900
                                                                                                                                                   845

                      800
                                                                                                                                                          740

                      700
                                                                                                                                            650

                      600
Number of companies

                      500
                                                                                                                                     450

                      400                                                                                                     385

                                                                                                                                                                 320
                      300
                                                                                                                       245

                      200                                                                                       180
                                                                                                         130
                                                                                                  100
                      100                                                                  85
                               60                                            65
                                                                      45            50
                                          35         35        30
                                                                                                                                                                           10
                        0
                              2000       2001       2002       2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   July 2018

                        Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2017
                        Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates
43
Number of artificial intelligence startup company acquisitions worldwide 2013-2017
Acquisitions of AI startup companies worldwide 2013-2017

                         140                                                           The growth of investment in AI over the
                                                                                       past few years has led to more
                                                                                       acquisitions of startups as well.
                         120                                                    115    Intel is one of the most active investors
                                                                                       in AI with more than one billion USD
                                                                                       invested in AI startups through its Intel
                         100                                                           Capital division.
Number of acquisitions

                                                                         80
                          80

                          60

                                                                  45
                                                           39
                          40

                                          22
                          20

                           0
                                         2013              2014   2015   2016   2017

                           Note: Worldwide; 2013 to 2017
                           Source(s): CB Insights
44
Number of artificial intelligence investments by investor as of November 2018
Number of AI investments by investor as of November 2018

                                                                        Number of investments
                             0                 5   10   15   20                  25                  30   35   40   45        50

             Intel Capital                                                                                                     50

            500 Startups                                                                                                 45

                    NEA                                                                                   34

        Battery Ventures                                                                             29

           Y Combinator                                                                         28

Madrona Venture Group                                                              25

       Horizon Ventures                                                     22

                   Accel                                                    22

         Bloomberg Beta                                                     22

          Data Collective                                              21

               Techstars                                               21

      First Round Capital                                              21

         Sequoia Capital                                               21

          Kima Ventures                                                21

                   vesna                                          20

        Note: Worldwide; as of November 2018
        Source(s): Website (index.co)
 45
Artificial intelligence funding worldwide cumulative through September 2018 (in billion U.S.
dollars), by category
AI funding worldwide cumulative through September 2018, by category

                                                                                              Funding in billion U.S. dollars
                                   0              2                   4         6         8                 10                12   14   16   18    20

Machine learning applications                                                                                                                     19.5

  Machine learning platforms                                                                             9.4

      Computer vision platforms                                                     6.5

                  Smart robots                                                5.4

      Recommendation engines                                              4

                           NLP                                  3.1

Computer vision applications                                    3

              Virtual assistants                          2.5

            Speech recognition                        2

                Gesture control          0.8

              Video recognition        0.4

         Note: Worldwide; Cumulative through September 2018
         Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates
 46
Share of global artificial intelligence investment and financing projects from 2013 to Q1 2018,
by category
Distribution of AI investment and financing projects worldwide 2013-2018, by category

                                                                             Share of total number
                                 0%                        10%         20%                    30%    40%   50%

                          AI+                                                                                    53%

              Computer Vision                                    11%

      Big Data & Data Services                                 10%

                  Smart Robot                             8%

Natural Language Processing                          6%

         Autonomous Vehicles                    4%

                      Speech                    4%

              Basic Hardware                3%

      Unmanned Aerial Vehicle              2%

 Augmented & Virtual Reality          1%

        Note: Worldwide; 2013 to Q1 2018
        Source(s): CAICT
 47
04   Leading Companies
     ▪ Investments

     ▪ Patents & papers
US companies heavy hitters in AI with China catching up

Artificial intelligence is not limited in its possibilities of use, meaning companies from all spheres   “If the internet was the
are engaged in the market. Naturally, major players from the tech industry are leading the way;          appetizer, then AI is the
having already invested billions of dollars into research, development and the artificial                main course. The internet
intelligence ecosystem overall. Amongst these are well-known US-based internet and tech giants           changed a lot of our daily
like Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple, Intel, IBM and Microsoft.                                          lives, but did not have
Google is at the forefront of AI investment and development. Over the past two decades the               much impact on the 2B
company has invested billions of dollars in AI R&D and the acquisition of startups in the industry.      industries. I think AI will
Most notably they acquired Deepmind, which Google bought for 500 million U.S. dollars in 2014.           change that.”
Using AI patents and published papers on AI topics as an indicator for innovation and “AI
readiness” of companies Microsoft, IBM and Samsung consistently show up in the Top-5 of such             Robin Li Yanhong – CEO
rankings.                                                                                                of Baidu

Chinese companies like Tencent, Baidu and Alibaba are rapidly closing in on the leading US-
based tech giants though as some of the best-funded AI startups are also located in China.
Toutiao, Bytedance, SenseTime and NIO have each raised more than 2.5 billion U.S. dollars in
funding. Today there are more than ten unicorn AI companies in China with a value of one billion
U.S. dollars or more each. The state-owned electricity utility company State Grid Corporation of
China also has a strong presence in the market as it leads all companies in China in terms of
patents and paper publications.

49
Artificial intelligence startup acquisitions spending of tech companies from 1998 to 2017 (in
million U.S. dollars)
Technology companies by AI startup acquisitions spending 1998-2017

                                                      Acquisition spending in billion U.S. dollars
                0            500           1,000   1,500         2,000          2,500           3,000   3,500   4,000    4,500   Some of the major tech companies are
                                                                                                                                 using a two-part approach to AI by
     Google                                                                                                      3,900           investing into their own AI research and
                                                                                                                                 development departments but also
     Amazon                                871                                                                                   investing in and acquiring startups from
                                                                                                                                 the AI ecosystem.
       Apple                             786                                                                                     The acquisition of AI startups provides
                                                                                                                                 the companies with potential products
        Intel                            776                                                                                     and use cases. However, more
                                                                                                                                 importantly they are able to acquire AI
 Microsoft                           690                                                                                         professionals and experts which are in
                                                                                                                                 high demand all over the world.
       Uber                         680

      Twitter                      629

        AOL              191.7

 Facebook           60

Salesforce          32.8

       Note: Worldwide; January 2018
       Source(s): Website (techrepublic.com)
50
Number of artificial intelligence startups acquired from 2010 to June 2018, by company
AI startup acquisitions by company 2010-2018

                                                                    Number of acqusitions
                    0                       2   4           6                      8        10   12        14

Alphabet/Google                                                                                                 14

          Apple                                                                                       13

      Facebook                                                  6

        Amazon                                          5

            Intel                                       5

       Microsoft                                        5

      Meltwater                                         5

         Twitter                                    4

      Salesforce                                    4

       Note: Worldwide; 2010 to June 2018
       Source(s): Fortune; CB Insights
 51
Artificial intelligence patent applications of leading technology companies from 1999 to 2017
Global AI-related patent applications by company 1999-2017

                                                                      AI patent applications
               0           500            1,000              1,500    2,000           2,500        3,000   3,500   4,000       4,500
                                                                                                                                       Some of the major players in the tech
                                                                                                                                       industry are leading the charge in AI
Microsoft                                                                                                                  4,167
                                                                                                                                       foundation work and innovation, as
                                                                                                                                       companies like IBM, Microsoft, Google and
       IBM                                                                                                 3,360                       Samsung have applied for the most
                                                                                                                                       patents and published the majority of
     Google                                                                                    2,650                                   papers on AI topics over the past 10 to 20
                                                                                                                                       years.
Samsung                                                                                2,404
                                                                                                                                       Quantity in AI papers and patents are
                                                                                                                                       indicative of these companies being in the
      AT&T                                                    1,413                                                                    lead today but this does not necessarily
                                                                                                                                       mean that they are the ones to cash in first
      Baidu                                            1,246                                                                           or that they will be at the forefront in five
                                                                                                                                       years, as more money than ever is
State Grid                                           1,167                                                                             invested in AI research especially in China.

  Toshiba                                            1,149

     Fujitsu                                         1,132

       NEC                                     930

        Note: Worldwide; 1999 to 2017
        Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates
52
Number of published artificial intelligence patents in DWPI database by company worldwide
from 1997 to 2017
AI patents published in DWPI database worldwide 1997-2017, by company

                                                                        Number of patents
                                   0   1,000   2,000    3,000               4,000           5,000            6,000   7,000           8,000

                           IBM                                                                                               7,276

                      Microsoft                                                                      5,356

          Samsung Electronics                                                                       5,255

State Grid Corporation of China                                              3,794

                         Canon                                           3,569

                          Sony                                  3,090

              NEC Corporation                             2,932

                Fujitsu Limited                          2,868

                        Google                         2,757

             Mitsubishi Electric                       2,716

       Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017
       Source(s): CISTP
 53
Number of artificial intelligence patents granted by company worldwide from 2000 to 2016
Artificial intelligence patents granted by company 2000-2016

                                                                                               Number of patents granted
                          0                                    200               400                     600               800   1,000           1,200

             IBM (US)                                                                                                                    1,057

        Microsoft (US)                                                                   466

       Qualcomm (US)                                                                   450

          NEC (Japan)                                                      255

         Sony (Japan)                                                212

          Google (US)                                            195

  Siemens (Germany)                                             192

        Fujitsu (Japan)                                  154

      Samsung (Korea)                              119

          NTT (Japan)                         94

Hewlett- Packard (US)                         93

           Yahoo (US)                        88

       Toshiba (Japan)                       86

      D-wave (Canada)                    77

        Hitachi (Japan)                 69

        Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2016
        Source(s): RIETI
 54
Number of papers published in the field of artificial intelligence worldwide from 1997 to 2017,
by company
AI-related paper publications worldwide 1997-2017, by enterprise

                                                                                   Number of publications
                                   0   1,000                               2,000          3,000             4,000      5,000           6,000

                           IBM                                                                                                 5,105

                      Microsoft                                                                                     4,710

                  Siemens AG                                                              2,825

                     Samsung                                       1,548

                        Google                              1,383

                           Intel                           1,324

                        Philips                      1,229

       Microsof Research Asia                       1,181

               General Electric                    1,168

                      Siemens                      1,136

              NEC Corporation                957

              Philips Research           923

                         Nokia          869

State Grid Corporation of China        841

                        Honda          816

       Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017
       Source(s): CISTP
 55
Artificial intelligence startups ranked by total equity funding as of November 2018 (in million
U.S. dollars)
Ranking of most well-funded AI startup companies worldwide as of November 2018

                                                                                    Total funding in million U.S. dollars
                                          0              500                1,000           1,500           2,000           2,500           3,000           3,500
                                                                                                                                                                    Some of the best funded companies in
                Toutiao (China), 2012                                                                                                               3,100           artificial intelligence today are located in
             ByteDance (China), 2012                                                                                                           3,000                China.

            SenseTime (China), 2014                                                                                                 2,600                           With a high number of AI companies and
                                                                                                                                                                    enterprises in the United States, funding
                    NIO (China), 2014                                                                                          2,500
                                                                                                                                                                    and investment money is more spread out
         Argo AI (United States), 2017                                          1,000                                                                               when compared to China. The majority of
                                                                                                                                                                    AI funding in China is more concentrated
       Dataminr (United States), 2009                                           968.6
                                                                                                                                                                    with fewer but bigger companies,
       UBTech Robotics (China), 2012                                          940                                                                                   indicative of a more concentrated market
           Zoox (United States), 2014                                   790
                                                                                                                                                                    space.

         Tanium (United States), 2007                                   782.8

          Affirm (United States), 2012                                720

          Indigo (United States), 2014                          609

      Megvii Technology (China), 2011                           607

   OakNorth (United Kingdom), 2013                              601

CloudWalk Technology (China), 2015                             546

           Kreditech (Germany), 2012                        497.3

        Note: Worldwide; as of November 2018
        Source(s): CB Insights; Statista; CrunchBase; various sources
 56
Highest valued artificial intelligence companies in China in 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Artificial intelligence unicorn companies in China 2018, by value

                                                                     Estimated worth in billion U.S. dollars
                   0                 2             4             6                     8                       10   12   14        16

             DJI                                                                                                              15

        UBTech                                               5

      SenseTime                                        4.5

       Cambrion                              2.5

      Cloudwalk                          2

           YITU                          2

         Face++                          2

Horizon Robotics               1.5

       iCarbonX            1

         Pony.ai           1

       Unisound            1

       Tongdun             1

         Mobvoi            1

         Orbbec            1

       Note: China; 2018
       Source(s): CMN
 57
05   AI Technologies & Enablers
     ▪ AI types & categories

     ▪ AI frameworks

     ▪ Computing & semiconductors
Artificial intelligence technologies – a wide field of
opportunites & categories

Artificial intelligence mainly functions as an umbrella term for different technologies and concepts. One subset of AI that has been one
of the main focus areas of AI research and investment over the past ten years is machine learning.
Pattern recognition – a subfield of machine learning, natural language processing, learning systems, and neural networks, to name a
few, have attracted tenth of billions in funding money over the past ten years. Further development of AI not only hinges on
investments and research in the field itself but also on various adjacent hardware, software and service technologies.
Deep learning artificial intelligence systems, for example, need huge amounts of data and sufficient computing power to improve
through reinforcement learning. In 2016, Google Deepmind‘s AlphaGo used 1,202 CPUs and 176 GPUs in computing power when it
beat world champion Lee Sedol in the Chinese board game of Go.
Example systems and products:​
• Availability of / access to large sets of data for AI systems to learn from (big data)
• Semiconductors / computer chips (CPU, GPU, VPU, SPU & AI chips) & sensors​
• Computing power & AI frameworks (environments)​
• 5G mobile network (low latency in autonomous driving)

59
External investment in artificial intelligence-focused companies worldwide in 2016, by
technology category (in billion U.S. dollars)
External investment in AI-focused companies worldwide 2016, by category

                                                                    High end    Low end

                                                                   External investment in billion U.S. dollars                   What actually is…?
                          0                 1           2              3              4                 5        6   7       8
                                                                                                                                 Computer vision is an interdisciplinary
                                                                                                                         7       field of computer science dealing with
      Machine learning
                                                                                                          5                      enabling computers to see, identify and
                                                                                                                                 process images. It aims at giving
                                                                                  3.5                                            computers a high level of
      Computer vision
                                                                   2.5                                                           understanding of these images similar
                                                                                                                                 to humans.
                                            0.9
      Natural language                                                                                                           Natural language processing (NLP)
                                      0.6
                                                                                                                                 is a subfield of AI that helps computers
                                                                                                                                 understand, interpret and manipulate
                                     0.5
Autonomous vehicles                                                                                                              human language. It combines
                                0.3                                                                                              linguistics with computer science to
                                                                                                                                 identify and understand spoken
                                     0.5                                                                                         language as well as text based
        Smart robotics
                                0.3                                                                                              language.

                               0.2
         Virtual agents
                              0.1

        Note: Worldwide; 2016
        Source(s): McKinsey; PitchBook; Dealogic; S&P Capital IQ
 60
Number of artificial intelligence publications worldwide from 2007 to 2017, by topic
AI-related publications worldwide 2007-2017, by topic

                                                                          Number of publications
                                        0   10,000       20,000           30,000        40,000     50,000       60,000       70,000   What actually is…?
                 Pattern recognition                                                                                     63,666
                                                                                                                                      Pattern recognition is a branch of machine
                  Learning systems                                                                          53,539
                                                                                                                                      learning (supervised/unsupervised) that is
                   Machine learning                                             29,941                                                used to recognize patterns and regularities
                                                                                                                                      in data sets. It makes use of computer
                    Neural networks                                        26,470
                                                                                                                                      algorithms to discover these regularities and
Natural language processing systems                                    23,486                                                         then classifies the data into different
                Learning algorithms                                 22,626
                                                                                                                                      categories. Pattern recognition is the basis
                                                                                                                                      for computer-aided diagnosis systems in
                        Data mining                              20,089                                                               medical science. Other applications include
                  Feature extraction                           19,709                                                                 speech recognition, image recognition and
                                                                                                                                      classification of text into categories.
                          Semantics                           18,529

                  Image processing                       16,649                                                                       Artificial neural networks (ANN) is an AI
                                                                                                                                      technique that mimics or tries to replicate
      Pattern recognition, automated                    15,848
                                                                                                                                      the workings of the human brain. It is one of
          Pattern recognition, visual                 14,629                                                                          the main concepts/frameworks used for
                        Non-human                    13,855
                                                                                                                                      machine and deep learning. Developed
                                                                                                                                      neural networks can extract meaning from
           Decision support systems                  13,580                                                                           complicated data and detect trends and
                   Decision making                   13,430                                                                           patterns too complex for humans to identify.

     Note: Worldwide; 2007 to 2017
     Source(s): IP Pragmatics
61
Share of global artificial intelligence enterprises in 2018, by category
Distribution of AI enterprises worldwide 2018, by category

                                                                            Share of total number
                                    0%                   10%          20%           30%             40%   50%    60%
                                                                                                                       Artificial intelligence companies are
AI+ - specific industry verticals                                                                          49%         almost evenly split amongst ones that
                                                                                                                       focus on one specific industry vertical,
      Big Data & Data Services                                  12%
                                                                                                                       such as business intelligence and
                                                                                                                       healthcare, and those that are focused
                                                                                                                       on a specific type of horizontal AI
              Computer Vision                                  11%
                                                                                                                       application.
                   Smart Robot                           8%

Natural Language Processing                             7%

               Basic Hardware                      5%

                        Speech                 4%

         Autonomous Vehicles                  3%

      Unmanned Aerial Vehicle            1%

  Augmented & Virtual Reality            1%

        Note: Worldwide; 2018
        Source(s): CAICT
 62
Artificial intelligence hardware market share worldwide in 2017, 2020 and 2023, by product
AI hardware market share by product worldwide 2017-2023

                                                 Sound processor   Embedded sound processing unit    Vision processor   Embedded vision processing unit

               100%
                                                96%                                                 43%                                                   38%

               90%

               80%

               70%

               60%                                                                                                                                        15%
Market share

                                                                                                    7%
               50%
                                                                                                    4%
                                                                                                    46%                                                   6%
               40%
                                                                                                                                                          41%

               30%

               20%

               10%

                                                4%
                0%
                                                2017                                                2020                                                  2023

                Note: Worldwide; 2017
                Source(s): Yole Développement
63
Semiconductor sales revenue worldwide from 1987 to 2019 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Semiconductor industry sales worldwide 1987-2019

                                500

                                450

                                400

                                350
Sales in billion U.S. Dollars

                                300

                                250

                                200

                                150

                                100

                                 50

                                  0
                                      1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

                                  Note: Worldwide; 1987 to 2017
                                  Source(s): WSTS; SIA
64
Semiconductor unit shipments worldwide from 2000 to 2018 (in billions)
Semiconductor unit shipments worldwide 2000-2018

                             1,200

                                                                                                                       1,075.1

                                                                                                               986.2
                             1,000

                                                                                                       868.8
                                                                                               815.3
                              800
Unit shipments in billions

                                                                                       705.6

                                                                               623.7
                              600                                      556.2

                                                               467.1
                                           397.4
                              400

                              200

                                0
                                            2000               2004    2006    2007    2010    2014    2016    2017     2018

                               Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2018
                               Source(s): IC Insights
65
Estimated size of the artificial intelligence semiconductor market in the United States from
2017 to 2022 (in billion U.S. dollars)
AI semiconductor industry revenue in the U.S. 2017-2022

                                  35                                                                   The global market for AI specific chips is forecast to increase from
                                                                                                33
                                                                                                       4.52 billion USD in 2017 to more than 90 billion USD by 2025. Major
                                                                                                       semiconductor manufacturers as well as a variety of startups are
                                  30                                                                   currently developing chips specifically for AI purposes.
                                                                                                       CPUs (Central Processing Unit) are chips used for general
                                                                                         26
                                                                                                       computing purposes.
                                  25
                                                                                                       GPUs (Graphic Processing Unit) are programmable chip
Revenue in billion U.S. dollars

                                                                                                       processors originally designed for display functions (images, videos,
                                                                                                       animations). They have been adopted for use in AI as they can
                                  20                                              19                   perform parallel operations on multiple sets of data.
                                                                                                       FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Arrays) is a semiconductor chip
                                                                                                       that can be configured and programmed by the user. FPGAs are
                                  15
                                                                                                       good at processing small-scale but intensive data.
                                                                           12
                                                                                                       ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) chips are built for a
                                  10                                                                   specific purpose or application. They are tailored towards that one
                                                                                                       specific use but cannot be customized after production.
                                                                   6                                   NPU (Neuromorphic Processing Unit) are a type of newly
                                  5                                                                    developed chip category mimicking the architecture of the human
                                                 3                                                     brain. These type of chips are still in the early stages of
                                                                                                       development.
                                  0
                                               2017              2018      2019   2020   2021   2022

                                       Note: United States; 2016 to 2018
                                       Source(s): SIA
66
Optoelectronics / optical semiconductor revenue worldwide from 2008 to 2019 (in billion U.S.
dollars)
Global optical semiconductors market revenue 2008-2019

                               40
                                                                                                                                          38.02
                                                                                                                                  35.99
                                                                                                                          34.81
                               35
                                                                                                          33.26
                                                                                                                  31.99
                                                                                                  29.87
                               30
                                                                                          27.57
                                                                                   26.2
Sales in billon U.S. dollars

                               25
                                                                           23.09
                                                                    21.7

                               20
                                           17.9
                                                           17.04

                               15

                               10

                               5

                               0
                                           2008             2009    2010   2011    2012   2013    2014    2015    2016    2017    2018    2019

                                    Note: Worldwide; 2008 to 2017
                                    Source(s): WSTS
67
CMOS image sensors sales revenue worldwide from 2007 to 2022 (in billion U.S. dollars)
CMOS image sensor sales worldwide 2007-2022

                                        20                                                                                                                   CMOS image sensors are projected to become one of the most
                                                                                                                                                        19
                                                                                                                                                             important means to acquire image data for artificial intelligence
                                        18                                                                                                       17.4        applications. They could be considered the eye of artificial
                                                                                                                                                             intelligence bringing vision to these systems.
                                                                                                                                          16.1
                                        16                                                                                         15.2                      Today there are two main technologies in use for CMOS image
                                                                                                                                                             sensors:
                                                                                                                            13.7
Sales revenue in billion U.S. dollars

                                        14                                                                                                                   FSI (front side illuminated) – limited in the fields of use compared
                                                                                                                     12.5                                    to BSI because the pixel size is reduced with higher resolutions.
                                        12                                                                                                                   The manufacturing process of FSI sensors is more simple, lower in
                                                                                                              10.5                                           cost and has a higher yield compared to BSI.
                                                                                                        9.9
                                        10                                                                                                                   BSI (back side illuminated) – more mature/advanced technology
                                                                                                  8.9
                                                                                                                                                             than FSI. Solution for applications in need of high resolution with
                                        8                                                   7.4                                                              limited optical and pixel size. BSI sensors have a high sensitivity
                                                                                      7.1
                                                                                                                                                             and a strong low-light performance. Exemplary fields of application
                                                                              5.9                                                                            are surveillance, factory automation and smartphones.
                                        6
                                                        4.5            4.5
                                                  4            3.9
                                        4

                                        2

                                        0
                                               2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

                                             Note: Worldwide; 2018
                                             Source(s): IC Insights; Statista estimates
68
Worldwide revenue of the supercomputer market from 2015 to 2017 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Supercomputer revenue worldwide 2015-2017

                                   5                                              4.8

                                  4.5
                                                                           4.1
                                   4

                                  3.5                               3.3
Revenue in billion U.S. dollars

                                   3

                                  2.5

                                   2

                                  1.5

                                   1

                                  0.5

                                   0
                                                                    2015   2016   2017

                                    Note: Worldwide; 2015 to 2017
                                    Source(s): Hyperion Research
69
Deep learning artificial intelligence framework power scores 2018
Ranking of artificial intelligence deep learning frameworks 2018

                                                                       Power score
                  0             10           20              30   40       50          60   70   80   90   100
                                                                                                                   Deep learning uses neural networks and
     TensorFlow                                                                                            96.77   large data sets (big data). The concept is
                                                                                                                   in many aspects inspired by the human
          Keras                                                                51.55                               brain. Based on existing information and
                                                                                                                   the neural network, the system is capable
       PyTorch                                       22.72                                                         of connecting what it has already learned
                                                                                                                   with new content and information to
          Caffe                              17.15                                                                 continuously learn more. As a result, the
                                                                                                                   system has the ability to make predictions
        Theano                       12.02                                                                         and decisions.
                                                                                                                   Software frameworks are platforms for
        MXNET                   8.37
                                                                                                                   developing software applications. They
          CNTK
                                                                                                                   provide generic functionalities that can be
                             4.89
                                                                                                                   selectively changed by additional user-
DeepLearning4J          3.65
                                                                                                                   written code.

         Caffe2        2.71

        Chainer       1.18

         FastAI       1.06

       Note: Worldwide; 2018
       Source(s): Website (Towards Data Science)
70
Artificial Intelligence frameworks by number of commits and contributors on GitHub as of
November 2018
Popularity/usage of artificial intelligence frameworks worldwide 2018

                                                                 Commits    Contributors

                                                                          Number of commits/contributors                                   Google’s open source TensorFlow AI
                                     0          5,000       10,000   15,000   20,000      25,000      30,000   35,000   40,000   45,000
                                                                                                                                           framework/library has become the
                                                                                                                                  43,768   most used and popular one since its
                      TensorFlow
                                           1,723                                                                                           initial release in November 2015.
                          Theano
                                                                                                     28,052
                                         330

                 DeepLearning4J
                                                                                                  26,623
                                         237

                          Chainer
                                                                              16,675
                                         192

Microsoft Cognitive Toolkit (CNTK)
                                                                             15,994
                                         189

                          PyTorch
                                                                           14,709
                                          838

                   Apache MXNet
                                                             8,846
                                         641

                            Keras
                                                    4,907
                                          748

                             Caffe
                                                   4,152
                                         270

                            Torch
                                           1,336
                                         132

       Note: Worldwide; as of November 16, 2018
       Source(s): GitHub
 71
Forecast number of mobile 5G subscriptions worldwide from 2019 to 2022 (in millions)
Forecast number of 5G mobile subscriptions worldwide 2019-2022

                            450

                                                                              400
                            400

                            350

                            300
Subscriptions in millions

                            250

                            200

                            150

                            100                                       84

                             50

                                                               11
                                                      0.42
                              0
                                                      2019     2020   2021    2022

                              Note: Worldwide; December 2017
                              Source(s): 5G Americas
72
06   Applications & Industry Impact
     ▪ Major use cases

     ▪ Industry & sector impact
Where will artificial intelligence impact be felt first?

Artificial intelligence is set to impact every industry and many aspects of everyday life in the future.   “Whenever I hear people
There are still many milestones to be reached to achieve full AI maturity and “strong AI“. However,        saying AI is going to hurt
some fields such as virtual digital assistants and chatbots are already making an impact.                  people in the future I think,
Amazon Alexa, Google Assistant, Apple’s Siri and Microsoft Cortana are well-known examples of              yeah, technology can generally
virtual digital assistants (VDA) making use of AI technology. These VDAs answer questions,                 always be used for good and
provide news and weather updates and let the user control other devices in their home.                     bad and you need to be careful
                                                                                                           about how you build it … if
All major automotive manufacturers are now developing self-driving autonomous vehicles and plan            you’re arguing against AI then
to release partly, if not fully, automated cars to the market in the mid-2020s.                            you’re arguing against safer
In e-commerce and retail, artificial intelligence can help companies with warehouse automation,            cars that aren’t going to have
identifying target groups for their products and predicting sales more accurately.                         accidents, and you’re arguing
                                                                                                           against being able to better
In healthcare, the use cases for artificial intelligence are manifold as well. Medical imaging, cancer
                                                                                                           diagnose people when they’re
detection, diagnostic scans, robot-assisted surgery, health monitoring, drug discovery and virtual
                                                                                                           sick.”
nursing assistants.
                                                                                                           - Mark Zuckerberg – Facebook
                                                                                                           CEO

74
Share of artificial intelligence startups worldwide in 2018, by industry
Share of AI startups by industry 2018

                                                                                  Share of startups
                                            0%                  5%             10%                 15%   20%   25%
                                                                                                                      More than 60 percent of AI startups
General/Cross-Sectoral (B2B services)                                                                           25%   are applying to major functions in
        Communication (B2B services)                                                             14%                  cross-cutting sectors
                                                                                                                      (communications, marketing, HR,
        Sales/Marketing (B2B services)                                                   12%
                                                                                                                      security, e-commerce, legal, etc.) and
                   Healthcare/BioTech                                          9%                                     are therefore considered B2B
                                                                                                                      services.
                                    Other                                 7%

       Defense/Security (B2B services)                               6%

                               FinTech                               6%

      Human Resources (B2B services)                       3%

                         Entertainment                     3%

                         Transportation                    3%

                             Education                2%

                                   Travel        1%

                  Other (B2B services)           1%

                                   Energy        1%

                            Automotive           1%

        Note: Worldwide; 2018
        Source(s): Roland Berger
 75
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