Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank

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Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
Australian
Farmland Values
2020 | South Australia
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
About Rural Bank
Rural Bank is a division of Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Limited
and provides exceptional financial services, knowledge and
leadership for Australian farmers to grow.

About the research
The Australian Farmland Values report is based on actual farm
sales using data collected by the official government agency in
each state and territory, which is then compiled by PriceFinder.
The Australian Farmland Values report is a guide to market
trends of commercial farming property. To that end, where
possible, transactions between family members or where one
party has compulsory powers are excluded from the analysis.
Further, small farms are also excluded to limit the impact of
‘lifestyle farming’ on the results.
As property settlement periods vary, some 2019 sales will not
be captured in this report at the time of publication. The median
price for the most recent year is preliminary and will be revised
at least annually.
The values used in this report are based on the total sale price
and therefore include the value of capital improvements. The
value of water entitlements attached to a land title and therefore
sold with the property will be reflected in the sale price of the
land. If water entitlements are sold separately from the land, this
value will not be captured in the sale price.
Median prices in the report are only a guide to market activity.
They are not a valuation. Median is used rather than mean as the
median is not as readily distorted by unusually high or low prices.
However, the median does have limitations. The mix of property
sold in a given year can cause the median price to move up or
down in a way that is unrelated to a move in value. For example,
a higher proportion of lower-value sales can result in a lower
median and vice-versa. In areas where there have been very few
sales, this effect can be especially pronounced and so in these
cases the median should be used with caution and may not be
indicative of an actual change in farmland value.
In order to track median price per hectare growth over a range of
time periods the report uses compound annual growth rate (CAGR).
Compound annual growth rate is a geometric mean that accounts
for compound growth, providing a more accurate measure of an
investments return compared to a simple arithmetic mean.
Farmland sales volume is reported as the number of transactions.
Farms can be sold as single or multiple lots, which obscures the
view of the number of farms sold, particularly in cases where one
farm is sold as multiple lots to multiple buyers. Accordingly, the
number of ‘transactions’ should not be interpreted as the number
of farms sold and should only be used as a guide to market activity.
This report is not intended for use as a farm valuation tool.
A qualified professional is required to assess the value of a
property.
For PriceFinder terms and conditions visit:
www.pricefinder.com.au/terms-conditions/
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
Understanding the value
of farmland is important to
everyone in agribusiness,
especially Australia’s farmers.
The Australian Farmland
Values report tells the story
of national and regional
farmland performance over
the past 25 years.

This report is intended to provide general information on a particular subject or subjects and is not an exhaustive treatment of such subject(s). The information herein is believed
to be reliable and has been obtained from public sources believed to be reliable. Rural Bank, a Division of Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Limited, ABN 11 068 049 178 AFSL/
Australian Credit Licence 237879, makes no representation as to or accepts any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of information contained in this report. Any
opinions, estimates and projections in this report do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Rural Bank and are subject to change without notice. Rural Bank has no obligation to
update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a recipient thereof in the event that any opinion, forecast or estimate set forth therein, changes or subsequently becomes
inaccurate. This report is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained in this report does not take into account your personal circumstances and should not
be relied upon without consulting your legal, financial, tax or other appropriate professional.
© Copyright Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd ABN 11 068 049 178 (1452805 –1456139) (04/20)
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
Foreword

Agriculture is volatile, or so the mythology goes. You only hear            Farmers are also holding on to their land, with year-on-year
about agriculture when it’s booming or facing another challenge             transaction volumes falling by 13.2 per cent. What is driving this?
or crisis.                                                                  Are lower sales volumes driving up price, or are farmers simply
                                                                            optimistic about the future?
Rural Bank’s Australian Farmland Values 2020 report turns
this myth on its head, particularly when you consider our world             There is certainly no shortage of buyers, happy to invest.
is grappling with the COVID-19 pandemic, a challenge with                   Corporates have continued to strongly enter the market,
the potential to deliver the greatest uncertainty or unknown                particularly in New South Wales and Queensland.
economic impact since World War II.
                                                                            As much of the eastern half of Australia emerges from dry
Is agriculture immune or conditioned? History would tell you it is.         conditions and drought, will land continue to be held on to for
                                                                            longer, and what are the implications for traditional farming
When you remove the noise, agriculture is stable, consistent and
                                                                            businesses?
an under-recognised source of economic growth. If you know
what you are doing and are prepared to see through short-term               These are all important questions, requiring discussion.
vagaries and variations, there are rewards to be harvested.
                                                                            As always, Rural Bank is looking to contribute evidence and
On average, Australian farmland has delivered compound annual               insight to this conversation, advocating for the agricultural
growth of 7.5 per cent over 20 years.                                       industry.
It’s a remarkable result and it highlights that investing in farmland       In these unprecedented times, the evidence suggests that if you
over the long-term will deliver, through good times and bad.                look to agriculture and farmland, it continues to perform well over
                                                                            the long-term – whatever the circumstances.
We also know that farmland value is only one measure. It certainly
does not automatically translate to profitability, or growth.                Alexandra Gartmann
                                                                            CEO, Rural Bank
It’s the base asset for Australia’s farming businesses, with
unique characteristics, strengths and weaknesses. But in every
case, every parcel of land requires smart, capable farmers to
turn a profit.
Land with consistent access to water has continued to
perform far better than land without. Climate risk and
reliable rainfall continues to drive investment.

                                                                        4
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
Executive Summary

                                                                                                                                                                                  2019 year-on-year
Farmland values have been resilient following several years                                                                         2019 year-on-year
                                                                                                                                                                                     transaction
of challenging seasonal conditions. We expect growth in the                                                                        median price growth
                                                                                                                                                                                   volume growth
value of Australian farmland to continue over the long-term
as ongoing improvements in Australian agricultural productivity                                               NSW                                17.2%                                     -19.8%
and profitability fuel strong demand for agricultural assets.
While factors such as strong commodity prices, a low interest                                                 QLD                                -0.8%                                      -7.8%
rate environment and tight supply of land support strong
demand for farmland in the short-term, this will be tempered                                                  SA                                18.4%                                       -8.3%
by disruptions to global economies. We expect farmland
values to continue to grow but at a reduced rate compared                                                     TAS                                11.1%                                      -5.8%
to the growth seen in the past six years.
                                                                                                              VIC                                12.1%                                     -12.9%
Across Australia the number of transactions declined
13.2 per cent year-on-year to 7,164. This marks the lowest
transaction volume for the analysed period (1995–2019).                                                       WA                                28.2%                                       -4.6%
The number of transactions equates to a total of 6.5 million
hectares of land with a combined value of $8.7 billion.                                                       NT                                -53.9%                                     -36.2%

Farmland values hold particular significance when examined
                                                                                                              National                          13.5%                                      -13.2%
at a localised level. In 2020 Rural Bank has researched
trends in 29 regions across the country. The Australian
Farmland Values 2020 report draws on more than 262,000
transactions, accounting for 303.9 million hectares of land
with a combined value of $159 billion over 25 years.

                                                           Australia – historic performance

     $6,000                                                                                                                                                                                     16,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                14,000
     $5,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                12,000
     $4,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                10,000

     $3,000                                                                                                                                                                                     8,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                6,000
     $2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                4,000
     $1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                2,000

           0                                                                                                                                                                                    0
                 1995
                        1996
                               1997
                                      1998
                                             1999
                                                    2000
                                                           2001
                                                                  2002
                                                                         2003
                                                                                2004
                                                                                       2005
                                                                                              2006
                                                                                                     2007
                                                                                                            2008
                                                                                                                   2009
                                                                                                                          2010
                                                                                                                                 2011
                                                                                                                                        2012
                                                                                                                                               2013
                                                                                                                                                      2014
                                                                                                                                                             2015
                                                                                                                                                                    2016
                                                                                                                                                                           2017
                                                                                                                                                                                  2018
                                                                                                                                                                                         2019

                                                      Median price $/ha (LHS)                                  Number of transactions (RHS)

                                                                                                     5
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
$4,943 18.4% 218,610                                                                                  7.6%
                                                                                                       Compound annual growth
    Median price per hectare               2019 median price growth      Hectares of land traded
                                                                                                           over 20 years

Map shows median price movement in 2019.

                                                                                                    Yorke
                                                                        Eyre                       & North
                                                                      Peninsula                    21.5%
                                                                       17.4%

                                                                                                     Adelaide
                                                                                                      Region
                                                                                                     & Fleurieu
                                                                                                      -12.0%

                                                                                                              South East
                                                                                                               23.4%

South
Australia
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
South Australia

                                                     South Australia – historic performance

     $5,000                                                                                                                                                                                      1,200
     $4,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                 1,000
     $4,000
     $3,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                 800
     $3,000
     $2,500                                                                                                                                                                                      600
     $2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                 400
     $1,500
     $1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                 200
       $500
            0                                                                                                                                                                                    0
                  1995
                         1996
                                1997
                                       1998
                                              1999
                                                     2000
                                                            2001
                                                                   2002
                                                                          2003
                                                                                 2004
                                                                                        2005
                                                                                               2006
                                                                                                      2007
                                                                                                             2008
                                                                                                                    2009
                                                                                                                           2010
                                                                                                                                  2011
                                                                                                                                         2012
                                                                                                                                                2013
                                                                                                                                                       2014
                                                                                                                                                              2015
                                                                                                                                                                     2016
                                                                                                                                                                            2017
                                                                                                                                                                                   2018
                                                                                                                                                                                          2019
                                                       Median price $/ha (LHS)                                  Number of transactions (RHS)

South Australian farmland values continued to race higher as a
fourth consecutive year of growth in the median price per hectare
was recorded in 2019. Demand strengthened further in 2019 as
                                                                                                                    From the field
many farmers sought to expand existing enterprises, including                                                       “A significant driver of higher land values in South
farmers from interstate looking to diversify landholdings. Stronger                                                 Australia in 2019 was stronger demand from farmers
demand and a second consecutive year of lower transactions led
                                                                                                                    seeking to expand and diversify operations into new
to an 18.4 per cent increase in median price per hectare, which
contributed to a 67.7 per cent increase over the last four years.                                                   geographies. Increased interstate interest has been
The period of strong growth since 2015 followed growth of only                                                      an element of this stronger demand. This trend was
18.8 per cent in the prior ten years.                                                                               particularly evident in the South East region where
The state median was again driven by strong growth in the South                                                     graziers sought land for greater certainty for feed
East region where the median increased by 23.4 per cent. The                                                        requirements. Strong commodity prices and a low
Yorke and North region recovered from a decline in 2018 to                                                          interest rate environment have been supportive of
record a strong 21.5 per cent increase in median in 2019. The                                                       stronger intentions to expand enterprises.”
median price on the Eyre Peninsula also increased, up by 17.4 per
cent, adding to strong growth in 2018. Adelaide and Fleurieu was                                                    Neil Verringer, Rural Bank, Adelaide.
the only region to record a decline in value, however there was
strong growth recorded at a more local level in parts of this region.
The number of transactions declined by 8.3 per cent in 2019 to                                               An estimated 218,610 hectares of farmland was traded in 2019,
693. Despite declining for a second consecutive year, the number                                             20.5 per cent less than 2018. The large decline in area traded
of transactions remains 1.9 per cent above the average of the last                                           was the result of fewer transactions and a median parcel size of
10 years. The strength of farmland as an investment class has                                                134 hectares, 18.3 per cent lower year-on-year. The combined
seen more producers lease out land rather than sell to continue                                              effect of a smaller area of land traded but an increase in values
capturing capital growth. This trend could continue to be a factor                                           resulted in the total value of South Australian farmland traded in
in declining transaction volumes.                                                                            2019 falling by 2.1 per cent to $756.8 million.

                                                                                                      7
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
South Australia – transactions by price range

                         250
                                                                                                                                                          2019

                         200                                                                                                                              2018
Number of transactions

                         150

                         100

                          50

                           0
                                   $0 – 2,000/ha          $2,000 – 4,000/ha     $4,000 – 6,000/ha      $6,000 – 8,000/ha    $8,000 –10,000/ha       $10,000/ha+

                   For the second year in a row, the decline in the number of                       in this segment. The Eyre Peninsula and Yorke and North region
                   transactions in South Australia was largely concentrated to the                  also recorded declines in transaction volume in this segment.
                   lower end of the price range with a 31.8 per cent decline in the                 There was an increase in transactions in this segment in the
                   number of transactions priced below $2,000/ha. This was partially                Adelaide and Fleurieu region, driven by increased volumes on
                   offset by a 16.7 per cent rise in the number of transactions priced              Kangaroo Island.
                   greater than $10,000/ha. These trends combined to result in a
                                                                                                    The increase in transactions priced greater than $10,000/ha
                   lower proportion of lower priced transactions which shifted the
                                                                                                    were concentrated in the Yorke and North region with some
                   median higher.
                                                                                                    additional transactions in this segment also recorded in the
                   The South East drove much of the decline in transactions priced                  South East.
                   below $2,000/ha as it recorded 49.6 per cent fewer transactions

                   Performance by land size

                                                                              Median $/ha                                              No. of transactions
                         Parcel size
                         (ha)
                                                   2019              % change            10yr CAGR               Decile               2019              YoY +/-

                         30–100                $9,453                  11.7%                 6.1%                 10.0                280                  13

                         100–200               $4,302                  -0.4%                 8.1%                  9.1                165                   6

                         200–300               $4,221                   9.6%                7.3%                  10.0                 59                 -25

                         300+                  $2,364                  41.9%                10.5%                 10.0                189                 -57

                         Overall               $4,943                  18.4%                6.5%                  10.0                693                 -63

                   Growth in the median price per hectare was recorded for all                      The decline in the number of transactions occurred in the larger
                   parcel size ranges in 2019 except for the 100–200ha segment                      parcel size segments. This supports the trend of fewer lower priced
                   which recorded a small decline for the second consecutive year.                  transactions which was a key driver of the increased median
                   The median price of parcels greater than 300ha has shown the                     in South Australia in 2019. All regions except for the Adelaide
                   strongest growth in recent years driven by growth in this segment                and Fleurieu region recorded significant declines in transaction
                   in the South East. Smaller parcel sizes have also recorded strong                volumes of parcels larger than 200ha. The increase in transactions
                   growth in median price with a third consecutive year of growth                   of parcels between 30–100ha was concentrated in the South
                   for the 30–100ha segment. The South East and the Yorke and                       East, while the increase in the 100–200ha segment was shared
                   North regions led the growth in the median price of this segment                 between the Adelaide and Fleurieu region and Yorke and North
                   in 2019.                                                                         region which offset a decline in this segment in the South East.

                                                                                               8
Australian Farmland Values - 2020 | South Australia - Rural Bank
SA
Adelaide and Fleurieu
                                                                      Adelaide and Fleurieu – historic performance

                                $14,000                                                                                                                                                                                   250

                                $12,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          200
                                $10,000

                                 $8,000                                                                                                                                                                                   150

$11,560                          $6,000

                                 $4,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          50
                                 $2,000
     Median price per hectare
                                     0                                                                                                                                                                                    0
                                          1995
                                                 1996
                                                        1997
                                                               1998
                                                                       1999
                                                                              2000
                                                                                     2001
                                                                                            2002
                                                                                                   2003
                                                                                                          2004
                                                                                                                 2005
                                                                                                                        2006
                                                                                                                               2007
                                                                                                                                      2008
                                                                                                                                             2009
                                                                                                                                                    2010
                                                                                                                                                           2011
                                                                                                                                                                  2012
                                                                                                                                                                         2013
                                                                                                                                                                                2014
                                                                                                                                                                                       2015
                                                                                                                                                                                              2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                     2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                            2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2019
                                                                                Median price $/ha (LHS)                                  Number of transactions (RHS)

                                The median price per hectare of farmland in the Adelaide and Fleurieu region decreased by

-12.0%                          12.0 per cent in 2019. This followed growth of 22.7 per cent in 2018. While the region median
                                declined in 2019, the median price per hectare increased for the Adelaide Hills and Barossa
                                as higher grape prices have driven improved demand for vineyards. The Fleurieu Peninsula
                                sub-region also recorded an increased median in 2019 producers sought to expand enterprises
 2019 median price growth
                                following strong livestock prices.

                                     From the field
                                     “Strong growth in land values continued in most areas of the Adelaide and Fleurieu
                                     region in 2019. Generally, values were driven higher as limited supply was met with
                                     high demand. Many farmers in the region looked to expand enterprises to maximise

14,511                               existing investment in plant and equipment and optimism in the region was driven by
                                     strong commodity prices for sheep meat and wool. Higher grape prices are likely to
                                     have increased demand for vineyards and properties with an adequate water licence
     Hectares of land traded
                                     will have commanded higher prices.”

                                     Tom Kennedy, Rural Bank, Adelaide.

                                The decline in the regional median can largely be attributed to an increased number of
                                transactions on the Fleurieu Peninsula and Kangaroo Island and fewer transactions in the higher
                                valued Adelaide Hills and Barossa. This led to a shift towards a greater proportion of transactions

 6.2%                           in the relatively lower valued sub-regions, which brought the median down. Overall, the number of
                                transactions increased by 10.7 per cent in 2019 to 145 after declining by 16.6 per cent in 2018.

 Compound annual growth
     over 20 years

                                                                               10
Adelaide and Fleurieu – transactions by price range

                          50

                                                                                                                                                         2019
                          40
                                                                                                                                                         2018
Number of transactions

                          30

                          20

                          10

                           0
                                   $0 – 5,000/ha          $5,000 – 10,000/ha     $10,000 – 15,000/ha   $15,000 – 20,000/ha   $20,000 – 25,000/ha    $25,000/ha+

                   The region recorded a greater proportion of lower priced transactions in 2019 which shifted the overall profile of transactions towards the
                   lower value end of the market, which in turn pushed the median lower. Transactions priced below $5,000/ha increased from 18 per cent of
                   the region’s transactions in 2018 to 27 per cent in 2019. The increase in transactions in this price range reflected increased transactions
                   on Kangaroo Island which accounted for 79 per cent of these transactions.
                   The number of transactions priced between $10,000–$25,000/ha declined by 16.4 per cent. This largely reflected fewer transactions in
                   the Adelaide Hills and Barossa sub-regions.
                   The impact of a greater proportion of lower priced transactions was partially offset by a 50.0 per cent increase in the number of
                   transactions priced greater than $25,000/ha. The Fleurieu Peninsula sub-region accounted for most of the additional transactions in this
                   price range in 2019.

                   Performance by land size

                                                                               Median $/ha                                               No. of transactions
                         Parcel size
                         (ha)
                                                   2019               % change             10yr CAGR              Decile               2019            YoY +/-

                         30–50                 $19,218                  10.0%                 2.7%                 10.0                  70                2

                         50–100                $10,600                  -2.2%                 2.0%                  8.7                  31               11

                         100–150               $3,148                  -67.9%                 -2.8%                 5.2                  19               -3

                         150+                  $3,032                    6.8%                 5.8%                  9.6                  25                4

                         Overall               $11,560                  -12.0%                2.8%                  8.3                 145               14

                   The 30–50ha parcel size range was the only segment in the Adelaide and Fleurieu region to record a decline in transaction volume
                   in 2019, driven by fewer transactions in the Adelaide Hills and Barossa municipalities. The median price per hectare of this segment
                   increased for the third consecutive year.
                   The mid-range parcel size segments both recorded increases in transaction volume but declines in median price per hectare. Most of the
                   increased transaction volume in these segments came from Kangaroo Island. A greater proportion of transactions in this relatively lower
                   priced area contributed to pushing the median lower.
                   The largest parcel size segment recorded an increase in both transaction volume and median price per hectare. While Kangaroo Island
                   was the location for some increased transaction activity in this segment, additional transactions in the relatively higher price Yankalilla
                   municipality is the likely cause of the rise in median.

                                                                                                11
SA
Eyre Peninsula
                                                                            Eyre Peninsula – historic performance

                                $1,800                                                                                                                                                                                  140
                                $1,600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        120
                                $1,400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        100
                                $1,200
                                $1,000                                                                                                                                                                                  80

$1,647                           $800
                                 $600
                                 $400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        60

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        40

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20
     Median price per hectare    $200
                                    0                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                         1995
                                                1996
                                                       1997
                                                              1998
                                                                     1999
                                                                            2000
                                                                                   2001
                                                                                          2002
                                                                                                 2003
                                                                                                        2004
                                                                                                               2005
                                                                                                                      2006
                                                                                                                             2007
                                                                                                                                    2008
                                                                                                                                           2009
                                                                                                                                                  2010
                                                                                                                                                         2011
                                                                                                                                                                2012
                                                                                                                                                                       2013
                                                                                                                                                                              2014
                                                                                                                                                                                     2015
                                                                                                                                                                                            2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                   2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                          2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2019
                                                                              Median price $/ha (LHS)                                  Number of transactions (RHS)

                                The median price per hectare of farmland on the Eyre Peninsula increased by 17.4 per cent in

17.4%                           2019, adding to a 91.6 per cent increase in 2018 as producers seek to take advantage of low
                                interest rates to expand holdings, particularly in more productive areas.
                                The median increased in all sub-regions of the Eyre Peninsula, with the Upper and Lower Eyre
 2019 median price growth       both recording a third consecutive year of growth and the West Coast almost recovering all the
                                value lost in 2018.

                                    From the field
                                    “Reliable productive land in the Lower Eyre Peninsula district has been highly
                                    sought after. Strong demand and the low interest rate environment combined to
                                    drive prices higher. At the same time, the number of land sales in the Lower Eyre
 52,374                             Peninsula and Upper Eyre Peninsula were lower than previous seasons.”

                                    Chris Miller, Rural Bank, Cummins.
     Hectares of land traded

                                The number of transactions was 17.9 per cent lower in 2019, the third consecutive year of
                                decline and an 11–year low. The decline in transaction volume was largely concentrated in
                                the Lower Eyre Peninsula and Tumby Bay municipalities while most other municipalities had
                                relatively stable transaction volumes year-on-year.

     9.1%
 Compound annual growth
     over 20 years

                                                                               12
Eyre Peninsula – transactions by price range

                           30

                           25                                                                                                                             2019

                                                                                                                                                          2018
Number of transactions

                           20

                           15

                           10

                             5

                             0
                                       $0 – 1,000/ha          $1,000 – 2,000/ha     $2,000 – 3,000/ha   $3,000 – 4,000/ha    $4,000 – 5,000/ha       $5,000/ha+

                         The number of transactions declined for all price ranges except for $2,000–$3,000/ha. The increase in this price range was largely due
                         to higher priced transactions in the Upper Eyre Peninsula. This sub-region was also the main driver of the decline in transactions less than
                         $1,000/ha as values shifted higher. The decline in transactions priced between $1,000–$2,000/ha was concentrated in the Lower Eyre
                         Peninsula. All transactions priced greater than $3,000/ha were located in the Lower Eyre Peninsula and the overall decline in transactions
                         in this sub-region is evident in the higher price ranges. The proportionately larger decline in lower priced transaction on the Eyre Peninsula
                         led to a minor shift in the profile of transactions towards the higher end of the market, subsequently pushing the median higher.

                         Performance by land size

                                                                                  Median $/ha                                           No. of transactions
                          Parcel size
                          (ha)
                                                       2019              % change           10yr CAGR            Decile               2019              YoY +/-

                          30–300                       $3,458              67.7%                2.6%                9.1                20                   4

                          300–600                      $2,212              24.5%                5.8%               10.0                15                  -3

                          600–900                      $1,574              20.8%               11.9%               10.0                10                   0

                          900+                         $501                -14.1%               4.6%                9.1                19                  -15

                          Overall                      $1,647               17.4%               7.8%               10.0                64                  -14

                         Transactions between 30–300ha recorded the largest increase in median price per hectare on the Eyre Peninsula in 2019 and
                         recovered from a 31.5 per cent decline in 2018. There was a small increase in the number of transactions in this parcel size range which
                         occurred in the West Coast sub-region.
                         There were fewer transactions in the mid-sized ranges but strong growth in the median price per hectare. The decline in transactions
                         was concentrated in the Lower Eyre Peninsula and remained stable in the Upper Eyre and West Coast sub-regions.
                         Transactions greater than 900ha were the only parcel size range to record a decline in median on the Eyre Peninsula in 2019. While
                         the number of transactions greater than 900ha recorded a small decline, an increased proportion of these transactions occurred in the
                         relatively lower priced West Coast which shifted the median lower.

                                                                                                  13
SA
South East
                                                                                   South East – historic performance

                                $4,500                                                                                                                                                                                  450
                                $4,000                                                                                                                                                                                  400
                                $3,500                                                                                                                                                                                  350
                                $3,000                                                                                                                                                                                  300
                                $2,500                                                                                                                                                                                  250

$4,150                          $2,000
                                $1,500
                                $1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        150
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        100
     Median price per hectare    $500                                                                                                                                                                                   50
                                    0                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                         1995
                                                1996
                                                       1997
                                                              1998
                                                                     1999
                                                                            2000
                                                                                   2001
                                                                                          2002
                                                                                                 2003
                                                                                                        2004
                                                                                                               2005
                                                                                                                      2006
                                                                                                                             2007
                                                                                                                                    2008
                                                                                                                                           2009
                                                                                                                                                  2010
                                                                                                                                                         2011
                                                                                                                                                                2012
                                                                                                                                                                       2013
                                                                                                                                                                              2014
                                                                                                                                                                                     2015
                                                                                                                                                                                            2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                   2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                          2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2019
                                                                              Median price $/ha (LHS)                                  Number of transactions (RHS)

                                The median price per hectare of farmland in South East South Australia increased by

23.4%                            23.4 per cent in 2019. This was the fourth consecutive year of growth in the median price,
                                over which time strong livestock prices have fuelled an appetite for expansion and have been
                                a major driver behind a near doubling of the region’s median. This growth came after a period
                                of 10 years between 2005 and 2015 when the median price was volatile but showed no trend.
 2019 median price growth

                                    From the field
                                    “A major driving force behind rising land prices in the South East has been growing
                                    interest from many sheep and cattle operations looking for expansion opportunities.
                                    Favourable seasonal conditions, good commodity prices and a strong uplift in
                                    land values have enabled more graziers to be in a position to consider expansion.
100,256                             Stronger demand from graziers has been coupled with heightened interest from
                                    outside the area as farmers from other regions seek to extend seasons in a different
                                    rainfall zone by diversifying their holdings.”
     Hectares of land traded
                                    Simon O’Leary, Rural Bank, Mt Gambier.

                                The Lower South East and Mid-South East continued to be highly sought after areas with
                                strong and consistent growth in median price per hectare over the last four years, however it
                                was municipalities in the Murray and Mallee that recorded the strongest growth in median price
                                per hectare in 2019.

 8.5%                           The number of transactions in the region declined by 12.7 per cent, the second consecutive
                                year of lower transactions but still five per cent above the ten-year average of 275 transactions
                                per year.
 Compound annual growth
     over 20 years

                                                                               14
South East – transactions by price range

                          120

                          100                                                                                                                            2019

                                                                                                                                                         2018
Number of transactions

                           80

                           60

                           40

                           20

                             0
                                      $0 – 2,000/ha          $2,000 – 4,000/ha     $4,000 – 6,000/ha    $6,000 – 8,000/ha   $8,000 – 10,000/ha     $10,000/ha+

                         The decline in the number of transactions in the South East in 2019 occurred almost exclusively in the lower price range of less than
                         $2,000/ha which had 49.6 per cent fewer transactions than 2018. This trend was evident in almost all municipalities in the region.
                         The higher price ranges recorded an increased number of transactions. Growth in the number of transactions priced greater than
                         $8,000/ha was most evident in the Wattle Range and Tatiara municipalities.
                         The combination of fewer transactions in the lowest price range and more transactions in the higher prices ranges shifted the profile
                         of transactions away from the lower end to create a more even spread of transactions across the price ranges which contributed to the
                         region’s median price per hectare increasing.

                         Performance by land size

                                                                                 Median $/ha                                            No. of transactions
                          Parcel size
                          (ha)
                                                      2019              % change            10yr CAGR             Decile              2019             YoY +/-

                          30–100                      $5,585              20.4%                 5.6%                10.0               104                10

                          100–200                     $4,145               6.9%                10.6%                9.6                63                 -17

                          200–300                     $4,211              -18.4%                4.4%                9.6                30                 -11

                          300+                        $3,217              109.7%               10.1%                10.0               92                -24

                          Overall                     $4,150              23.4%                 8.3%                10.0               289               -42

                         The decline in the number of lower priced transactions is reflected in the decline in the number of larger property transactions. The trend of
                         fewer large parcel sizes traded was consistent across all municipalities except for Tatiara and Wattle Range which recorded small increases.
                         Strong growth in the median price per hectare of parcels larger than 300ha is partially due to greater proportions of these transactions
                         occurring in the relatively higher priced Naracoorte and Tatiara municipalities and lower proportions in Karoonda East Murray, Loxton
                         Waikerie and Mid Murray.
                         The 30–100ha parcel size segment was the only one to record an increased number of transactions. Mid Murray and Grant municipalities
                         recorded large increases in transaction volume in this segment which offset a large decline in Murray Bridge. More transactions in this
                         segment was likely the driver of increased transactions priced above $8,000/ha.

                                                                                                 15
SA
Yorke and North
                                                                            Yorke and North – historic performance

                                $6,000                                                                                                                                                                                  400

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        350
                                $5,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        300
                                $4,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        250

                                $3,000                                                                                                                                                                                  200

$5,232                          $2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        150

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        100
                                $1,000
     Median price per hectare                                                                                                                                                                                           50

                                    0                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                         1995
                                                1996
                                                       1997
                                                              1998
                                                                     1999
                                                                            2000
                                                                                   2001
                                                                                          2002
                                                                                                 2003
                                                                                                        2004
                                                                                                               2005
                                                                                                                      2006
                                                                                                                             2007
                                                                                                                                    2008
                                                                                                                                           2009
                                                                                                                                                  2010
                                                                                                                                                         2011
                                                                                                                                                                2012
                                                                                                                                                                       2013
                                                                                                                                                                              2014
                                                                                                                                                                                     2015
                                                                                                                                                                                            2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                   2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                          2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2019
                                                                              Median price $/ha (LHS)                                  Number of transactions (RHS)

                                The median price per hectare of farmland in the Yorke and North region increased by 21.5 per

21.5%                           cent in 2019, more than regaining the value lost in a 12.8 per cent decline in 2018, as demand
                                to acquire land strengthened and supply tightened.
                                Municipalities in the Lower North recorded increased median prices per hectare while
 2019 median price growth       movements in median prices were mixed for municipalities in the Mid North and Far North and
                                lower on the Yorke Peninsula.

                                    From the field
                                    “Demand for farmland in the Yorke and North region remained strong in 2019 as
                                    buyers sought land with good proximity to markets and regional centres and look to
                                    take advantage of low interest rates. Properties with reliable rainfall and production

51,468                              histories were highly sought after. The quality of farmland as an investment saw
                                    more landholders leasing land out rather than selling.”

     Hectares of land traded        Tony Harrison, Rural Bank, Adelaide.

                                The number of transactions declined for the second consecutive year, falling 9.7 per cent
                                to 195. The decline in transaction volume was concentrated in the Mid North where the
                                municipalities of Goyder and Mount Remarkable recorded significant declines.

     7.1%
 Compound annual growth
     over 20 years

                                                                               16
Yorke and North – transactions by price range

                           60

                           50                                                                                                                            2019

                                                                                                                                                         2018
Number of transactions

                           40

                           30

                           20

                           10

                             0
                                      $0 – 2,000/ha          $2,000 – 4,000/ha     $4,000 – 6,000/ha    $6,000 – 8,000/ha   $8,000 – 10,000/ha     $10,000/ha+

                         The decline in number of transactions in the region was consistent across all price ranges except greater than $10,000/ha which returned
                         to a similar level to 2017 after a large decline in transaction volume in 2018. The largest declines in transaction volume in 2019 occurred
                         for the $0–$2,000/ha and $2,000–$4,000/ha price ranges as fewer transactions in these ranges occurred in the Mid North. The Lower
                         North also recorded fewer transactions between $2,000–$4,000/ha but was the primary location for the recovery in the volume of
                         transactions priced above $10,000/ha.

                         Performance by land size

                                                                                 Median $/ha                                            No. of transactions
                          Parcel size
                          (ha)
                                                      2019              % change            10yr CAGR              Decile             2019             YoY +/-

                          30–100                      $8,007              22.4%                 4.9%                10.0               65                 -3

                          100–200                     $5,225               7.3%                 9.4%                10.0               65                 15

                          200–300                     $4,707              36.3%                 5.8%                10.0               23                 -11

                          300+                        $2,289               -3.8%               10.9%                 9.1               42                -22

                          Overall                     $5,232               21.5%                4.5%                10.0               195               -21

                         The decline in volume of lower priced transactions is evident in the large decline in volume of transactions in the larger parcel size ranges
                         in 2019. Fewer transactions of larger properties combined with an increase in transactions between 100–200ha shifted the profile
                         of transactions in the region towards the smaller end of the market for which dollar per hectare prices are typically higher. The shift in
                         profile contributed to growth in the region’s median.
                         Parcel size ranges smaller than 300ha in the Yorke and North region all recorded a third consecutive year of growth in median price per
                         hectare in 2019. Growth in the median was larger for segments that recorded a decline in the number of transactions, indicating strong
                         buyer appetite for lower supply.
                         The median price per hectare of parcels larger than 300ha recorded a small decline in median and transaction volume. The decline in
                         transactions was concentrated in Goyder and more pronounced for parcels between 300–500ha. The median price per hectare likely
                         declined as there was a larger proportion of parcels greater than 500ha.

                                                                                                  17
SA
Farmland sales by municipality
                                            Median $/ha                       Number of transactions
Municipality
                         2019         5yr CAGR       10yr CAGR    20yr CAGR     2019        YoY +/-
                                 Adelaide and Fleurieu
Adelaide Hills          $24,614          5.3%            3.6%       6.3%         13           -6
Alexandrina             $14,233          3.9%            1.4%       7.4%         47           11
Barossa                 $20,235          6.1%            2.3%       7.8%         9            -14
Kangaroo Island         $2,558           5.3%            1.3%       6.3%         35           14
Mount Barker            $17,056         -1.2%            1.5%       9.4%         13           3
Onkaparinga               –             -10.6%           -3.6%      -0.1%        3            2
Victor Harbor           $13,447          6.2%            -3.4%      5.6%         14           2
Yankalilla              $10,129          1.6%            1.6%       6.7%         11           2
Adelaide and Fleurieu   $11,560          0.8%            2.8%       6.2%        145           14
                                    Eyre Peninsula
Ceduna                    –             12.1%            8.7%       5.8%         3            3
Cleve                   $1,660          17.9%            7.9%      10.6%         7            0
Elliston                $1,431           2.7%            9.7%       5.2%         7            -1
Franklin Harbour          –             -8.2%            1.5%       3.6%         3            0
Kimba                   $1,396          15.0%            10.2%      7.2%         5            -4
Lower Eyre Peninsula    $5,096           3.2%            -0.2%      8.5%         13           -8
Streaky Bay              $451            7.5%            9.3%       7.0%         10           -1
Tumby Bay               $2,329          -4.8%            0.2%       6.1%         13           -6
Wudinna*                  –             -8.4%            -4.2%      1.7%         3            3
Eyre Peninsula          $1,647          18.3%            7.8%       9.1%         64           -14
                                      South East
Berri Barmera*            –             -13.3%           -11.0%     -1.5%        0            0
Coorong                 $3,267          16.4%            6.6%       9.3%         33           1
Grant                   $12,355         11.1%            3.4%       6.7%         23           -3
Karoonda East Murray     $680            3.8%            3.2%       5.6%         9            -8
Kingston                $4,276          11.2%            11.3%      11.6%        10           -2
Loxton Waikerie           –              7.3%            0.1%       9.4%         3            -9
Mid Murray              $1,965          10.4%            3.3%       6.1%         51           8
Murray Bridge           $2,927          14.6%            1.8%       6.5%         10           -22
Naracoorte              $5,950           5.5%            3.8%       7.8%         38           -1
Renmark Paringa           –              3.2%            11.2%      6.7%         1            -1
Robe                    $9,880          16.3%            9.0%       8.3%         11           -1
Southern Mallee         $1,792          25.9%            4.5%       6.4%         10           -9
Tatiara                 $4,160           8.7%            4.6%       7.8%         45           4
Wattle Range            $10,493         14.6%            5.3%       8.6%         45           1
South East              $4,150          13.3%            8.3%       8.5%        289           -42

                                          18
Median $/ha                                         Number of transactions
  Municipality
                                                                  2019            5yr CAGR            10yr CAGR          20yr CAGR               2019              YoY +/-
                                                                              Yorke and North
  Adelaide Plains                                               $10,508              11.1%               5.2%                8.5%                   4                   1
  Barunga West                                                  $5,465                4.4%                2.1%               6.2%                   5                   3
  Clare & Gilbert Valleys                                       $11,399               6.7%               2.9%                7.2%                  27                  -3
  Copper Coast                                                  $9,090               18.9%               6.9%                8.8%                   6                   5
  Flinders Ranges                                                 $844               33.7%               4.9%                9.3%                   5                   3
  Goyder                                                        $4,787               17.7%               13.3%               8.9%                  19                 -27
  Light                                                         $14,567               5.5%               4.3%                8.8%                  16                   6
  Mount Remarkable                                              $2,595                4.6%               5.7%                9.3%                  12                  -7
  Northern Areas                                                $4,339                7.1%               3.6%                5.9%                  35                   3
  Orroroo Carrieton                                              $1,713              20.6%                9.1%              10.3%                   6                  -5
  Peterborough                                                      –                15.3%               5.5%               13.0%                   3                   2
  Port Pirie                                                    $5,940                6.8%               6.4%                9.3%                  13                  -1
  Wakefield                                                     $3,395               -4.4%               -0.7%               4.6%                  20                   3
  Yorke Peninsula                                               $4,464               -2.0%               -0.4%               6.6%                  24                  -4
  Yorke and North                                               $5,232                4.6%               4.5%                 7.1%                195                 -21
  South Australia                                               $4,943               10.5%               6.5%                7.6%                 693                 -63

CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
Price information with a small volume of transactions should be used with caution. The median price for municipalities with less than four transactions in 2019 is not reported.
*Municipalities with no transactions in 2019 have compound annual growth rate for five, ten and twenty years presented using the 2018 median.

                                                                                       19
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