Driving Sales for the 2021 Holiday Season - September 23, 2021 - PromoteIQ
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Driving Sales for the 2021 Holiday Season PRESENTED BY Kelsey Crookes, Onsite Product Strategy, Kroger Precision Marketing 84.51˚ Jeff Mejia, Client Account Manager, PromoteIQ Michelle Nwokedi, Client Account Manager, PromoteIQ September 23, 2021
Today's Agenda 1. Kroger E-Commerce Growth 2. Holiday Season Trends 3. Campaign Timing & Strategy 4. Best Practices 5. Q&A © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 2
This Season’s Kroger.com Shopper A Stress-Free Experience Key Motivators The #1 reason Kroger eCommerce shoppers say they anticipate shopping online during the holidays this year is to avoid going in-store during high- traffic times. Inspired Discovery Shoppers are more eager than ever this year to seek inspiration for holiday ideas, create unique menus & purchase gifts. BOPIS and Ship Convenience Kroger Pickup & Delivery sales grew 124% YoY during the holidays 2020 versus 2019 (13 weeks, 10/4 – 1/2). December is the highest traffic month of the year and in 2020 still beat peak COVID traffic. Average monthly searches from Oct-Dec 2020 were 18% higher than July-Sept 2020. Continued Digital Transformation Grocery shoppers will continue to embrace e-commerce. Kroger recently announced Q2 results and digital sales are up +114% on a two year stack. © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 3
2020 Holiday Traffic Trends Opportunities on Kroger.com and mobile app started to rise in October, 2 weeks prior to Halloween -- and steadily increased through January. Compared to Average Weekly Opportunities in September 2020 32% overall increase in ad 32% higher for the 3 weeks 42% higher 1 week into opportunities Halloween leading up to Christmas January until Thanksgiving This has been a consistent pattern over the past 3 years, even with the unique challenges of 2020. Start your campaigns early to take advantage of the momentum.
The Q4 Kroger Shopper Trends & Predictions © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 6
Holiday Themes To Help Drive Your Strategy Traditional Ingredients Gatherings and Multicultural Gifting Celebrations "Turkey" is the #3 search term Shoppers are ready to gather with With ~20% of Americans celebrating a leading up to Thanksgiving friends and family again! multicultural moment during the Q4 Veggie side dishes, baking ingredients 76% of shoppers are planning to give holidays and a predicted 22% increase will remain popular. more gifts when pandemic restrictions in interest for “authentic cuisine Don’t forget about breakfast/ brunch lift. recipes”2 for the holidays, shoppers too! Gift Card searches are in the seek representation of all their top 20 search terms in the 3 traditions. weeks leading up to Christmas. 7 Sources: (1) 84.51 Customer Strategy & Insights, (2) Meredith
Cold, Flu & COVID Themes To Help Drive Your Strategy 14% YOY growth in Kroger Health, OTC & Wellness. Resurgence of Common Illness 80% Kroger shoppers now shop across these categories. The 2020-21 Flu Season saw record low cases.1 With relaxed socialization restrictions & lower population immunity, experts predict a rebound in common illness in 2021-22. 2,3,4 Food as Medicine Top food/drink in the basket with Cold & Flu sub-department during Flu season include Tea, Honey, Soup, OJ, Isotonic Drinks, Crackers, Mints, & Gum. 8 Sources: (1) New York Times,, (2) Boston Globe, (3) Wall Street Journal (4) NBCNews,
Post Winter Holiday Themes To Help Drive Your Strategy Back to the Grind New Year's Resolutions Craving Comfort Following the holiday madness, back to From deal-hunting, eating right, and As January ushers in more blustery days, school II and return to work has families exercising, a portion of consumers are the cold weather will likely drive a natural and workers shuffling to get into a groove, looking to improve their lives and drop desire for warming, indulgent foods and fueling the need for consistency and those holiday pounds. creature comforts. routine. Orange Juice search term pops into Ingredients for America’s Back-to-Routine type products saw top 15 in January. Salad ingredients favorite foods saw an an average sales increase of 10% in and healthy sides/snacks are also average of 12% increase in sales the month of Jan ‘21.. prevalent. in the month of Jan ‘19. 9
Timing Your Campaigns © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 10
Q4 Holidays and Looking Ahead to Q1 Diwali Thanksgiving Hannukah Christmas New Year's Eve & Day Valentine's Day Nov 2 – Nov 6 Nov 25 Nov 28 – Dec 6 Dec 25 Dec 31 – Jan 1 Feb 14 Friendsgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday Kwanzaa Superbowl Weekend Mardi Gras Nov 18 – Dec 5 Nov 26 Nov 29 Dec 26 – Jan 1 Feb 13 Mar 1 Don’t forget about the micro moments between the larger holidays! 11
When Should You Start Your Campaigns? How Long? When should you start your campaign to capture the increase in the traffic of shoppers deciding on their holiday menu and early shoppers looking to get ahead start? Short campaigns during the peak of season may capture the majority of sales, but when taking a holistic view, what portion of sales may be left on the table? How long should your campaign run after the holiday to capture shoppers restocking for the next gathering, looking to update their menu, and reaching their new year’s resolutions? When is the peak for traffic & sales during the holiday period?
Determining Holiday Campaign Strategy KPM PromoteIQ Holiday Performance Oct '20 - Jan '21 % Traffic % SALES Avg. ROAS 30.00% 7.0X ROAS 6.3X The Findings ROAS 6.1X ROAS 5.9X 6.0X 25.00% ROAS 5.6X ▪ Sales peak the week leading into Thanksgiving and the last week of January 5.0X 20.00% ▪ Campaigns that go dark for January miss out on 4.0X ~25% of sales for the season 15.00% ▪ January had the highest overall avg monthly ROAS 3.0X at ~6.3X 10.00% 2.0X ▪ ROAS dips slightly following Thanksgiving but rebounds quickly as shoppers restock for Christmas and remains strong through January 5.00% 1.0X 0.00% 0.0X Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Oct-20
What does this mean for your campaigns? Expand campaign flight dates to capture the full holiday period to: • Increase overall sales opportunity by more than 2X by capitalizing on untapped traffic during October & January. • Win share when competitors go dark. • Stay competitive during traffic & sales peak. • Engage shoppers and capture sales along full cycle of the shopper journey.
Best Practices for Holiday 2021 and Early 2022 © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 15
Start Early Position your campaigns to capitalize on the traffic spike that begins in mid- October and continues through January. $ Traffic begins to climb 2 weeks Based on consistent patterns Prep Ahead for 2022 prior to Halloween from 2018-2020, we expect to see similar traffic increases Campaigns that go dark Holiday searches begin to through to EOY and beyond. for January miss out see momentum in August and on ~25% of sales for the first spike in October. 32% overall increase season. in traffic leading into Christmas and 34% increase into New Year's.
Take A Diversified Approach Meet shoppers where they are to capture sales at all stages and times along their journey. Placement Participation Placement Participation • Search & Browse • Search & Browse • Shop & Discover • Basket Builder • Savings (if savings message in • Savings (if featured product is creative) on discount) Product Selection Targeting • Search and Browse: 6-20 Include both relevant and Priority SKUs, Core items. complementary sub-commodities. • Basket Builder: Include full portfolio Don’t forget about Advanced • Savings: Include full portfolio Targeting as well to focus your spend on a subset of households! PLA TOA © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL
Boost Your Bid Strategy Avg. ROAS for Holiday season ~6x, meaning you can be more aggressive with your budget & bids while maintaining high overall ROAS. Employ a higher, competitive TIPS Start Core Products closer to CPM bid to increase visibility the floor and increase while during the shorter time period. ▪ Pacing: ASAP pacing can be used monitoring performance. to take advantage of all traffic When running for a longer, patterns during the key time. Innovation or Priority SKUs "always on" time period, you should bid higher by 10-20%. can start with a near floor CPM ▪ Look Ahead: Start your “always on” and then increase as needed. strategy for 2022 to enable consistent visibility and maintain share with current buyers PLA TOA
Match Your Message Your Creative is essential to your TOA campaign success. ALWAYS ON Utilize a broad message that can be carried through different seasons showcasing focus products. This will allow you to have one campaign that you can keep live for up to 6 months or pulse in when you don’t have other key time initiatives. KEY TIME The creative should help the shopper make a connection between the featured products and complementary sub-commodities. Can also be themed or reference the time period itself if applicable (i.e. holiday).
Match Your Message Your Creative is essential to your TOA campaign success. SAVINGS ITEMS Call out a specific promotion if supporting Mega, Yellow Tag, Hot Digital Offer, or Free Friday Download (need Category Manager confirmation). Use a broad Savings Message if supporting all other digital coupons or general sales. NEW PRODUCTS Call out the new item or an element of “new” language. Creative should help make connection to complementary products or how the new product can fit and solve the shopper needs.
Win the Digital Aisle with a Full Onsite Strategy Engage shoppers across their entire shopping routine and inspire purchase decisions by participating in multiple placements. PRODUCT LISTING ADS TARGETED ONSITE ADS 15x Higher Likelihood of Conversion SHOP & DISCOVER TARGETED ONSITE AD SEARCH & BROWSE TARGETED ONSITE AD SAVINGS TARGETED ONSITE AD 34%+ Increase in CTR Participating with a combination of multiple PLA and TOA placements will extend your reach and allow you to drive higher performance for your onsite program. © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 21
Stay Ready to Be Ready Be prepared with an "Always On" Strategy. January is one of the busiest months of the year! Don't Go Dark in 2022: Reach Newly Competitive Motivated Shoppers Advantage ▪ January 2021 had the highest overall avg. monthly ROAS at ~6.3X ▪ Schedule to Launch – Queue up your campaigns early to launch on January 1st or New Year’s resolutions start Stay live and get ahead of ensure campaign end dates influencing shoppers to explore the competition who may use are extended into the New Year. new health-conscious items. this time to reset budgets. Take Shoppers may also be open to the opportunity to win new exploring new brands. share. ▪ Monitor Regularly – Check Campaign Status in early January , make sure your campaigns have launched and NEW YEAR, NEW YOU GROW SHARE continue running.
In Summary © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 23
Your Strategy for Success: 2021 Holiday Season and into 2022 Start Early and Stay Live. Searches and traffic are poised to increase significantly 2 weeks prior to Halloween. Launch your campaigns accordingly to meet the rise in traffic. Also extend your end dates into January or queue new campaigns for a 2022 start date to take advantage of the Q1 spike. Prep to Optimize. Set-up and align campaigns with how you’d like to view them in the reporting interface and/or how you receive budgets. Diversify. Placements types, SKU selection, Targets for the most-well rounded, holistic strategy. Bid Aggressively. Holiday time frames are one of the most competitive of the year, so plan out your benchmark ROAS or Share of Impressions and bid appropriately. Ensure your Creative matches your objective to best resonate with the right audience. © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 24
What’s New In PIQ © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 25
Upcoming Enhancements Boost Your Campaign Management Maximize ROAS and Performance Productivity with Audience Targeting Introducing Bulk Campaign Management Introducing Audience Targeting Bulk Operations feature eliminates the tedious Target specific audiences built on Kroger's first- task of managing campaigns individually; make party data to improve campaign hundreds of changes in a simple file. performance and ROAS or other campaign objectives. ▪Eliminate the repetitive task of implementing multiple campaign optimizations individually. ▪Evolution of current Advanced Targeting for TOAs to unlock PLA participation. ▪Save time and more efficiently maximize ROAS and other key KPIs by managing campaigns in ▪Audiences can be applied to campaigns within bulk. the campaign builder in PIQ. ▪Coming in early October ▪Coming in ~October
Thank You! © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 27
Q&A Support: Kroger@promoteiq.com © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 28
Appendix © 84.51˚ | 2021 | CONFIDENTIAL | 29
Monitor and Optimize Your Campaign Impact Use campaign change history and insights to quickly assess and track your results throughout the season. View all changes made to campaigns in PromoteIQ. This allows you to visualize how campaign optimizations affect campaign performance, helping you make better campaign decisions. Hover over a campaign and click the icon that appears to open the Campaign Change Insights Dashboard View every campaign change and the impact on certain performance metrics across a specified date range
Track Your Share of the Paid Digital Shelf with the Share of Delivered Targets Report What’s a Delivered Target? Share of Shelf? Share of Voice? Share of Target? For PromoteIQ activated campaigns, the Delivered Target is the most There are a variety of share metrics used in the media industry. relevant (sub commodity) that each product is assigned to. Each The share metric in this report is specific to paid impressions, Search & Browse PLA campaign will include the relevant delivered clicks, and attributable sales. There is no organic search data target taxonomies based on the selected products. To see what was included in this metric. included you can scroll to the bottom of the campaign builder for the campaign of your choice. Key Metrics Share of Delivered Brand Impressions divided by the total Impressions (%) number of impressions within a delivered target. Share of Delivered Brand Clicks divided by the total Clicks (%) clicks within a delivered target. Which Placements are Included? This report features insights for Search & Browse PLA campaigns, only. Share of Total Total Attributable Sales from the Sales (%) brand divided by the total attributable sales within a delivered target. What is the Reporting Period? The report is on a rolling 30-day cadence at the daily level. Click Here To Learn How 31
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