Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD

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Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
COSMO-GHG Simulations of 14C to Support the Design of a
    Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe
                        Michael Jähn1,a and Dominik Brunner1
  (1) Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology (Empa), Dübendorf, Switzerland
            (a) Now at: ETH Zürich, Center for Climate Systems Modeling (C2SM), Switzerland

                               ICCARUS 2021, Online Poster Presentation
                                          10 March 2021

                              ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch
Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
Radiocarbon (14C) in the Atmosphere

                                                        Problem: CO2 signals from fossil fuel
                                                        combustion are difficult to distinguish from
                                                        biospheric CO2 signals

                                                          Can additional tracers like 14CO2 and CO
                                                        help discriminate between anthropogenic and
                                                        biospheric CO2?
                                                         How should a ground-based measurement
                                                        network of these tracers be designed?

                                                                                            Wang et al. (2016)
                       ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch                             2
Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
COSMO-GHG Modeling Setup and Tracers
   COSMO-GPU with greenhouse gas (GHG) extension                        Origin                Process                    Tracer          Region     Number
                                                                                                                          names            split     of tracers
   European Domain, 5.5 km grid spacing                                 Anthropogenic         Fossil fuels               CO2_FF            Yes           6
   Input data pre-processed on modeling domain (1 h                                                                      CO_FF                           6
                                                                                               Biofuels                   CO2_BF            Yes           6
    temporal resolution)                                                                                                  C14_BF                          6
   Simulated trace compounds: CO2, 14CO2 and CO                                                                          CO_BF                           6
                                                                                               Nuclear power plants       C14_NUC           Yes           6
   January and July 2015 simulated (hourly output data)
                                                                         Biosphere             GPP/NPP                    CO2_GPP           Yes           6
   Tagged tracers by region, source and background tracers                                                               C14_NPP                         6
                                                                                                                          C14_NPN                         6
                                                                                               Respiration                CO2_RA            Yes           6
                                                                                                                          C14_HR                          6
                                                                         Ocean                 Sources                    CO2_O_P           No            1
                                                                                               (positive flux: "_P")      CO2_O_N                         1
                                                                                                                          CO_O_P                          1
                                                                                               Sinks                      CO_O_N                          1
                                                                                               (negative flux: "_N")      C14_O_P                         1
                                                                                                                          C14_O_N                         1

                                                                         IC/BC                 Background concentration   CO2_BG            No            1
                                                                                               from outside of domain     C14_BG                          1
                                                                                                                          CO_BG                           1
                                                                                                                                              SUM        75

                                                                              No C14_FF tracer is needed since δ14CO2 = -1000 ‰ for fossil fuel processes and
                                                                            [1]

                                                                          the corresponding CO2-tracers can be used for the computation during post-processing.

                                           ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch                                                            3
Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
Instantaneous Model Output of 14CO2 Tracers

    Background                   Anthropogenic                                   Ocean + Biosphere

                       ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch                       4
Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
Variations of Fossil Fuel CO2 and CO
           Near-surface standard deviation ratios
                                                                                       Std-ratio CO2,fossil/14CO2,total
                                                                                        for most terrestrial areas close
                                                                                        to 100% in January 2015
Jan 2015

                                                                                       Distinctly lower values located
                                                                                        near nuclear power plants
                                                                                       More complex situation in July
                                                                                        due to biospheric activity
                                                                                        (above 90% in Central and
                                                                                        eastern Europe, significantally
                                                                                        less in other regions)
                                                                                       Std-ratio CO,fossil/CO,total high
Jul 2015

                                                                                        in densely populated and
                                                                                        industrial areas
                                                                                       Fossil fuel contribution to
                                                                                        variations in CO much lower
                                                                                        compared to 14CO2
                            ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch                                         5
Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
Source Separation at Milan, Italy (Urban Station)
                                                                                                                                               Jul
 Jan
                                                                                                                                              2015
2015

      Emissions from fossil fuels dominate 14CO2 signal                           HR and biofuels add up to a non-negligible contribution to
                                                                                    14CO (even more pronounced for rural stations)
      CO2 also dominated by fossil fuels, but not as much as                           2
       14CO                                                                        Biospheric signals in CO2 significantly larger than fossil fuel
            2
      Biofuels = important source of CO emissions                                 CO = attractive fossil fuel tracer in summer if background
                                                                                    concentration can be separated
                                           ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch                                                6
Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
Recommendations for the Surface Network
    Fossil fuel signals much larger in winter compared to summer
      more prominent contribution in 14CO2, CO2 and CO variability
    Emission signal at certain station mostly dominated by the region it is located in
      Long-range transport from neighboring regions plays an inferior role
    Nuclear power plant emissions can have significant effect on radiocarbon measurements
     (only in close proximity and during periods when the plume reaches the station)
    Radiocarbon
         Extremely valuable tracer of fossil fuel CO2 emissions
         Winter: 90% - 100% 14CO2 variability by fossil fuel emissions
         Summer: 70% - 80% 14CO2 variability by fossil fuel emissions
    Carbon monoxide
         Particularly valuable tracer of fossil fuel emissions during summer (reduced use of biofuels)
         However not true during periods of biomass or agricultural waste burning
         Large-scale variations in background CO to be separated from smaller-scale variations in fossil
          fuel CO
         High-frequency tracer to apply a time interpolation between (weekly) 14C measurements
                                  ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch                   7
Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
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