Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...

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Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
Cooling South Melbourne
 IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS

                                   Built
                                   Environment
Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
Contents

                                                   Executive Summary                                                                                          4

                                                   Part 1 - Overview                                                                                          7
                                                   Climate Conditions in Melbourne                                                                            8
                                                   Urban Development Characteristics                                                                          9
                                                   Urban Overheating Challenges                                                                              14

                                                   Part 2 - Urban Overheating Mitigation Strategies to Inform Strategic Planning                             23
                                                   The Need for Urban Heat Mitigation in Planning Processes                                                  24
                                                   Proposed Urban Overheating Mitigation Strategies                                                          25
                                                      » Greater Melbourne                                                                                    25
                                                      » South Melbourne Study Area                                                                           25

                                                   Part 3 - Impact Analysis of Cooling Interventions                                                         27
                                                   Cooling Potential for Greater Melbourne in 2020 and 2050                                                  28
                                                      » High Albedo for Urban Surfaces                                                                       31
                                                      » Urban Greenery                                                                                       31
                                                      » Water Irrigation                                                                                     31
                                                      » Combination of Cooling Interventions                                                                 32
                                                      » Informing the South Melbourne Study Area                                                             35
                                                   Cooling Potential for the South Melbourne Study Area in 2020 and 2050                                     36
                                                      » Scenario 1 - New Buildings with Business as Usual Private Green Coverage                             38
                                                      » Scenario 2 - New Buildings with Moderate Private Green Coverage and Additional Public
Date: November 2020                                     Realm Green Coverage                                                                                 40
                                                      » Scenario 3 - New Buildings with Optimised Private Green Coverage and Additional Public
Authors:                                                Realm Green Coverage                                                                                 42
Lan Ding, UNSW
Henry Petersen, UNSW                                  » Scenario 4 - New Buildings and Cool Materials for all Streets, Footpaths and Private Hard Surfaces   44
William Craft, UNSW
Mattheos Santamouris, UNSW                            » Scenario 5 - New Buildings and Cool Roofs for all New and Existing Buildings                         46
Deo Prasad, UNSW                                      » Scenario 6 - Cool Roofs for all Existing Buildings                                                   48
Paul Osmond, UNSW
Renae Walton, City of Port Phillip                    » Scenario 7 - Combination of all Interventions                                                        50
Steven McKellar, City of Port Phillip
David O’Reilly, City of Port Phillip
                                                      » Scenario 8 - Combination of all Interventions Including Water Misting                                52
                                                      » Scenario 9 - New Buildings with Increased Building Height                                            54
Acknowledgment:                                       » Comparative Impact Analysis of Cooling Potential                                                     56
Special thanks go to Serena Falasca, UniUrb, for
the meso-scale modelling and analysis.
                                                   Part 4 - Informing the South Melbourne Central Structure Plan                                             59
Many thanks also go to A/Professor Philip
Oldfield, Dr Riccardo Paolini and Dr Shamila       Cooling Intervention Results in a Planning Context                                                        60
Haddad for their support and assistance.
                                                   Recommendations to Inform the Future Planning of South Melbourne                                          62

Above: Outdoor Summer Event at the South           Part 5 - Urban Heat Island Mitigation Decision-Support Tool                                               73
Melbourne Market
                                                   Overview of Key Functions                                                                                 74
Photo: City of Port Phillip
Cover & Back: South Melbourne Town Hall            South Melbourne Cooling Interventions in a 3D Interactive Platform                                        75
Photo: Donaldytong / Wikimedia / CC BY-SA 3.0
                                                   References                                                                                                76

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Executive Summary

Climate change is the defining             species selection and planting          which enabled the nine cooling           air conditioning use and thereby
challenge of our time. Just last           density) and private realm building     intervention scenarios in the            limit potential heating effects from
year, 2019 was the second warmest          design (form, structure, materials      microscale level to be modelled          the waste heat of air conditioning.
year and ended the warmest                 and green infrastructure), as well      using ENVI-met, a computation fluid      The most effective intervention
decade (2010- 2019) ever recorded          as identifying suitable locations for   dynamics (CFD) model. This impact        scenario was the combination of
(WMO, 2020). The City of Port              cooling interventions. Its purpose      analysis highlights the maximum          all mitigation strategies including
Phillip has identified the need            is also to model this information       possible cooling potential for the       water misting sprays, which had a
to reduce the urban heat island            so that it can be used in the           South Melbourne Study Area under         significant localised cooling impact
(UHI) effect – increased ambient           development and testing of built        both current climate conditions          on street level air and surface
temperature in high-density urban          form and public realm interventions     in 2020 and future conditions in         temperatures. The combination of
areas compared to surrounding              that will inform and provide            2050. These nine scenarios and           all cooling interventions was able to
suburban or rural areas – as a key         supporting strategic justification      their cooling potential have also        respond to the diversity of land use
priority in developing a greener,          for updating the South Melbourne        been integrated into the online and      and urban typologies throughout the
cooler and more liveable city that is      Structure Plan (2007).                  interactive Microclimate and Urban       study area.
resilient and can adapt to climate                                                 Heat Island Mitigation Decision-
                                           To ensure the development of a                                                   One of the redevelopment
change (City of Port Phillip, 2018).                                               Support (UHI-DS) Tool.
                                           greener, cooler and more liveable                                                scenarios involved the increasing
Many of the City of Port Phillip’s
                                           city in the future, this report         The results of this impact               of building heights within the key
local strategies, guidelines, plans
                                           identifies key urban overheating        analysis show that all nine              redevelopment precincts of the
and policies for future planning
                                           challenges for both Greater             cooling intervention scenarios           study area beyond the maximum
therefore prioritise the need to
                                           Melbourne and the South Melbourne       can effectively reduce street level      permissible planning controls. This
minimise the impacts of increased
                                           Study Area and proposes urban           air and surface temperatures             scenario resulted from a careful
urban overheating.
                                           overheating mitigation strategies       throughout the South Melbourne           consideration of transitional
The South Melbourne Study                  to address them. These mitigation       Study Area under current and future      building scale, integration
Area has been highlighted as               strategies include increasing           climate conditions. Increasing urban     with public and private green
an area that, due to its land use,         public and private urban greenery,      greenery in the public realm and         infrastructure, material properties,
demographics and ambient                   water misting, changes to street,       the addition of cool materials for all   and prevailing wind flows through
temperature, is considered by              footpath and roof materials, as         streets, footpaths and private hard      the study area. It was shown that
Council to be a heat vulnerability         well as a combination of these, and     surfaces was highly effective at         if planning controls effectively
hot spot. Additionally, the area is        are consolidated into nine cooling      reducing street level air and surface    address these factors, an increase
expected to undergo change in the          intervention scenarios for the South    temperatures, especially in business     in future density in the study area
coming years with a new structure          Melbourne Study Area. These             and retail precincts that have           does not have to mean the impacts
plan slated for development in the         intervention scenarios are informed     wider, unshaded streets. Moderate        of the UHI effect are exacerbated.
coming 12 months. A key challenge          by a cooling impact analysis of         green infrastructure for private
                                                                                                                            Developed from the outcomes
for the City of Port Phillip is to         Greater Melbourne using the             green coverage demonstrated an
                                                                                                                            of the impact analysis of cooling
manage this future growth and              Weather Research & Forecasting          effective scenario for new buildings.
                                                                                                                            intervention scenarios, a set of
redevelopment in South Melbourne           (WRF) model and are tailored            While the impact of cool roofs is
                                                                                                                            recommendations are provided to
in a way that does not limit its ability   specifically to the urban context of    less than cool materials for hard
                                                                                                                            inform future planning of South
to mitigate and adapt to urban heat.       South Melbourne and the Structure       urban surfaces, it is important to
                                                                                                                            Melbourne towards 2050.
                                           Plan controls.                          note, given the extent of existing
The primary purpose for this report                                                buildings with aging roof materials
is to gather information in response       3D model data for the study             in the study area, that cool roofs
to this challenge, which includes          area, including typologies of           can lead to significant reductions
information that could influence           new buildings and private               in roof surface temperatures. This
the design of both the public realm        green coverage scenarios, was           can potentially improve indoor
(surface types, material use, plant        provided by the City of Port Phillip    thermal comfort, reduce energy and

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Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
Part 1 - Overview

                                                  Left: Melbourne CBD
                                                  skyline
                                                  Photo: Adam Calaitzis /
                                                  Adobe Stock

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Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
Climate Conditions in Melbourne                                                               Urban Development Characteristics

Greater Melbourne is characterised              annual temperatures could increase            For the last two decades, Melbourne    sustainably (Victorian Government,
by a temperate oceanic climate                  by up to 1.6˚C by the 2030s and               has been experiencing a significant    2017a).
and is well known for its highly                up to 2.7˚C by the 2050s under a              demographic change that is driving
variable weather conditions. These                                                            a population boom in the inner-city    Managing this growth through
                                                high greenhouse gas emissions
temperature swings are due to its                                                             and outer-suburban developments.       higher density urban areas is
                                                scenario. Also under a high
geographic location that is subject                                                           While Melbourne’s transport system     therefore a key challenge for
                                                emissions scenario, the frequency
to both cold air masses from the                                                              has good foundations, including        the City of Port Phillip, which is
                                                of extreme heat days (>35˚C) is
south and hot and dry air masses                                                              the largest tram network in the        already Victoria’s most densely
                                                projected to increase from 8.3
from the desert. This means that                                                              world, the more the city sprawls in    populated municipality (City of Port
                                                days up to 20.4 days by the 2050s
while Melbourne is typically slightly                                                         response to this growing population,   Phillip, 2018). If not planned well,
                                                (Table 1). Similarly, the frequency of
cooler than most other Australian                                                             the more likely it is to “become       increasing density in urban areas
                                                hot nights (minimum temperature
cities in summer, it still experiences                                                        an unsustainable city divided          can have significant environmental
                                                >20˚C) is projected to increase
unpredictable temperature spikes                                                              by disadvantage and inequality”        impacts and exacerbate the UHI
                                                from 5.8 days up to 18.4 days by
and heatwaves, with record                                                                    (Victorian Government, 2017a). In      effect. The South Melbourne Study
                                                the 2050s (Clarke JM et al., 2019)
temperatures exceeding 45˚C (BOM,                                                             addition to creating an urban growth   Area (Figure 1) in this report is a key
                                                (Table 1).
2020a).                                                                                       boundary and developing a city of      development area for increasing
                                                To put this into perspective, CSIRO           20-minute neighbourhoods, the          density within the City of Port
Temperatures will continue to                   suggest that if urgent action isn’t                                                  Phillip municipality. An overview
                                                                                              Victorian Government emphasises
increase across Greater Melbourne               taken to reduce global greenhouse                                                    of its existing and proposed urban        Figure 1: South Melbourne
                                                                                              urban renewal as a key strategy                                                  Study Area within the City of
in the future, but the severity of              gas emissions, Melbourne’s climate                                                   development characteristics is
                                                                                              to ensuring Melbourne grows                                                      Port Phillip municipality
these increases depends on global               in the 2050s could be more like                                                      given below.                              Photo: NearMap, 2020
greenhouse gas emissions over                   Wangaratta’s current climate – a
the coming decades (Clarke JM et                regional city over 200km inland
al., 2019). CSIRO’s recent Greater              from Melbourne (Clarke JM et al.,
Melbourne Climate Projections                   2019).
2019 suggests that maximum

Table 1: Number of extreme heat days and hot nights projected for Greater Melbourne under a
high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (Clarke JM et al., 2019)

                                  Extreme Heat Days
                   (Days/Year with a Maximum Temperature >35˚C)

                1981-2010                                     2040-2059
                  8.3 days                                13.1 to 20.4 days

                                       Hot Nights
                   (Days/Year with a Minimum Temperature >20˚C)

                1981-2010                                     2040-2059
                  5.8 days                                13.3 to 18.4 days

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Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
Existing Urban Conditions                 Within the commercial, retail and
                                          industrial areas, buildings are
The South Melbourne Study Area            constructed with a zero setback
has five broader land uses – the          to create a hard street edge. This
South Melbourne Activity Centre,          means that there is limited public
the surrounding business precincts,       open space in these areas but there
mixed-use precincts, the Emerald          are still a few public open spaces
Hill Civic, Cultural and Community        within and surrounding the study
Hub and the heritage residential          area (e.g. small parks in residential
areas. There is a diverse mix of          areas, St Vincent Gardens to the
building types such as the Victorian      west, Albert Park to the south - see
era shopfronts of Clarendon Street,       Figure 2) (City of Port Phillip &
the contemporary commercial and           David Lock Associates, 2007). The
retail development along Kings            existing street canopy coverage of
Way, the heritage residential areas       South Melbourne (17%) is above
dating back to the 1800s and social       the municipal average but the park
housing from the 1960s. There is a        canopy coverage is below (City of
                                                                                  Below: Park Towers
                                                                                  Photo: Mattinbgn / Wikimedia /
substantial portion of the study area     Port Phillip, 2019).                    CC BY-SA 3.0                                                                                                         Left: Fishley Street Terraces
protected by the City of Port Phillip’s
heritage policy which discourages
the demolition of any significant
                                                                                                                   Future Redevelopment                       New development with a range
and contributory buildings (City                                                                                                                              of different building types, scales
of Port Phillip & David Lock                                                                                       In 2007, the City of Port Phillip          and functions are encouraged
Associates, 2007).                                                                                                 adopted the South Melbourne                within these areas provided they
                                                                                                                   Central Structure Plan that outlined       align with the strategic intent
Buildings within the South
                                                                                                                   the vision for any development at          of the Structure Plan. Land use
Melbourne Study Area generally
                                                                                                                   that time. This document divides           changes are proposed to enable
range from two to four storeys with
                                                                                                                   South Melbourne into 13 distinct           South Melbourne to evolve as a
some exceptions such as the South
                                                                                                                   precincts (adapted to 14 for this          unique mixed-use precinct that
Melbourne Town Hall Spire and
                                                                                                                   report – see Figure 2) that have           supports residential, business
Park Towers, as well as more recent
                                                                                                                   similarities in land use patterns          and retail activities, including a
mixed use developments in the
                                                                                                                   and urban character. The existing          creative industries cluster. New
north west and approved but yet to
                                                                                                                   development controls for the               buildings in these key development
be build office developments in the
                                                                                                                   South Melbourne Study Area are             areas are permitted an increase
north east. There is a transitional
                                                                                                                   based on this Structure Plan. The          in height, typically to a maximum
scale throughout the study area
                                                                                                                   South Melbourne Central Urban              of six storeys, but must ensure
from the low-scale residential
                                                                                                                   Design Framework builds upon the           that the streetscape character is
development to the south to the
                                                                                                                   strategic directions of the Structure      maintained and that street level
increased height towards the
                                                                                                                   Plan and sets out the specific urban       interaction is encouraged. New
Kings Way boundary and an abrupt
                                                                                                                   design principles, objectives and          development in these areas also
transition to the high-rise towers
                                                                                                                   built form guidelines to achieve           offers an opportunity to improve the
of Southbank and Docklands. This
                                                                                                                   this vision. It focuses on the areas       public domain by maximising public
is known as the ‘bowl of South
                                                                                                                   that have the most development             open space where possible and
Melbourne Central’ (City of Port
                                                                                                                   potential, which are the business          prioritising sustainable modes of
Phillip & David Lock Associates,
                                                                                                                   and mixed-use areas as well as key         transport (City of Port Phillip, 2007;
2007).
                                                                                                                   individual development sites (City of      City of Port Phillip & David Lock
                                                                                                                   Port Phillip, 2007; City of Port Phillip   Associates, 2007).
                                                                                                                   & David Lock Associates, 2007).

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Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
A more detailed description of          South Melbourne, meaning that the
the existing and proposed urban         current controls will have limited
development characteristics for the     influence on future redevelopment
14 precincts is provided in Table 2.    in South Melbourne. This review
                                        presents an opportunity for new
It is important to note that a
                                        development controls and public
thorough review of this Structure
                                        realm initiatives to mitigate urban
Plan from 2007 is considered
                                        heat island impacts, and there
necessary, and the City of Port
                                        is a timely opportunity to update
Phillip has commenced preparation
                                        existing planning controls to embed
of a new South Melbourne Structure
                                        the recommendations developed
Plan. This process will likely result
                                        from this study.
in new built form controls for

                                                                              Left: Sketch showing the
                                                                              potential to maximise public
                                                                              open space and encourage
                                                                              sustainable modes of transport
                                                                              (City of Port Phillip & David
                                                                              Lock Associates, 2007)

                                                                                                               South Melbourne Study Area Precincts:                  South Melbourne                   Figure 2: South Melbourne
                                                                                                                1.   Clarendon Street Core Local Shopping Strip       Study Area Boundary               Study Area showing the
                                                                                                                                                                                                        14 precincts and key
                                                                                                                2.   Emerging Activity Precinct
                                                                                                                                                                      South Melbourne Study             redevelopment areas
                                                                                                                3.   Northern Mixed Activity Edge                     Area Precinct Boundaries          Photo: NearMap, 2020
                                                                                                                4.   Southern Mixed Activity Edge
                                                                                                                5.   Coventry Street Specialty Shopping Precinct      Precincts That Have Significant
                                                                                                                6.   South Melbourne Market                           Redevelopment Potential
                                                                                                                7.   Eastern Business Precinct
                                                                                                                8.   Western Business Precinct                        Green Open Space
                                                                                                                9.   Kings Way Mixed Use Corridor
                                                                                                               10.   City Road Wedge
                                                                                                               11.   Ferrars Street Light Rail Corridor
                                                                                                               12.   Heritage Overlay Residential Areas
                                                                                                               13.   Emerald Hill Civic, Cultural and Community Hub
                                                                                                               14.   Southern Business Precinct

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Urban Overheating Challenges

As the population, ambient               seen in the heritage residential
temperature and the frequency of         areas to the south and the social
extreme heat events increases,           housing areas where there is a higher
the challenge of urban overheating       street canopy coverage. Within
grows. While this is a global            these residential areas, a significant
challenge, many of the impacts           number of dwellings have higher
of urban overheating are                 roof surface temperatures which can
experienced at a local level. It         often be attributed to darker or lower
is well documented that higher           performing materials of heritage
ambient temperatures in urban            buildings. Areas of higher overall
areas can have a direct and serious      surface temperatures (shown in red,
impact on the health, wellbeing          yellow and white) are predominantly
and safety of citizens and the           the business, retail and industrial
overall environmental quality of         areas of the South Melbourne Study
a city (Santamouris, 2015). More         Area. Factors that contribute to these
specifically, urban overheating can      higher surface temperatures are the
cause increases in cooling energy        wide unshaded streets, the compact
consumption, peak electricity            urban context and the large exposed
demand, citizen vulnerability, heat      roof surfaces. More specific urban
related mortality and morbidity          overheating challenges for the 14
and levels of harmful pollutants         precincts is provided in Table 2.
(Santamouris, 2020), as well as
cause significant loss of income         Importantly, the areas of higher
for local businesses (Sweeney            overall surface temperatures are
Research & City of Melbourne,            the key redevelopment areas within
2014). A key challenge for the City      the South Melbourne Study Area.
of Port Phillip is to manage this        Therefore, it is crucial that the        Below: Large exposed roofs
                                                                                  of the business, retail and
future growth and redevelopment in       redevelopment of these hot spots         industrial areas of the South

South Melbourne in a way that does       effectively mitigates the impacts of     Melbourne Study Area
                                                                                  Photo: Bob Tan / Wikimedia /
not limit its ability to mitigate and    urban overheating.                       CC BY-SA 4.0
adapt to urban heat.

To help understand the existing
urban overheating challenges
                                                                                                                  South Melbourne Study Area Precincts:
facing South Melbourne, Figure 3
                                                                                                                   1.   Clarendon Street Core Local Shopping Strip       Figure 3: Airborne thermal
shows the surface temperature                                                                                                                                            imagery of the South
                                                                                                                   2.   Emerging Activity Precinct
distribution across the study area                                                                                 3.   Northern Mixed Activity Edge                     Melbourne Study Area taken at
in April 2020. The significant                                                                                                                                           approximately 13:00 on April
                                                                                                                   4.   Southern Mixed Activity Edge
                                                                                                                                                                         14, 2020
variations in surface temperature                                                                                  5.   Coventry Street Specialty Shopping Precinct
                                                                                                                   6.   South Melbourne Market
are influenced by differences in the
                                                                                                                   7.   Eastern Business Precinct
physical urban environment (built                                                                                  8.   Western Business Precinct
form, scale, density, materials, etc.)                                                                             9.   Kings Way Mixed Use Corridor
and land cover (paved, vegetated,                                                                                 10.   City Road Wedge
water, etc.). Areas of lower surface                                                                              11.   Ferrars Street Light Rail Corridor
                                                                                                                  12.   Heritage Overlay Residential Areas
temperatures (shown in purple,                                                                                    13.   Emerald Hill Civic, Cultural and Community Hub
blue and green) are predominantly                                                                                 14.   Southern Business Precinct

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Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
Table 2: Urban development characteristics and overheating challenges in the South Melbourne Study Area

     PRECINCTS & URBAN
                                          THERMAL IMAGERY           AERIAL IMAGERY                  STREETSCAPE          URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS                                   URBAN OVERHEATING CHALLENGES
        TYPOLOGIES

         1
 Clarendon Street
Core Local Shopping
       Strip

                                                                                                                  Existing:
                                                                                                                  » A dense mix of low-rise buildings (1-3 storeys) that have     » Some darker roof materials (especially in areas of heritage
                                                                                                                    predominantly retail functions and are heritage protected       buildings) which could result in indoor thermal discomfort
                                                                                                                  » Low tree canopy coverage along streets                          during high temperature days
                      COMPACT LOW-RISE

                                                                                                                  » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas      » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide
                                                                                                                                                                                    streets (e.g. Clarendon St, Coventry St, Park St)
         4                                                                                                        » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate volumes
                           (Retail)

                                                                                                                    of street and on-site parking                                 » Contested urban space (e.g. tram line, retail functions)
  Southern Mixed                                                                                                                                                                    limits opportunities for urban vegetation in public areas
                                                                                                                  Potential New Development:
   Activity Edge                                                                                                                                                                  » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban
                                                                                                                  » New development in these precincts is quite limited due to
                                                                                                                    heritage restrictions with a few isolated exceptions (e.g.      vegetation in private areas
                                                                                                                    between Bank St and Park St, east of Clarendon St)            » Any new development must be carefully considered so it
                                                                                                                  » Medium-rise (3-9 storeys) mixed-use development                 does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g.
                                                                                                                    encouraged with ground level retail with commercial or          urban greenery, material selection, etc.)
                                                                                                                    residential above

         5
 Coventry Street
Specialty Shopping
     Precinct

                                                                                                                  Existing:
                                                                                                                  » A dense mix of medium-rise buildings (3-9 storeys)            » Abundant urban surface materials that absorb and store
                                                                                                                  » Low tree canopy coverage along streets                          large amounts of heat
                                                                                                                  » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas
                      MEDIUM-RISE

                                                                                                                                                                                  » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide
         2
                       COMPACT

                                                                                                                  » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate/high            streets (e.g. York St, Cecil St)
                                                                                                                    volumes of street and on-site parking
 Emerging Activity                                                                                                Potential New Development:                                      » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban
    Precinct                                                                                                      » New development is limited due to recent developments           vegetation in private areas
                                                                                                                    and heritage restrictions with a few isolated exceptions      » Any new development must be carefully considered so it
                                                                                                                    (e.g. south of York St)                                         does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g.
                                                                                                                  » Medium-rise (3-9 storeys) mixed-use development with            urban greenery, material selection, etc.)
                                                                                                                    primarily retail and business functions
                                                                                                                  Existing:                                                       » Large roof areas exposed to direct solar radiation
                                                                                                                  » Open arrangements of large footprint low-rise buildings         (extensive rooftop solar contributes to higher surface
                         LARGE LOW-RISE

                                                                                                                    (1-3 storeys)                                                   temperatures in certain areas)
                                                                                                                  » Low tree canopy coverage along streets                        » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover (e.g.
         6                                                                                                        » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas        wide streets and on-site carparking)
 South Melbourne                                                                                                  » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with high volumes of        » Limited opportunities for urban vegetation in private areas
     Market                                                                                                         street and on-site parking                                    » Limited shading in pedestrian areas for special events
                                                                                                                  Potential New Development:                                        (surrounding roads used as pedestrian areas with
                                                                                                                  » Potential to redevelop at grade car park with a medium-rise     temporary shading)
                                                                                                                    (3-9 storeys) mixed-use development that could include        » Any new development must be carefully considered so it
                                                                                                                    parking, commercial, residential and community uses             does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g.
                                                                                                                                                                                    urban greenery, material selection, etc.)

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Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
Table 2 (continued): Urban development characteristics and overheating challenges in the South Melbourne Study Area

     PRECINCTS & URBAN
                                                   THERMAL IMAGERY   AERIAL IMAGERY                 STREETSCAPE              URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS                                   URBAN OVERHEATING CHALLENGES
        TYPOLOGIES

         3
  Northern Mixed
   Activity Edge

                                                                                                                      Existing:                                                        » Abundant urban surface materials that absorb and store
                                                                                                                      » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) and medium-rise            large amounts of heat
                         COMPACT LOW/MEDIUM-RISE

                                                                                                                        buildings (3-9 storeys) that have predominantly commercial     » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air
                                                                                                                        functions                                                        temperature from darker roof materials which could also
                                                                                                                      » Moderate tree canopy coverage along streets                      result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature
         7                                                                                                            » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas         days
                                                                                                                      » A mix of wide (>28m), medium (12-28m) and narrow               » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide
 Eastern Business
                                                                                                                        (9 storeys)
                       COMPACT LOW/

                                                                                                                                                                                         temperature from darker roof materials which could also result
                                                                                                                      » Low tree canopy coverage along streets
         9                                                                                                            » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas
                                                                                                                                                                                         in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature days
                                                                                                                                                                                       » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide
                                                                                                                      » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with low volumes of
 Kings Way Mixed                                                                                                                                                                         streets (e.g. Kings Way, York St, Coventry St)
                                                                                                                        street and on-site parking
   Use Corridor                                                                                                                                                                        » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban
                                                                                                                      Potential New Development:
                                                                                                                                                                                         vegetation in private areas
                                                                                                                      » Potential for new medium-rise (3-9 storeys) and high-rise
                                                                                                                                                                                       » Any new development must be carefully considered so it does
                                                                                                                        (>9 storeys) mixed-use buildings that integrate street level
                                                                                                                                                                                         not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g. urban
                                                                                                                        retail, residential and office uses
                                                                                                                                                                                         greenery, material selection, etc.)
                                                                                                                      Existing:
                                                                                                                      » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) commercial and
                      COMPACT LOW-RISE

                                                                                                                        industrial buildings that are predominantly heritage           » Large roof areas exposed to direct solar radiation
                                                                                                                        protected                                                      » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide
                         (Industrial)

                                                                                                                      » Low/moderate tree canopy coverage along streets                  streets (e.g. City Rd, Cecil St, Whiteman St)
        10                                                                                                            » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas       » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban
 City Road Wedge                                                                                                      » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with low volumes of            vegetation in private areas
                                                                                                                        street and on-site parking                                     » Any new development must be carefully considered so it
                                                                                                                      Potential New Development:                                         does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g.
                                                                                                                      » Potential for a new high-rise (>9 storeys) residential           urban greenery, material selection, etc.)
                                                                                                                        building to act as a transitional scale between South
                                                                                                                        Melbourne Central and the Southbank high-rise

18    Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                     19
Table 2 (continued): Urban development characteristics and overheating challenges in the South Melbourne Study Area

     PRECINCTS & URBAN
                                           THERMAL IMAGERY          AERIAL IMAGERY                  STREETSCAPE              URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS                                   URBAN OVERHEATING CHALLENGES
        TYPOLOGIES

                                                                                                                      » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) semi-detached           » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air
                       COMPACT LOW-RISE                                                                                 residential buildings that are predominantly heritage           temperature from darker roof materials which could also
                          (Residential)                                                                                 protected                                                       result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature
                                                                                                                      » Limited permeable ground cover in private areas                 days
                                                                                                                      » Moderate/high tree canopy coverage along streets with         » Limited opportunities for private garden spaces
                                                                                                                        some vegetated street verges and public green spaces          » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - the
                                                                                                                      » A mix of wide (>28m), medium (12-28m) and narrow                wider streets (e.g. James Service Pl, Napier St, Stead St,
                                                                                                                        (9 storeys)
                       OPEN MEDIUM/

                                                                                                                      » Abundance of permeable (vegetated) land cover in public       » Large building envelopes exposed to direct solar radiation
                         HIGH-RISE

                                                                                                                        and private areas                                               due to the open built form arrangements
                                                                                                                      » High tree canopy coverage along streets with vegetated        » Urban heat vulnerability - some inhabitants in social
                                                                                                                        street verges                                                   housing areas may be unable to maintain a thermally
                                                                                                                      » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate/high            comfortable indoor environment
                                                                                                                        volumes of street and on-site parking
                                                                                                                      » Typically social/affordable housing within urban areas

                                                                                                                      » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) semi-detached           » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air
                       COMPACT LOW-RISE

                                                                                                                        buildings and key public services (e.g. Town Hall, Library,     temperature from darker roof materials which could also
        13
                          (Civic Centre)

                                                                                                                        Police Station) that are heritage protected                     result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature
                                                                                                                      » A mix of permeable (vegetated) and impervious (paved)           days
 Emerald Hill Civic,
                                                                                                                        ground cover in public and private areas                      » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide
   Cultural and
                                                                                                                      » Moderate tree canopy coverage along streets                     streets (e.g. Perrins St, Bank St, Clarendon St)
  Community Hub
                                                                                                                      » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate volumes       » Heritage elements may limit cooling potential (e.g.
                                                                                                                        of street parking                                               bluestone paving, roof materials, etc.)

                                                                                                                      » A dense mix of medium-rise (3-9 storeys) and high-rise        » Abundant urban surface materials that absorb and store
                       COMPACT MEDIUM/

                                                                                                                        buildings (>9 storeys)                                          large amounts of heat
                                                                                                                      » Moderate tree canopy coverage along streets with some
                          HIGH-RISE

        14                                                                                                              vegetated street verges
                                                                                                                                                                                      » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air
                                                                                                                                                                                        temperature from darker roof materials which could also
Southern Business                                                                                                     » Urban surfaces shaded by surrounding tall buildings             result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature
    Precinct                                                                                                          » A mix of predominantly wide (>28m) and medium (12-28m)          days
                                                                                                                        streets with low/moderate volumes of street and on-site       » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban
                                                                                                                        parking                                                         vegetation in private areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Aerial Images:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         NearMap, 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Streetscape Images:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Google Streetview, 2020

20    Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                        21
Part 2 - Urban Overheating
                               Mitigation Strategies to Inform
                               Strategic Planning

                                                                 Left: View of South
                                                                 Melbourne looking north
                                                                 towards the CBD
                                                                 Photo: Michael Evans /
                                                                 Adobe Stock

22   Cooling South Melbourne                                                              23
The Need for Urban Heat Mitigation                                                                              Proposed Urban Overheating
in Planning Processes                                                                                           Mitigation Strategies
                                                                                                                Greater Melbourne
Tackling urban overheating             environment, urban amenity and
challenges requires multi-sector       human health. It investigates                                            The Guide to Urban Cooling Strategies     significantly reduce surface and air
collaboration as well as leadership    what mitigation strategies are                                           recommends increased tree canopy,         temperatures. Melbourne’s relatively
in urban policy and strategic          appropriate for Greater Melbourne                                        cool materials, permeable paving          low rainfall during summer means that
planning processes to incorporate      and a South Melbourne Study                                              and evaporative cooling as effective      permeable paving and water irrigation
climate change adaptation and          Area, and determines to what                                             strategies for cooling Greater            strategies will also be effective for
mitigation strategies. The Victorian   extent various cooling intervention                                      Melbourne. Melbourne CBD’s high           cooling Greater Melbourne (Osmond &
Government has developed an            options involving built form, urban                                      urban density settings results in 12.9%   Sharifi, 2017).
Implementation Plan for Plan           greenery and cool materials can                                          of canopy cover (Jacobs et al., 2014).
Melbourne 2017-2050 that               help in mitigating urban overheating                                     Therefore, increasing tree canopy         The cooling impact analysis of high
includes the improvement of            and keeping our streetscapes                                             cover is an appropriate strategy to       albedo materials, water irrigation,
climate change strategies in the       and cities cool. Computer fluid                                          reduce air temperature and improve        increased urban greenery and
Victoria Planning Provisions and       dynamics models and simulations                                          amenity and thermal comfort at            combination of these cooling
all planning schemes, and will         are employed to provide scientific                                       street level. To address Melbourne’s      interventions for Greater Melbourne
ensure these provisions are based      outcomes and establish evidence                                          high solar radiation intensity and UV     will be presented in Part 3. The
on scientific outcomes (Victorian      to inform future provisions and                                          level in summer, high albedo and          outcomes of this impact analysis
Government, 2017b). This report        planning schemes at a local level for                                    high emittance1 materials for urban       will inform the cooling intervention
demonstrates an urban planning         the City of Port Phillip. An overview                                    surfaces such as cool pavements           options for the South Melbourne Study
and development approach to            of the key processes carried out for                                     and roofs are effective in radiating      Area.
mitigating urban overheating and       this Cooling South Melbourne report                                      the urban heat away, which can
minimising the impact of climate       is shown in Figure 4.                   Figure 4: Overview of the key
extremes on the outdoor thermal
                                                                               processes carried out for this
                                                                               report                           South Melbourne Study Area
                                                                                                                The South Melbourne Study Area, an        addition of new buildings in the
                                                                                                                inner-city area just south of the CBD,    northern and eastern redevelopment
                                                                                                                has distinctive urban characteristics     areas offers a unique opportunity
                                                                                                                and urban overheating challenges          to explore the cooling impact of
                                                                                                                (Table 2). The proposed urban             these three private green coverage
                                                                                                                overheating mitigation strategies         scenarios (BAU, Moderate and
                                                                                                                for this study area are aligned with      Optimised), as well as cool materials
                                                                                                                the strategies for Greater Melbourne      for public and private hard surfaces
                                                                                                                but are tailored to its specific urban    and cool roofs. Due to Melbourne’s
                                                                                                                context.                                  hot and dry summers, water misting
                                                                                                                                                          sprays are also investigated as a
                                                                                                                The South Melbourne Study Area,
                                                                                                                                                          cooling intervention to reduce air
                                                                                                                despite having 17% of street canopy
                                                                                                                                                          temperatures across the study area.
                                                                                                                coverage from existing trees (City                                                    1
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Albedo refers to the
                                                                                                                of Port Phillip, 2019), still offers      Part 3 conducts a cooling impact            proportion of incident light
                                                                                                                                                                                                      reflected from a surface;
                                                                                                                opportunities to increase urban           analysis of these cooling interventions     its reflectivity. Emittance
                                                                                                                greenery in the public realm through      for the current climate in 2020 and the     refers to the amount of heat
                                                                                                                                                                                                      radiated from a material at a
                                                                                                                additional trees and rain gardens         future climate of 2050. The outcomes        given temperature compared
                                                                                                                along restricted streets (see Scenario    of this analysis show the maximum           to a theoretical 'black body'
                                                                                                                2). Increases in urban greenery can       cooling potential for the South             (Osmond & Sharifi, 2017). As
                                                                                                                                                                                                      most urban surfaces already
                                                                                                                also be achieved in private areas         Melbourne Study Area and can be             have high emittance and
                                                                                                                through three green infrastructure        used to inform the City of Port Phillip’s   albedo is easier to modify,
                                                                                                                                                                                                      the focus will be on changing
                                                                                                                scenarios defined by the development      planning of South Melbourne towards         the albedo of urban surfaces
                                                                                                                of the City of Melbourne’s Green          2050.
                                                                                                                Factor Tool (Ashley, 2020). The
24   Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                    25
Existing buildings                                    Private Green Space

                                                                                                                            City Rd
                                                    Existing trees                                                                                                    Private Hard Surfaces
                                                                                                               Yo
                                                                                                                  rk
                                                                                                                       St

                                                                              t
                                                                         ars S
                                                                     Ferr

                                                                                                                                                                            ay
                                                                                                                                                                          sW
                                           Alb
                                              ert

                                                                                                                                                                         ng
                                                    St

                                                                                                                                                                        Ki
                                                                                                                                  Part 3 - Impact Analysis of
                          Existing Roads                             Public Green Space                                           Cooling Interventions

                                                                                          Existing Footpaths

                                                                                                                                                                                              Left: 3D model of the
                                                                                                                                                                                              existing conditions
                                                                                                                                                                                              (base case) of the South
                                                                                                                                                                                              Melbourne Study Area

26   Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                         27
Cooling Potential for Greater                                                                                                           -37.6                                                              Barren tundra
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mixed tundra
Melbourne in 2020 and 2050                                                                                                                                                                                 Wooded tundra
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Barren or sparsely vegetated
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Snow and ice
The cooling potential for Greater             domains (Figure 5) were simulated
                                                                                                                                        -37.8                                                              Cropland/natural vegetation mosaic
Melbourne in 2020 and 2050                    with a horizontal resolution
                                                                                            Figure 5: (a) The four two-way                                                                                 Urban and built-up
was modelled using the Weather                increasing from 13.5 km in the                nested WRF domains across
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Croplands
Research and Forecasting (WRF)                largest domain (d01) to 0.5 km in the         Greater Melbourne (d01, d02,

                                                                                                                                     Latitude
                                                                                            d03, d04); (b) Satellite image of                                                                              Permanent wetlands
model. Four two-way nested                    innermost domain (d04) (Table 3).
                                                                                            the innermost domain (d04)                                                                                     Grasslands
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Savannas
                                                                                                                                        -38.0                                                              Woody savannas
      d01
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Open shrublands
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Closed shrublands
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mixed forest
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Deciduos broadleaf forest
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Deciduos neadleaf forest

                                                                                                                                        -38.2                                                              Evergreen broadleaf forest
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Evergreen needleaf forest

                                                                                                                                                144.6   144.8      145.0           145.2        145.4
                                                                                                                                                                 Longitude

                                                                                                                                Cooling intervention scenarios were        built-up areas could experience              Figure 6: Land use
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        classification in Greater
                                                                                                                                defined and applied to the urban           ambient temperature increases                Melbourne (d04) (NASA, MODIS
                                                                                                                                and built-up areas across Greater          of 2.1°C - 3.7°C in February 2050            database). The City of Port
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Phillip municipal boundary
                                                                                                                                Melbourne (refer to 13 in Figure 6)        in comparison to February 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        shown in white.
                                                                                                                                to understand its cooling potential        (Figure 7). However, through a
                                                                                                                                and to inform the South Melbourne          combination of carefully considered
                                                                                                                                Study Area. Simulations of cooling         cooling interventions, the simulation
                                                                                                                                intervention scenarios were                results show that maximum
                               (a)                                                    (b)                                       conducted for the whole of February        ambient temperature reductions of
                                                                                                                                in 2020 and 2050. Simulation               4.7°C and 6.3°C can be achieved
                                                                                                                                results show that without any direct       in 2020 and 2050 respectively for
Table 3: The four simulation domains in the WRF model                                                                           action or cooling interventions,           a representative summer’s day
                                                                                                                                Greater Melbourne’s urban and              (February 10) (Figure 8).
     Domain           Resolution (km)              n. cells (longitude x latitude)

       d01                  13.5                             100 x 100
       d02                   4.5                             100 x 100
       d03                   1.5                             130 x 130
       d04                   0.5                             187 x 181

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Figure 7: Projected hourly
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        ambient temperature
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        increase for February 2050
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        in comparison to February
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2020 (temperature difference
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        is averaged across the whole
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        month of February)

28   Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                       29
High Albedo for Urban Surfaces

                                                                                                                                                   Simulation results show that high         5.0°C and 5.4°C can be achieved
                                                                                                                                                   albedo materials for urban surfaces       for 2020 and 2050 respectively,
2020

                                                                                                                                                   (e.g. roofs, walls, streets) are          which can lead to maximum
                                                                                                                                                   highly effective in reducing both         ambient temperature reductions
                                                                                                                                                   average and maximum surface and           of up to 1.9°C for both 2020 and
                                                                                                                                                   ambient temperatures between              2050 (Figure 9). While its cooling
                                       (a)                                                                     (b)
                                                                                                                                                   9:00 and 19:00 for February 2020          effectiveness reduces overnight,
                                                                                                                                                   and 2050 (Figures 9 and 10). These        increasing the albedo of urban
                                                                                                                                                   high albedo materials are most            surfaces is crucial to improving
                                                                                                                                                   effective during the middle of            the outdoor thermal comfort of
                                                                                                                                                   the day between 13:00 and 15:00           Greater Melbourne in the future,
                                                                                                                                                   when urban surfaces receive the           with average ambient temperature
                                                                                                                                                   most direct solar radiation. During       reductions of up to 1.3°C possible
2050

                                                                                                                                                   these hours, maximum surface              throughout February in 2050 (Figure
                                                                                                                                                   temperature reductions of up to           10).

                                       (c)                                                                     (d)
                                                                                                                                                   Urban Greenery
       Figure 8: Projected ambient temperature scenarios for Greater Melbourne on February 10, 2020 and 2050 at 14:00 at 2m height. (a) Ambient
       temperature in 2020 (base case); (b) Ambient temperature reduction in 2020 through a combination of defined cooling interventions in
       comparison to the base case; (c) Ambient temperature in 2050 (base case); (d) Ambient temperature reduction in 2050 through a combination   Urban greenery also plays a crucial       increase of urban greenery in the
       of defined cooling interventions in comparison to the base case. The City of Port Phillip municipal boundary shown in white.
                                                                                                                                                   role in improving the outdoor             urban and built-up areas of Greater
                                                                                                                                                   thermal comfort of our cities.            Melbourne can provide maximum
       The defined individual and                               » High albedo materials: this                                                      Figures 9 and 10 show that an             ambient temperature reductions
       combination of cooling                                     scenario includes an increased                                                   increase of 20% in urban greenery         of up to 1.5°C and 1.8°C in 2020
       interventions are described below,                         albedo value of 0.6 for urban                                                    is highly effective for urban areas       and 2050 respectively (Figure 9),
       followed by the comparative impact                         surfaces (e.g. roofs, walls,                                                     at reducing maximum and average           as well as provide average ambient
       analysis of cooling interventions for                      streets).                                                                        ambient temperatures during the           temperature reductions of up to
       Greater Melbourne:                                                                                                                          early hours of the morning (1:00          1.0°C throughout February in 2050
                                                                » Urban greenery: this scenario
          » Base case: the base case                              includes an increase of 20% in                                                   - 7:00). During these hours, an           (Figure 10).
            scenario was defined with                             greenery for the urban areas.
            an albedo value of 0.2 for
            urban surfaces (e.g. roofs,                         » Irrigation: this scenario
            walls, streets) The base case                         includes the irrigation of                                                       Water Irrigation
            scenario does not include                             vegetation. Evapotranspiration
            irrigation but waste heat from                        of vegetation is doubled in the
                                                                  urban areas for this scenario.                                                   Although increasing the                   results show that well irrigated
            cars and people (anthropogenic                                                                                                         evapotranspiration of urban               vegetation across the urban and
            heat) was included for both                         » Combination of interventions:                                                    greenery is the least effective           built-up areas of Greater Melbourne
            2020 and 2050.                                        this scenario is a combination                                                   individual cooling intervention           can lead to surface and ambient
                                                                  of high albedo materials,                                                        strategy, it plays an important role in   temperature reductions of up to
                                                                  irrigation and increasing urban                                                  reducing both ambient and surface         1.4°C and 0.5°C respectively for
                                                                  greenery.                                                                        temperatures throughout the day           2020, and up to 1.3°C and 0.5°C
                                                                                                                                                   (Figures 9 and 10). The simulation        respectively for 2050 (Figure 9).

       30    Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                               31
Combination of Cooling Interventions

The combination of cooling                            and average surface temperature                                                         temperatures. This sustained                           having different weather conditions,
interventions leads to significant                    reductions of almost 7.0°C                                                              cooling potential can lead to                          similar trends can be observed
reductions in both maximum and                        throughout February in 2020 and                                                         maximum ambient temperature                            with the effectiveness of increased
average surface and ambient                           2050 (Figure 10).                                                                       reductions of approximately 1.5°C                      urban greenery at night and high
temperatures for 2020 and 2050.                                                                                                               - 3.0°C (Figure 9) and average                         albedo urban surfaces during the
Figures 9 and 10 show that                            When observing maximum and                                                              ambient temperature reductions of                      day leading to sustained periods
considerable maximum and average                      average ambient temperature                                                             approximately 1.0°C - 2.0°C (Figure                    of average ambient temperature
surface temperature reductions are                    reductions, Figures 9 and 10                                                            10) throughout February in 2020                        reductions.
possible between 9:00 and 19:00,                      show that the combination of                                                            and 2050.
primarily due to the effectiveness                    cooling interventions can provide
of increasing the albedo of urban                     increased cooling benefits for a                                                        Figures 11 and 12 show the average
surfaces. During the middle of the                    greater amount of time. This is                                                         ambient temperature reductions of
day (13:00 - 15:00), the combination                  due to the effectiveness of high                                                        the individual and combination of
of cooling interventions can lead                     albedo urban surfaces during the                                                        cooling interventions over a 5-day                                                                              2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               This was the warmest five-day
to maximum surface temperature                        day and increased urban greenery                                                        period (10 - 15 February)2 for 2020                                                                             period for Melbourne's Olympic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Park weather station (BOM,
                                                      at night in reducing ambient                                                            and 2050 respectively. Despite
reductions of up to 8.2°C (Figure 9)                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2020b)

                               2020                                                                    2050                                                                  2020                                                                      2050

                                (a)                                                                      (b)                                                                  (a)                                                                       (b)

                                (c)                                                                      (d)                                                                  (c)                                                                       (d)

Figure 9: Comparison of the cooling intervention scenarios against the base case showing maximum reductions in surface temperatures for (a)   Figure 10: Comparison of the cooling intervention scenarios against the base case showing average reductions in surface temperatures for (a)
2020; and (b) 2050; and ambient temperatures for (c) 2020; and (d) 2050; averaged across February for Greater Melbourne                       2020; and (b) 2050; and ambient temperatures for (c) 2020; and (d) 2050; averaged across February for Greater Melbourne

32    Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            33
Informing the South Melbourne Study Area

                                                                                                                                             The comparative impact analysis        The results from this impact
                                                                                                                                             results for Greater Melbourne          analysis of Greater Melbourne can
                                                                                                                                             show that significant reductions in    inform the selection of appropriate
                                                                                                                                             surface and ambient temperatures       cooling interventions at a local
                                                                                                                                             can be achieved now in 2020 and        scale for the South Melbourne
                                                                                                                                             in the future towards 2050. The        Study Area. These results can also
                                                                                                                                             simulation results have shown that     help to frame the cooling of South
                                                                                                                                             a carefully considered combination     Melbourne towards 2050 within the
                                                                                                                                             of cooling interventions can achieve   larger objective of cooling Greater
                                                                                                                                             the greatest cooling potential for     Melbourne. The next section will
                                                                                                                                             the urban and built-up areas of        present the impact analysis of
                                                                                                                                             Greater Melbourne. Individually,       a series of cooling interventions
                                                                                                                                             an increase of albedo for urban        tailored to the specific context of
Figure 11: Comparison of average ambient temperature reductions for the individual and combination of cooling interventions across Greater   surfaces was the most effective        the South Melbourne Study Area.
Melbourne between 10 - 15 February 2020                                                                                                      strategy in reducing daytime           It will demonstrate how urban
                                                                                                                                             ambient and surface temperatures,      overheating mitigation strategies
                                                                                                                                             while an increase of urban greenery    combined with urban planning and
                                                                                                                                             was the most effective at reducing     design parameters can impact the      Below: View of the South
                                                                                                                                             ambient temperatures across            local thermal environment, thereby    Melbourne Study Area in the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          context of Greater Melbourne
                                                                                                                                             Greater Melbourne.                     improving outdoor and indoor          Photo: nilsversemann / Adobe
                                                                                                                                                                                    thermal comfort.                      Stock

Figure 12: Comparison of average ambient temperature reductions for the individual and combination of cooling interventions across Greater
Melbourne between 10 - 15 February 2050

34    Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                       35
Cooling Potential for the South Melbourne
Study Area in 2020 and 2050
The impact analysis of cooling             associated Urban Design Framework                                    Table 4: The nine cooling intervention scenarios for the South Melbourne Study Area
interventions for the South Melbourne      informed the development of nine
                                                                                                                  Scenario                                                    Scenario Description
Study Area was conducted for the           cooling intervention scenarios
current climate of 2020 and the            (Table 4) which include proposed                                                    New Buildings with Business as Usual Private Green Coverage: New buildings (commercial, residential
                                                                                                                               and mixed-use) in the key redevelopment precincts (2, 3, 7, 8, 9 and 10 – see Figure 3) and individual
future climate of 2050 using the           new buildings, increasing public and                                       1
                                                                                                                               redevelopment sites; and a business as usual (BAU) green infrastructure scenario4 for private green coverage
computational fluid dynamics (CFD)         private urban greenery, water misting                                               for these new buildings.
based microclimate model, ENVI-            sprays, and changes to street,                                                      New Buildings with Moderate Private Green Coverage and Additional Public Realm Green Coverage: New
met. The simulation date and time          footpath and roof materials.                                               2        buildings (same as scenario 1); a moderate green infrastructure scenario4 for private green coverage for these
were set for February 14, 2020 and                                                                                             new buildings; and additional street trees and rain gardens.
                                           These nine scenarios were developed                                                 New Buildings with Optimised Private Green Coverage and Additional Public Realm Green Coverage: New
2050 between 08:00 and 15:00 with a
                                           and analysed to highlight the                                              3        buildings (same as scenario 1); an optimised green infrastructure scenario4 for private green coverage for
wind speed of 2.5m/s from the north.                                                                                           these new buildings; and additional street trees and rain gardens.
                                           maximum possible cooling impact
February 14 2020 was used as it was
                                           for the South Melbourne Study Area.                                                 New Buildings and Cool Materials for all Streets, Footpaths and Private Hard Surfaces: Scenario 1 with cool
a hot summer’s day in Melbourne                                                                                       4
                                                                                                                               materials for all public and private hard surfaces (e.g. footpaths, carparks, streets, courtyards, etc.).
                                           3D model data for the study area,
with the maximum recorded                                                                                                      New Buildings and Cool Roofs for all New and Existing Buildings: Scenario 1 with cool roofs for all new
                                           typologies of new buildings and                                            5
temperature reaching 33.7°C3.                                                                                                  buildings and existing buildings for the whole study area.
Appropriate cooling interventions          private green coverage scenarios
                                                                                                                      6        Cool Roofs for all Existing Buildings: Cool roofs are applied to all existing buildings in the study area.
options were defined and modelled to       were provided by the City of Port
                                                                                                                      7        Combination of all Interventions: Combination of scenarios 2, 4 and 5.
investigate their potential to mitigate    Phillip which enabled the nine cooling
                                           intervention scenarios to be modelled                                               Combination of all Interventions Including Water Misting: Combination of scenarios 2, 4 and 5 with additional
the impacts of urban overheating                                                                                      8
                                                                                                                               water misting cooling systems for public open spaces.
within the South Melbourne Study           in ENVI-met and the Microclimate
                                                                                                                               New Buildings with Increased Building Height: Scenario 2 with increased building height that exceed the
Area. The results of these cooling         and Urban Heat Island Mitigation                                           9
                                                                                                                               maximum permissible heights outlined in the City of Port Phillip’s planning controls.
interventions are discussed in this        Decision-Support (UHI-DS) Tool (see
section and are reported from 08:00        Part 5). The parameter settings used
- 15:00 for the comparison charts          to model the cooling intervention
and at 14:00 (typical peak daily           scenarios in ENVI-met are outlined in
                                                                                                                Table 5: Input parameters for modelling the cooling intervention scenarios in ENVI-met                 4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         BAU, Moderate and Optimised
temperature) for the surface and           Table 5.                                                                                                                                                                    green infrastructure scenarios
                                                                                                                                                     Albedo Input Values                                               are from the development of
air temperature maps. The results          The results of the impact analysis of                                                                                                                                       the City of Melbourne's Green
                                                                                                                 Roads (old asphalt pavements)                                        0.08
from the impact analysis of cooling        the cooling intervention scenarios are                                                                                                                                      Factor Tool (Ashley, 2020)
                                                                                                                 Footpaths, private ground cover, etc. (i.e.
interventions for Greater Melbourne        described in detail in the following                                  concrete pavements)
                                                                                                                                                                                       0.2
in the previous section were used to       sections. It is important to note                                     Roofs (flat roofs, concrete)                                         0.2
set the boundary climate conditions        that this report focuses primarily on                                 Roofs (pitched roofs, terracotta tiles)                              0.25
for the South Melbourne Study Area.        improving outdoor thermal comfort                                     Soil                                                                 0.15
                                                                                                                 Façade (concrete)                                                    0.2
As mentioned in part 1 of this             for the South Melbourne Study
                                                                                                                 Façade (glass curtain walls, assumed 1/3
report, the South Melbourne Study          Area. Therefore, the analysis results                                 new buildings)
                                                                                                                                                                                       0.6

Area is divided into 14 distinct           (heatmaps and charts) show only the                                   Façade (double glazing panel, assumed 2/3
                                                                                                                                                                                      0.32
precincts, with the business and           cooling potential for outdoor surface                                 new buildings)

mixed-use precincts to the north           and air temperatures at street level                                  Cool materials for all streets, footpaths and
                                                                                                                                                                                       0.6
                                                                                                                 private hard surfaces
and east having the most significant       (60%
South Melbourne Central Structure          conditions for each day (e.g. northerly   3
                                                                                       Refer to BOM data for
                                                                                     Melbourne (Olympic Park)
and Implementation Plan and its            wind in 2020 and westerly wind in
                                                                                     (BOM, 2020b)
                                           2050).

36   Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                      37
Scenario 1 - New Buildings with Business
                                                                                                                                                                          2020                                                     2050
as Usual Private Green Coverage
                                                                                                          Existing trees
                                                                                                          New buildings aligned
                                                                           FE                                                    5
                                                                                RR                        with SMC Structure Plan
                                       T RD                                          AR
                               ALBER                                                      S               BAU private green

                                                                                                                                                                                                     Surface Temperature [°C]

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Surface Temperature [°C]
                                                                                              ST
                                                                                                          coverage
          KI
           NG

                                                                                                                                               RD
             S

                                                                                                                                          TY
               W

                                                                                                                                     CI
                AY

                                                                                                                                                                           (a)                                                     (b)

                                                                                                                                                                                                     Air Temperature [°C]

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Air Temperature [°C]
Description                                   Wedge allowing increased heights                     Figure 13: Overview of cooling
                                                                                                   intervention scenario 1
                                              of up to 40m and 90m respectively.
Scenario 1 involves the impact                This enables any new development
analysis of a set of proposed                 to respect the scale of existing
new buildings with a business as              heritage buildings and emphasise
usual (BAU) green infrastructure              the ‘bowl of South Melbourne
scenario for private green coverage           Central’ (see Part 1).
(Figure 13). These new buildings                                                                   5
                                                                                                     New buildings are based
are located in the key business and           The new development for                              on the indicative built form                                            (c)                                                     (d)
mixed-use redevelopment precincts             Scenario 1 involves a BAU green                      envelopes outlined by the SMC
                                              infrastructure scenario (Ashley,                     Structure Plan (heights and
to the north and east of the South
                                                                                                   setbacks)
Melbourne Study Area as well as               2020), which equates to 10-20%                                                                        Temperature Distribution of the         temperature distribution trends are           Figure 15: Surface temperature
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          distributions for (a) 2020 and
key individual redevelopment sites.           of the site area as urban greenery                                                                    Change in Built Form                    shown under the projected future              (b) 2050; and air temperature
The built form (height, setbacks,             (including vertical) for all the new                                                                                                          climate conditions of 2050 (Figure            distributions for (c) 2020 and
                                                                                                                                                    The change in built form for            15).                                          (d) 2050; from the change in
footprint, materials, etc.) represents        buildings (Figure 14).                                                                                                                                                                      built form with new buildings
                                                                                                                                                    Scenario 1 creates some cooler
the maximum permissible                                                                                                                                                                     The cooling intervention scenarios
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          and BAU private green coverage
                                                                                                                                                    areas that are shaded by the new                                                      (Scenario 1)
development outlined in the South                                                                                                                                                           in this section are discussed in
                                                                                                                                                    medium/high-rise buildings (e.g.
Melbourne Central (SMC) Structure                                                                                                                                                           terms of their cooling potential
                                                                                                                                                    York St). Figure 15 shows that
and Implementation Plan and the                                                                                                                                                             in comparison with Scenario
                                                                                                                                                    surface temperatures are hotter
SMC Urban Design Framework.                                                                                                                                                                 1 unless stated otherwise. For
                                                                                                                                                    for hard surfaces (roads and
This typically involved maintaining                                                                                                                 footpaths), especially for wider        example, the cooling potential
a 2-3 storey (8-12m) street wall                                                                                                                    roads with less tree canopy (e.g.       of these new buildings with both
with stepped setbacks allowing                                                                                                                      Cecil St). This results in higher air   moderate and optimised green
buildings to reach 5-6 storeys (20-                                                                                                                 temperatures near the wider streets     infrastructure scenarios for private
                                              Figure 14: Example
24m), with buildings to the east in           building with BAU private                                                                             and in unshaded public open space       green coverage will be analysed in
the Kings Way Mixed-Use Corridor              green coverage within                                                                                 (e.g. Dorcas St Reserve and Eastern     comparison to BAU in Scenarios 2
                                              the Kings Way Mixed                                                                                                                           and 3 respectively.
and to the north in the City Road             Use Precinct
                                                                                                                                                    Reserve) (Figure 15). Similar

38   Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         39
Scenario 2 - New Buildings with Moderate Private Green
Coverage and Additional Public Realm Green Coverage
                                                                                                         Existing trees                                                       2020                                                                      2050
                                                                                                         New buildings aligned
                                                                          FE
                                                                               RR                        with SMC Structure Plan
                                     T   RD                                         AR
                               ALBER                                                     S
                                                                                             ST          Moderate private green
                                                                                                         coverage
                                                                                                         Additional rain gardens

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Air Temperature Reduction [°C]

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Air Temperature Reduction [°C]
                                                                                                         and street trees
          KI
           NG

                                                                                                                                             RD
            S

                                                                                                                                        TY
               W

                                                                                                                                   CI
                AY

                                                                                                                                                                               (a)                                                                       (b)

                                                                                                                                                  Figure 18: Air temperature reductions6 of moderate private green coverage for all new buildings (Scenario 2) compared to BAU private green
                                                                                                                                                  coverage (Scenario 1) for (a) 2020 and (b) 2050

Description                                   would require changes to future                     Figure 16: Overview of cooling                  of street level air temperatures                       The maximum air temperature                                 6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Some maximum air and
                                                                                                  intervention scenario 2                                                                                                                                            surface temperature results
                                              road and pedestrian configurations.                                                                 under current and future climate                       reduction resulting from the
Scenario 2 involves the same set                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     for the cooling intervention
                                              An overview of Scenario 2 is shown                                                                  conditions (Figure 18). Reductions                     increase of private green coverage                          scenarios were omitted to
of new buildings from Scenario                in Figure 16.                                                                                       are more widespread in these                           and additional street trees and rain                        increase the reliability of results
1 but with a moderate green                                                                                                                       redevelopment areas due to the                         gardens in these key redevelopment
infrastructure scenario for private                                                                                                               increase of private green coverage                     areas reaches 0.78°C and 0.82°C in
green coverage to investigate its             Cooling Potential                                                                                   for the new buildings and the                          2020 and 2050 respectively (Figure
cooling potential. A moderate green                                                                                                               density of additional street trees                     19).
infrastructure scenario equates to             An increase of private green
                                                                                                                                                  and rain gardens.
40-50% of the site area as urban              coverage from BAU to moderate
greenery (including vertical) (Ashley,        in the northern and eastern
2020) for all the new buildings               redevelopment precincts, along
(Figure 17).                                  with additional street trees and                    Figure 17: Example building
                                                                                                                                                                                2020                                                                        2050
                                                                                                  with moderate private green
                                              rain gardens results in a reduction                 coverage within the Eastern
This scenario also includes                                                                       Business Precinct
additional public realm green
coverage through additional street
trees and rain gardens. Although the
existing street tree canopy coverage
of the South Melbourne Study Area
is above the municipal average
(see Part 1), additional greening is
proposed to mitigate localised hot
spots and to highlight the maximum
possible cooling potential. This                                                                                                                                                     (a)                                                                       (b)
involved increasing greenery along
streets with current restrictions                                                                                                                 Figure 19: Maximum air temperature reductions of moderate private green coverage for all new buildings (Scenario 2) compared to BAU private
(e.g. tram lines, car parking), which                                                                                                             green coverage (Scenario 1) for (a) 2020 and (b) 2050

40   Cooling South Melbourne                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        41
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