Are we putting our fish in hot water?

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Are we putting our fish in hot water?
Are we putting
our fish
in hot water?

Global warming and the world’s fisheries • Hot, hungry, and gasping for air • Shrinking
fish and fewer babies? • Global warming puts fish on the run • Warm water beckons to
unwelcome guests • Watery layers that refuse to budge • A warm welcome for diseases
and toxins • How much are fish worth? • Which fish are feeling the heat? • How will fisheries
change? • 2°C is too much! • What needs to be done?
Are we putting our fish in hot water?
Dashing through sparkling water, probing
                                                                          muddy depths, or weaving through a maze
                                                                          of corals, fish inhabit nearly every watery
                                                                          corner of the planet. With at least 27,000
                                                                          known species living in oceans, lakes and
                                                                          rivers, fish are a cornerstone of global bio-
                                                                          diversity, as well as an essential resource for
                                                                          humans – 132 million metric tons of fish are
                                                                          captured or raised each year, and more than
                                                                          75% of this catch is eaten directly by people.

    Global warming and the world’s fisheries
                                                                          Worldwide, marine and freshwater fisher-
                                                                          ies generate over US$130 billion annually,
                                                                          employ at least 200 million people, and feed
                                                                          billions of people who rely on fish as their
                                                                          primary source of protein, particularly in some
                                                                          of the most populous and poorest countries
                                                                          on the planet.
                                                                              But fish are increasingly threatened by
                                                                          global warming. Greenhouse gases released
                                                                          mainly by humans burning coal, oil, and
                                                                          natural gas have led to a sharp rise in mean
                                                                          global temperatures over the last 50 years.
                                                                          Temperatures are expected to rise 1.4-5.8°C
                                                                          more by the end of the century. As a result,
                                                                          the water in rivers and lakes is heating up,
                                                                          and even the oceans have warmed in the
                                                                          last 50 years.
                                                                              Warmer waters, as well as changes in
                                                                          rainfall, currents, and sea level, are already
                                                                          affecting the world’s fish and fisheries. As
                                                                          global warming continues, the pressure on
                                                                          populations already strained by overfishing,
                                                                          pollution, and habitat loss will increase. And
                                                                          while slightly warmer water may not sound
                                                                          so bad to many of us, its effect on fish and
                                                                          aquatic ecosystems, and ultimately on the
                    Large image: Merja Zerga National Park, Morocco
                    Top: Cast net fishing in Ituqui Island, Para, Brazil
                                                                          global food supply and economic stability,
                    Below: Fish carvings in Angkor Wat, Cambodia          could be severe.

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Are we putting our fish in hot water?
Hot, hungry, and gasping for air                                                                                                                                                       Shrinking fish and
                                                                                                                                                                                       fewer babies?
                                               Some unlucky fish may

< Fish are more sensitive to temperature
                                               be killed by even a slight                      still expected to starve by the end of their                                               Warmer fish tend to mature more quickly,
than many animals because they cannot          rise in temperature.                            first year. This lake has in fact warmed by                                              but the cost of this speedy lifestyle is often a
maintain a constant body temperature like                                                      several degrees during the last few dec-                                                smaller body size. Ninety percent of aquat-
we do – in most cases, their body is exactly   If there is not enough food, all of a fish’s     ades, and young fish have begun to lose                                                  ic animals like fish raised in warm water
the same temperature as the water they         available energy goes to fuelling its high      weight during August, the month when                                                    end up smaller than their peers raised at
are swimming in. Different species can live    metabolism, and less energy is available        they normally grow the most – so arctic                                                 cooler temperatures. Southern calamari,
in very cold or very hot water, but each       for growth and reproduction. Rainbow trout      trout may already be suffering the effects of                                           for example, grow more quickly at higher
species has a range of temperatures that it    grow significantly more slowly when their        climate change.                                                                         temperatures, but they also hatch much
prefers, and fish can’t survive in tempera-     water temperature is raised only 2°C and              To make matters worse, fish may not                                                earlier (and smaller), and reach sexual
tures too far out of this range.               food is limited, and fish such as salmon,        have enough oxygen to breathe as the                                                    maturity earlier, so they can’t catch up in
    When fish encounter water that is too       whitefish, and perch are all expected to         water grows warmer. Fish filter oxygen                                                   size to squid who have more time to grow
cold for them, their metabolism – the chem-    grow more slowly if food supply does not        from the water they are swimming in, but                                                in cool water.
ical engine that drives their body – slows     increase as temperatures rise.                  the amount of oxygen dissolved in water                                                     Many fish will also have less offspring
down and they become sluggish. As the               Even if there is more food to eat, it      decreases as temperatures rise. So many                                                 as temperatures rise, and some may not              water. Temperate species like salmon, cat-
surrounding water warms up, their meta-        may no be enough to satisfy the ravenous        fish will experience an “oxygen squeeze”                                                 be able to reproduce at all. Tropical fish           fish, and sturgeon cannot spawn at all if
bolism speeds up – they digest food more       appetites of warmed-up fish. Experiments         as the climate warms – they will need more                                              like guppies produce smaller broods, and            winter temperatures do not drop below a
rapidly, grow more quickly, and have more      in Toolik Lake, Alaska ( US ), suggest that     oxygen to support their elevated metabo-                                                grass carp ovulate less frequently in warmer        certain level.
energy to reproduce.                           a warming of 3°C will double the food           lisms, but may not be able to get it from the
    But fish need more food and more            supply for arctic trout, but their metabolism   warmer, oxygen-poor water around them.
oxygen to support this higher metabolism.      will increase so much that young trout are            And some unlucky fish may be killed
                                                                                               by even a slight rise in temperature. Many
                                                                                               tropical species already suffer near-lethal
                                                                                               temperatures during the hottest part of
                                                                                               the day. An increase of 1-2°C could cause
                                                                                               massive fish kills, especially in tropical
                                                                                               aquaculture ponds or shallow pools of the
                                                                                               Amazon and Mekong rivers. Ponds and
                                                                                               lakes supporting lots of fish also experience
                                                                                               critically low levels of oxygen overnight,
                                                                                               when aquatic plants stop releasing oxygen
                                                                                               through photosynthesis. As these waters
                                                                                               warm, the combination of increased meta-
                                                                                               bolic demand and reduced dissolved oxy-
                                                                                               gen could lead to lethal oxygen shortages.      From top:
                                                                                                                                               Cod in the Atlantic is moving
                                                                                                                                               northwards
                                                                                          Overfished and                                        Amur sturgeon need low

                                                                                          Overheated!                                          temperatures for spawning
                                                                                                                                                                                       North-West Mediterranean                            Gulf of Mannar, India and
                                                                                               Overfishing is a massive threat to ocean-
                                                                                                                                               Butterfly fish live in corals which are   Fisheries                                           the false trevally
                                                                                                                                               threatened by global warming
                                                                                               life and to the food and livelihoods of over
                                                                                                                                               Salmon harvests have gone down          Climate change threatens the sustainability of      False trevally is an economically and culturally
                                                                                               a billion people. Over 76% of the world’s                                               north-western Mediterranean fisheries due to         important fish in India. It ranks as one of the most
                                                                                                                                               in unusually warm years
                                                                                               fisheries are already fished to their limit or                                            rising ocean temperature, sea-level rise, and       preferred, high-quality fish in the Gulf of Mannar
                                                                                               overfished, and as many as 90% of all the                                                reduced river flow. Declines in fisheries will have   region. But climate change has contributed
                                                                                               oceans’ large fish have been fished out.                                                  massive impacts on the region’s commercial          to a drastic decline of the fishery over the last
                                                                                                                                                                                       fishing, tourism, and biodiversity. For example,     few years because of increased water tempera-
                                                                                                  Global warming threatens to push already
Top: Fisherman in Mekong River, Laos                                                                                                                                                   warmer water temperatures will likely cause cold    tures and decreased rain (which flushes critical
                                                                                               over-exploited and stressed fish poputions
Below: Giant Catfish, Mekong River, Thailand                                                                                                                                            water fish, e.g. economically important species      nutrients from the land into the Gulf of Mannar).
                                                                                               and habitats over the brink. To combat over-                                            such as hake and poor cod, to disperse and shift
                                                                                               fishing and global warming, responsible fish-                                             the range in which they live. They may be unable
                                                                                               eries management and networks of Marine                                                 to survive in north-western Mediterranean waters.
                                                                                               Protected Areas are urgently needed to help
                                                                                               marine life and habitats survive the impacts
                                                                                               of global warming.
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Are we putting our fish in hot water?
Global warming puts                                                                                                  Warm water beckons
                                                   Naturally, when fish find themselves in
                                               hot water, they head out in search of cooler
                                               locales. As global temperatures rise, some

fish on the run                                                                                                            unwelcome guests
                                               fish may be able to shift locally – by mov-
                                               ing deeper or by heading upriver towards
                                               cool headwaters. Fish in the Gulf of Alaska
                                               ride out unusually hot weather by shifting
                                               to deeper waters, but this can leave other
                                               animals with few options. When fish in the                                                             As cool and cold water species decline
                                               Gulf moved deep in 1993, 120,000 sea-                                                             or move poleward, fish that don’t mind the
                                               birds starved to death, most likely because                                                       heat will become much more common.
                                               they could not dive deep enough to catch                                                          Forty years of data from the Great Lakes
    Many fish that cannot                                                                                                                        (US and Canada) suggest that warm
                                               their relocated prey.
    find a local solution are                      Many fish that cannot find a local solu-                                                        water species such as smallmouth bass will
    already heading                            tion are already heading towards the poles                                                        become 14 times more abundant than
                                               as the water becomes too warm. Capelin                                                            species like northern pike and lake trout
    towards the poles
                                               – a cold water fish that marine mammals,                                                           if temperatures rise 2°C.
    as the water becomes                                                                                                                              And the fish that stick around – and
                                               seabirds, larger fish and humans rely on for
    too warm.                                  food – will travel long distances to remain                                                       are already taxed by living in warmer
                                               in water that is between minus 1 and 2°C.                                                         water – will also have to deal with new
                                               As the Bering Sea warmed in the 1970s,                                                            species showing up on their doorstep.                Tilapia from Africa competes with
                                               capelin shifted their range well north of                                                         Many areas have been colonized by new                native species in Florida
                                               seabird and marine mammal colonies on                                                             species as water has warmed in the last
                                               the Pribilof Islands, and essentially disap-                                                      few decades, and invasions are likely to
                                               peared from the diets of these animals.                                                           increase, for example:
                                               Off the coast of south-west Britain, entire
                                               marine communities have shifted north by                                                          • In the north-western Mediterranean,            • Twenty-seven fish species living in
                                               as much as 120 miles during periods of                                                            which is traditionally cooler than nearby        waterways south of the Great Lakes (US)
                                               ocean warming over the last 70 years, and                                                         areas, new species such as the ornate            are expected to invade the lakes as water
                                               pilchard, the dominant fish in warm years, is                                                      wrasse, dusky grouper, and Senegalese            temperatures rise.
                                               less valuable for fishermen than the herring                                                       sole have become common in recent dec-
                                               that they catch in cooler years.                                                                  ades, and tropical fish like the blunthead            Newly arrived species can wreak havoc
                                                                                                                                                 puffer have been spotted for the first time.      in a number of ways. Introduced tropical
                                                                                                                                                                                                  fish in Florida (US) already harm native fish,
                                               Even a slight increase in global                                                                      • In the temperate reefs of North Carolina   and could move further north as water tem-
                                               temperature is expected to shift                                                                         (US) , two new families and new species   peratures rise. Tilapia, a freshwater fish from
                                               the ranges of many economically                                                                             of tropical fish have moved in during   Africa, competes with native fish for food
                                               valuable fish, including:                                                                                     the last two decades, while no new    and spawning habitat, and gobbles up eggs
                                               • Pacific and Atlantic salmon – unusually                                                                      temperate species have been          and juveniles, while larger predators like the
                                               warm years have already led to poor                                                                             observed.                          jaguar guapote prey on native adults.
                                               Pacific salmon harvests in the southern part
                                               of their range.

                                               • Cod, plaice, and halibut – these ground-
                                               fish are expected to become scarce in US        South Africa Anchovy fishery
                                               and southern Canadian waters, and cod are
                                               likely to disappear from the southern North    Cape anchovy has dominated fish catches off
                                               Sea, one of their main spawning areas.         of the South Africa Cape from the mid 1960s
                                               • Trout, whitefish, and bass – suitable habi-   until fairly recently, generating revenues of
                                               tat for these and more than 20 other cool      about $ 50 million per year. However, climate
                                               and cold water fish in the US is expected       change threatens to alter wind patterns in this
                                               to decline by as much as 50% due to the        region, affecting the anchovy fishery. It is pro-
                                               effects of global warming.                     jected that climatic changes over the western
                                                                                              Agulhas Bank will decrease the frequency of
                                                                                              Lasker events (periods of calm) by 20-27%
                                                                                              and will likely be detrimental for anchovy
                                                                                              spawning.

                                School of big-eye trevally
                                in the Indian Ocean

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Are we putting our fish in hot water?
Watery layers that
refuse to budge
      Water may all look the same to us, but       by aquatic plants. The cool bottom lay-                                                                                                                                                                   mixed by seasonal winds. Temperature
for fish, the world is made up of very distinct     ers have less oxygen but lots of nutrients                                                                                                                                                                increases over the last century have tripl-
layers – each with its own temperature and         from decaying plant and animal matter,                                                                                                                                                                    ed the strength of stratification in Lake
supply of food and oxygen. In temperate            and they provide a thermal refuge                                                                                                                                                                         Tanganyika (Africa), and with less mix-
lakes, as water near the surface heats up          for fish that find the summer surface                                                                                                                                                                     ing the overall food supply has declined.
in the spring, it becomes lighter and floats        waters too warm. As surface waters cool                                                                                                                                                                   Nearby Lake Victoria began experiencing
on top of the cooler, denser layers below.         in the fall, they become heavy enough to                                                                                                                                                                  decreased turnover in the 1980s, leading
More plants and animals live in the top            drop down and mix with the bottom layers                          Even the ocean cont ains layers that are affected by climate change.                                                                    to low oxygen levels and huge fish kills.
layers, where nutrients are used up quick-         – this “turnover” moves nutrients up to the                                                                                                                                                               The stratification of this lake now appears
ly, but oxygen diffuses in and is produced         surface and sends oxygen below.                                                                                                                                                                           permanent.
                                                                                                       As global temperatures rise, the top lay-      mixing, resulting from a predicted 1°C rise     tion for prey will intensify, and the stresses             Even the ocean contains layers that are
                                                                                                   ers will become even warmer and lighter,           in European air temperatures.                   of low oxygen, low food supply, and crowd-             affected by climate change. Both tempera-
                                                                                                   making mixing harder. Earlier arrival of                When lakes remain layered, animals are     ing, combined with an increased chance of              ture and salinity contribute to the density of
                                                                                                   spring also increases the period of time           starved of the nutrients and oxygen present     disease transmission, will make fish more               seawater – cold, salty water is heavier than
                                                                                                   when lakes remain layered, or stratified            in well-mixed lakes, and the fish that take      susceptible to disease.                                warm, fresh water. In the Gulf of Alaska,
                                                                                                   – lakes in Canada are now stratified for sev-       refuge in cool bottom layers begin to suffer.        Not only temperate lakes are stuck with           surface temperatures have risen and more
                                                                                                   eral weeks more each year.                         As temperatures continue to climb, fishes        stubborn layering. Although temperatures               freshwater is flowing into the sea from melt-
                                                                                                       Some lakes are even becoming                   like arctic char, lake trout and whitefish       in the tropics don’t change much during                ing glaciers and increased precipitation.
                                                                                                   permanently layered – Lake Ammersee                will have no choice but to crowd into bot-      the year, large, tropical lakes can become             This lighter layer of warm, fresh water has
                                                                                                   (Germany), which has been well-mixed for           tom refuges that are smaller and have less      stratified because of their great depth,                reduced vertical mixing in the Gulf, and
                                                                                                   the past 15,000 years, is expected to ex-          oxygen, due to reduced mixing and their         and lakes that remain stratified have less              there are now less nutrients to feed the
Water layers according to temperature – coral reefs and many lakes                                 perience a dramatic and persistent lack of         own increased metabolic needs. Competi-         productive fisheries than those that are                small organisms that fish depend upon.
are susceptible even to small temperature changes.

A warm welcome for diseases and toxins
    As water warms up, many parasites and          prey, and humans who consume the fish.           ter through their gills to meet increased       and fish in warmer water accumulate
microbes that cause fish diseases grow              Fish die-offs and human illness can also        metabolic needs, they also collect more         mercury more rapidly, even if only
faster and become more virulent. Parasites         be caused by ciguatera fish poisoning, in        pollutants. While warmer fish can flush           small amounts are present. Mercury
in cooler climates are more likely to survive      which fish are poisoned by tiny organisms        out the extra load of some types of toxins,     poisoning is already a major eco-
the winter and produce multiple generations        called dinoflagellates. A positive correlation   cadmium and lead levels remain higher in        nomic problem for fisheries in Canada,              South-Eastern United States                            Tasmanian Calamary
of offspring each year, so more fish may            has been found between sea-surface tem-         arctic char exposed to high temperatures,       Japan, and Scandinavia, and poses                  Rivers and Streams
become infected. And as harmful microbes           perature and ciguatera fish poisoning in the                                                     a significant public health risk. A
and parasites become stronger and more             South Pacific, and an increase in ciguatera                                                      recent study of 1700 American women                Commercial and recreational fishing are big busi-       Elevated temperatures accelerate the life
numerous, fish whose immune systems                 poisoning in the Indian Ocean was linked to                                                     of childbearing age found that blood               ness in this part of the country. Catfish and trout     histories of squid, increasing their growth rates
are already stressed by warm water, low            climate-related coral bleaching.                                                                mercury concentrations were seven                  are two of the biggest commercially cultured           and shortening their life-spans. The process of
oxygen, and crowding, become even more                 Warmer water increases the toxicity                                                         times higher in women who ate fish                  freshwater fisheries in the United States. Cat-         climate change will likely result in squids that
susceptible to diseases and parasites.             of pollutants, and as fish pump more wa-                                                         more than twice a week, and because                fish alone are worth US$ 8 billion annually. High       hatch out smaller and earlier, undergo faster
    Massive fish die-offs due to toxic algae                                                                                                        mercury is transferred directly to the             summer temperatures are already starting to            growth over shorter life-spans, and mature
and the risk of human illness from eating                                                                                                          fetus during pregnancy, 300,000 ba-                limit their production in this region. A 2°C (3.6°F)   younger and at a smaller size. Individual squid
poisoned fish will also increase as tempera-                                                                                                        bies born each year in the US alone                rise in global average temperature is expected         will require more food per unit body size, require
tures climb. Lakes that remain stratified              Massive fish die-offs                                                                        may be exposed to levels of mercury                to shift many of the native species attractive to      more oxygen for faster metabolisms, and have
longer tend to have more blue-green algae,            due to toxic algae and                                                                       high enough to harm their neurologi-               recreational anglers north out of this region as       a reduced capacity to cope without food. The
which produce toxins harmful to fish, their                                                                                                         cal development.                                   well. Invasive aquatic weeds (a US$ 13.2 million       southern calamary comprises about 8% of the
                                                      the risk of human illness                                                                                                                       dollar problem in Florida already) are expected to     total regional fishery but for the smaller coastal
                                                      from eating poisoned                                                                                                                            spread throughout the region, as warmer winters        fishing towns on the east coast, it is considered
                                                                                                                                                                                                      allow for range expansions.                            very important.
                                                      fish will increase
                                                      as temperatures climb.
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Are we putting our fish in hot water?
How much are fish worth?                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Which fish
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 are feeling
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 the heat?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       From left:                Polar marine fish
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Trawler catch, Malaysia   Polar species are uniquely adapted to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Woman holds dried         narrow, cold temperature ranges and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       salmon, Russia            well-oxygenated water, making them
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Pink salmon in Canada     vulnerable to even slight increases in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 temperature. Some species, such as the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 emerald rockcod and striped rockcod,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 are killed when temperatures climb only
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 a few degrees above 0°C, and many
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Antarctic fish lack heat shock proteins
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 – molecules that most animals have to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 repair cellular damage caused by heat.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Arctic cod and other species associated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 with rich ice-edge communities already
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 appear to be declining as polar ice melts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 and their habitats disappear.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Freshwater fish
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 that are geographically
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 isolated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Freshwater species that cannot mi-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 grate to cooler waters as temperatures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 rise may be stuck in hot water. Migra-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 tion is impossible from many isolated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 lakes and wetlands, and many major
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 river systems worldwide run from east

Fish are food                                                                                                                                   Fish are big business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 to west, making poleward migration im-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 possible. Nearly all major river systems
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 in the southern Great Plains and south-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 western US for instance run from east
    Billions of people throughout the world     study in Ghana revealed that during years                                                           The world’s fisheries generate over         on fishing as their primary source of in-          to west, and native fishes are already
rely on fish as a primary source of protein,     when fish supply was low, sales of bush-                                                         US$130 billion annually, and contribute        come. In the Tamil Nadu region of south-          living near their thermal tolerance limits
particularly in developing countries with       meat (meat from a variety of wild animals)                                                      significantly to the economies of many          eastern India, one third of the population        in some of the hottest free-flowing water
rapidly expanding populations. Worldwide,       soared, poaching increased, and 41 spe-                                                         countries. Fisheries products dominate the     depends on the sea for their livelihood, and      on earth. Increased warming could lead
fish provide over 2.6 billion people with        cies of wild, terrestrial mammals experi-                                                       exports of Greenland, New Zealand, Ice-        average incomes declined by 50% when              to the extinction of up to 20 species that
                                                                                                   Fisheries exports are                                                                                                                         are found nowhere else in the world.
more than 20% of their animal protein, and      enced sharp population declines.                                                                land, and many small island nations, and       false trevally (the most valuable local fish)
are even more critical regionally; in Bang-         Indigenous peoples in the arctic, where        especially important for                     make up a substantial fraction of exports      suffered a sharp decline blamed partly on
ladesh, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, The           temperatures have risen dramatically, are                                                       for countries in Central and South America,    climate change. Worldwide, over 38 million
Gambia, Ghana, Indonesia, Japan, Sierra         already feeling the effects of global warm-        developing countries,                        Africa, and Southeast Asia. Fisheries ex-      people earn an income by fishing or rais-
Leone, and Sri Lanka, more than 50% of          ing. Many communities have experienced                                                          ports are especially important for develop-    ing fish, and if activities associated with        Coral reef fish
the population’s annual animal protein          recent changes in the distribution, abun-          as these countries                           ing countries, as these countries provide      fisheries production are included, fisheries        Coral reefs support a huge diversity
comes from fish, while in Cambodia and           dance, and quality of fish they have his-                                                        about 50% of the total fish that are traded     support over 200 million people.                  of fish and contribute about one quar-
                                                                                                   p r o v i d e a b o u t 5 0% o f t h e
Manaus (Brazil) this figure is as high as 70%.   torically relied upon. For example, de-                                                         internationally. In many developing coun-           In industrialized countries, recreational    ter of the total fish catch in developing
China, the most populous country on the         creases in arctic char and arctic cod have         total fish that are                          tries, fisheries now top other agricultural     fishing also provides a large source of in-        countries. Climate warming leads to
planet, relies heavily on fish – it produces     been reported in Hudson Bay, Canada.                                                            commodities like rice, cocoa, tobacco, and     come. Forty-four million anglers in the US        coral bleaching – the loss of symbiotic
the world’s largest supply of freshwater fish    Residents of Baker Lake, Canada, have              t r a d e d i n t e r n a t i o n a l l y.   tea. Overall, fisheries trade tends to flow      spent US$41.5 billion during 2001, pro-           bacteria that corals depend upon. In
through aquaculture and consumes nearly         reported declines in the quality of local trout,                                                from less developed to more developed          ducing over a million jobs in tourism and         1998, mass coral bleaching destroyed
one-third of the total fish eaten by humans      and char-fish have less fat, smell different                                                     nations, with Japan, the US, and countries     recreation, and providing nine times the over-    16% of the world’s coral reefs. Signifi-
worldwide.                                      – “earthy” – and contain mushy meat.                                                            of the EU importing the most fish.              all economic input of commercial fishing.          cant changes in the abundance of some
    Declining numbers of fish could have                                                                                                              Even where fisheries are not impor-        In the UK, recreational anglers spend approx-     fish have been observed where intense
a devastating impact on human popula-                                                                                                           tant on a national level, they can be criti-   imately US$3.4 million per year, and in South     bleaching has occurred, and fish that
tions that rely on fish for protein, and may                                                                                                     cal for regional employment, where entire      Africa, recreational fishing provides over         rely on live coral to survive have shown
even endanger other wildlife. An 18-year                                                                                                        communities of small-scale fishermen rely       80% of the income from all fishing activities.     little recovery from these events.

10                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      11
Are we putting our fish in hot water?
How will fisheries
                                                                                change?
Fisheries resources may become                          Some of the most severe impacts of           dustry in the southern US by shifting the
                                                     global warming (at least from a fish’s per-      southern limit of viable catfish production
less predictable as extreme weather                  spective) may be related to changes in          240 km north, away from dependent local
hits more often.                                     climatic variables other than temperature       communities and established infrastructure.
                                                     – changes in rainfall and evaporation that         Fisheries resources may become less pre-
                                                     alter lake levels and river flow, changes in     dictable as extreme weather hits more often.
                                                     ocean and wind currents, and increases          Events like the 1972-73 El Niño that put 1500
                                                     in mean sea level. But even based on the        boats, 200 processing plants, and 100,000
                                                     effects of temperature alone, it seems likely   people out of work in the Peruvian anchoveta
                                                     that fish will become smaller and harder         fishery are likely to increase in frequency and
                                                     to find, and valuable cool and cold water        severity because of climate change.
                                                     species will begin to be replaced by more          And many fisheries resources will perma-
                                                     adaptable (and often less valuable) warm        nently shift location as water temperatures
                                                     water fish.                                      rise. Large, commercial fleets that can
                                                        Aquaculture, which supplies over 30%         follow the fisheries may not be as strongly
                                                     of the fish consumed by humans, may              affected as local, small-scale fishermen,
                                                     suffer as certain areas lose the ability to     who will have to adapt their gear and
                                                     culture species that they currently farm.       methods, travel further, and fish longer to
                                                     A temperature increase of only 1°C could        continue providing enough food for their
                                                     devastate the US$100 million catfish in-         families and local markets.

                                      Large image: Rocky shore in the
                                      Bering Sea, Arctic

                                      Top: Fisherman in Zanzibar Island,
                                      Tanzania

                                      Below: Fishermen in Bazaruto Island,
                                      Mozambique

                                      Right: Pacific Halibut on fishing boat
                                      in Alaska, USA
12                                                                                                                                                    13
Are we putting our fish in hot water?
2°C is too much!                                          What needs to be done?
                In order to preserve the diversity and          • Industrialized countries need to cut their   • The single largest source of man-made
            abundance of fish – one of our most valu-            CO2 emissions as obliged under the Kyo-        CO 2 is electricity generation, accounting
            able biological, nutritional, and economic          to Protocol, and all must agree to much        for 37% of worldwide CO 2 emissions. The
            assets – we must keep global warming                more serious emission reductions in the        first step to move to a clean energy future
            below dangerous levels. This is also crucial        next period, after 2012. To stay well below    is to clean up the power sector – the aim of
            to help fish recover from threats like over-         the 2°C danger threshold they must reduce      WWF’s PowerSwitch! campaign. The cam-
            fishing and the destruction of their habi-           their emissions by 60-80%. The rapidly in-     paign challenges the coal-burning power
            tats. WWF seeks to limit global warming             dustrializing countries also need to lower     sector to cut climate pollution and aims at
            of average global temperature to below              their emissions while meeting their devel-     sparking a major switch to clean power by
            2°C (3.6°F) over pre-industrial levels.             opment goals by ‘leapfrogging’ into clean      2006 in at least 12 countries.
                Carbon dioxide ( CO 2) is the main pollutant    and efficient technologies. This will only be
            causing climate change. It rises through the        possible when developed economies – gov-       • Governmental and private aid agencies
            atmosphere and captures heat, intensifying          ernments as well as the business and finan-     are starting to take climate-related impacts
            the effect of the greenhouse gases that keep        cial communities – engage in this endeavor.    and catastrophes seriously. Comprehen-
            the earth warm. This has dramatic conse-                                                           sive strategies to build resistance and
            quences for the globe’s climate system –                                                           resilience to climate change impacts need to
            more extreme weather like droughts, floods,                                                         be developed – for threatened communities
            and storms; rising sea levels and changes                                                          as well as for nature reserves. All this must
            of large ocean currents, and changes of                                                            happen while curbing CO 2 emissions rapidly,
            regional weather systems during events                                                             as resilience building can only buy some time
            like El Niño.                                                                                      and becomes an insurmountable challenge
                                                                                                               if global temperatures are allowed to rise
                                                                       Top left: Veranda with solar panels,
                                                                                                               too high.
                                                                        NSW, Australia

                                                                       Top right: Modern windmill
                                                                        in Castilla-La Mancha, Spain

                                                                       Below: Solar power station
                                                                       in Chiang Mai, Thailand
14                                                                                                                                                             15
Are we putting our fish in hot water?
Young Aleutian girl, Alaska, USA             Tuna fishing, Spain   Horned puffin, Alaska, USA

                                                                  WWF THANKS THE FOLLOWING
                                                                  PHOTOGRAPHERS:

Climate change threatens fish
                                                                  Cover: Michel Roggo
                                                                  Page 9: Steve Mason, Gettyimages

                                                                  WWF-Canon:

and fisheries as temperatures rise                                 Page 2/3: Michel Gunther, Edward Parker,
                                                                  Zeb Hogan; Page 4: Zeb Hogan,
                                                                  Michèle Depraz; Page 5: Ian Hudson,
                                                                  Thomas Neumann, Jürgen Freund,

in oceans, lakes and rivers.                                      Michel Roggo (2), Isaac Vega, Internet;
                                                                  Page 6: Carlos Vallecillo, Jürgen Freund;
                                                                  Page 7: Edward Parker, Stefan Wassmer,
                                                                  Michel Gunther; Page 8,9: Jürgen Freund,
                                                                  Dr Gretta Pecl, Michel Roggo, Hartmut Jungius,
                                                                  J.C. del Olmo; Page 10,11: Jürgen Freund,
                                                                  Vladimir Filonov, Michel Roggo;
                                                                  Page 12,13: Kevin Schafer (2),
                                                                  Martin Harvey, Frederick J. Weyerhaeuser;
                                                                  Page 14,15: Adam Oswell (2),
                                                                  Carlos Vallecillo; Backcover: Kevin Schafer (2),
                                                                  Jorge Bartolome

                                                                  Author: Stacey Combes
                                                                  The text of this brochure includes contributions
                                                                  from Chris Myrick, Joe Cech, Michael Case
                                                                  and Lara Hansen.
WWF Climate Change Programme
                                                                  Editor: Martin Hiller
                                                                  Design: Wassmer Graphic Design Nyon
Jennifer Morgan                Martin Hiller                      Printed by: RichArts Graphiques, Gland
Director                       Communications manager             Paper quality: Aconda FSC 170gm2

morgan@wwf.de                  mhiller@wwfint.org                  Published in July 2005 by WWF, the global
                                                                  conservation organization, Gland, Switzerland.

                                                                  Any reproduction in full or in part of this publication
                                                                  must mention the title and credit the above-
                                                                  mentioned publisher as the copyright owner.
More information, the two scientific WWF reports and
                                                                  © text (2005) WWF      All rights reserved.
the case studies are available at www.panda.org/climate/fish

The list of references for this brochure
can also be found on this website.

Take action at www.panda.org/powerswitch
Are we putting our fish in hot water?
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