Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
From Technologies to Markets

    Optical
Transceivers for
  Datacom &
   Telecom
 Market and Technology
     Report 2020

                                                Sample
                                                  © 2020
Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
TABLE OF CONTENTS 1/5
   SCOPE OF THE REPORT                                                7    FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION NETWORK ARCHITECTURES                                                      58

   METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS                                        8    •   Typical public fiber network architecture

   ACRONYM REFERENCE GUIDE                                            9    •   Generic diagram of FOC network
                                                                                    o    Overview
   COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT                                     11
                                                                                    o    Focus on data center network
   ABOUT THE AUTHORS                                                  12
                                                                                    o    Example of Facebook data center topology
   IMPACT OF COVID-19 & BASIS FOR OUR SCENARIOS                       13            o    Focus on 5G transport network

   EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                                                  16   •   Network devices for telecom and datacom

   FROM TELECOMMUNICATION TO FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION                44   FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS                                                         65

   •   Historical perspective                                              •   Global network IP traffic growth
   •   Introduction to telecommunication (TELECOM)                                  o    Macro-trends
                                                                                    o    Analysis
   •   Introduction to data communication (DATACOM)
                                                                                    o    Drivers
   •   Data Communication (DATACOM) vs. Telecommunication (TELECOM)
                                                                           •   Datacom vs. Telecom
   •   Fiber-Optic Communication (FOC)
                                                                           •   Trends in data center
            o    Overview
                                                                                    o    Digital transformation
            o    Principle
                                                                                    o    Data traffic
            o    Optical transmitter/receiver
                                                                                    o    The case of video
            o    Optical transceiver
                                                                                    o    Network architecture
            o    Benefits over metallic-based communication
                                                                                    o    Challenges
            o    Classification of technologies
                                                                                    o    Mega & Colocation mega data centers
                                                                                    o    Highlights

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
TABLE OF CONTENTS 2/5
   FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS                           65           o   Key parameters

   •   Global IP traffic forecast                                                      o   Notations and terminology
                                                                                               •    Introduction
   •   Technical challenges - Shannon Limit
                                                                                               •    Form factor – Overview
            o     Background
                                                                                               •    Form factor – Trends
            o     Approaching it
                                                                                               •    Suffixes for 100G OT and above - Overview
            o     Handling it
                                                                                               •    Suffixes for 100G OT and above - Details
            o     5 physical properties for modulation and multiplexing
                                                                                       o   Form factors
   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET FORECAST                                    84                   •    Telecom - OT type by network connection

   •   Total OT                                                                                •    Datacom - OT type by network connection

            o     Shipments forecast by segment (2017-2025)                                    •    Mapping by application and data rate
            o     Sales forecast by segment (2017-2025)                                o   Segmentation - Overview
                                                                                       o   Segmentation - Multi-Mode vs. Single-Mode OT
   •   Datacom OT
                                                                                       o   Key trends – Overview
            o     Shipments forecast (2017-2025)
                                                                                       o   Key trends - Coherent technology/transceivers
            o     Sales forecast (2017-2025)
                                                                                       o   Silicon Photonics (SiPh) trend - Overview
            o     ASP forecast (2017-2025)
                                                                                       o   Silicon Photonics (SiPh) trend - Benefits
   •   Telecom OT
                                                                               OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER APPLICATIONS                                                                  119
            o     Shipments forecast (2017-2025)
            o     Sales forecast (2017-2025) 1/2                               •   Datacom trends

            o     ASP forecast (2017-2025)                                             o   Overview
                                                                                       o   Focus on intra-rack interconnection
                                                                                       o   Focus on inter-rack interconnection
   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION                                       97
                                                                                       o   Focus on inter-DC interconnection
   •   Technology and trends                                                           o   Form factors - Interfaces used in datacenters vs. Data rates of OT
            o     Introduction                                                         o   Global trends - QSFP-DD & OSFP (400G & 200G)
            o     Role of transceiver in networking                                    o   Global trends - QSFP56 & QSFP28 (200G & 100G)
            o     Key technologies                                                     o   Status of migration to higher speed

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
TABLE OF CONTENTS 3/5
   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER APPLICATIONS                                            119   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TECHNOLOGY                                                                     155

   •   Telecom trends                                                                •   Introduction - Key parameters in fiber-optic communication
           o   Focus on Metro Core / Metro Access interconnection                             o   Introduction
           o   Focus on 5G and Wireless Optical Transmission interconnection                  o   Overview of parameters
           o   Global trends - SFP28/QSFP28/QSFP56                                            o   Optical wavelength bands
           o   Global trends – CFP/CFP2/CFP4                                                  o   Bandwidth & reach/distance
           o   Global trends – CFP-DCO and ACO (coherent vs. direct detect)                   o   Single Mode Fiber (SMF) and Multi-Mode Fiber (MMF) - Description
           o   Status of migration to higher speed                                            o   Single Mode Fiber (SMF) and Multi-Mode Fiber (MMF) - Modal Distortion
                                                                                              o   Dispersion
   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TRENDS                                                  136
                                                                                              o   Modulation - Analog vs. Digital signals
   •   400G and beyond
                                                                                              o   Modulation - Pulsed code modulation
           o   Trends heading to 400G
                                                                                              o   Modulation - Intensity modulation vs. Coherent modulation
           o   Drivers & Benefits
                                                                                              o   Modulation - Pulsed code modulation - RZ and NRZ
           o   Key applications
                                                                                              o   Modulation - Pulsed code modulation - PAM4
           o   New interface types and form factors to be deployed
                                                                                              o   Modulation - Toward higher data rates
           o   Datacom - 400G applications
                                                                                              o   Parallelization
           o   Datacom - 400G compatibility with legacy systems
                                                                                              o   Multiplexing - Overview
           o   Telecom - 400G applications
                                                                                              o   Multiplexing - TDM & WDM
           o   Telecom - Pluggable coherent ZR/ZR+
                                                                                              o   Multiplexing - Configuration of digital coherent optical transceiver circuit
                   •     Introduction
                                                                                              o   Multiplexing - Fixed grid vs. Flexible grid
                   •     Use cases
                                                                                              o   Forward error correction
                   •     Coherent optical transmission
                                                                                              o   Highlights - Advances of optical transmission technologies in recent years
                   •     Form factors
                                                                                              o   Conclusion
                   •     Cost effective architecture
                   •     Technology outcomes
                   •     Toward silicon photonics

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
TABLE OF CONTENTS 4/5
   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TECHNOLOGY                                                   155            o    Comparison of EEL (DFB & FP) and VCSEL

   •   Evolution along silicon switching                                                           o    Technology platform/type vs. Reach distance
                                                                                                   o    Uses case example - 100G data center
            o    Overview - Situation in data centers
                                                                                                   o    Integration with InP optical modulator (for coherent emission)
            o    PAM4 technology impact on switch chip technology
            o    Trends                                                                            o    Trend of silicon photonics

            o    Communication vs. Computing technology                                   •   Photodiode
            o    Disruptive improvements in silicon switches                                       o    Device types overview
                                                                                                   o    Photodetection principle
   •   Fiber-optic communication scaling
                                                                                                   o    Comparison of photodetectors
            o    Background of network traffic
            o    Technology scaling differences                                                    o    Wavelength and material choice
                                                                                                   o    Integration with InP based mixers (for coherent detection)
            o    Single-wavelength optical transceivers and coherent transceivers
            o    Client / Ethernet transceivers                                           •   Toward Photonic Integrated Circuits (PIC)?
            o    Fiber capacities of commercial WDM systems
            o    Outlook
                                                                                          OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY                                                                       221
   •   Conclusion
                                                                                          •   Introduction
            o    Possible future speeds - Datacom and telecom
            o    Future - What shape will 800G ethernet take?                             •   Mapping of key players (at transceiver level)
            o    Inside a DC                                                              •   Market shares
            o    Paving the way (Telecom)                                                          o    2017-2019 evolution - Datacom and telecom
                                                                                                   o    2017-2019 evolution - Datacom
   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER KEY COMPONENTS                                               202            o    2017-2019 evolution - Telecom

   •   Introduction                                                                       •   2017-2019 revenue growth/decline for OT suppliers

   •   Laser diode                                                                        •   2020 revenues trends
            o    2 main types - EEL and VCSEL                                             •   Technology platform - Indium Phosphide (InP) vs. Silicon Photonics (SiPh)
            o    Wavelength and material choice

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TABLE OF CONTENTS 5/5
   OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY                                            220   •   Focus on China

   •   Recent Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A)                                                o      Historical perspective
                                                                                          o      Recent trends
            o     Overview
            o     InP platform - II-VI acquired Finisar                          •   Global trends
            o     InP - Lumentum acquired Oclaro
                                                                                 •   Trend with the 400G era
            o     InP - Others
                                                                                          o      400G for DCI and coherent technology
            o     Silicon photonics - Acquisitions of Cisco                               o      Transition aspects – Overview
            o     Silicon photonics - Others
                                                                                          o      Transition aspects - Focus on PAM-4
   •   Supply chain                                                                       o      Transition aspects - Focus on 400GbE ecosystem
            o     Overview                                                                o      Getting ready for the future
            o     InP platform - The different models in DATACOM                          o      Pluggable coherent 400ZR+ - Market opportunities
            o     InP platform - The different models in TELECOM                          o      Pluggable coherent 400ZR+ - Players positioning
            o     SiPh platform

   •   Strategy                                                                  APPENDIX                                                                                               270
            o     Positioning and level of integration of key OT players
                                                                                 •   Glossary
            o     Disaggregation vs. Vertical integration
            o     Product portfolio of key suppliers                             •   OSI Model

   •   Competition                                                               •   Fiber-optic communication network evolution
            o     Key competitive factors                                        •   Fibre channel
            o     Small players vs. Large players
                                                                                 •   Infinband
   •   Cost aspects - Multi-mode vs. Single-mode transceivers 1/2

   •   Silicon photonic
            o     Transceivers suppliers
            o     Manufacturing aspects

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
SCOPE OF THE REPORT

             In scope            Out of scope

                    Optical                Optical
               Communication          Communication

                   Datacom                Datacom

           Optical             Optical Fibers,
         Transceivers           Connectors,
          • Technology
                                Equipments,
          • Industry                                                               Yours needs are
          • Market                Services
                                                                                  out of the report’
                                                                                       scope?
                    Telecom                Telecom                                Contact us for a custom:

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS
   Yole’s market forecast model is based on the matching of several sources:

                                                                                                                         Preexisting
                                                                                                                         information

                                     Market
                                Volume (in Munits)
                                    ASP (in $)
                                 Revenue (in $M)

                                                                                                                         Information
                                                                                                                         Aggregation

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT

       Acacia Communication, Accelink, Adtran, ADVA, Alibaba, Amazon Web services, Apple, Applied
    optoelectronics Inc (AOI), Arista, ATOP, AZ by CyrusOne, Baidu , Broadcom, ChampionONE, Ciena
     (Cyan), Cisco, ColorChip, Dell, E.C.I. Networks, Ekinops, Emcore, Eoptolink, Facebook, Fiberhome,
       Finisar (now II-VI), Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FOIT), Fujitsu Networks, Fujitsu Optical
          components, Gigalight, Google, HG Genuine Optics, Hisense Broadband, Huawei, Huawei,
   HUBER+SUHNER Cube Optics AG, IBM+Softlayer cloud services , II-VI, Infinera (Coriant, Transmode),
     InnoLight, Inphi, Intel, IPG Photonics (Menara Network), J.P. Morgan, Juniper Networks, Lumentum,
   Macom, Mellanox, Microsoft, NEC, NeoPhotonics, Nokia (Alcatel Lucent), NTT Electronics, Oclaro, OE
     Solutions, Oplink (MOLEX), Padtec, Rackspace , Ranovus, Renesas (Integrated Device Technology),
    Rockley Photonics, Sicoya, Skorpios technologies, Source Photonics, ST, Sumitomo, Tencent,Verizon ,
                                         Xtera,Yahoo, ZTE and more…

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Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom - From Technologies to Markets - i-Micronews
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
   Biographies & contacts
         Martin Vallo
         Dr Martin Vallo is a Technology & Market Analyst specializing in solid-state lighting technologies, within the Photonics, Sensing & Display division at Yole Développement (Yole).
         With 9 years’ experience in semiconductor technology, Martin is currently involved in the development of technology & market reports as well as the production of custom
         consulting projects at Yole.
         Prior to his work at Yole, Dr Vallo worked at CEA (Grenoble, France), with a mission focused on the epitaxial growth of InGaN/GaN core-shell nanowire LEDs by MOCVD
         and their characterization for highly flexible photonic devices. Martin graduated from Academy of Sciences, Institute of Electrical Engineering (Slovakia) with an engineering
         degree in III-nitride semiconductors.
         Contact: martin.vallo@yole.fr

         Pars Mukish
         Pars Mukish holds a master’s degree in Materials Science and Polymers from ITECH in France and a master’s degree in Innovation and Technology Management from EM Lyon,
         also in France. He works at Yole Développement, the ‘More than Moore’ market research and strategy consulting company, as senior market and technology analyst in the
         fields of LED, OLED, lighting technologies, and compound semiconductors, He performs technical, economic, and marketing analyses. In 2015, Pars was named business unit
         manager for emerging sapphire, LED/OLED, and display/lighting activities.
         Previously, he worked as marketing analyst and techno-economic analyst at CEA, a French research center for several years.
         Contact: pars.mukish@yole.fr

         Dr. Eric Mounier
         With more than 20 years of experience in MEMS, sensors and photonics applications, markets, and technology analyses, Eric provides deep industry insight into
         MEMS and photonics current and future trends.
         He is a daily contributor to the development of MEMS and photonics activities at Yole, with a large collection of market and technology reports as well as multiple
         custom consulting projects: business strategy, identification of investments or acquisition targets, due diligences (buy/sell side), market and technology analysis, cost
         modelling, technology scouting, etc.
         Eric has contributed to more than 250 marketing/technological analyses and 80 reports, helping move the MEMS and Si photonics industry forward. Thanks to his
         extensive knowledge of the MEMS, sensors, and photonics-related industries, Eric is often invited to speak at industry conferences worldwide.
         Moreover, he has been interviewed and quoted by leading media throughout the world. Prior to working at Yole, Eric held R&D and Marketing positions at CEA
         Leti in France. Eric has a Semiconductor Engineering degree and a Ph.-D in Optoelectronics from the National Polytechnic Institute of Grenoble.
         Contact: eric.mounier@yole.fr                                                                         Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020      10
Impact of COVID-19 &
 Basis for our scenarios
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
  Initial statements
  •   The COVID-19 has deep implications for the telecom infrastructure supply chain. The disease is affecting China and is
      spreading within Asia and into Europe and North America – the most important markets wherein the datacom and telecom
      technologies have been heavily deployed.
  •   End users spending on IT infrastructure (server and enterprise storage systems) will decline in 2020
  •   Interesting situation is in optical networking market. Demand for networking and cloud services is huge today. Due to
      sanitary confinement people work and communicate from home as well as take advantage of digital entertainment
      connected to the internet. Telecom networks and data centers will continue to operate while most of the manufacturing
      and travelling businesses are shutting down. Network and datacenter operators will try to maintain high bandwidth for
      storage and streaming services and continuously working on enhancing network capacity.
  •   Demand for optics by Chinese data-center operators (Alibaba, Baidu, Bytedance, Tencent, …) is very strong with the
      Chinese government support for deployment 5G and cloud data centers. That means the future scenario for optical
      communication sector doesn't have to end badly if manufacturing of optical systems and module restart in 3 months and
      Chinese consumers will continue subscribing cloud services this year.
  •   In conclusion, we assume different negative impact on telecommunication infrastructure systems. Elements of the impact
      include changing demand expectations from the buyers, supply chain shortages and logistical delays, short-term component
      price increases, and a suppressed economic and social climate. Even though a demand for bandwidth is high, the optical
      communication industry will be negatively impacted in sales due to less investing to the legacy infrastructure instead of
      higher investing to the new ecosystems.

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BASIS OF OUR SCENARIOS
   Server and Enterprise Storage Systems
   • Middle case / Best case
         •   How long this recession will last is also unclear now.
         •   The current probable scenario server market revenues will decline 4-6% year over year
         •   The enterprise storage systems market is expected to decline 5-7% year over year
         •   The both servers and storage systems return to growth in the second half of the year
   Optical networking systems and modules for datacom and telecom
   • Middle case / Best case
         •   How long this recession will last is also unclear now. Difficult to predict the economic situation in the
             next 3-6 months.
         •   The downturn in optical networking and transceiver sales should be short time. We expect that it will
             be followed by a very strong recovery, given the new urgency for adding bandwidth across the
             networking infrastructure.
         •   The optical transceivers market is expected to decline >10% in Q1 and
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET – ANALYSIS BY APPLICATION
   Optical transceiver market revenue forecast by segment (2019 vs. 2025)

          Datacom                                 $12.1B
          Telecom                                CAGR 20%

                                                                          2025
                                                                         $17.7B
          $4B       2019                             $5.6B
                                                     CAGR 7%
                    $7.7B
            $3.7B

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FROM TELECOMMUNICATION TO FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION
   Data Communication (DATACOM) vs. Telecommunication (TELECOM)
   • Data communication refers to the transmission of information between two or more points mostly using fiber glass as a communication
     channel and some specific form (set of 0’s and 1’s) understandable to that channel. In this report data communication are linked with the
     datacenters and typical transmission distance is up to 100km (DCI).
   • Data communication system ensure:
       • Delivery: The system must deliver data to the correct destination. Data must be received by the intended device or user.
       • Accuracy: The system must deliver data accurately. Data that have been altered in transmission and left uncorrected are unusable.
       • Timeliness: The system should transfer data within time. Data becomes useless if it is delivered late. In case of video, audio and voice data, timely delivery means
         that data is delivered as it is produced.This type of delivery is called real-time transmission.

   • Telecommunication is the transmission of signals over a distance for the purpose of communication. In modern times, this process almost
     always involves the use of electromagnetic waves or optical fibers by transmitters and receivers.
            • Telecommunication term defines any assisted transmission. It could be telephone, telegraph, radio,TV, even smoke signals.
   • Telecommunication system consists of three elements:
       • A transmitter that takes information and converts it to a signal;
       • A transmission medium that carries the signal;
       • A receiver that receives the signal and converts it back into usable information.

   Data Communication Vs.Telecommunication
   • They are both a form of communication; data communication is a subset of Telecommunication
   • Telecommunication sends data between two links by means of electromagnetic. (Like satellite), while data communication means send data by
     telecommunication, it consists of codes of 0’s and 1’s.
   • In computer means, data communication is digital data and telecommunication is equipped to send digital data to receiver.
   • Telecommunication is any communication over a distance. Data communication usually implies digital, and often excludes voice services.

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FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION NETWORK ARCHITECTURES
       Generic diagram of FOC network - Overview
                                                      Telecom networks
                                                                  WDM systems

                                                                                                                             LONG-HAUL
                                                                                                                             • High performance
                                                                                                                             • Fiber constrained
                                             Long-haul networks

                                                                                  SONET/SDH
                                                                                                   5G

                                                                                                                             METRO
                                                                                               FTTx                          • Space and power
                                              Datacom networks                                                                 constrained
                                                                                                                             • Pay as you grow model

                                                                                                 LAN

                                                                                                                          EDGE
                                                                                                                          • Shorter product life
                                                                                                                            cycles
Source: NTT                      *                                                                                        • Cost and power sensitive
                                     *5G network and Wireless access network is not part of datacom network
                   5G networks                                                           Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   16
FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS
          Global network IP traffic growth - Macro-trends
                   • Each year,                Global device and connection growth
                     various new               (Market share 2018 → 2023)                2023
                     devices with              Other (2% → 4%)
                     increased                 Tablets (4%→3%)
                     capabilities and          PCs (7%→4%)                                           1.1B
                     intelligence are          TVs (including game consoles) (13%→11%)
                     introduced and            Non-Smartphones (14%→5%)
                     adopted in the                                                                                                   1.6B
The trend is         market.
                                               Smartphones (27%→23%)                      0.8B
accelerating the                               Machine-to-Machine (M2M) (33%→50%)
increase in the    • The average
                     number of          2018
average number                                                                                                                                        3.2B
of devices and
                     devices and                      0.4B
                     connections per                                                     1.2B
connections per      capita will grow      0.7B                                                                             14.7B
household and        from 2.4 in 2018
per capita.          to 3.6 by 2023                            2.7B
                                         1.4B                                                       6.7B

                                                                      2.4B
                                               4.8B                                                                                                        ~29.3B
                                                             6.1B                                                                                                CAGR 10%

                                                                             ~18.4B                                                 (Source: Cisco Annual Internet Report)

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FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS
          Datacom vs. Telecom 1/2
                                                                 Digital optical communication
                                                                                                Telecom
                                           Datacom

                                                                                   Metro access              Metro core                                Long haul
                                          Datacenters
                                                                                     800 km
The driver
applications of                                                                     Wireless - 5G
the fiber-optic
network are                                •      New era of connectedness is increasingly universal
lagerly digital                            •      The capacity of the digital communications networks must increase exponentially
applications                               •      More than 20 billion connected devices and machine learning and artificial
and services.                                     intelligence will continue to accelerate this trend

                  The rapid rise of internet
                  traffic that is going through               Deployment of modern communications has rapidly expanded from being the
                  mega data centers operated                  domain of telecom service providers to deployments by enterprises and
                  by hyperscalers.                            service “mega” data center enterprises.

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OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET
          TOTAL OT shipments forecast by segment (2017-2025)

The OT market
is expected to
grow from 183
Munits in 2020
to 211 Munits
in 2025, mostly
driven by
Ethernet optical
modules.
CAGR2020-2025 =
+6%.

                   •   Although the total shipments in 2020 can decrease up to 15% in the worst scenario, the total revenue is expected
                       to moderately increase. It is a result of much more expensive optical modules above 100G of data rate. However
                       the operation costs - price for transmission of 1G/s is rapidly decreasing.
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OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET
          DATACOM OT revenues forecast (2017-2025) 1/2
                  •   The Datacom market
                      growth will be driven by
                      adoption of expensive higher
                      data rate optical modules
                      which migrate from
                      core/spine networks down
The OT market         to inter-rack connections.
for Datacom is
expected to
grow from
$4.2B in 2020
to $12.1B in
2025.
CAGR2020-2025 =
24%.

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OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION – TECHNOLOGY & TRENDS
      Key technologies
                                    Chip                                Optical Sub-Assembly                                                Transceiver
Bill of materials

 Components

   Scheme

 Technologies

                    Details of Chip components - laser and photodiode are available in the chapter Optical Transceiver Components
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OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION – TECHNOLOGY & TRENDS
      Form factors - Mapping by application and data rate
                                                                              Datacom                               Telecom
                                                                              800 km

                                                                              LAN/      METRO        METRO                           METRO                LONG-HAUL
                                                                            Intra DC   Access/Inter Access/5G                         Core
  10G-25G             40G          100G         200G         400G                          DC

SFP    XFP   SFP+
                                    SFP28
                                  QSFP28 –
                                               QSFP56 –   QSFP-DD
                      QSFP+       SR/DR/FR/
                                               SR/DR/FR   OSFP – SR/DR/FR
      QSFP                        CWDM/PSM

                                  QSFP28–    QSFP56 –     QSFP-DD
                                  LR/ER/LWDM LR/ER        OSFP – LR/ZR

                    CFP2-LR/ER    CFP4-LR/ER                CFP8-LR
                                 5”x7” 4”x5”
                                 module module CFP2-ACO OSFP/QSFP-DD
                                               CFP2-DCO ZR/ZR+
                                  CFP-DCO
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OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION – TECHNOLOGY & TRENDS
         Key trends - Coherent technology/transceivers
                                    Multi mode transceiver                     Single mode transceiver                                Coherent transceiver
                                     Short reach (hyperscale DC,
                Application              enterprise, storage)
                                                                              Long reach (hyperscale DC)                                Long reach (Telecom)

                    Laser                      VCSEL
                                                                                            xxx                                                          xxx
                   source                      850 nm
The coherent
technology is   Modulation                       xxx                                   NRZ, PAM4                                                         xxx
consider as a
most advanced      Reach                    3 m – 100 m                                     xxx                                                      > 10 km
but also most
expensive
technology
today.

                 Advantage/
                Disadvantage

                The MM, SM and coherent transceivers have been driven by scaling of various electrical and optical technologies.
                                                                                                        Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   23
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION – TECHNOLOGY & TRENDS
       Silicon Photonics (SiPh) trend - Benefits
• Smaller photonic components:                                                                            • Lower power consumption:
    Size matters when we talk about device integration into                                                   Data centers are extremely power-hungry and will
    sub-systems. As an example, for sensing applications, optical                                             consume a significant fraction of the world electricity if no
    technology has the highest sensitivity but lacks of                                                       technology shift occurs. Photonic proposes lower energy-
    miniaturization because most of the time hybrid dies need                                                 consumption solutions that could be turned into reduced
    to be assembled together and long optical path is required                                                heat dissipation, lower environmental footprint and lower
    (thus the optical module is often bulky). So, photonic offers                                             operating costs. In a previous Yole report (2015 Data
    the best combination of high accuracy and long lifetime and                                               Centers), we shown Si photonics interconnects could
    further integration opens the way to portable systems for                                                 reduce power consumption by 5-10%.
    consumer applications.

                                                                                                                           • Leverage semiconductor industry:
                                                                                                                                   Manufacturing PICs is taking benefit
                                                                                                                                   from the batch manufacturing of the
                                                                                                                                   IC industry thus lowering cost down.

• High data rates:                                                                                        • Lower $/Gbps:
    Here again, data rates are increasing in data centers as we                                               In 2015, Facebook specified a 100G transceiver using
    are heading to 400Gb/s. Direct Attach Cable with Copper                                                   single-mode fiber it believes it can drive to a cost of $1/GB.
    is limited to 30m and 10Gb for intra data center                                                          This $1/Gb limit has been one of the cost target of the last
    interconnects. For longer distance and data rate, InP and Si                                              years for the optical transceivers community. To hit the
    photonics are used. For example, Infinera ICE5, announced       • Better reliability:                     lower costs, the tech giant relaxed distance requirements
    only 24 months after ICE4, delivers a significant leap in                                                 to 500m down from 2km and eased specs on operating
    capacity per wavelength, from 200G to 600G, and offers               Compared to legacy optics with       temperature and product lifetime. Today, with an average
    improvements in fiber capacity, reach and power efficiency           hybrid integration.                  selling price of $200 for a 100Gb transceiver, we are at
    to address the most demanding high-scale applications.                                                    $2/Gb. Si photonics can leverage the benefits from the IC
                                                                                                              manufacturing industry to lower the costs down.

                                                                                                              Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   24
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER APPLICATIONS – DATACOM TRENDS
         Status of migration to higher speed
                    2015     2016      2017       2018      2019       2020      2021     Future

                   Within the data center racks
                                                                 10G
                   Being deployed                                                    25G
Due to the                               Starting to Volume ramp
ongoing large                                                                                       100G
                                         be deployed                          Starting to Volume ramp
increases in                                                                  be deployed
bandwidth          Between data center racks
demand, Data
Center                                                           40G
                   Being deployed                                                   100G
connections are
                                         Starting to Volume ramp
expected to move                                                                                        400G                                                                  Source: Finisar
                                         be deployed                          Starting to Volume ramp
from 25G/100G
                                                                              be deployed
to 100G/400G
                   Data Center Interconnect & WAN
                             10G DWDM with Tunable laser                                                         •      Rapid evolution of DSPs for optical
                   Being deployed                                              100G/200G Coherent                       communication technologies shorten
                                    Starting to          Volume ramp                                                    life cycle of the single mode and the
                                    be deployed                                    400GE & Coherent                     multimode optics used in the data
                                                   Starting to          Volume ramp
                                                   be deployed
                                                                                                                        centers.
                                                                         Starting to be deployed    800G

                                                                                                               Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020        25
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TRENDS – 400G AND BEYOND
         New interface types and form factors to be deployed 1/2

                             CFP8                      QSFP-DD and OSFP
New form         • 1st generetion 400G form        • 2nd generetion 400G form factors
factor             factor
standards are    • Applications: metro core
emerging for       routers and DWDM client
                   interfaces
all types of     • Slightly smaller than CFP2
interconnecti    • Support
ons                    • CDAUI-16 16x25G NRZ
                       • CDAUI-8 8x50 PAM4

                                                                    Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   26
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TRENDS – 400G AND BEYOND
         TELECOM - Pluggable coherent ZR/ZR+ - Coherent optical transmission 2/2

                                           DCO/ACO               →             400G ZR                    →                    800G ZR

                                           industry efforts to deliver a viable coherent solution

With rising             Past                                                Today (ZR)                                                             Future (800G)
data demand,
data center      • Coherent modules
operators are      significantly larger
seeking a low      than their intensity
                                          • Advances in CMOS
power, small       modulated
                                          • Integrated optics
form-factor        counterparts
                                          • Coherent digital
solution to      • Need for powerful
                                            signal processor
cover edge-        digital signal
                                            (DSP) designs
DCI distances.     processors and the
                                          • DSP coding and
                   use of discrete
                                            equalization
                   optical components.
                                            algorithms
                 • Targeted long-haul
                   applications

                                                                These modules will provide the necessary bandwidth increases for the regional or metro networks
                                                                for the mega-DC operators such as Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, and many others.
                                                                                                        Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   27
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TECHNOLOGY - KEY FOC PARAMETERS
           Overview of parameters

                    Optical wavelength bands   Bandwidth    Reach/Distance                                          SMF/MMF

This chapter will
provide the
reader with a
rudimentary
understanding of
inevitable fiber
optic
communication
parameters and            Dispersion           Modulation    Multiplexing                                        Parallelization
their impact on
today’s trends.

                                                                    Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   28
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TECHNOLOGY - CONCLUSION
         Possible future speeds - Datacom & Telecom

                                  Now         2025

                  Top cloud     100G/200G/
                                             800G/1.6T
                 data centers   400G

                  Rest cloud
Heading                           100G         800G
                 data centers
toward higher
speeds the          Large
range of form                   100G/400G    800G/1.6T
                 enterprises
factors should
be reduced to      Rest of
maintain                          100G         400G
                 enterprises
compatibility.
                   Services
                   Provides     100G/400G      1.6T
                  (Telecom)

                                                                  Source: Ethernet Alliance

                                                         Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   29
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TECHNOLOGY - CONCLUSION
            Paving the way (Telecom) 1/2
                     •    New coherent pluggable modules QSFP-DD, OSFP and CFP2-DCO will drive a paradigm shift in how DCI is deployed by cloud and
                          telecom service providers, enabling high-density IP over DWDM on switch and router platforms that also have the performance
                          required for metro and long-haul networks.

                         Inside DC          DCI (Metro Access)   DCI (Metro Core)           DCI (Long Haul)
                         PSM4, LR4,     PAM4 (100G, QSFP-DD)     QPSK/8QAM/16QAM             QPSK/8QAM
                          CWDM4              Coherent                Coherent                 Coherent

                           100G         100G/200G/400G/600G       100G/200G/400G            100G/200G/300G
                          CWDM                DWDM                    DWDM                      DWDM
The idea concept
                                                                                                                                    Future
is to use the same   5m              2 km     10 km         100 km                 800 km                  10 000 km
100G/200G/400G                                                                                                                      • Development of an industry-wide ecosystem
                                                                  Distance
pluggable digital                                                                                                                      that supports pluggability and a new era of
                     Past
coherent optics                                                                                                                        interoperability for 400G.
                     1. Coherent DSP ASICs have been designed for dedicated                                                         • The ecosystem based on ZR will enable telecom
(DCO) module            transport boxes. The power consumption and package
across all              size had not been sufficiently optimized for QSFP- DD                                                          and cloud providers to not only deploy solutions
distances.              or OSFP. These boxes add cost and dissipate power.                                                             for DCI edge applications up to 120km but also
                     2. Lack of Interoperability across generations of coherent                                                        use the same 100/200/300/400G solutions across
                        solutions for 100G and 200G.                                                                                   the entire DCI infrastructure.
                     3. Lack of a clear application space, as the conventional                         Inside DC                                  DCI (Any distance)
                        coherent technology had been deployed in many forms
                        across various distances and optical fibre span                                  DR4, FR4,                       QPSK/8QAM/16QAM (400G ZR/ZR+)
                                                                                                                                                   Coherent
                        configurations.
                                                                                                          400G                              Pluggable DCO/100G/200G/400G
                                                                                                         CWDM                                           DWDM

                                                                                                    5m               2 km   10 km         100 km                           800 km                          10 000 km
                                                                                                                                                    Distance
                                                                                                                                     Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020    30
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER KEY COMPONENTS
         Laser diode - Comparison of EEL (DFB & FP) and VCSEL

                                                                                                                               Transmission Speed
                               DFB             FP           VCSEL
                                                                                                             xx               xx              xx              xx                  xx
                                                                                                            Mbps             Mbps            Gbps            Gbps                Gbps
                                ++              +              –
                                                                                                         850 nm LED                                                       PAROLI*
Different laser                                           AlGaAs/AlAs
                                                                                                 xx m    Multi Mode          850 nm VCSEL                                 Multi Mode

                                                                         Transmission Distance
diode                       InGaAsP/InP   InGaAsP/InGaP   InGaAsN/GaAs
technologies                                                                                                                 Multi Mode                                   Multiple
                                                                                                 xx m                                                                     Fibers
are present in                   –              +             ++
optical
communication                                                                                    xx km
                                 –              –             ++                                                 1.3 µm Fabry-Pérot                                       1.55 µm
sector                                                                                                                                                                    DFB
depending on                                                                                                     Single Mode 1.3 µm DFB                                   Single Mode
                                ++              –              +                                 xx km
transmission                                                                                                                   Single Mode                                Externally
                                                                                                                                                                          Modulated
distance and
                                ++             ++              –                                 xx km
speed.
                                                                                                                                              *PAROLI = Parallel optical link

                                                                                                     Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020          31
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY
   Market shares - 2017-2019 evolution - DATACOM & TELECOM 3/3
              2017                                        2018                                                       2019

                                                     Telecom                                              Telecom
        Telecom                                     (revenue)
       (revenue)                                                                                         (revenue)
                                                      XX%                                                  XX%                 Datacom
         XX%       Datacom                                      Datacom                                                        (revenue)
                   (revenue)                                    (revenue)                                                        XX%
                     XX%                                          XX%

   •   Event though much higher ASP of telecom optical transceivers (coherent technology or outdoor graded), revenues from
       datacom dominated recent years due to deployment of high volume ethernet transceivers and AOCs for cloud builders,
       large enterprise and HPC centers
   •   Splitting market into datacom and telecom is becoming more blurred as metro networks which were typical telecom before
       are more attractive for interconnections of data centers. If the coherent technology will go down in cost and thus become
       feasible to be implemented in data centers we won’t be able to distinguish technologies addressing datacom and telecom
       markets.This segmentation can disappear.

                                                                                         Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   32
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY
   Market shares - 2017-2019 evolution - TELECOM 1/2

     2017                       2018                                 2019

     Total                      Total                              Total
     2017:                      2018:                              2019:
     $x.xxB                     $x.xxB                             $x.xxB

                          x%                                     x%

                                                       Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   33
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY
         Technology platform - Indium Phosphide (InP) vs. Silicon Photonics (SiPh)
                        Indium Phosphide – InP                Silicon Photonics – SiPh

The InP
platform and
Silicon
Photonics will
coexist in the
future.

                                                               Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   34
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY
     Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) – Outlooks
                                                              Hyperscalers, Cloud builders, Enterprises, HPC centers
 • In recent years we saw the strategical                                         (Customers)
   investment of the market leaders to
   strengthen their positions.
 • In spite of consolidations the market
   is still very fragmented. Many
   companies compete and there is no                     Optical modules vendors
   single or small group of companies                          (Suppliers)
   which dominate the market.
 Future:                                         Disaggregated                          Vertically
                                                  supply chain                         integrated
 • We expect aggregate merger and
   acquisitions activity to be related to:
    • Technology expertise
    • High volume production and low cost
      to     meet     mainly      hyperscalers
      expectations
    • Strengthening the position in the region
      – China or USA

                                                                                         Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   35
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY
         Strategy - Product portfolio of key suppliers

                                                                         DATACOM                                    TELECOM
                                                                     Fibre                  SONET/ CWDM/ 5G &   Bidi           High Speed
                                                         Ethernet           Infiniband AOCs                           Coherent
                                                                    channel                  SDH DWDM Wireless Access          Components
                 II-VI (+Finisar)
                 Lumentum (Oclaro)
Different
                 Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FIT)
strategies is
                 HG Genuine Optics
also projected
into the         Accelink

product          Sumitomo

portfolio and    InnoLight
segment          Source Photonics
interest.        Cisco (Acacia)
                 Fujitsu Optical components
                 MOLEX (Oplink)
                 NeoPhotonics
                 Macom
                 HUBER+SUHNER Cube Optics AG
                 NTT Electronics
                                                          In portfolio     Not in portfolio

                                                                                                   Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   36
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY
         Trend with the 400G era – Transition aspects – Focus on PAM-4
                                     2017/2018            2019/2020             • Completing 400GbE ecosystem from different
                                                                                  suppliers should guarantee a competitive
                  100GbE             400GbE               400GbE                  supply chain for 400GbE module makers
                                                                                  trying to ramp production at the end of 2019
                  $250 – $400      $3,500 – $10,000       < $3,000              • Integrating retimers into the optical
                                                                                  transceiver modules is an intermediate
Broadcom and                                                                      step to SiPh
Inphi are two                              I. PAM-4
large and                                         Today
trusted              In the past
suppliers of
400GbE PAM-4
silicon – both
trying to offer
customers a
differentiated
solution.

                                                                      Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   37
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY
         Trend with the 400G era – Pluggable coherent 400ZR+ – Players positioning
                             DSP   (TROSA)    Optical module        Level of integration
                              -       -      QSFP-DD/CFP2-DCO        Vertically integrated                             Ciena, Infinera, Acacia,
                                                                                                                       and Inphi are planning
                              -       -          QSFP-DD                          -                                    a fully vertically
                             Yes      -             -                             -                                    integrated strategy to
                                                                                                                       cover the broadest
                             Yes      -             -                             -
                                                                                                                       possible market reach
Plenty of                     -       -             -                Vertically integrated
companies are                 -       -          QSFP-DD                          -                                    As component
investing                                                                                                              developers repurpose
                             Yes      -             -                             -                                    their designs to
$500M in                                                                                                               address adjacent
                              -       -          QSFP-DD                          -
total to bring                                                                                                         markets, more and
400ZR to the                 No       -             -                             -                                    more companies are
market.                      Yes      -             -             Component manufacturer                               beginning to endorse
                                                                                                                       some form of 400ZR
                              -       -             -           Telecom modules manufacturer
                                                                                                                       in their future
                              -       -             -                Vertically integrated                             roadmaps.
                              -       -          QSFP-DD                          -
                             Yes      -             -                             -
                              -       -             -                             -

                                                                        Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   38
YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS
        Yole Développement
               Silicon Photonics 2020            VCSELs – Market and                   Edge Emitting Lasers: Market
                                                Technology Trends 2019                 and Technology Trends 2019

Contact our
Sales Team
for more
information
                                                            GaAs Wafer and Epiwafer Market:
                          InP Wafer and Epiwafer Market     RF, Photonics, LED, Display and PV
                          – Photonic and RF Applications            Applications 2020

                                                                         Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020   39
YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS
        System Plus Consulting

                       Intel Silicon Photonic 100G   Intel Silicon Photonic 100G
Contact our
                      CWDM4 QFSP28 Transceiver        PSM4 QFSP28 Transceiver
Sales Team
for more
information

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CONTACTS
                                                      REPORTS, MONITORS & TRACKS
                Western US & Canada                                 India and RoA                                                 Japan
      Steve Laferriere - steve.laferriere@yole.fr     Takashi Onozawa - takashi.onozawa@yole.fr                    Miho Ohtake - miho.ohtake@yole.fr
                    + 1 310 600 8267                               +81 80 4371 4887                                         +81 34 4059 204
                Eastern US & Canada                                 Greater China                                        Japan and Singapore
         Chris Youman - chris.youman@yole.fr               Mavis Wang - mavis.wang@yole.fr                        Itsuyo Oshiba - itsuyo.oshiba@yole.fr
                    +1 919 607 9839                      +886 979 336 809 +86 136 6156 6824                                +81 80 3577 3042
                  Europe and RoW                                        Korea                                                     Japan
         Lizzie Levenez - lizzie.levenez@yole.fr              Peter Ok - peter.ok@yole.fr                          Toru Hosaka – toru.hosaka@yole.fr
                  +49 15 123 544 182                               +82 10 4089 0233                                        +81 90 1775 3866
                 Benelux, UK & Spain
    Marine Wybranietz - marine.wybranietz@yole.fr
                   +49 69 96 21 76 78

              FINANCIAL SERVICES                       CUSTOM PROJECT SERVICES                                                 GENERAL
        ›     Jean-Christophe Eloy - eloy@yole.fr      ›      Jérome Azémar, Yole Développement -          ›      Camille Veyrier, Marketing & Communication
                      +33 4 72 83 01 80                    jerome.azemar@yole.fr - +33 6 27 68 69 33              camille.veyrier@yole.fr - +33 472 83 01 01
                                                                                                                   ›    Sandrine Leroy, Public Relations
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                       +1 208 850 3914                jcoulon@systemplus.fr - +33 2 72 17 89 85
                                                                                                       ›       General inquiries: info@yole.fr - +33 4 72 83 01 80

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