US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group

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US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
US Roadshow Presentation
November 2017

                           © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
Disclaimer
For the purposes of the following disclaimers, references to this “document”            risks, maintaining finance and funding to meet ongoing commitments, tax
shall mean this presentation pack and shall be deemed to include references             compliance and contributions and difficulty in recruitment, retention and
to the related speeches made by or to be made by the presenters, any                    development of appropriate skills which are required to deliver the Group’s
questions and answers in relation thereto and any other related verbal or               strategy.
written communications.
                                                                                        Forward looking statements should therefore be construed in light of such risks,
This document contains certain “forward-looking statements” with respect to             uncertainties and other factors and undue reliance should not be placed on
Pennon Group’s financial condition, results of operations and business and              them. Nothing in this document should be construed as a profit forecast.
certain of Pennon Group's plans and objectives with respect to these matters
                                                                                        All written or verbal forward-looking statements, made in this document or made
which may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the
                                                                                        subsequently, which are attributable to Pennon Group or any other member of
U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “PSLRA”).
                                                                                        the Pennon Group or persons acting on their behalf are expressly qualified in
Forward-looking statements are sometimes, but not always, identified by their           their entirety by the factors referred to above. Pennon Group may or may not
use of a date in the future or such words as “anticipate”, “aim”, “believe”,            update these forward-looking statements.
“continue”, “could”, “due”, "estimate“, “expect”, “forecast”, “goal”, “intend”,
                                                                                        This document is not an offer to sell, exchange or transfer any securities of
"may", “plan", “project”, “seek”, “should”, “target”, “will” and related and similar
                                                                                        Pennon Group or any of its subsidiaries and is not soliciting an offer to purchase,
expressions, as well as statements in the future tense.
                                                                                        exchange or transfer such securities in any jurisdiction.
By their very nature forward-looking statements are inherently unpredictable,
                                                                                        Without prejudice to the above, whilst Pennon Group accepts liability to the
speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and
                                                                                        extent required by the Listing Rules, the Disclosure Rules and the Transparency
depend on circumstances that will or will not occur in the future. Various known
                                                                                        Rules of the UK Listing Authority for any information contained within this
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to substantial
                                                                                        document which the Company makes publicly available as required by such
differences between the actual future results, financial situation development or
                                                                                        Rules:
performance of the Group and the estimates and historical results given herein.
Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements which are             a) neither Pennon Group nor any other member of Pennon Group or persons
made only as of the date of this document. Important risks, uncertainties and              acting on their behalf shall otherwise have any liability whatsoever for loss
other factors that could cause actual results, performance or achievements of              howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from use of the information
Pennon Group to differ materially from any outcomes or results expressed or                contained within this document;
implied by such forward-looking statements are changes in law, regulation or
decisions by governmental bodies or regulators, non-recovery of customer debt,          b) neither Pennon Group nor any other member of Pennon Group or persons
poor operating performance due to extreme weather and climate change, poor                 acting on their behalf makes any representation or warranty, express or
service provided to customers or increased competition leading to loss of                  implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained
customer base, global economic downturn pressuring volumes and margins,                    within this document; and
downward pressure on UK wholesale power prices, business interruption or                c) no reliance may be placed upon the information contained within this
significant operational failures/ incidents, non-compliance or occurrence of               document to the extent that such information is subsequently updated by or
avoidable health and safety incidents, failure or increased cost of capital                on behalf of Pennon Group.
projects, exposure to contractor failure to deliver construction progress, failure of
information technology systems management and protection including higher               Past performance of securities of Pennon Group cannot be relied upon as a
                                                                                        guide to the future performance of any securities of Pennon Group.

2   Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                      © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
The Pennon Team

                                       Chris Loughlin     Sarah Heald
                                       Chief Executive     Director of
                                           Officer       Corporate Affairs
                                                            & Investor
                                                            Relations

3   Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                         © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
About Pennon

               © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
About Pennon
Unique combination of environmental infrastructure assets

                 Water & Wastewater                                                                  Waste Management

                              Regulatory ring-fence

    Water and wastewater services to                           B2B water retailer              A leading UK energy recovery,
         a population of c.2.2 m                                                                    recycling and waste
                                                                                                   management company

                                                                                              • Serves more than 150 local
    • Serves Cornwall, Devon, parts of                • PWS is our growing B2B water            authorities and major corporate
      Dorset, Somerset, Hampshire and                   retailer currently serving >160,000     clients as well as over 32,000
      Wiltshire                                         customers nationwide                    customers across the UK
    • Awarded enhanced status for its                 • C.5,100 new accounts won since        • Network of 300+ recycling, energy
      2015-2020 Business Plan, and has                  market opening                          recovery and waste management
      highest potential returns in the
                                                                                                facilities, including 12 Energy
      sector
                                                                                                Recovery Facilities (ERFs) (8 in
                                                                                                operation, 3 in commissioning & 1
                                                                                                in construction)
5    Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                  © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
Investment Case
A unique proposition in an attractive sector

              ‘SECTOR-LEADING WATER BUSINESS, GROWING RECYCLING, ENERGY RECOVERY AND
                                       WASTE MANAGEMENT GROUP’

         PREDICTABLE                                                WELL-POSITIONED TO
                                         EFFICIENT/EFFECTIVE        TAKE OPPORTUNITIES
        INDEX-LINKED                     BALANCE SHEET AND
        EARNINGS AND                                                   IN A CHANGING
                                           SECTOR-LEADING               REGULATORY
      CASHFLOW GROWTH                       FINANCE COSTS               ENVIRONMENT

                                            INVESTING FOR             SECTOR-LEADING
    STRONG OPERATIONAL                  FURTHER INDEX-LINKED          DIVIDEND OF +4%
       PERFORMANCE,                        GROWTH, TRACK             ABOVE RETAIL PRICE
    DELIVERING FINANCIAL                      RECORD OF             INDEX (RPI) INFLATION
          BENEFITS                        DELIVERING VALUE                 TO 2020
                                              FROM M&A

6   Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                               © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
Strategy
Strong platform, evolving for future

                                         Leading UK-listed environmental infrastructure group

                                                         Strategic priorities

                                       Focused on moving towards a more consistent risk profile

         DELIVER FOR                                                     CAPITALISE ON
         CUSTOMERS,                             LEADERSHIP IN             GROUP-WIDE
        COMMUNITIES,                            EFFICIENT COST          STRENGTHS, BEST         INVESTING FOR
        ENVIRONMENT,                              BASE AND                 PRACTICE,               GROWTH
       SHAREHOLDERS                               FINANCING                SYNERGIES

                                                         Strategic objective

                       LONG-TERM, PREDICTABLE, ASSET-BACKED, INDEX-LINKED RETURNS

7   Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                    © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
Total Shareholder Return
Consistently outperforming the market since privatisation

                         1,500
                                                               Pennon         Severn Trent          United Utilities         FTSE 100         FTSE 250

                         1,250
    TSR Indexed to 100

                         1,000

                          750

                          500

                          250

                            0
                                 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

          Note: Share price as at 24 November 2017
8        Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                        © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
Half Year Results 2017/18

                            © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation November 2017 - Pennon Group
Delivering for customers,
communities and investors
      Delivering for customers and communities
      -       On track to deliver against business plan commitments including all ODI(1) commitments by 2020
      -       Sharing financial benefits with customers through WaterShare
      -       Customer bills lower than they were 8 years ago
      -       Long-term partnership working with customers and communities across the Group
      -       Viridor’s Greater Manchester contract – mutually satisfactory outcome

      Robust operational & financial performance
      -       Sector-leading in water, RORE(1) consistently over 11%
      -       Bournemouth acquisition – sustainable way to deliver greater efficiency and lower bills
      -       ERF(1) portfolio performing well
      -       Group efficiency initiatives on track, £11m p.a. delivered to date

      Preparing for the next growth phase, Viridor earnings step-up from 2020
      - Strong fundamentals in UK waste market, Viridor’s investment in ERF’s servicing demand
      - South West Water innovating for PR19, long-term vision for water to 2050 published
      - Well established long-term dividend policy of RPI + 4% to 2020

(1)       ODI – Outcome Delivery Incentive, RORE – Return on Regulated Equity, ERF – Energy Recovery Facility
10 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                             © Pennon Group plc 2017
Financial Performance

                        © Pennon Group plc 2017
Financial Highlights
Robust Group financial performance

                                                                               H1 2017/18                    H1 2016/17                                             A      Adjusted EBITDA in line
 Underlying(1)                                                                        £m                            £m                     Change                          with expectations
 Revenue                                                                                   723.9                        685.5                 +5.6%                        - Higher SWW revenue and continued
                                                                                                                                                                               efficiency
 EBITDA                                                                                    253.5                        245.4                 +3.3%                        - Strong ERF performance
 Adjusted EBITDA(2)                                                    A                   285.8                        277.2                 +3.1%
 Depreciation and amortisation                                                            (91.1)                        (91.5)                +0.4%
 Operating Profit                                                                          162.4                        153.9                 +5.5%
                                                                                                                                                                    B      Growth in Profit Before Tax
 Net Interest                                                                             (36.6)                        (28.6)              (28.0%)
                                                                                                                                                                           - SWW in line with expectations
 Share of JV Profit After Tax                                                                  5.3                           2.8            +89.3%                         - Strong Viridor contribution
 Profit Before Tax                                                     B                   131.1                        128.1                 +2.3%                        - Efficient finance costs – effective rate 3.7%
 Non-underlying Items Before Tax                                       C                     (1.3)                      (25.7)                           -
                                                                                                                                                                    C      Non-underlying Items
 Statutory Profit Before Tax                                                               129.8                        102.4               +26.8%
                                                                                                                                                                           - Greater Manchester contract reset
 Tax                                                                                      (17.5)                        (13.3)              (31.6%)                        - Derivatives associated with SWW 2040 bond
 Statutory Profit After Tax                                                                112.3                          89.1              +26.0%

 Earnings per share(3) (p)                                            D                      25.3                         23.6                +7.2%                D       EPS ahead of H1 2016/17
 Statutory Earnings per share (p)                                     D                      21.8                         17.7              +23.2%                         - On both an adjusted and
                                                                                                                                                                               statutory basis
 Dividend per share(4) (p)                                                                 11.97                        11.09                 +7.9%
(1)   Before non-underlying items, see slide 35
(2)   Underlying EBITDA plus share of Joint Venture EBITDA and IFRIC 12 interest receivable
(3)   Adjusted EPS: before deferred tax and non-underlying items and proportionately adjusted for the first return due on the 2017 perpetual capital securities in H1 2017/18 and the periodic return due March 2017 in the prior period
(4)   The RPI rate used is 3.9% as of September 2017
12 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                                                                © Pennon Group plc 2017
Capital Investment
Investing for growth

                                                    What we have been investing in...
     Group
     Capital                                        - Energy Recovery Facilities                                                                - Further improvements to South West
                                                                                                                                                  Bathing and Shellfish waters
     Investment                                     - New landfill cells driven by demand
                                                                                                                                                - Further innovation to improve drinking
     profile                                        - Cutting edge Mayflower Water
                                                                                                                                                  water quality
                                                        Treatment Works

£500m                                                                                                                                                                          H1           H1
                                                                                                                    Group                             £m                   2017/18      2016/17
£400m                                                                                                               Capex                             Total Water               98              80
                                                                                                                                                      Total Waste(1)           147             104
£300m
                                                                                                                                                      Total                    245             184

£ 200m
                                                                                                                    Total ERF portfolio expenditure c. £1.5bn(2)
£100m
                                                                                                                    - £1,261m expenditure to H1 2017/18, including
                                                                                                                      Avonmouth
  £0m
            2015/16        2016/17         H1             H2             2018/19        2019/20                     - £268m remaining spend to completion
                                         2017/18        2017/18

                                        SWW            Viridor

(1) Including construction spend related to service concession arrangements, capitalised interest (£6.7m in H1 2017/18) and ERF maintenance capital expenditure
(2) Excluding capitalised interest, net of amounts subject to legal contractual process - £45m to H1 2017/18, estimated £77m at completion
13 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                  © Pennon Group plc 2017
Net Debt Movements
Strong cash inflow from operations, continuing investment

                                                                 Strong cash                                         Re-financing                                             Peak years
                                                                 inflow from                                         of perpetual                                             of capital
                                                                 operations                                          capital                                                  investment in                                                                         (2,790.9)
                                                                                                                     securities                                               2016/17 and
        £m
                                                                                                                                                                              2017/18
       (2,664.9)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    (235.3)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     (82.1)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (48.6)
                                                                                                                                                                                                (31.3)
                         308.9                                                                                                                           (10.4)              (25.7)
                                                                                              (6.3)              (7.0)                (8.1)
                                          23.5             1.2              (4.8)

                                                                                                         (1)                                                         (2)                                                     (3)
          Net Debt       Cash inflow     VLGM loan    Lakeside dividends     Pension       Other movements Acquisition of South   Capital securities   Corporation tax     Interim dividend   Net interest paid   Other taxes      Final dividend     Capital (4)      Net Debt
          1-Apr-17     from operations   repayment         and loan        contributions                       Staffs Non-           issuance                                  2016/17                                                2016/17        payments         30-Sep-17
                                                         repayments                                          household retail
                                                                                                             customer book

(1)   Includes £2.6m non-cash movement in Euro loan due to exchange rates
(2)   Includes hybrid periodic return payment of £19.0m offset by net hybrid receipt on refinancing of £10.9m (remaining £14.2m of 2013 hybrid purchased in October 2017)
(3)   Other taxes include business rates, employers national insurance, fuel excise duty, carbon reduction commitment, environmental payments, climate change levy and external landfill tax
(4)   Including construction spend on service concession arrangements net of proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment
14 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                                                                                           © Pennon Group plc 2017
Balance Sheet
Strong funding position underpinning investment

    Group                      at 30 September 2017       £1,246m cash & committed facilities
    Net Debt                   £2,790.9m                  (31 March 2017 £1,383m)
    Profile
                                               Index-
                                               Linked
                                               £552m
                                               20%        Development of portfolio
                Fixed
         £1,812m                               Floating   - £450m of new or renewed    - Following EIB/Government
                  65%                          £427m       funding signed since         discussions – previous EIB
                                               15%
                                                           March 2017. Including        approved transaction being
                                                           £300m Pennon hybrid          progressed alongside
    - Diversified funding mix, underpinned by              refinanced:                  other options to support
        finance leases with long maturities                                             final year of K6 and K7
                                                           - Rate of 2.875% lowest
    - Average maturity of debt 20 years –                    ever for sterling issue    pre-funding
        matching asset base                                - Order book 4 times
    South West Water funding                                 oversubscribed
    - 25% index-linked, below Ofwat ‘notional’
        of 33%, headroom for RPI/CPI transition

15 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                     © Pennon Group plc 2017
Balance Sheet
Stable gearing – increased headroom for investment

                                                                64.8%         Group Net Gearing(1)
                                                                  65.2%       at 30 September 2016

                                                                62.1%         Water business Net Debt / RCV(2)
                                                                  62.2%       at 30 September 2016

     Stable gearing                                         - Reflects refinancing of perpetual capital securities (hybrid) in the Group’s capital
                                                              structure, net of continuing investment
                                                            - Gearing at plc is expected to reduce by year end, following the same profile as
                                                              2016/17
                                                            - SWW – aligned with Ofwat ‘notional’ efficient level

     Increased                                              - Hybrid supports increase in investible capacity – c. £800m
     headroom for                                           - Strength of balance sheet
     investment

(1) Net borrowings/(equity + net borrowings)
(2) Based on Regulatory Capital Value (RCV) at March 2017
16 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                         © Pennon Group plc 2017
Group Financing
Sector-leading effective interest rate

                                                                   K4                   K5             K6

            3.7%                  Group average      7.0%
                                                                (2005-10)            (2010-15)      (2015-20)

                                  interest rate      6.5%

            3.3%                                     6.0%
       H1 2016/17                                    5.5%
                                                     5.0%
                                                     4.5%
                                                                                                                     Pennon
            3.5%                  SWW average        4.0%
                                                                                                                     SWW
                                                     3.5%
                                  interest rate                                                                      Water Sector
                                                     3.0%
            3.2%
       H1 2016/17

                                                      Sector leading effective interest rates
     £36.6m                       Group net
                                  finance costs(1)    • Consistently low effective rate, feature of financing mix
           £28.6m
                                                      • Group net finance costs impacted by unwind of PMB derivative
       H1 2016/17
                                                        in February 2017

(1) Before non-underlying items
(2) As at 30 September 2017
17 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                 © Pennon Group plc 2017
Dividend Growth
Established 10 year sector leading policy

    Policy of 4%+RPI leading to an expected doubling of dividend over 10 years (2010 to 2020)(1)

   - Interim dividend of 11.97p, up 7.9%(2)
   - SCRIP dividend alternative ceased
   - Dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) offered for 2017/18

                                                                                                                   +7.1%
                                                                                                         +5.6%
                                                                                               +4.9%               35.96
                                                                                     +6.5%
                                                                           +7.3%                         33.58
                                                   +7.6%                                       31.80
                                                                                     30.31
                             +9.3%                                         28.46
                                                   26.52
                             24.65
       22.55

                                                                                                                             +7.9%

                                                                                                                              H1
                                                                                                                             11.97

       2009/10              2010/11               2011/12                  2012/13   2013/14   2014/15   2015/16   2016/17   2017/18   2018/19       2019/20
 Note: Full Year and Interim dividend in pence per share
(1) Future dividends growth based on policy of 4% + RPI forecast to 2020
(2) 2017/18 Interim dividend based on September 2017 RPI of 3.9%
18 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                              © Pennon Group plc 2017
Operational Performance

                          © Pennon Group plc 2017
Water: Delivering for customers and communities
On track to deliver against all water business plan commitments by 2020
      Customers at the heart of our delivery
      -      £7bn investment to improve services to customers since privatisation
      -      Best ever customer service score (SIM)
      -      Written complaints reduced by c.30% - halved since 2011
      -      Customer bills lower than they were 8 years ago

      SWW strong focus on affordability
      - Tailored support for customers in vulnerable circumstances using a range of
             approaches- c.51,000 customers supported through our existing schemes

      Delivering 33 of 36 financial ODIs (1)
      - 21st consecutive year without water restrictions
      - Outperforming leakage target – halved since privatisation
      - Maintaining high water quality standards

      Bathing water quality
      - Continued good performance – 98% achieving sufficient quality
      - Further investments in bathing and shellfish waters underway

      Wastewater compliance
      - Best ever compliance performance – 98.4%
      - Significant(2) pollutions reduced
(1)       SWW 26 ODIs and BW 10 ODIs including SIM. 33 meeting target or within appropriate tolerances
(2)       Category 1 and 2 pollution incidents
20 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                      © Pennon Group plc 2017
Water: Delivering for customers and communities
On track to deliver against all water business plan commitments by 2020

 Strong focus on sharing financial benefits with customers acting responsibly
 -      Unique mechanism to share transparently outperformance in period
 -      Significant value shared with customers to date
 -      Reinvestment in services and future lower bills
 -      Customer challenge panel guiding priority area investments

                                                                                                                             (1)
                                                            Customer                                                               Shareholder

                                                         Cumulative to                                                             Cumulative to
                                                          H1 2017/18                                                                H1 2017/18
                                                              £m                                                                        £m
                                                                    50                                Net Totex Savings(2)              67

                                                                     7                                                ODIs              7

                                                                    11                                      Other items(3)               -

                                                                    68                                Total Value Benefit               74

(1) WaterShare relates to performance within the South West Water region
(2) Gross Totex savings (inclusive of retail), net of tax for sharing and performance purposes
(3) Other items including market movements on new financing returned to customers and the impact of new legislation
21 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                © Pennon Group plc 2017
Water: Strong operational and financial performance
Consistent sector-leading RORE

  WaterShare RORE (1) performance                                                                         Cumulative K6 TOTEX outperformance - £159m
                                                                                                         - Delivering continued efficiency performance
                                                                Cumulative
                                                                  11.8%(1)
  FY 15/16             FY 16/17            H1 17/18                                                       Operational performance ahead of
  11.7%               12.6%                11.1%
                                                                                                          our commitments to customers

                                                                                                         - Cumulative net reward of £7.0m
                                                                                                           - End of period rewards of £9.1m
                                                                                                           - In period net penalties of £2.1m
                                                                                                         - Targeting further improvements on wastewater pollutions
                                                                                       6.0%
                                                                                                          Continued delivery of financing outperformance
                                                                                                         - £83m cumulative financing outperformance
                                                                                                         - Sharing the benefits of reduction in interest
                                                                                                                rates with customers
        Financing                                Totex
        ODIs                                     Base returns

(1) RORE outperformance: Totex outperformance calculated after sharing rate and the impact of tax, impact of net ODI rewards in 2016/17
    and financing outperformance calculated using long term forecast K6 inflation of 2.8% (see slide 47-48 for further detail)
22 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                         © Pennon Group plc 2017
Water: Strong operational and financial performance
ODI performance levels – cumulative net reward position

  GOOD                                                     Water quality standard                                                           Odour contacts
  PERFORMANCE(1)                                   Taste, smell and colour contacts                                                    Bathing water quality
                                             Operational contacts resolved 1st time                                           Water & waste asset reliability
                                                                Water restrictions                                                 Sustainable abstractions
                                                Supplies interrupted due to flooding                                                         Leakage level
                                                              Supply interruptions                                                   Descriptive compliance

  IMPROVING
                                                                                           Customers paying a metered bill
  PERFORMANCE                                                                           Internal and External sewer flooding
                                                                                          Wastewater numeric compliance(2)
                                                                                       Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM)(2)

  AREAS
  OF FOCUS
                                                                                                         Pollution incidents

  Cumulative ODI Outperformance net reward:                                                                                                                                                        £7.0m(3)
(1) Good performance in line with committed performance (or within appropriate tolerances)
(2) End of AMP measure only, on track to deliver with no penalty assumed
(3) ODI performance in H1 2017/18 of £1.5m is split £1.6m net reward which will be recognised at the end of the regulatory period and £0.1m net penalty which may be reflected during the regulatory period. Of the
    cumulative net reward of £7.0m £9.1m will be recognised at the end of the regulatory period and £2.1m net penalty which may be reflected during the regulatory period.
23 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                                                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
Water: Preparing for next growth phase
Investment anticipated at least comparable to historic levels

£6bn - £9bn investment anticipated to 2050
- Informed by Defra’s guidance to Ofwat
- Direct engagement with Ofwat
- Customer / stakeholder research and engagement

Key investment drivers continue to be
-    Resilience
-    Environmental protection and enhancement
-    Security of supply
-    Flood protection
-    Transformational improvement to customer service

Choices over phases of spend
- Tested with customers, stakeholders and regulators
- Engagement will inform 5 year plan

24 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                             © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor: Robust operational and financial performance
ERFs performing well

               Focus on optimising performance
               - Delivered £52m of EBITDA in H1 2017/18 – expect H2 weighting
 Operational

               - High availability across fleet – Average >90%(1)
               - Maintenance regimes working well. Current run rate of 2.0% p.a. of
                capital cost, with 3.5% p.a. long term average cost
               - Investments delivering in excess of base case expectations
               - 80% long-term contracted volumes (and associated price) across the
                portfolio(2)

                 H1 Adjusted EBITDA 2017/18                                                                      ERF Availability H1 2017/18(1)
                 Outperformance                                             Fleet outperformance
                                                                                                   100%
                                                                            P'borough              90%

                                                                            Runcorn II             80%
                                                                                                   70%
                                                                            Runcorn I
                                                                                                   60%
                          Pennon                                            Cardiff                50%
                       base case                                                                   40%
                     performance                                            Ardley
                                                                                                   30%
                                                                            Exeter                 20%
                                                                                                   10%
                                                                            Lakeside
                                                                                                    0%
                                                                                                          Runcorn II   Cardiff   Ardley   P'borough   Exeter   Lakeside   Runcorn I
(1) Includes 100% of joint venture availability, excludes Bolton ERF due to fire
(2) Excluding Avonmouth
25 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                               © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor: Robust operational and financial performance
Recycling EBITDA margin consistent

          VOLUMES
          120kT                       Self-help measures underpinning performance –
          H1 2017/18: 740kT           further opportunities available
          (H1 2016/17: 860kT)

          REVENUES                    - Reduced volumes - optimisation of contracts and asset base
          £10/T                       - Better pricing reflected in revenues
          H1 2017/18: £97/T
          (H1 2016/17: £87/T)         - Pressure on costs – higher quality output requirements in China

          OPERATIONAL COST            - Higher shipping costs due to under-capacity
          £6/T                        - EBITDA steady thanks to self-help and contract pass-through
          H1 2017/18: £78/T
          (H1 2016/17: £72/T)         - Developing new Asian markets to offset Chinese impacts

          SHIPPING COST
          £3/T
          H1 2017/18: £5/T
          (H1 2016/17: £2/T)

          EBITDA MARGIN
          £1/T
          H1 2017/18: £14/T
          (H1 2017/18: £13/T)

26 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor: Delivering for customers and communities
Greater Manchester contract ‘reset’

 Long-term partnership continues – mutually satisfactory outcome

 - Energy Recovery Facility – Runcorn I
     - Long-term contract remains
     - Residual waste will continue to be treated, no significant operational changes
 - Recycling and reprocessing
     - Contract on ‘run-off’ basis for a minimum of 18 months
     - Subsequent contracts, subject to re-procurement process
     - Viridor will be eligible to bid for the new contracts with new contractual terms

27 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                       © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor: Preparing for the next growth phase
Significant growth to come from residual waste

 Confidence in the waste sector

 - Strong fundamentals in UK waste market
 - Investment in further UK waste treatment capacity as essential to service longer term demand

                   Source: Defra, SEPA, NRW and Viridor analysis

28 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                               © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor: Preparing for the next growth phase
ERF assets will deliver earnings step up

                                                                                                                                                               Avonmouth
                                              Glasgow                                                                                             South
                                                                                                                                                          Dunbar
  In construction or stage of commissioning

                                                                                                                                                 London
                                                                                                                                     Glasgow
                                              - First generated electricity – February 2017                       IFRIC 12
                                                                                                                                    (IFRIC 12)
                                                                                                                    Interest
                                              - MRF(1) and AD(2) plants operating                               Receivable
                                                                                                                   Share of                                  Adjusted
                                              - ERF in final commissioning                                      JV EBITDA
                                                                                                                                                              EBITDA

                                                                                                                   EBITDA                £107m
                                              Beddington (South London)
                                                                                                                               2016/17                                     2020/21
                                              - In final commissioning

                                              Dunbar
                                              - Early stage of commissioning

                                              Avonmouth
                                              - Construction underway and progressing well
                                              - Project is proceeding to plan with piling activities on-going

(1) Materials Recycling Facility
(2) Anaerobic Digestion
29 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon: Robust operational and financial performance
Underpinned by efficiency across the Group

                                                     Sector leading water Totex outperformance
                                      SWW Totex
           £159m                      savings
                                                     • £159m cumulative Totex efficiencies
                                      K6 to date

                                                     Bournemouth Water synergies on track

                                      SWW/BW         • Final integration phase complete
        c. £27m                       Synergies      • £12m delivered since merger with SWW
                                      K6 in total

                                                     Group wide efficiencies

                                      Group          • c. £11m p.a. secured to date
        c. £17m                       efficiencies   • Group wide IS platform integration on track
             p.a.                     From 2019

30 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                  © Pennon Group plc 2017
Delivering for customers,
communities and investors
      Delivering for customers and communities
      -       On track to deliver against business plan commitments including all ODI(1) commitments by 2020
      -       Sharing financial benefits with customers through WaterShare
      -       Customer bills lower than they were 8 years ago
      -       Long-term partnership working with customers and communities across the Group
      -       Viridor’s Greater Manchester contract – mutually satisfactory outcome

      Robust operational & financial performance
      -       Sector-leading in water, RORE(1) consistently over 11%
      -       Bournemouth acquisition – sustainable way to deliver greater efficiency and lower bills
      -       ERF(1) portfolio performing well
      -       Group efficiency initiatives on track, £11m p.a. delivered to date

      Preparing for the next growth phase, Viridor earnings step-up from 2020
      - Strong fundamentals in UK waste market, Viridor’s investment in ERF’s servicing demand
      - South West Water innovating for PR19, long-term vision for water to 2050 published
      - Well established long-term dividend policy of RPI + 4% to 2020

(1)       ODI – Outcome Delivery Incentive, RORE – Return on Regulated Equity, ERF – Energy Recovery Facility
31 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                             © Pennon Group plc 2017
UK Regulation

                © Pennon Group plc 2017
UK WATER
Industry regulation

                                                               Ofwat

                                      Natural
                                                                                 Environment
                                      England                                    Agency

                                                Drinking                Consumer
                                                                       Council for
                                                Water                    Water
                                                Inspectorate

33 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                            © Pennon Group plc 2017
                                                                                                                         3
Economic regulation
OFWAT

 LEGAL OBLIGATIONS
 •      Ensure companies properly carry out their functions
 •      Ensure companies can finance their functions
 •      Protect the interests of consumers, wherever appropriate, by promoting effective competition
 •      Secure the long-term resilience of water and sewerage systems

 •      Promoting economy and efficiency
 •      Contributing to the achievement of sustainable development
 •      Ensure Ofwat gives no undue preference
 WATER AND SLUDGE RESOURCES

                                                  Market capitalisation
                                                      (shortly after flotation)

                                                 Pre 2015: Capital Investment
                                              2015-20: RCV additions (from Totex)

                                                   Pre 2015: Capital charges
                                                     2015-20: RCV run-off

                                      +/-             Inflation adjustment

34 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18
                                       =        Regulatory capital value (RCV)
                                                                                                       © Pennon Group plc 2017
                                                                                                                                 3
South West Water
Final Determination 2015-20, enhanced status awarded

OFWAT’S FINAL DETERMINATION – KEY HIGHLIGHTS
                                                                              WHOLESALE TOTEX                                                                                                   K6(2)
•      Highest potential RORE in the sector                                   SWW Final Determination allowed Totex                                                                        £1,584m
•      Relative benefits of enhanced assessment increased by a further c.     BW Final Determination allowed Totex                                                                           £154m
       £14m
         ‒    enhanced cost of capital allowance and no restrictions in ODI   EFFICIENCY (TOTEX AND ACTS)                                                        K5                               K6
              benefits
                                                                              SWW Operating costs                                                               2.8%                            2.5%
         ‒    uncapped Totex menu: extra 5% sharing rate
         ‒    financial award: £11m additional to RCV, up to 50%              BW Operating costs                                                                N/A                             0.8%
              reinvested                                                      SWW Capital Expenditure                                                           5.0%                            5.5%
•      Average household bills below inflation to 2020, 13% real reduction    BW Capital Expenditure                                                            N/A                             0.6%
       from 2013 /14 (7% from 2014 /15)
•      Innovative WaterShare mechanism implemented                                                                                                                                  K6
                                                                              SWW FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS                                                           K5      Enhanced        Non-enhanced
                                                                                                                                                                                           average
South West Water: lowest index-linked debt in the industry                    Wholesale vanilla cost of capital                                                 5.1%       3.7%                 3.6%
                                                   0.5%
                          0.5%                                                Retail margins (RCV returns equivalence)                                             -      0.20%                0.19%
                                                   2.3%
                                                                              Equity    return(3)                                                               7.1%       6.0%                 5.8%
                          1.9%
                                                                              Cost of debt(3)(4)                                                               3.60%      2.59%                2.59%
                          0.2%                     0.2%
                                                                              Notional gearing                                                                 57.5%      62.5%                62.5%
                          1.4%                     1.5%
            5.9%                                           6.0%(1)            Return on Regulated Equity (RoRE)                                                    -   2.1-10.5%           1.2-10.5%
                                                   1.8%
                          1.7%

                          0.3%                     0.3%

                          1.5%                     1.5%

                          0.3%                     0.3%

           Ofwat Final Determination     Reflecting ‘enhanced’ status
                                                                              (1) Includes non-household retail margin
35 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                           (2) 2012 /13 price base                                                                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
                                                                              (3) Implied equity return and debt allowance with an unchanged cost of capital
                                                                              (4) Cost of new debt at 2.1% (25%) and existing debt at 2.75% (75%)
Water 2020
Largely as expected

 DEBT INDEXATION
 •      Phased transition from RPI to CPI
 •      CPI will apply for 100% of revenues
 •      50% applied to wholesale RCV in 2020-25; further transition at PR24 and beyond
 •      South West Water: lowest index-linked debt in the industry
 WATER AND SLUDGE RESOURCES
 •      Separate total revenue control to incentivise competition in water trading
 •      Separate average revenue control in sludge (‘Bio-resources’) and no explicit RCV protection mechanism,
        though alternative implied RCV protections
 •      South West Water: lowest exposure in the industry at 4% for water resources and 2% sludge
 DIRECT PROCUREMENT
 •      Encouraged for discrete projects with a while life totex >£100m
 •      South West Water: well-positioned to take market share
 LICENCE CHANGES
 •      Ofwat engaging with companies ahead of a formal process
 •      South West Water: declared supportive of Ofwat’s proposals

36 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                      © Pennon Group plc 2017
Cost of debt consultation
As expected

 COST OF DEBT
 •      Proposed to continue to be set on the basis of an efficient notional company
 •      Indexation will be applied to new cost of debt only
 •      Ofwat will continue the fixed allowance approach for embedded debt
 •      End of period adjustment proposed for the inflation element of new debt only
 •      South West Water: close to notional company structure
 COMPANY-SPECIFIC SHARING MECHANISMS
 •      Ofwat does not propose to mandate risk sharing
 •      Companies are encouraged to consider pain-gain sharing around the cost of debt where it is in the interests of
        customers
 •      South West Water: leading company adopting pain-gain sharing at PR14
 COST OF EQUITY
 •      Ofwat highlights Australian development of a menu approach to the cost of equity
 •      Companies would be required to assess the level of risk in the business plan and propose the appropriate level
        for cost of equity to be rewarded
 •      South West Water: higher cost of equity due to ‘Enhanced’ status

37 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                         © Pennon Group plc 2017
2019 Price Review Timetable

Well prepared    forforBusiness
      Well prepared                Plan
                        Business Plan    submission
                                      submission         in September
                                                 in September 2018    2018
                                                                         2017
      September Vision to 2050
      September SWW response to PR19 methodology
      September Bioresources submission
 Mid December Final Ofwat methodology published
     December Draft Water Resources Management Plan submitted
                                                                         2018
            January Water resources submission
                 April Business plan customer consultation
                 April Customer acceptability
                  May Updated business plan submission
                  May Performance commitment submission
        September Business plan submission
                                                                         2019
            January Initial assessment of business plans published
       March/April Draft determinations (exceptional and fast track plans)
                 April Companies submit revisions to business plans (significant scrutiny and slow track)
                  July Draft determinations (Slow track and significant scrutiny)
                                                           December: Final determinations published
38 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                         © Pennon Group plc 2017
Appendix

           © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon

         © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon
Adjusted group EBITDA

          £m                                                                              0.5
                                                                              1.2
                                                                    2.1
                                                       4.0                                               (0.4)         (0.4)
                                                                                                                                      (2.2)                           285.8
                                  7.4
                                                                                                                                                       (3.6)

            277.2

         H1 2016/17           SWW tariff          Contracts,        Viridor   ERFs     Share of JV    Plc, PWS and   Recycling      SWW other       Landfill and    H1 2017/18
                             increase and       collections and   overheads          EBITDA & IFRIC        other                 revenue and cost   landfill gas
                                                                                                                                            (1)
                               customer              other                             12 interest                                   impacts
                                demand                                                 receivable

(1) Includes impact of meter switchers and new connections
41 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon Water Services Financial Highlights
Growing in the new competitive market

                                                             H1 2017/18(1)
                                                                      £m        >160,000     c.5,100(2)
  Revenue                                           A                   83.5    Customers    New accounts
                                                                                accounts     won since
  EBITDA                                             B                   0.5
                                                                                             market opening
  Depreciation                                                          (0.3)

  Operating Profit                                                       0.2

  Net Interest                                                          (0.7)        Dedicated PWS
  Loss Before Tax                                                       (0.5)       management team

      A     Competitive market – PWS growing
            - One of only four associated retailers to have achieved net growth
            - Focused on value enhancing contracts

      B     Set-up established
            - PWS has regularly achieved industry leading standards showing strong compliance with
                required market performance as measured by MOSL, with average performance of c.99%
            - Set-up costs reflected in 2017/18

(1)   80:20 venture with South Staffordshire Group
(2)   As at 20 November 2017 c.5,100 new accounts, net growth c.1,750
42 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                           © Pennon Group plc 2017
Non-underlying Items

                                                                                              H1                        H1                   A     Greater Manchester Contract ‘Reset’
£m                                                                                        2017/18                   2016/17
                                                                                                                                                   - TPSCo contract reset and settlement of outstanding
Greater Manchester                                                         A                       6.5                          -                       Viridor Waste claims, net of write down of Viridor
                                                                           B                                                                            Laing shareholder loans
Derivatives(1)                                                                                  (7.8)                 (15.0)

Other non-underlying costs(2)                                                                           -             (10.7)
                                                                                                                                             B     Derivatives
Profit Before Tax impact                                                                        (1.3)                 (25.7)

Deferred tax – change of rate(3)                                                                        -                20.1                      - Movement in fair value of long-dated derivatives
                                                                                                                                                        associated with the 2040 bond
Tax credit/(charge) on
                                                                                                   4.3                   (2.7)
non-underlying items
Net credit/(charge) for the period                                                                 3.0                   (8.3)

(1) In the first half of 2016/17 net derivatives charge of (£15.0m) includes the fair value of 2040 bond long-dated derivatives and a change in legislation impacting the 2011
    PMB derivative, terminated in February 2017
(2) H1 2016/17 reflects charges for restructuring costs of £10.7m
(3) Deferred tax credit of £20.1m in the first half of 2016/17 relating to the enacted reduction in the UK rate of corporation tax from 18% to 17% in 2020
43 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
Corporation tax
Effective rate reflects capital allowances for investment

                                                                       H1        H1    A   Current tax
£m                                                                 2017/18   2016/17
                                                                                           - Increase in capital allowances reflecting increased
Current Year                                                                                 Viridor capital expenditure
                                                                                           - Current year current tax effective rate of 10.9%
Current Tax                                                    A     14.3      23.1
                                                                                             (2016/17 H1 18.1%)
Deferred Tax                                                         10.2       9.5        - H1 2016/17 included charges related to the
                                                                                             Peninsula MB Ltd derivative
                                                                     24.5      32.6

Prior Year
                                                                     (4.3)    (0.3)    B   Non-underlying items
Current Tax
Deferred Tax                                                          1.6     (1.6)        - Reflects the tax on write down of shareholder loans
                                                                                             and settlement of outstanding claims as well as
                                                                     (2.7)    (1.9)          derivative movements
Total Underlying Tax Charge                                          21.8      30.7

Deferred Tax – change of rate                                            -   (20.1)

Non-underlying Items(1)                                        B     (4.3)      2.7
                                                                     17.5      13.3

(1)   £1.3m deferred tax credit and £3.0m current tax credit
44 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                       © Pennon Group plc 2017
Balance Sheet
Successful refinancing of £300m perpetual capital securities (hybrid)

                                      - Tender offer at 103% of par value plus accrued periodic returns – together broadly
    2013 £300m
    6.750% - first                       equating to the periodic return which would have been due in March 2018
    call date                         - 95% take-up of tender – remaining 5% called at par (£15m), settled October 2017
    March 2018                        - Associated periodic returns qualify for tax relief

    2017 £300m
    2.875% - first                    - Achieved a rate of 2.875%, the lowest ever for a sterling perpetual capital securities
    call date                         - Associated periodic returns do not qualify for tax relief
    May 2020

  H1 2017/18 financial                  2013         2017                  - Costs associated with the 2013 hybrid of
                                                                 Total
  impacts on EPS                       hybrid       hybrid
                                                                              £5.2m have been reclassified from the
                                      £15.7m        £5.8m      £21.5m         perpetual capital reserve to retained earnings
  Statutory basis
                                        3.8p         1.4p        5.2p      - Costs associated with the 2017 hybrid of
                                                    £0.2m                     £3.3m have been recognised directly in the
                                      £15.7m                   £15.9m
  Underlying basis                                                            perpetual capital reserve
                                        3.8p         0.0p        3.8p

45 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon
Diversified funding sources

As at 30 September 2017                                 £m
Finance Leasing(1)                                    1,474

Bank Bilaterals – Term Loans                           380

European Investment Bank Loans                         339

Index-Linked Bond                                      416

Fixed Rate Bond                                        134

Private Placements(2)                                  619

Total Gross Debt                                      3,362

Less: Cash/liquid investments                         (571)

Net Borrowings                                        2,791

 Finance leasing provides a key
 role in long-dated funding

(1) Includes £134m of index-linked finance leasing
(2) Includes other borrowings of £6m related to PWS
46 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                           © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon
Fair value of non-current debt

                                                      As at 30 September 2017           As at 31 March 2017
                                                      Book        Fair                 Book       Fair
£m                                                    Value      Value   Difference    Value     Value   Difference
Finance Leases                                         1,446     1,287          159    1,354     1,218         136

Bank and Other Loans                                    380        383           (3)    329        336          (7)

European Investment Bank Loans                          307        265           42     323        282          41

Index-Linked Bond                                       416        504          (88)    416        496         (80)

Fixed Rate Bond                                         134        195          (61)    133        199         (66)

Private Placements(1)                                   619        656          (37)    562        614         (52)

Total                                                  3,302     3,290           12    3,117     3,145         (28)

(1) Includes other borrowings of £6m related to PWS
47 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon
Net interest analysis(1)
 £m                                                                        H1 2017/18    H1 2016/17
 Net interest payable                                                          (36.6)        (28.6)
                                                                                                       Efficient effective interest rate
 Add: capitalised interest                                                       (7.8)         (6.1)
 Less: notional interest payable(2)                                               5.7           5.7
                                                                                                        GROUP       SOUTH WEST WATER
 Add: interest receivable on service
 concession contracts
                                                                                 (6.9)         (8.8)
                                                                                                       3.7%               3.5%
 Add: interest receivable on
                                                                                 (5.5)         (5.0)
 shareholder loans to JVs
 Net interest for average rate
                                                                               (51.1)        (42.8)
 calculation
 Split between:
 Interest payable                                                      A       (44.4)        (42.6)       A   Reflects higher RPI
 Capitalised interest payable                                                    (7.8)         (6.1)
 Other finance income                                                  B          1.1           5.9       B   Impacted by the unwind of
                                                                                                              the PMB derivative in
 Net interest payable                                                          (51.1)        (42.8)           February 2017
 Average rate of interest                                                       3.7%          3.3%
 Net interest cover                                                              4.3x          4.9x
(1) Before non-underlying items as set out in slide 35
(2) Includes pensions net interest and discount unwind on provisions
48 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                    © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon
Pensions

                                                                   The aggregate pension schemes’
                                      30 September    31 March
£m
                                              2017        2017
                                                                   deficit has reduced in the six
                                                                   months to 30 September 2017 by
 Pension schemes’ assets                    £891m       £903m      £12m from £68m to £56m
 Pension schemes’
                                            £947m       £971m      This represents a net deficit of
 liabilities
                                                                   c. 1% of Group’s market
                                             £56m         £68m     capitalisation
                                           = £46m      = £56m
                                         net of tax   net of tax
                                                                   Following 2016 actuarial valuation
                                                                   – contributions remain in line with
                                                                   2014 Final Determination
 - Liabilities have reduced by £24m reflecting higher              allowances
      corporate bond yields
 - Asset values have reduced by £12m, due primarily to
      assets matched to liabilities

49 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
Pennon
Significant energy generation
Group energy generation
-     Total energy generation of c.0.9TWh in H1 2017/18
           −      8 ERFs(1) – 661GWh
           −      Landfill gas – 217GWh
           −      25 Hydro turbines – 4.3GWh generation
           −      53 solar PV installations – 5.4GWh(2)
           −      Anaerobic digestion – 0.3GWh
           −      CHP – 3.2GWh
           −      1 wind turbine – 0.1GWh generation

Utilising existing grid connections at landfill sites
-     Continuing to identify opportunities to maximise the value from our grid
      connections                                                                                                                                       Pennon hedging activity

Portfolio management strategy
-     The Portfolio management team continues to actively manage the Group net                                                                  Pennon hedging
      energy generation position in liquid markets                                                                                              Internal and external hedges have
-     The natural hedge within the Group is maintained at around a third of generation                                                          been traded over the period to
-     Forward hedges have been put in place in the liquid market to March 2020                                                                  September 2017 maintaining the
-     The Group is fully hedged for the remainder of the financial year and c. 66%                                                              Group’s net hedged position
      hedged for the three years to 2020

(1) Includes 100% capacity on joint ventures at Lakeside and Runcorn and excludes Bolton due to fire.
(2) This includes 3.4GWh of output from two private wire schemes – Polmaugan (Restormel) and Wadebridge Renewable energy network (Nanstallon)
50 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                               © Pennon Group plc 2017
South West Water

                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
South West Water Financial Highlights
Continuing to drive outperformance of regulatory contract

                                                                             H1 2017/18                 H1 2016/17(1)                                            A   Revenue
 Underlying(2)                                                                      £m                           £m                      Change                      - Tariff increase 2.5%
 Revenue                                                              A                  292.2                        284.9                 +2.6%                    - Higher demand 1.1% on metered
                                                                                                                                                                       volumes net of impact of meter
 Operating Costs                                                                      (105.1)                      (103.0)                  (2.0%)                     switchers

 EBITDA                                                               B                  187.1                        181.9                 +2.9%
                                                                                                                                                                 B   EBITDA
 Depreciation and amortisation                                                           (56.4)                       (55.8)                (1.1%)
                                                                                                                                                                     - Cost increases below inflation as a
 Operating Profit                                                                        130.7                        126.1                 +3.6%                      result of efficiencies

 Net Interest                                                                            (34.5)                       (30.2)             (14.2%)                     - Good progress on debt collections
                                                                                                                                                                        - Bad debt fallen to c. 0.9% of
 Profit Before Tax                                                                         96.2                         95.9                +0.3%                           revenue
                                                                                                                                                                     - Cumulative Totex efficiency of £159m
                                                                                                                                                                       delivered to date
 Capital Expenditure                                                                       97.6                         79.7              +22.5%
 Return on Regulated Equity                                           C

       WaterShare RORE(3)                                                               11.1%                        11.7%                  (0.6%)               C   RORE
                                                                                                                                                                     - Outperforming regulatory contract
       OFWAT RORE(4)                                                                    12.4%                        11.0%                  +1.4%
                                                                                                                                                                     - Maintaining momentum, consistently
                                                                                                                                                                       >11% p.a.
                                                                                                                                                                     - Cumulative K6 performance of 11.8%

(1)   Excludes South West Water’s non-household retail performance now reported in Pennon Water Services (PWS)
(2)   Before non-underlying items, see slide 35
(3)   Financing outperformance based on average forecast RPI for K6 of 2.8%
(4)   Based on Ofwat’s definition of financing outperformance calculated based on average RPI of 1.1% for 2015/16 , 2.1% for 2016/17 and 3.7% forecast for 2017/18
52 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                                  © Pennon Group plc 2017
South West Water
Revenue

             £m                                      12.0

                                                                                                  0.7               (1.7)
                                                                              1.9
                                                                                                                                  292.2

                                                             (5.6)

                  284.9

              H1 2016/17                   Tariff increase   WRFIM(1)   New connections   Increased customer    Meter optants   H1 2017/18
                                                                                          demand (net of leak
                                                                                              allowances)

(1) Wholesale Revenue Forecast Incentive Mechanism
53 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                              © Pennon Group plc 2017
South West Water
EBITDA

            £m                                                  1.4
                                           7.4
                                                                                                                                       187.1
                                                                                       (2.6)
                                                                                                          (0.5)         (0.5)

                181.9

            H1 2016/17                Revenue growth   Efficiencies and other Cost increases including   Pension   Capital charges   H1 2017/18
                                                             cost savings             inflation

54 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                   © Pennon Group plc 2017
South West Water
Sector leading RORE outperformance

Highest potential returns in the industry
SWW delivering outperformance across all areas

                                                                                     OFWAT INDUSTRY RORE(1)
                                                                                         CUMULATIVE TO 2016/17

(1) Source: Ofwat’s Monitoring Financial Resilience report published November 2017
55 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                              © Pennon Group plc 2017
Water: Delivering for customers and communities
                        On track to deliver against all water business plan commitments by 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Water sector leakage performance
                                Sector-leading leakage performance
                              GOOD
                              PERFORMANCE
                                Best ever numeric and descriptive
                                wastewater compliance
                                -      Wastewater serious and significant pollutions –
                                       upper quartile performance
                                -      Minor pollutions, area of focus
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Source: Discover Water

Discharge permit                                                                                                                                                     Numeric                                                                     Pollution Incidents (Cat 1-3)
                                                                                                                                                                                                  700
compliance                                                                                                                                                           compliance
                                                                                                                                                                                                  600
                                                                                                                                                                                                  500
                                                                                                                                                                                                  400
                                                                                                                                                                                                  300
                                                                                                                                                                                                  200
                                                                                                                                                                                                  100
                                                                                                                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                     SWW
                        Wessex Water

                                                       Southern Water

                                                                        South West Water
 Severn Trent Water

                                       Anglian Water

                                                                                                           Northumbrian Water
                                                                                           Thames Water

                                                                                                                                                   Yorkshire Water
                                                                                                                                United Utilities

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Wessex Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Wessex Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Northumbrian Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Northumbrian Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   South West Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      South West Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Yorkshire Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Yorkshire Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Thames Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Anglian Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Southern Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Thames Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Anglian Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Southern Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Severn Trent Water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Severn Trent Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        United Utilities

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            United Utilities
                                                                        2016
                                                                        2016                                                                                          2013   2014   2015   2016                                          2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2013                                                                                                                                                                                                        2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2016
Source: Environment Agency data                                                                                                                                                                         Source: Calculated from Environment Agency Environmental Performance Assessment data
                      56 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor

          © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor Financial Highlights
Strong performance, underpinned by cost base efficiency

                                                                              H1 2017/18          H1 2016/17
                                                                                                                Change
 Underlying(1)                                                                       £m                  £m               A   ERFs
 Revenue(2)                                                                              407.0         397.9     +2.3%        - ERF availability >90%(5) for H1 2017/18
                                                                                                                              - Expect H2 weighting
 EBITDA                                                                                   66.6          63.3     +5.2%

      ERFs                                                            A                   51.7          50.5     +2.4%    B   Optimising landfill
      Landfill                                                        B                    3.3           3.2     +3.1%        - Landfill volumes increased since H2
                                                                                                                                2016/17 – pricing holding up
      Landfill Gas                                                    B                    9.2          12.9    (28.7%)
                                                                                                                              - Gas yields impacted by maintenance
      Recycling                                                       C                   10.6          11.0     (3.6%)
      Contracts, Collections & Other(3)                                                   20.0          16.0    +25.0%    C   Recycling
      Indirect Costs                                                  D                  (28.2)        (30.3)    +6.9%        - Volumes reduced, optimising contracts
                                                                                                                                and asset base
 Share of JV EBITDA                                                                       25.4          23.0    +10.4%
                                                                                                                              - EBITDA margin/tonne increased
 IFRIC 12 Interest Receivable                                                              6.9           8.8    (21.6%)
 Adjusted EBITDA                                                                          98.9          95.1     +4.0%    D   Focus on cost base
 Depreciation and amortisation                                                           (34.2)        (35.6)    +3.9%        - Driving efficiency through shared
                                                                                                                                services
 Profit Before Tax                                                                        30.6          23.1    +32.5%
 Capital Investment(4)                                                                   147.1         103.6    +42.0%
(1)   Before non-underlying items, see slide 35
(2)   Including landfill tax and construction spend on service concession arrangements
(3)   H1 2017/18 benefiting from contract rationalisation
(4)   Including construction spend related to service concession arrangements
(5)   Includes 100% of joint ventures, excluding Bolton ERF availability due to fire
58 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                            © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
Revenue

                                                                                             1.3
                                                                              5.1
         £m
                                                         8.5

                                                                                                              (8.0)
                                      12.6
                                                                                                                                               407.0

                                                                                                                                (10.4)

              397.9

          H1 2016/17           ERF construction       Contracts,        ERF operational   Recycling   Landfill and landfill   Landfill tax   H1 2017/18
                                   revenue      collections and other      revenue                             gas

59 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                          © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
Adjusted EBITDA

         £m                                                                       1.2
                                                                      2.1
                                                                                           (0.4)
                                                   2.4
                                                                                                           (1.9)
                                      4.0                                                                                                          98.9

                                                                                                                               (3.6)

             95.1

         H1 2016/17           Contracts,    Share of JV EBITDA   Indirect costs   ERFs   Recycling   IFRIC 12 interest Landfill and landfill   H1 2017/18
                            collections and                                                             receivable              gas
                                 other

60 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                            © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor: Robust operational and financial performance
Landfill and landfill gas

                                                        Delivering cash flow from landfill – optimising capacity

Landfill                                                - Extracting value from sites – maximising opportunities for external grid connections
11                                                      - Landfill volumes increased from H2 2016/17 – pricing holding up
Open sites                                              - Retaining flexibility, keeping sites open for longer and investing in new cells
(2016/17: 11 open sites)
                                                            where commercially attractive
                                                        - Gas yields for H1 2017/18 impacted by maintenance carried out to improve engine
                                                            reliability and availability

Landfill gas

96 MW
Yields typically reducing by
5-7% y-o-y(1)

(1) Volume reduction H1 2017/18 impacted by 17.7% due to engine maintenance and replacement programme
61 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                    © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority (GMWDA) Contract ‘reset’
                               Before

                                          50% Joint                             37.5% Joint                           100% Viridor
         GMWDA                             venture         Residual              venture                Operating      subsidiary
                                                          waste (ERF                                   contract for
                                                           contract)                                  Runcorn I ERF
                                            VL                                   TPSCo                                 VLGM
            Principal
            contract
                                                                   Operating contract for recycling assets

                                After                 B
                                                           Residual
                                                          waste (ERF
                                                           contract)            37.5% Joint                           100% Viridor
                                          GMWDA                                  venture                Operating      subsidiary
                                                                                                       contract for
                                      A                                                               Runcorn I ERF
                                            VL                                   TPSCo                                 VLGM
                                                             B
                                                                  Operating contract for recycling assets
   A      GMWDA acquires Viridor Laing

   B      Contracts reset

62 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                        © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
 Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority (GMWDA) Contract ‘reset’

Financial Impacts                                 H1 2017/18 reset
                                       Share of     Shareholder       VWGM
                                        JV PAT           Loans       EBITDA   Viridor Laing – reduction in
Disposal of Viridor Laing                                                     shareholder loan interest of
Write down of shareholder loans               -        (£19.2m)           -            c.£5m p.a.

Residual waste (ERF contract)
‘reset’
Gain on fair value of re-profiled      £22.5m                  -          -
                                                                                 Non material ongoing
cash flows                                                                        impact on TPSCo

Operating contract for
recycling assets                                                              Anticipated annual EBITDA
Construction contract settlements             -                -      £3.2m    improvement from the 18
Subtotal                               £22.5m          (£19.2m)       £3.2m     month run off contract.
Total                                                                 £6.5m       Ability to re-tender

 63 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
Joint Venture Performance
                                                                                                           Greater Manchester
                                                                                                                            Viridor
    £m                                                                                            TPSCo                      Laing              VWGM(1)               Lakeside   Total
  H1 2017/18
  Share of JV PAT                                                                                       1.0                        0.1                          -          4.2     5.3
  Interest on shareholder loans                                                                         2.3                        2.6                          -          0.6     5.5
  EBITDA VWGM(1)                                                                                             -                          -               (0.3)                -   (0.3)
  Shareholder loans                                                                                   40.1                              -                       -          8.4    48.5
  Share of non-recourse net debt/(cash)                                                            (20.2)                               -                       -         32.1    11.9
  Share of adjusted EBITDA                                                                              9.1                        7.2                          -          9.1    25.4
  H1 2016/17
  Share of JV PAT                                                                                            -                     0.1                          -          2.7     2.8
  Interest on shareholder loans                                                                         2.0                        2.3                          -          0.7     5.0
  EBITDA VWGM(1)                                                                                             -                          -               (0.2)                -   (0.2)
  Shareholder loans                                                                                   35.7                       37.7                           -          8.7    82.1
  Share of non-recourse net debt                                                                      72.5                       92.2                           -         35.7   200.4
  Share of adjusted EBITDA                                                                              8.3                        7.3                          -          7.4    23.0

(1) Viridor Waste Greater Manchester is not a Joint Venture arrangement and therefore performance is shown in Contracts, Collections and Other. Excluding overheads
64 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                      © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
ERF accounting

         An illustrative, large ERF (c.300kt)
         will contribute c.£28m to Viridor
         EBITDA
                                                                       Illustrative ERF(1)           IAS 16(2)         IFRIC 12(2)         JVs
                                                             IAS 16        IFRIC 12          JVs   • Oxford (Ardley) • Exeter            • Lakeside
                                                                                                   • Cardiff         • Peterborough(3)   • Runcorn I
EBITDA                                                       £28m            £12m            --      (Trident Park)  • Glasgow
IFRIC 12 Interest Receivable                                      --         £16m            --    • Runcorn II
                                                                                                   • Bolton
Share of JV EBITDA (50%)                                          --           --       £14m       • Dunbar
                                                                                                   • South London
Adjusted EBITDA                                              £28m            £28m       £14m         (Beddington)
                                                                                                   • Avonmouth

(1) From first full year of operation
(2) ERFs under construction identified in green
(3) Local authority funding, interest income will be negligible
65 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                              © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
ERF CAPEX(1) – Efficient investment
to deliver growth

                                                                  Cumulative                    Capital        Cumulative    Remaining     Amounts       Total         Original
                                                                    spend at                investment           spend to     spend to    subject to   project        planned
      £m                                                         1 April 2017            in H1 2017/18 30 September 2017    completion   recovery(3)    spend    project spend
      ERF projects in operation
      Exeter                                                                  47                             -        47             -             -       47               47
      Oxford (Ardley)                                                        204                             -       204             -             -      204              210
      Cardiff (Trident Park)                                                 207                             -       207             -             -      207              223
      Peterborough                                                            72                             -        72             -             -       72               72
      Runcorn II                                                             216                             -       216             -             -      216              216
      Total                                                                  746                             -       746             -             -      746              768
      ERF projects under construction
      Glasgow                                                              156(2)                           44       200           32          (77)       155              155
      Dunbar                                                                 91                             30       121           56             -       177              177
      South London (Beddington)                                             138                             11       149           50             -       199              199
      Avonmouth                                                                7                            38        45          207             -       252              252
      Total                                                                1,136                        123        1,261          345          (77)     1,529            1,551
      Peterborough financed by local
                                                                             (72)                            -       (72)            -             -      (72)             (72)
      authority
      Total impact on net debt                                             1,064                        123        1,189          345          (77)     1,457            1,479

      - Managing projects under construction closely
      - Debt includes £1,189m(1) for Runcorn II / Exeter / Oxford / Cardiff / Glasgow / Dunbar / South London / Avonmouth

(1) Excluding capitalised interest, £6.7m in H1 2017/18 and £80.7m cumulatively
(2) Includes £8m relating to amounts to be recovered from prior year
(3) Spend in excess of the original budget will be subject to a contractual claim process with Interserve
66 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                              © Pennon Group plc 2017
Viridor
ERFs (including Joint Ventures)
                                                                                                                                                                 Base load
                                                                                                       Capital                                                   municipal     Actual/expected
Progress on ERF pipeline                                                             Site              Cost (1)        Gross capacity            Status          contract       commissioning
                                                                                                                     Tonnes   Electricity
                                                                                                          £m
                                                                                                                      (000)     MWe
                                                                             Lakeside(2)                 150          410         38        Fully operational    Merchant      Commissioned
ERF portfolio build-out                                                      Bolton                      N/A          120          9        Fully operational
                                                                                                                                                                  Greater
                                                                                                                                                                               Commissioned
nearing completion                                                           Exeter                        47          60          3        Fully operational
                                                                                                                                                                Manchester
                                                                                                                                                                  Devon        Commissioned
                                                                             Oxford
                                                                                                         204          300         24        Fully operational   Oxfordshire    Commissioned
                                                                             (Ardley)
                                                                             Cardiff                                                                             Gwyrdd
                                                                                                         207          360         28        Fully operational                  Commissioned
                                                                             (Trident Park)                                                                     (SE Wales)
                                                                                                                                                                  Greater
                                                                             Runcorn I(2)                236          375        28(3)      Fully operational                  Commissioned
                                                                                                                                                                Manchester
                                                                             Runcorn II                  216          375         41        Fully operational    Merchant      Commissioned

                                                                             Peterborough                  72          80         7         Fully operational   Peterborough   Commissioned

                                                                             Glasgow                     155          200         15        Commissioning         Glasgow           2017
                                                                             South London
                                                                                                         199          275         26        Commissioning         S London       H2 2017/18
                                                                             (Beddington)
                                                                                                                                               Early
                                                                             Dunbar                      177          300        23(4)                          Clyde Valley     H2 2017/18
                                                                                                                                            commissioning
                                                                                                                                            Construction in
                                                                             Avonmouth                   252          320         34                             Somerset         2020/21
                                                                                                                                               progress
                                                                             Grand Total                             3,175       276

(1) Capital cost excludes capitalised interest and for projects for which the Engineering Procurement Construction
    (EPC) contract has not yet been executed, capital cost may vary in accordance with the Euro exchange rate
(2) Joint ventures economic interest (Lakeside 50%; Runcorn I 37.5%)
(3) Plus heat 51MWth
(4) Plus heat 17MWth
67 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                                                                                                                           © Pennon Group plc 2017
An Energy Recovery Facility

                              © Pennon Group plc 2017
Ardley ERF in Oxfordshire, UK
Transforming residual waste into vital baseload energy

                                        Weighbridge

                                                                         Flue gas
                                                         Bunker and      treatment   Steam
                                                         Waste cranes                turbine
                                      IBA
                                      Processing   Tipping                           hall
                                                   Hall         Boiler Hall
                                      hall

                                                                                     Air cooled
                                                                                     condenser

69 Pennon Half Year Results 2017/18                                                         © Pennon Group plc 2017
US Roadshow Presentation
November 2017

                           © Pennon Group plc 2017
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